Special Weather Statement, NWS Milwaukee, WI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
812 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.UPDATE...APPROACHING COLD FRONT AIDED BY SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING
FROM SHARP MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND LEFT EXIT REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH
THE EVENING...DIMINISHING IN THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAY BE
A FEW GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG WITH
SMALL HAIL.

&&

.AVIATION/06Z TAFS/...PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM STILL ON TAP TO AFFECT TAF SITES THIS
EVENING...ENDING IN THE SOUTHEAST SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND
GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS MAY ACCOMPANY THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG
WITH SMALL HAIL. LOW LEVEL COLD AIR SURGE DOWN LAKE STILL EXPECTED
TO RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CLOUDS IN THE EAST
LATER TONIGHT INTO THE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD AIR SURGE EXPECTED BEHIND COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN WIND GUSTS
TO 35 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. UPGRADED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY TO GALE WARNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

SHORT TERM...

TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND UPPER DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT EXIT
REGION OF AN UPPER JET WILL DROP THROUGH THIS EVENING. A SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN WI THIS EVENING BRINGING A
LINE OF SHOWERS. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CAPE IS
MINIMAL WITH THE NAM MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH UP TO 200 J/KG. BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME OF THE BETTER INSTABILITY IS AFTER THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE WHEN THE LOW LEVELS SATURATE. THERE IS AN INVERTED V
SOUNDING AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED
WIND GUSTS BUT WITH MIMINMAL CAPE ITS HARD TO GET EXCITED ABOUT.

WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT.
A FEW MODELS SHOW SOME LIGHT PRECIP MAINLY IN SE WI WITH WEAK
SURFACE CONVERFENCE SO HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

THE OMEGA BLOCK THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE USA ON WED WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EWD THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. MORE SPECIFICALLY...THE LARGE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES ON WED WILL MOVE TO THE SE USA WED NT INTO THU WITH HEIGHT
RISES OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES. THE WARM
ADVECTION WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL BRING SCT-BKN MID LEVEL
CLOUDS INTO SRN WI THU AFT AND LINGER INTO SAT AM. AT THE
SFC...THE SFC RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS SRN WI ON THU WHILE A N-S WARM
FRONT WILL THEN SET UP FROM UPPER MI THROUGH ERN WI. TEMPS WILL
WARM INTO FRI WITH ESPECIALLY WARM TEMPS ON FRI AS 925 MB TEMPS
WARM ABOVE 20C. THIS YIELDS HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOWER 80S OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL WI AND 70S FAR EAST. A LAKE BREEZE IS EXPECTED EACH
DAY BUT WILL NOT TRAVEL TOO FAR INLAND ESPECIALLY ON FRI.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
MEDIUM.

THE OMEGA BLOCK WILL BREAK DOWN AS A STRONG CANADIAN UPPER TROUGH
AND COLD FRONT ARRIVES OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SAT. THERE ARE GOOD
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A TSTORM WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
HIGH PRESSURE AND PLEASANT SPRING WX TO THEN PREVAIL ON SUN.

A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL THEN SLOWLY APPROACH
THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND TSTORMS INCREASING TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

AVIATION/00Z TAFS/...

EXPECT A COLD FRONT TO BRING A LINE OF SHOWERS BETWEEN 2 AND 6Z AND
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH BEHIND IT. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN TAFS.
GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. TEMPORARY MVFR CONDITIONS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY AT EASTERN TAF SITES. 1-2 KFT
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AT EASTERN TAF STIES
AND MAY LINGER THROUGH MID MORNING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH BROKEN VFR CUMULOUS.

MARINE

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING BRINGING RAIN
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. BEHIND THE FRONT BRISK NORTH
WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL RESULT WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADIVSORY IN
EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE HIGHER WINDS AND
WAVES MAY LINGER LONGER SOUTH OF NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ643>646.

&&

UPDATE...MBK
TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY AND AVIATION/MARINE...COLLAR/SM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...GEHRING

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
929 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

WIZ062-067-040315-
LAFAYETTE-IOWA-
929 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT IOWA AND NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE
COUNTIES...

AT 925 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF
RICHLAND CENTER NEAR SOLDIERS GROVE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORMS.  WIND GUSTS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
AVOCA...HIGHLAND...MINERAL POINT...DODGEVILLE... BELMONT...LESLIE
AND COBB.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4320 9043 4321 9029 4319 9028 4319 9025
      4291 8984 4288 8984 4272 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 316DEG 48KT 4329 9058

MBK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1001 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

WIZ057>059-062>065-068>070-040345-
JEFFERSON-ROCK-WAUKESHA-IOWA-GREEN-COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-DODGE-DANE-
WALWORTH-
1001 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...NORTHERN IOWA...JEFFERSON...SOUTHERN
DODGE...DANE...NORTHERN ROCK...NORTHWESTERN WAUKESHA AND
NORTHEASTERN GREEN COUNTIES...

AT 959 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR IRON RIDGE TO MADISON
TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPRING GREEN. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
SHOWERS.

THESE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR...
  HARTFORD AND IRON RIDGE AROUND 1005 PM CDT.
  MCFARLAND AND COTTAGE GROVE AROUND 1010 PM CDT.
  STOUGHTON AROUND 1020 PM CDT.
  DEERFIELD AROUND 1025 PM CDT.
  CAMBRIDGE AND LAKE RIPLEY AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
  MOUNT HOREB AND EDGERTON AROUND 1035 PM CDT.
  WHITEWATER...FORT ATKINSON...BELLEVILLE...NEW GLARUS AND LAKE
  KOSHKONONG AROUND 1045 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SHOWERS INCLUDE RIDGEWAY...RICHWOOD...
HEBRON...LEBANON...MOUNT VERNON...OCONOMOWOC LAKE...HOLY HILL...NEOSHO...
NORTH LAKE AND UTICA.

LAT...LON 4301 8820 4283 8872 4281 8972 4313 9035
      4315 8945 4347 8843
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 300DEG 34KT 4342 8845 4312 8938 4311 9018

MBK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1013 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

WIZ062-067-040400-
LAFAYETTE-IOWA-
1013 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN IOWA AND
LAFAYETTE COUNTIES...

AT 1013 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS...LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR DODGEVILLE
TO NEAR SAGEVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  DODGEVILLE AND MINERAL POINT AROUND 1020 PM CDT.
  BLANCHARDVILLE AROUND 1040 PM CDT.
  ARGYLE AROUND 1050 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE EDMUND...BLACKHAWK
LAKE REC AREA...YELLOWSTONE LAKE ST PARK...LINDEN...PLATTE MOUNDS...
LONDON...NEW DIGGINGS...LEAD MINE...WIOTA AND GRATIOT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4293 9043 4309 9024 4283 8984 4267 8984
      4251 9001 4251 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 306DEG 42KT 4300 9023 4258 9073

MBK