Severe Thunderstorm Warning 188, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1223 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2016

.AVIATION...
Numerous tstms moving KCHA and KTYS presently. Expect brief periods
of IFR vsby and cigs in these storms as they move across those
terminals in the next 4-6 hours. Expect these storms to reach into
KTRI by 9Z although they should be weaker with IFR cigs and
occasional lighting expected through 12Z there. Following this,
frontal passage is expected between 17-21Z tomorrow that may be
preceded by a second band of more solid precip. With frontal
passage expect winds shifting westerly and improving vsby and cigs
at all terminals.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Wind Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for East Polk-
     Johnson-NW Blount-North Sevier-Northwest Carter-Northwest
     Cocke-Northwest Greene-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Carter-
     Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-Unicoi-Washington TN.

     High Wind Warning until 3 PM EST this afternoon for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains.

VA...Wind Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for Wise.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2016

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-302015-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
310 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2016 /210 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS FROM
LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THE FAR EASTERN
TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA...AND WISE COUNTY..VIRGINIA FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
AND PORTIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

...FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE PIGEON FORGE/GATLINBURG AREAS
DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING ACROSS THE
THE BURN SCARS FROM THE RECENT FIRES...

A STRONG JET WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PRODUCING SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 3000 FEET. AREAS BELOW 3000
FEET...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT PRODUCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND COLD AIR
ALOFT...STORMS COULD BE STRONG AND SOME MAY EVEN BECOME
SEVERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TN VALLEY. THE MAIN THREAT
WILL BE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
INSTABILITY WILL BE AVAILABLE...AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL BETWEEN 1 AND 1 1/2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING FALLING OVER THE BURN SCARS IN AND AROUND
GATLINBURG AND PIGEON FORGE...FLASH FLOODING IS A CONCERN ACROSS
THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

AT THIS TIME...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING.