Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2016, 7:03 PM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 42 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 15, 2016, 7:03 PM CDT (00:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 15, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 7:22 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 64 | 4 W Joiner, AR |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 19 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 12:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2951 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1302 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
057
WUUS54 KMEG 160003
SVRMEG
ARC031-035-093-111-160045-
/O.NEW.KMEG.SV.W.0115.160616T0003Z-160616T0045Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
703 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
EASTERN POINSETT COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 703 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR LEACHVILLE TO NEAR TYRONZA...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSCEOLA...MARKED TREE...LEPANTO...CARAWAY...LUXORA...WILSON...
TYRONZA...KEISER...JOINER...DYESS...BURDETTE...GILMORE...BASSETT...
MARIE...LITTLE RIVER...TURRELL...ETOWAH...BIRDSONG...VICTORIA AND
RIVERVALE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 3584 9032 3582 8981 3574 8987 3576 8991
3573 8996 3569 8996 3566 8993 3556 9001
3555 9004 3548 9008 3548 9011 3544 9013
3542 9017 3541 9015 3541 9013 3539 9014
3541 9017 3538 9018 3537 9016 3540 9050
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 270DEG 24KT 3586 9024 3546 9044
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$2 follow-up statements
022
WWUS54 KMEG 160030
SVSMEG
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
730 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
ARC031-160038-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160616T0045Z/
CRAIGHEAD AR-
730 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.
LAT...LON 3572 9028 3567 9004 3566 8993 3556 9001
3555 9004 3548 9008 3548 9011 3544 9013
3542 9017 3541 9015 3541 9013 3539 9014
3541 9017 3538 9018 3537 9016 3540 9050
3548 9034
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 284DEG 32KT 3579 8997 3539 9017
$$
ARC035-093-111-160045-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160616T0045Z/
CRITTENDEN AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-POINSETT AR-
730 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN...SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHEASTERN POINSETT COUNTIES...
AT 728 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR BURDETTE TO 6 MILES EAST OF GILMORE...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. A TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED A 64 MPH GUST
4 MILES WEST OF JOINER.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILSON...KEISER...JOINER...DYESS...GILMORE...BASSETT...MARIE...
TURRELL...ETOWAH...BIRDSONG...DIMPLE...ROTAN...WEST RIDGE...
DECKERVILLE...DRIVER...FRENCHMANS BAYOU...DELPRO...NORDEN...HILTON
AND BONDSVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
LAT...LON 3572 9028 3567 9004 3566 8993 3556 9001
3555 9004 3548 9008 3548 9011 3544 9013
3542 9017 3541 9015 3541 9013 3539 9014
3541 9017 3538 9018 3537 9016 3540 9050
3548 9034
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 284DEG 32KT 3579 8997 3539 9017
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$326
WWUS54 KMEG 160047
SVSMEG
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
747 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
ARC035-093-111-160057-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160616T0045Z/
CRITTENDEN AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-POINSETT AR-
747 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN...
SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN POINSETT COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN ARKANSAS AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.
LAT...LON 3572 9028 3567 9004 3566 8993 3556 9001
3555 9004 3548 9008 3548 9011 3544 9013
3542 9017 3541 9015 3541 9013 3539 9014
3541 9017 3538 9018 3537 9016 3540 9050
3548 9034
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 270DEG 24KT 3579 8997 3539 9017
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 6:27 PM CDT, 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 6:27 PM CDT, 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
627 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
.UPDATE...
Updated for the 00Z Aviation Discussion
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 322 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016/
DISCUSSION...
Currently... A Severe Thunderstorm Watch and a Heat Advisory are
in effect for our area. Thunderstorms along the northern boundary
of our CWA will continue to forge southward eventually evolving
into an MCS and moving through the NW portion of MEG CWA. Short
term models also depict more isolated to scattered thunderstorms
forming south of the MCS further into West Tennessee. A very
unstable to extremely unstable airmass exists throughout the
region with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s and MUCAPE values
exceeding 5000 j/kg. Off the charts DCAPE values suggest that
severe winds will be the primary threat with storms today. There
have already been reports of trees down the just north of the area
in the PAH CWA. Hail is a secondary threat but large hail will
have a hard time not melting significantly before reaching the
ground due to very warm air existing below 600mb. However, melting
hail may increase downdraft speeds furthermore increasing the
severe wind threat.
Heat indices around the Mid-South have ranged from 110-105
degrees this afternoon, making today one of the warmest days we've
experienced in some time. Warm conditions will continue through
the evening in areas that aren't effected by storms. Expect
another warm day areawide tomorrow with heat index readings once
again exceeding 105 degrees. The heat advisory may be expanded in
area again overnight to include more counties in NW Mississippi.
The heat advisory may also have to be extended into Friday but it
will depend on the timing of a surface front that will bring
slight relief to the region. Added chances of pops area wide on
Friday to account for any storms that may form along the front.
A steep upper level ridge will have built over the eastern plains
by the end of the week into the weekend while high pressure at the
surface controls the weather pattern for the whole eastern half of
the U.S. through early next week. This will result in less humid,
drier, slightly cooler conditions through the extended period.
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Cycle
VFR conditions will persist for much of the forecast period.
Thunderstorms are moving across portions of northeast Arkansas and
West Tennessee at this time and will continue to move southeast.
The thunderstorms may produce some periods of MVFR ceilings and
visibilities. This activity will gradually die out later this
evening. Winds will be mainly from the southwest at 5 to 10 knots
for much of the forecast period.
ARS
&&
.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Thursday for Clay-Craighead-
Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lawrence-Lee AR-Mississippi-
Phillips-Poinsett-Randolph-St. Francis.
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Thursday for Dunklin-Pemiscot.
MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Thursday for Coahoma-DeSoto-
Lafayette-Marshall-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-
Yalobusha.
TN...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Thursday for Crockett-Dyer-Fayette-
Gibson-Haywood-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-Obion-Shelby-Tipton-
Weakley.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 12:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1205 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-161915- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1205 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH AND EAST OF A JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO A BOONEVILLE MISSISSIPPI LINE. DAMAGING WINDS IS THE PRIMARY THREAT. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS WEST OF A DRESDEN TENNESEE TO A COFFEEVILLE MISSISSIPPI LINE INTO TONIGHT AS HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A HEAT ADVISORY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS WESTERN AREAS OF THE MIDSOUTH AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING WHERE HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 105 TO 109 DEGREES. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS. JAB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
426 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0411 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N CAMDEN 36.14N 88.10W
06/15/2016 BENTON TN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN BETWEEN CAMDEN AND EVA. TIME
APPROXIMATE
&&
JEBLocal storm report, Jun 15, 4:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
430 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W CAMDEN 36.06N 88.12W
06/15/2016 BENTON TN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES BLOCKING ROADWAY ON DIVIDER...NATCHEZ
TRACE...STIGALL ROAD AND HIGHWAY 70 AND FLATWOOD ROADS
WEST OF CAMDEN.
&&
JEBSpecial weather statement, Jun 15, 4:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
454 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
ARZ008-017-026-152245-
CRAIGHEAD AR-RANDOLPH AR-LAWRENCE AR-
454 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR...
WESTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
AT 454 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF
HARDY...OR 10 MILES EAST OF ASH FLAT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN WESTERN CRAIGHEAD...CENTRAL RANDOLPH AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3623 9135 3623 9133 3624 9133 3624 9126
3633 9126 3633 9128 3637 9128 3638 9129
3638 9124 3633 9080 3588 9103 3589 9124
3596 9136
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 291DEG 22KT 3619 9142Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
456 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0450 PM TSTM WND DMG UNION CITY 36.42N 89.05W
06/15/2016 OBION TN PUBLIC
MANY TREES REPORTED DOWN IN OBION COUNTY.
&&
SJMLocal storm report, Jun 15, 5:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
532 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 PM NON-TSTM WND GST IMBODEN 36.20N 91.18W
06/15/2016 E55.00 MPH LAWRENCE AR TRAINED SPOTTER
50 TO 60 MILE AN HOUR WIND
&&
JEBLocal storm report, Jun 15, 5:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
548 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W MARTIN 36.34N 88.89W
06/15/2016 WEAKLEY TN PUBLIC
TREES DOWN ON HOUSES AND CARS AT HWY 431 AND CAPPS ROAD.
TIME APPROXIMATE.
&&
JEBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 41 min |
| Jun 16, 10:31 AM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 6 more | 8 hr |
| Jun 16, 10:31 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 32 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.