Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 30, 2016Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 30, 2016, 9:02 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 58 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2016, 9:02 PM CDT (02:02 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 58 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Pecos County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1489 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2139 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 30, 6:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 6:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
650 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Tstms just e of the MAF along a boundary seem to be having a hard
time developing farther w, but close enuf for a short TSRA TEMPO
group. Otherwise have left VFR wx in all other sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Current radar and satellite is showing convection already
developing in the higher elevations from the Davis Mountains north
to the Guadalupe Mountains. This can be attributed to less morning
cloud cover areawide allowing for more insolation and a greater
destabilization of the boundary layer than was seen yesterday.
Models are showing the cap eroding by 21Z with CAPE of 2500-3500
J/KG being enough to support severe convection though deep layer
shear is a bit marginal at 30-35kts. Expect to see some severe
thunderstorms today with large hail and strong winds the primary
threats with hail size being limited due to the shear.

Tuesday looks to be a repeat of today except the dryline will make
a push into southeast New Mexico focusing convection farther east
in the Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos. Wednesday see rain
chances increase as an upper low approaching from the west
coincides with the arrival of a cold front. Cool air behind the
front will stabilize the boundary layer leaving the main threat
for severe weather west of the Pecos River, especially the Davis
Mountains and Big Bend. A stable layer will not prevent precip
in the Permian Basin though it will mean showers will be less
intense and QPF will be lighter. Cold air advection and showers
will also keep highs in the 70s most areas Wednesday and Thursday
providing a very pleasant start to June. The upper low will move
east of the area late Thursday bringing an end to the rain, but
thankfully the upstream ridge axis will hold over the western
states for a few days leaving us in a cool northerly flow pattern.
This will allow temperatures to warm some while staying below
climatology for the end of the week.

Hennig

FIRE WEATHER...
An upper level trough over the Desert SW will slowly inch east over
the next few days. Dry air across northern Mexico will move across
the Guadalupe Mountains Tuesday afternoon with rh's falling to
around 10 percent. Winds will also increase to near 25 mph,
especially across the peak elevations. Near critical fire weather
conditions are possible in this area so will continue the Fire
Weather Watch. Moisture increases by midweek and should keep rh's
fairly high through Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     65  86  63  77 /  40  30  50  50
Carlsbad                       64  91  62  78 /  20  10  20  50
Dryden                         68  88  68  84 /  40  30  30  40
Fort Stockton                  66  89  66  81 /  40  30  30  50
Guadalupe Pass                 61  81  59  73 /  30  10  20  40
Hobbs                          63  86  60  75 /  30  20  30  50
Marfa                          58  83  57  77 /  40  20  20  40
Midland Intl Airport           65  88  64  78 /  40  30  40  50
Odessa                         65  88  64  78 /  40  30  40  50
Wink                           67  92  66  80 /  40  20  20  50

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

TX...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 1:49 PM CDT, 7 hours 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
149 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-311900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
149 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016 /1249 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONAL THREATS INCLUDE BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 7:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
753 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SNYDER                  32.71N 100.92W
05/30/2016                   SCURRY             TX   PUBLIC

            FLOODED LOW-LYING AREAS AND MINOR STREET FLOODING.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, May 30, 8:10 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
810 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNE LEES              32.12N 101.47W
05/30/2016                   HOWARD             TX   STORM CHASER

            HIGH WATER REPORTED OVER FM 33

&&

AMBER.HLUCHAN

Local storm report, May 30, 8:12 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
812 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 NE SPRABERRY          31.99N 101.76W
05/30/2016                   GLASSCOCK          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SLOW RUNNING WATER COVERING ROAD IN MULTIPLE LOCATIONS.
            SIX TO EIGHT INCHES IN SOME PLACES.

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, May 30, 8:28 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
828 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

TXZ051-310215-
MARTIN TX-
828 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTY UNTIL 915
PM CDT...

AT 827 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
TARZAN...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF STANTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BROWN...THREE LEAGUES...LENORAH...TARZAN...FLOWER GROVE AND GRADY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
WESTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3218 10206 3234 10216 3252 10202 3251 10170
      3223 10170
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 243DEG 15KT 3230 10204

27

Local storm report, May 30, 8:40 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
840 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GREENWOOD               32.03N 101.90W
05/30/2016                   MIDLAND            TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 307 BETWEEN FM 1379 AND FM 1105,
            ESTIMATED 6 INCHES TO A FOOT IN DEPTH.

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, May 30, 9:02 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
902 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

TXZ075-310300-
PECOS TX-
902 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTY UNTIL
1000 PM CDT...

AT 901 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTHWEST OF FIRESTONE TEST TRACK...OR 24 MILES WEST OF FORT
STOCKTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT STOCKTON...FORT STOCKTON-PECOS COUNTY AIRPORT...BELDING AND
FIRESTONE TEST TRACK.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 233 AND 259.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3072 10333 3088 10343 3111 10301 3081 10283
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 242DEG 20KT 3084 10330

84

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 7:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	29 min
May 30, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	63 min
May 30, 7:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	60 min
May 30, 7:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	48 min
May 30, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	40 min
May 30, 7:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Scurry	3 hr
May 30, 8:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	47 min
May 30, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	61 min
May 30, 8:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Martin	63 min
May 30, 9:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	60 min
May 30, 9:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	47 min
May 30, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Martin	57 min
May 30, 9:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	44 min
May 30, 10:11 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	3 hr
May 30, 10:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	63 min
May 30, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	34 min
May 30, 11:02 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Glasscock, Midland	46 min
May 30, 11:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Martin	31 min
May 30, 11:38 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Midland	30 min
May 30, 11:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Ector, Midland	3 hr
May 31, 12:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	42 min
May 31, 12:11 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard	3 hr
May 31, 2:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	54 min
May 31, 2:14 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 12 more	37 hr
May 31, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	44 min
May 31, 3:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Scurry	49 min
May 31, 6:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	60 min
May 31, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	61 min
May 31, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	61 min
May 31, 4:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	66 min
May 31, 4:41 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy	3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.