Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 29, 2016Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 29, 2016, 2:17 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2016, 2:17 PM MDT (20:17 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2016, 3:00 PM MDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1377 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1377 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-135 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
789 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
258 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.1
Supercell composite
-2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 29, 1:20 PM MDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 1:20 PM MDT, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
220 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Broken to overcast skies have kept convection at bay so far, but
satellite and radar are showing developing showers in the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains where clouds are more scattered,
beginning a round of thunderstorms across much of the area.
Dewpoints in the low to mid 60s will produce CAPE values in excess
of 4000 J/kg and combined with 0-6km shear of 35-50kts will ensure
some storms will be severe. The HRRR and local WRF indicate the
storm type will begin as discrete supercells possibly forming a
multicell line somewhere in the Permian Basin before pushing east
overnight. Large hail and even isolated tornadoes will be
possible so this situation will need to be closely monitored over
the next several hours especially given this is a holiday weekend.

Conditions set up much the same tomorrow with abundant low level
moisture and afternoon heating leading to a great deal of
instability. The one thing lacking will be an upper trigger so
convection tomorrow may not be quite as widespread as expected
today, though the severe threat will certainly exist. Storms are
expected to move fast enough that the flash flood threat will be
isolated to a few cells exhibiting deviant motion; however, a
linear complex today could produce enough rainfall to increase a
more widespread flash flood threat Wednesday.

Southwest upper flow will continue through Thursday thanks to a
very slow moving low currently over southern California. This will
continue the thunderstorm threat into Tuesday before a cold front
arrives Wednesday providing a more stable boundary layer and a
transition to weaker convection. The low will move east of the
area Thursday night and northerly flow will end rain chances for
the end of the week and into the weekend.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  85  64  86 /  60  50  40  40
Carlsbad                       63  93  63  94 /  20  20  20  10
Dryden                         69  88  68  89 /  50  40  40  30
Fort Stockton                  67  90  67  91 /  40  40  30  30
Guadalupe Pass                 62  84  63  86 /  10  20  20  10
Hobbs                          61  89  61  88 /  30  40  20  20
Marfa                          56  85  55  85 /  20  30  30  20
Midland Intl Airport           66  89  67  90 /  50  50  30  30
Odessa                         67  89  67  90 /  50  50  30  30
Wink                           67  93  66  94 /  30  40  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

29/10
Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 3:06 AM MDT, 11 hours 11 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, May 29, 12:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
132 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             4 N HERMLEIGH           32.70N 100.76W
05/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       SCURRY             TX   STORM CHASER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
            REPORTED ON FM 644 NORTH OF HERMLEIGH

0804 PM     HAIL             11 NW GAIL              32.88N 101.58W
05/28/2016  E0.88 INCH       BORDEN             TX   PUBLIC

0850 PM     HAIL             GAIL                    32.77N 101.45W
05/28/2016  E1.75 INCH       BORDEN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORT FROM BORDEN COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE

0905 PM     HAIL             12 NNW MIDLAND          32.16N 102.16W
05/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       MARTIN             TX   PUBLIC

0905 PM     HAIL             12 NNW MIDLAND          32.16N 102.16W
05/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       MARTIN             TX   PUBLIC

            REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA

1035 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW SNYDER             32.69N 100.94W
05/28/2016  M61.00 MPH       SCURRY             TX   AWOS

            WINSTON FIELD AWOS MEASURED THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 53
            KNOTS

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S UNION               32.69N 101.00W
05/28/2016                   SCURRY             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            CAR STRANDED IN 8 INCHES WATER CROSSING FM 1609. OTHER
            LOW WATER CROSSINGS NEAR SNYDER FLOODED.

&&

05
Special weather statement, May 29, 2:17 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
217 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2016

NMZ028-292100-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS NM-
217 PM MDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY UNTIL
300 PM MDT...

AT 216 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18
MILES WEST OF ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...OR 21 MILES WEST OF
ARTESIA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOPE.

LAT...LON 3291 10484 3295 10452 3259 10456 3267 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 275DEG 16KT 3279 10478

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 6:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson38 min
May 28, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMartin59 min
May 28, 7:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden42 min
May 28, 7:50 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBorden115 min
May 28, 7:51 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFMartin114 min
May 28, 8:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry44 min
May 28, 8:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Martin60 min
May 28, 8:40 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFMartin3 hr
May 28, 9:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFScurry63 min
May 28, 9:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMartin, Midland59 min
May 28, 9:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell, Scurry66 min
May 28, 9:40 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBorden, Scurry3 hr
May 28, 9:53 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFScurry3 hr
May 28, 10:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFMitchell36 min
May 29, 2:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving40 min
May 29, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson, Loving, Reeves61 min
May 29, 3:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFReeves49 min
May 29, 3:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF41 min
May 29, 4:00 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF30 min
May 29, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves22 min
May 29, 4:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster55 min
May 29, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster61 min
May 29, 2:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy45 min
May 29, 2:52 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFEddy3 hr
May 29, 2:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy46 min
May 29, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy9 min
May 29, 3:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy46 min
May 29, 3:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy47 min
May 29, 4:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy37 min
May 29, 4:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.