Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 30, 2016Howard County, Martin County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2016, 11:29 PM CDT for Howard County, Martin County, Texas. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2016, 11:29 PM CDT (04:29 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2016, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Howard County, TX, Martin County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1489 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2139 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 6:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 6:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
650 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Tstms just e of the MAF along a boundary seem to be having a hard
time developing farther w, but close enuf for a short TSRA TEMPO
group. Otherwise have left VFR wx in all other sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 223 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Current radar and satellite is showing convection already
developing in the higher elevations from the Davis Mountains north
to the Guadalupe Mountains. This can be attributed to less morning
cloud cover areawide allowing for more insolation and a greater
destabilization of the boundary layer than was seen yesterday.
Models are showing the cap eroding by 21Z with CAPE of 2500-3500
J/KG being enough to support severe convection though deep layer
shear is a bit marginal at 30-35kts. Expect to see some severe
thunderstorms today with large hail and strong winds the primary
threats with hail size being limited due to the shear.

Tuesday looks to be a repeat of today except the dryline will make
a push into southeast New Mexico focusing convection farther east
in the Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos. Wednesday see rain
chances increase as an upper low approaching from the west
coincides with the arrival of a cold front. Cool air behind the
front will stabilize the boundary layer leaving the main threat
for severe weather west of the Pecos River, especially the Davis
Mountains and Big Bend. A stable layer will not prevent precip
in the Permian Basin though it will mean showers will be less
intense and QPF will be lighter. Cold air advection and showers
will also keep highs in the 70s most areas Wednesday and Thursday
providing a very pleasant start to June. The upper low will move
east of the area late Thursday bringing an end to the rain, but
thankfully the upstream ridge axis will hold over the western
states for a few days leaving us in a cool northerly flow pattern.
This will allow temperatures to warm some while staying below
climatology for the end of the week.

Hennig

FIRE WEATHER...
An upper level trough over the Desert SW will slowly inch east over
the next few days. Dry air across northern Mexico will move across
the Guadalupe Mountains Tuesday afternoon with rh's falling to
around 10 percent. Winds will also increase to near 25 mph,
especially across the peak elevations. Near critical fire weather
conditions are possible in this area so will continue the Fire
Weather Watch. Moisture increases by midweek and should keep rh's
fairly high through Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     65  86  63  77 /  40  30  50  50
Carlsbad                       64  91  62  78 /  20  10  20  50
Dryden                         68  88  68  84 /  40  30  30  40
Fort Stockton                  66  89  66  81 /  40  30  30  50
Guadalupe Pass                 61  81  59  73 /  30  10  20  40
Hobbs                          63  86  60  75 /  30  20  30  50
Marfa                          58  83  57  77 /  40  20  20  40
Midland Intl Airport           65  88  64  78 /  40  30  40  50
Odessa                         65  88  64  78 /  40  30  40  50
Wink                           67  92  66  80 /  40  20  20  50

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

TX...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 1:49 PM CDT, 9 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
149 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-311900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
149 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016 /1249 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONAL THREATS INCLUDE BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 9:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
954 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRABERRY               31.93N 101.83W
05/30/2016                   MIDLAND            TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

            ROUTE BETWEEN 137 AND I20 NEARLY IMPASSABLE DUE TO WATER
            OVER ROAD.

&&

AMBER.HLUCHAN

Local storm report, May 30, 10:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1005 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     HAIL             SEMINOLE                32.72N 102.65W
05/30/2016  E0.88 INCH       GAINES             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CMR

Local storm report, May 30, 10:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1010 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SW GREENWOOD            32.03N 101.90W
05/30/2016                   MIDLAND            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROAD IMPASSABLE BY SEDAN, WATER ABOUT 18 INCHES DEEP ON
            THE ROAD.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, May 30, 10:58 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1058 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND GST     MIDLAND                 32.00N 102.08W
05/30/2016  E60 MPH          MIDLAND            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AT MIDKIFF AND LOOP 250, DIRECTION NW

&&

CMR

Local storm report, May 30, 11:08 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1108 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 PM     TSTM WND GST     MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL A 31.94N 102.19W
05/30/2016  M56.00 MPH       MIDLAND            TX   ASOS

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 30, 11:26 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1126 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N MIDLAND             32.03N 102.08W
05/30/2016  E56.00 MPH       MIDLAND            TX   AWOS

            A 56 MPH GUST REPORTED AT MIDLAND AIRPARK.

&&

AKL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 7:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	29 min
May 30, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	63 min
May 30, 7:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	60 min
May 30, 7:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	48 min
May 30, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	40 min
May 30, 7:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Scurry	3 hr
May 30, 8:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	47 min
May 30, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	61 min
May 30, 8:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Martin	63 min
May 30, 9:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	58 min
May 30, 9:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	60 min
May 30, 9:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	47 min
May 30, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Martin	57 min
May 30, 9:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	44 min
May 30, 10:11 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	3 hr
May 30, 10:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	63 min
May 30, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	34 min
May 30, 11:02 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Glasscock, Midland	46 min
May 30, 11:38 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	3 hr
May 30, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Midland	30 min
May 30, 11:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Ector, Midland	3 hr
May 31, 12:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	42 min
May 31, 12:11 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard	3 hr
May 31, 2:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	54 min
May 31, 2:14 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MAF	Andrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 12 more	37 hr
May 31, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	44 min
May 31, 3:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Scurry	49 min
May 31, 6:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	60 min
May 31, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	61 min
May 31, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	61 min
May 31, 4:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	66 min
May 31, 4:41 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.