Flood Watch 2, NWS Memphis, TN

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

135 
WGUS64 KMEG 102124
FFAMEG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
324 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT
AS A RENEWED THREAT OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS DURING
THE DAY ON FRIDAY...

.WHILE PRECIPITATION WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY...SOILS
CANNOT HANDLE ANY MORE WATER THEREFORE ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. GENERALLY...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE-HALF TO ONE
INCH WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 2 INCHES IN
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED IN BOTH TIME AND
AREAL COVERAGE AS MORE INFORMATION IS GATHERED.

ARZ028-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>003-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ019-020-
048>052-088>090-110530-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.A.0002.160310T2124Z-160312T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MISSISSIPPI-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO-
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-
TALLAHATCHIE-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLYTHEVILLE...WEST MEMPHIS...
FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA...WEST HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...
OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...ASHLAND...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...
CLARKSDALE...MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN...COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...
JACKSON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...
MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND...BOLIVAR
324 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH 
  MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN EAST ARKANSAS...CRITTENDEN...LEE...MISSISSIPPI... 
  PHILLIPS AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...BENTON... 
  COAHOMA...DESOTO...MARSHALL...PANOLA...QUITMAN... 
  TALLAHATCHIE...TATE AND TUNICA. IN WEST TENNESSEE...CROCKETT...
   DYER...FAYETTE...GIBSON...HARDEMAN...HAYWOOD...LAUDERDALE... 
  MADISON...SHELBY AND TIPTON. 

* THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* ADDITONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE-HALF TO 1 INCH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. 

* EXTREMELY MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
  WHERE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 2 DAYS.
  NEARLY ALL PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS WILL BECOME
  RUNOFF...THEREFORE INCREASING THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI
AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-027-035-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-021-102230-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-CROSS-DUNKLIN-
PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING...
WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...WYNNE...
KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN...
DRESDEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON
324 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ON FRIDAY...THE
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BECOME MORE LOCALIZED...THEREFORE
NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS OPPOSED TO A
FLOOD WATCH. AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OR IN
FLOOD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$

MSZ013-021-110530-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.A.0002.160310T2124Z-160312T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAFAYETTE-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE
324 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...LAFAYETTE AND YALOBUSHA. 

* THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE-HALF TO 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED
  WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AROUND 2 INCHES IN THUNDERSTORMS.

* HEAVY RAINS WILL BE FALLING ON SATURATED SOILS...THEREFORE
  INCREASING THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

TVT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
321 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...

HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH TODAY. TWO
WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARIES STRETCH ACROSS THE CWA THIS MORNING.
THE FIRST ONE STRETCHES FROM NEAR CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO NEAR
SEARCY ARKANSAS. THE SECOND ONE STRETCHES FROM NEAR OXFORD
MISSISSIPPI TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO TRAIN
ALONG AND BETWEEN THESE TWO BOUNDARIES AS ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION. WIDESPREAD THREE TO SIX
INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THIS CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE BOUNDARIES
INCLUDING ACROSS THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA. ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH
AS EIGHT INCHES HAVE OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF PHILLIPS COUNTY
ARKANSAS. SINCE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN NEARLY CONTINUOUS
FROM THIS AFTERNOON...HAVE BEEN TRANSITIONING TO AREAL FLOOD
WARNINGS. AS A RESULT...WILL GO AHEAD AN TRANSITION THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH TO A FLOOD WATCH AS FLOODING WILL BECOME MORE RIVER
ORIENTED. EXPECT ANOTHER WIDESPREAD TWO TO THREE INCHES COULD FALL
IN THIS CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS EVENING. A NUMBER OF RIVERS
INCLUDING THE WOLF...COLDWATER...NORTH FORKED DEER...AND THE OBION
RIVER HAVE RISEN QUITE A BIT SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING. THESE
RIVER BASINS WILL BE OF THE MOST CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48
HOURS.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE
TO MEANDER ACROSS TEXAS SATURDAY. AS A RESULT...SHORTWAVES
ROTATING AROUND THE LOW WILL HELP SET OFF SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAIN. EXPECT THAT BY THIS EVENING...RAIN MAY TAPER OFF SOME ACROSS
THE MIDSOUTH BUT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL KICK OFF HEAVIER SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY THAT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MIDSOUTH. ANOTHER LULL COULD OCCUR FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE SETS OFF ROUND 3 OF HEAVIER CONVECTION ON SATURDAY. ON
SATURDAY...THE UPPER LOW WILL FINALLY BEING TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND
WEAKEN...OPENING UP AS A BROAD UPPER TROF. THIS WILL MOVE MOST OF
THE CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIODS
SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED...THE
FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN HIGH AND THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
EXPANDED INTO THE WEEKEND FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FOR NOW WILL
KEEP THE EXPIRATION 6 PM FRIDAY EVENING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE AN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES FROM
TODAY INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN
HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. IN PARTICULAR...ARES FROM UNION CITY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA SOUTH INTO PHILLIPS
COUNTY ARKANSAS/COAHOMA COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.

AS THE UPPER TROF LIFTS NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER ONE WILL
MOVE IN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH AND ONLY AGGRAVATE
ONGOING FLOODING.

MODELS NOW SHOW A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH ONLY MAY CONTINUE THE WET PATTERN.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAFS

RAIN OVERNIGHT...WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE. CIGS
WILL RANGE FROM LIFR/IFR AT JBR TO MOSTLY MVFR AND VFR AT THE
REMAINING SITES. BY SUNRISE MEM AND MKL WILL START TO SEE IFR
WEATHER RETURN AS NEXT SURGE OF MOISTURE MOVES IN. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO RETURN BY MIDDAY THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS AS A SURFACE TROUGH PUSHES BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. CIGS ARE
LIKELY TO DROP TO LIFR LATE. EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
EVENTUALLY BACK NORTHERLY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY IN THE 5-12 KNOT
RANGE. A FEW HIGHER GUSTS AT TUP EARLY...AND JBR LATE.

JAB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR BENTON MS-COAHOMA-
     DESOTO-MARSHALL-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA.

TN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-
     FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-
     MADISON-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
949 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-110600-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
949 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF
EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...WEST TENNESSEE AND MOST OF
NORTH MISSISSIPPI. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...RIVERS WILL BEGIN TO RISE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE
BLACK AND ST. FRANCIS RIVER BASINS NEED TO STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST RIVER FORECASTS AND POTENTIAL FLOOD WARNINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...EXTREME
WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. HAZARDOUS HEAVY RAIN
MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO
BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED
RISK OF FLOODING ALONG THE BLACK RIVER...CACHE RIVER...ST. FRANCIS
RIVER BASIN AS WELL AS THE WHITE RIVER IN PHILLIPS COUNTY. PEOPLE
LIVING ALONG THESE RIVERS NEED TO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST RIVER
FORECASTS AND POTENTIAL FLOOD WARNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN
AND ANY FLOODING ARE WELCOME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
945 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW HORN LAKE          34.93N 90.07W
03/09/2016                   DESOTO             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY AUSTIN RD NEAR THE 301
            INTERSECTION. LOCAL RESIDENTIAL DAM BREACH THE CAUSE.

&&

JAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1032 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FORREST CITY            35.01N 90.79W
03/09/2016                   ST. FRANCIS        AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 1 CLOSED FROM MILE MARKER 1 TO MILE MARKER 2 DUE TO
            HIGH WATER.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1123 PM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      3 N ARKABUTLA           34.74N 90.13W
03/09/2016                   TATE               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MUDSLIDE BLOCKING HWY 301 SOUTH OF BARBEE RD.

&&

JDS