Alert archive / Oregon / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 8, NWS Medford, OR

December 15, 2016Curry County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this river flood warning at Dec 15, 2016, 1:11 AM PST for Curry County, Oregon. It was in force for 32 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2016, 1:11 AM PST (09:11 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2016, 8:58 AM PST
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Curry County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rogue River near Agness (AGNO3). The gauge peaked at 24.13 ft at Dec 15, 2016, 12:00 PM PST.

actionminor1015202512/1512/1612/17
Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 14372300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

235 
WGUS46 KMFR 150911
FLWMFR
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
111 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...

.[optional - Insert summary here. Leave the starting dot. -OR- delete
this line.]

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC015-151511-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FL.W.0008.161215T0911Z-161216T0753Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T0830Z.161215T1953Z.NO/
111 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* until Thursday evening.
* At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. The
  Rogue River near Agness is expected to peak near 20 feet around
  7 AM PST this morning. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...River rises to this stage or above may 
  affect recreation interests along the Rogue River at and below 
  Agness, Oregon. Sudden river rises of a few feet may also affect 
  home and business owners with boat docks on the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7 feet
  on Dec 14 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-151511-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FL.W.0009.161215T1820Z-161217T0517Z/
/COQO3.1.ER.161215T1820Z.161216T0300Z.161216T1717Z.NO/
111 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* from this morning to Friday evening.
* At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. The Coquille River at Coquille is expected 
  to reach minor flood stage by 10 AM PST this morning and reach a peak
  of 22 feet around 9 PM PST this evening. 
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Some farm buildings may be threatened and 
  roads covered in low areas by rising water. Expect widespread 
  flooding throughout the Coquille River floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC011-151511-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FL.W.0010.161215T1518Z-161216T0752Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.161215T1518Z.161215T1800Z.161215T1952Z.NO/
111 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* from this morning to this evening.
* At 12:15 AM Thursday the stage was 29.9 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. The South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle
  Point is expected to reach minor Flooding by 8 AM PST this morning
  and reach a peak of 33.6 feet around 10 AM PST this morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...The South Fork Coquille River is at flood 
  stage. Expect flooding of roads west of the Spruce Street Bridge 
  and significant pasture and agricultural land flooding.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$
8 follow-up statements
220 
WGUS86 KMFR 150927
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
127 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Deer Creek at Roseburg affecting Douglas County...

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC019-151527-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-161216T1954Z/
/DEEO3.2.ER.161215T0026Z.161215T1200Z.161216T0754Z.NO/
127 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deer Creek at Roseburg.
* At 12:00 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Deer Creek is expected to crest at 13.6 feet late this evening, 
  then stay in flood until at least Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Widespread flooding of structures and 
  farmland is occurring.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet
  on Dec 13 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 12324 4321 12317 4322 12325 4322 12334 4321 12334     

$$

ORC015-151527-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161216T1509Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T1200Z.161216T0309Z.NO/
127 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The
  Rogue River near Agness is expected to peak near 20 feet around
  7 AM PST this morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9 feet
  on Jan 18 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-151527-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0009.161215T1820Z-161217T0517Z/
/COQO3.1.ER.161215T1820Z.161216T0300Z.161216T1717Z.NO/
127 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* from this morning to Friday evening.
* At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. The Coquille River at Coquille is expected 
  to reach minor flood stage by 10 AM PST this morning and reach a peak
  of 22 feet around 9 PM PST this evening. 
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Some farm buildings may be threatened and 
  roads covered in low areas by rising water. Expect widespread 
  flooding throughout the Coquille River floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC011-151527-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0010.161215T1518Z-161216T0752Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.161215T1518Z.161215T1800Z.161215T1952Z.NO/
127 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* from this morning to this evening.
* At 12:15 AM Thursday the stage was 29.9 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. The South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle
  Point is expected to reach minor Flooding by 8 AM PST this morning
  and reach a peak of 33.6 feet around 10 AM PST this morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...The South Fork Coquille River is at flood 
  stage. Expect flooding of roads west of the Spruce Street Bridge 
  and significant pasture and agricultural land flooding.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$
595 
WGUS86 KMFR 151434
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
634 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...
  Deer Creek at Roseburg affecting Douglas County...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC015-152034-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161216T2301Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T1330Z.161216T1101Z.NO/
634 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  5:30 AM Thursday the stage was 22.0 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The
  Rogue River near Agness is expected to peak near 20 feet around
  9 AM PST this morning.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9 feet
  on Jan 18 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-152034-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0009.161215T1421Z-161217T0203Z/
/COQO3.1.ER.161215T1330Z.161215T2000Z.161216T1403Z.NO/
634 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* until Friday evening.
* At  5:30 AM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The Coquille 
  River at Coquille is expected to reach a peak of 22 feet around 1 PM PST 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...The Coquille River is at flood stage. Expect
  flooding of farmland and low-lying areas throughout the flood plain
  along the Coquille River.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC011-152034-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0010.161215T1421Z-161216T0823Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.161215T1241Z.161215T1800Z.161215T2023Z.NO/
634 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* until late tonight.
* At  5:15 AM Thursday the stage was 33.2 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The South 
  Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point is expected to reach a peak of 
  33.6 feet around 9 AM PST this morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...The South Fork Coquille River is at flood 
  stage. Expect flooding of roads west of the Spruce Street Bridge 
  and significant pasture and agricultural land flooding.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$

ORC019-152034-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-161216T0628Z/
/DEEO3.2.ER.161215T0026Z.161215T0800Z.161215T1828Z.NO/
634 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deer Creek at Roseburg.
* At  5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue until around 9 AM PST this morning. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural flooding is 
  occurring. Residential flooding begins at this point.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4 feet
  on Dec 2 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 12324 4321 12317 4322 12325 4322 12334 4321 12334     

$$
265 
WGUS86 KMFR 151752
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
952 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Deer Creek at Roseburg affecting Douglas County...

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC011-152352-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161217T2318Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.161215T1330Z.161216T1000Z.161217T1118Z.NO/
952 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 21.3 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. The Coquille 
  River at Coquille is expected to now reach a peak near 23 feet around 10 PM PST 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Some farm buildings may be threatened and 
  roads covered in low areas by rising water. Expect widespread 
  flooding throughout the Coquille River floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC015-152352-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0027Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T1730Z.161216T1227Z.NO/
952 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The
  Rogue River near Agness is expected to peak near 24 feet then fall 
  to below Flood Stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Numerous campgrounds and low-lying roads 
  along the river are flooded including Lobster Creek Road and 
  Lobster Creek Campground.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.2 feet
  on Feb 7 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-152352-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T1211Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.161215T1241Z.161215T1800Z.161216T0011Z.NO/
952 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 34.7 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The South 
  Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point should peak near 34.9 feet then fall 
  this afternoon and evening. 
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Expect flooding along some sections of 
  Highway 42 downstream from Myrtle Point and along the highway to 
  Powers. Widespread flooding of agricultural land can be expected.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$

ORC019-151822-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-161216T0628Z/
/DEEO3.2.ER.161215T0026Z.161215T0800Z.161215T1408Z.NO/
952 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning is canceled for
  the Deer Creek at Roseburg.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 8.8 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Fell below Flood Stage at  6:08 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.1 feet by early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural flooding is 
  occurring. Residential flooding begins at this point.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4 feet
  on Dec 2 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 12324 4321 12317 4322 12325 4322 12334 4321 12334     

$$
645 
WGUS86 KMFR 152254
FLSMFR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
254 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...
  Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County...

.The heavy rain had ended but flooding will continue across the region. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC011-160454-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161217T2334Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.161215T1330Z.161216T1000Z.161217T1134Z.NO/
254 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 22.1 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Some farm buildings may be threatened and 
  roads covered in low areas by rising water. Expect widespread 
  flooding throughout the Coquille River floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC015-160454-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0017Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T2015Z.161216T1217Z.NO/
254 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  early Friday.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Numerous campgrounds and low-lying roads 
  along the river are flooded including Lobster Creek Road and 
  Lobster Creek Campground.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.2 feet
  on Feb 7 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-160454-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T1211Z/
/MYPO3.2.ER.161215T1241Z.161215T1845Z.161216T0011Z.NO/
254 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 34.6 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Expect flooding along some sections of 
  Highway 42 downstream from Myrtle Point and along the highway to 
  Powers. Widespread flooding of agricultural land can be expected.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$

ORC019-160454-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0011.161215T2335Z-161216T1243Z/
/EKTO3.1.ER.161215T2335Z.161216T0000Z.161216T0043Z.NO/
254 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Umpqua River near Elkton.
* until late tonight.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 31.9 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding 
  occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.2 feet
  on Dec 22 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376     

$$
472 
WGUS86 KMFR 160425
FLSMFR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
825 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Umpqua River near Elkton affecting Douglas County...

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...
  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to NOAA weather radio.

&&

ORC011-161025-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161218T0548Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.161215T1330Z.161216T0800Z.161217T1748Z.NO/
825 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast for 
  at least the next 24 hours.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Homes and roads are threatened in low-lying 
  areas along and near the Coquille River. Expect significant 
  widespread flooding throughout the Coquille River estuary to Myrtle
  Point.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 feet
  on Jan 20 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC015-161025-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0027Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T2015Z.161216T1227Z.NO/
825 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall...dropping 
  below Flood Stage by early Friday morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9 feet
  on Jan 18 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-161025-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T1543Z/
/MYPO3.2.ER.161215T1241Z.161215T1845Z.161216T0343Z.NO/
825 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* At  7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 33.4 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall...dropping below Flood 
  Stage by late this evening.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...The South Fork Coquille River is at flood 
  stage. Expect flooding of roads west of the Spruce Street Bridge 
  and significant pasture and agricultural land flooding.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$

ORC019-160455-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161216T1243Z/
/EKTO3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning is canceled for
  the Umpqua River near Elkton.
* At  7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 31.9 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river crested below Flood Stage at 32.4 feet.  The 
  river will FALL TO 25.0 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Slight low-land and agricultural flooding 
  occurs mainly from the Kellog area through Elkton to Scottsburg.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.6 feet
  on Dec 30 2008.

&&

LAT...LON 4338 12362 4327 12347 4328 12341 4367 12348 4371 12376     

$$
550 
WGUS86 KMFR 160722
FLSMFR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1122 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point affecting Coos County...

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...
  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...

.The storm responsible for heavy rains across the area has moved east. 
River stages will continue to gradually recede.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to NOAA weather radio.

&&

ORC011-161322-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161218T0717Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.161215T1330Z.161216T0545Z.161217T1917Z.NO/
1122 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* At 10:30 PM Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Homes and roads are threatened in low-lying 
  areas along and near the Coquille River. Expect significant 
  widespread flooding throughout the Coquille River estuary to Myrtle
  Point.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC015-161322-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0545Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T2015Z.161216T1745Z.NO/
1122 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At 10:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.3 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  late tomorrow morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9 feet
  on Jan 18 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

ORC011-160752-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T1543Z/
/MYPO3.2.ER.161215T1241Z.161215T1845Z.161216T0442Z.NO/
1122 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

The Flood Warning is canceled for
  the South Fork Coquille River at Myrtle Point.
* At 10:15 PM Thursday the stage was 32.6 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 33.0 feet. 
* The river fell below Flood Stage at 8:42 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 20.8 feet by Saturday
  morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...The South Fork Coquille River is at flood 
  stage. Expect flooding of roads west of the Spruce Street Bridge 
  and significant pasture and agricultural land flooding.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.0 feet
  on Dec 18 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417     

$$

Stavish
679 
WGUS86 KMFR 161303
FLSMFR

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
503 AM PST FRI DEC 16 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...

  Coquille River at Coquille affecting Coos County...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to NOAA weather radio.

&&

ORC011-161903-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-161218T0717Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.161215T1330Z.161216T0545Z.161217T1917Z.NO/
503 AM PST FRI DEC 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Coquille River at Coquille.
* At  4:30 AM Friday the stage was 23.4 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Some farm buildings may be threatened and 
  roads covered in low areas by rising water. Expect widespread 
  flooding throughout the Coquille River floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet
  on Mar 15 2016.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441     

$$

ORC015-161903-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0245Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T2015Z.161216T1445Z.NO/
503 AM PST FRI DEC 16 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  4:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...River rises to this stage or above may 
  affect recreation interests along the Rogue River at and below 
  Agness, Oregon. Sudden river rises of a few feet may also affect 
  home and business owners with boat docks on the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7 feet
  on Dec 14 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

Stavish
202 
WGUS86 KMFR 161658
FLSMFR


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
858 AM PST FRI DEC 16 2016

...The Flood Warning is canceled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Rogue River near Agness affecting Curry County...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas or roads. The water may be too 
deep or there may be unseen damage to the roadway. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/medford or listen to noaa weather radio.

&&

ORC015-161728-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-161217T0245Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.161215T0807Z.161215T2015Z.161216T1419Z.NO/
858 AM PST FRI DEC 16 2016

The Flood Warning is canceled for
  the Rogue River near Agness.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet. 
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Fell below Flood Stage at 6:19 AM PST Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.4 feet by early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...River rises to this stage or above may 
  affect recreation interests along the Rogue River at and below 
  Agness, Oregon. Sudden river rises of a few feet may also affect 
  home and business owners with boat docks on the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7 feet
  on Dec 14 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375     

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 14, 8:00 PM PST, 5 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 8:00 PM PST, 5 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
800 PM PST Wed Dec 14 2016

.UPDATE...No major changes were necessary this evening as the
current forecast appears to be on track. Rainfall continues across
the area as the cold front begins to push east over the coast and
across the forecast area. Standing water and full ditches will
continue to be a concern until the rain ends later tonight, and a
flood warning continues for Deer Creek at Roseburg. For more
information, see the previous discussion below. -BPN

&&

.AVIATION...15/00Z TAF CYCLE...Freezing levels will drop to around
2000 to 3000 feet by midnight. IFR to LIFR conditions are expected
to return to most of the west side this evening. east of the
Cascades will see mostly MVFR ceilings, but with warmer air moving
over the recently heavy snowfall some areas of fog are possible.
Ceilings are not expected to rise to vfr over almost all of the
region tomorrow. Sven

&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 PM PST Wednesday 14 December 2016...The front
has moved through the area and weaker north winds have moved in
behind. The fresh south swell generated by the south winds ahead of
the upper low are expected to migrate northward through the northern
waters this evening and continue through Thursday. North winds will
increase some with borderline small craft possible in the southern
outer waters late Thursday afternoon and evening. Calmer conditions
are expected Friday into next weekend. Very high and very long
period swell may possibly move into the waters Tuesday. -Sven/BPN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 322 PM PST Wed Dec 14 2016/

DISCUSSION...A high-impact winter storm continues to affect
Northern California and Southern Oregon with heavy rain at the
coast and west of the Cascades, snow east of the Cascades from
Chiloquin northward, and some high winds in the Shasta Valley and
areas east of the Cascades.

A Winter Storm Warning will expire around 4pm as snow levels
continue to rise over the Cascades and portions of the East Side.
After that time, the most significant impacts will be confined to
areas east of the Cascades north of Chiloquin where lingering
cold air at the surface will help maintain snow or a mix of
snow/rain/freezing rain through the afternoon, potentially
changing to all rain this evening, then transitioning back to snow
tonight with snow expected through early Thursday morning. We have
relied on HRRR surface temperature output to provide an idea on
where the freezing temperatures will last the longest and have
adjusted based on observations. A Winter Weather Advisory at WSW
has been issued to cover this. Snow is also expected to impact the
highest elevations of the Cascades through the night, like the
Crater Lake Rim. Lower elevations in the mountains will likely
receive sub- advisory snow amounts but still expect some snow
accumulation in the mountain passes as the cold front moves
through quickly Thursday morning.

The heavy rain threat continues through Thursday morning, and an
Areal Flood Watch has been maintained at FFAMFR to highlight the
potential impacts from the rain. We have added most of Jackson
County given the already-impressive rainfall received last night and
today. Also, we have issued a flood advisory for some areas of the
West Side to include the Applegate and Highway 238 and the Illinois
Valley area.  Models suggest that when the front pushes back to the
south tonight, the duration of heavy rain won't be long-duration, so
the threat for flooding does diminish some tonight. Still, rivers
and streams are rising sharply this afternoon, and drivers should
use caution when traveling in flood-prone areas. -NSK

Winds in the short term will be another major concern in the
forecast. The strongest winds are expected to be across the
Cascades and eastward this afternoon and evening. Current
observations indicate that winds are following the forecast well
in the Shasta valley as well as in Modoc County, but are slow to
increase across the Eastside in Oregon. Winds are still forecast
to pick up later this evening, around 4:00 PM PST. They will begin
to come down around 7 or 8 PM PST and become lighter after 4 AM
PST. While winds are strong, visibilities may be reduced due to
rainfall and possible blowing snow. Otherwise, winds will be
relatively light for the next few days.

Temperatures are going to be the main concern after this system
moves out of the area. Although temperatures are going to be heavily
moderated due to cloud cover tonight through tomorrow, skies are
expected to clear out and this will allow temperatures to plummet,
especially across areas which are snow-covered beginning Friday
night. West of the Cascades including the coast, temperatures are
going to range in the 20s and 30s with a few isolated higher
elevation places reaching into the teens. Meanwhile on the Eastside
and across Modoc County, temperatures are expected to reach into the
teens and single digits.

The coldest night will be on Friday night. Guidance is showing
frigid temperatures across the Eastside, but the clear skies and
cloud cover will likely mean even colder temperatures than what
guidance is showing. This means that temperatures will reach near
zero and below zero in many locations including Klamath Falls,
Lakeview, and Alturas. More northerly places like Chemult may even
see temperatures plummeting to negative 10 degrees. West of the
cascades, temperatures will remain similar with lows reaching the
20s and 30s with the warmer of these temperatures occurring near the
coast. Temperatures will be slow to recover, and will continue the
cold trends through the weekend. -Schaaf

Saturday through Wednesday...It will be a cold start to the
weekend Saturday morning with at least freezing temperatures over
the entire area inland from the immediate coast. With mainly clear
skies, fresh snow cover, and a 1030 mb surface high parked just to
the east, the east side will be quite cold. Lows Saturday morning
will be below zero over much of the east side, with lows
potentially 10 to 15 degrees below zero over northern Klamath and
Lake counties. On Sunday, the GFS shows a weak disturbance
bringing some snow showers to the north Cascades and portions of
the east side. The ECMWF and GEM show the disturbance much further
north and not affecting us at all. It's worthy of some low pops,
but we've definitely skewed it toward the drier solutions. Monday
should be dry as a weak ridge pokes in over us, but by Tuesday and
Wednesday, another system is likely to bring precipitation to our
area. All the models show a moderately wet system during this
timeframe, but there are some timing differences with the ECMWF
being about 12 hours faster than any other model. Snow levels
should be high enough (4000 feet plus) that impacts will be mostly
in the mountains. However, the east side may see snow in places.
-Wright

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Wind Warning until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ030-031.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Thursday for ORZ030-031.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ030-031.
     Flood Watch until 4 AM PST Thursday for ORZ021-022-024-026-028.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ029.

CA...High Wind Warning until 10 PM PST this evening for CAZ085.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for CAZ085.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for CAZ084.
     Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for CAZ080>083.
     Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM PST this evening for CAZ080.
     Flood Watch from 4 AM PST Thursday through Thursday evening for
     CAZ084-085.

Pacific Coastal Waters...Flood Watch until 4 AM PST Thursday for PZZ356.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for
     PZZ356-376.

BPN/SBN/BMS/NSK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 14, 10:32 PM PST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1032 PM PST WED DEC 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNE LANGLOIS          42.94N 124.45W
12/14/2016  U3.63 INCH       CURRY              OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.88 INCHES FOR 12 HOUR RAINFALL SINCE 10
            PM.

&&

CC
Local storm report, Dec 14, 10:33 PM PST, 2 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1033 PM PST WED DEC 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N ROSEBURG            43.23N 123.36W
12/14/2016  U2.17 INCH       DOUGLAS            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            . THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS
            24 HOURS.

&&

CC
Local storm report, Dec 14, 10:34 PM PST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1034 PM PST WED DEC 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HEAVY RAIN       7 ESE COOS BAY          43.35N 124.09W
12/14/2016  U2.12 INCH       COOS               OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            . THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS
            24 HOURS.

&&

CC
Local storm report, Dec 14, 10:56 PM PST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1056 PM PST WED DEC 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE CENTRAL POINT     42.41N 122.90W
12/14/2016  M1.65 INCH       JACKSON            OR   PUBLIC

            . THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS
            23 HOURS.

&&

CC
Local storm report, Dec 15, 12:05 AM PST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1205 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GLENDALE                42.74N 123.43W
12/15/2016  U4.13 INCH       DOUGLAS            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            . THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS
            24 HOURS.

&&

CC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 1:11 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningMFRCoos23 hr
Dec 15, 1:11 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningMFRCoos62 hr
Dec 15, 4:20 AM PSTAreal Flood WarningMFRJackson6 hr
Dec 15, 5:19 AM PSTFrost AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas28 hr
Dec 15, 5:19 AM PSTFreeze WarningMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas9 hr
Dec 15, 9:21 AM PSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMFRJackson, Josephine4 hr
Dec 15, 2:11 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningMFRDouglas15 hr
Dec 15, 2:13 PM PSTFrost AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas43 hr
Dec 15, 2:13 PM PSTFreeze WatchMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas23 hr
Dec 15, 2:30 PM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasMFR19 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oregon, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.