Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 19, 2016Borden County, Scurry County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 19, 2016, 8:51 PM CDT for Borden County, Scurry County, Texas. It was in force for 54 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 19, 2016, 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC)
Expired: Apr 19, 2016, 9:45 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Borden County, TX, Scurry County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 19, 9:23 PM CDT	HAIL 1	E Dermott, TX	WAGON WHEEL DUDE RANCH EAST OF DERMOTT. VERY STRONG WINDS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 32 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 965 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1427 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

499 
WUUS54 KMAF 200151
SVRMAF
TXC033-415-200245-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0027.160420T0151Z-160420T0245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
851 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND  HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BORDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS...
  NORTHWESTERN SCURRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 851 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FLUVANNA...OR
  20 MILES NORTHWEST OF SNYDER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DERMOTT AND FLUVANNA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 10088 3278 10128 3296 10127 3297 10124
      3296 10117 3297 10105 3296 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 302DEG 24KT 3293 10115 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

12

2 follow-up statements

573 
WWUS54 KMAF 200212
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
912 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXC033-415-200245-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160420T0245Z/
BORDEN TX-SCURRY TX-
912 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BORDEN AND NORTHWESTERN SCURRY COUNTIES...

AT 912 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DERMOTT...OR 14
MILES NORTH OF SNYDER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DERMOTT AND FLUVANNA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 10088 3278 10128 3296 10127 3297 10124
      3296 10117 3297 10105 3296 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 235DEG 28KT 3292 10100 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

12

677 
WWUS54 KMAF 200226
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
926 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXC033-415-200245-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160420T0245Z/
BORDEN TX-SCURRY TX-
926 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BORDEN AND NORTHWESTERN SCURRY COUNTIES...

AT 923 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN DERMOTT. AT 
924 PM CDT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DERMOTT...OR 11
MILES NORTH OF SNYDER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...PUBLIC. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DERMOTT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 10088 3278 10128 3296 10127 3297 10124
      3296 10117 3297 10105 3296 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 301DEG 23KT 3289 10093 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

12

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 19, 6:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 6:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
632 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
Will continue with TSRA in the forecast for FST for the next
several hours. Otherwise expect MVFR/IFR cigs to develop at
eastern TAF sites as stratus develops overnight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 235 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The large upper low that has been affecting weather across the
nation's midsection since the early part of the weekend has
finally started to progress northeastward, and will reach the
Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region by Thursday. Prior to that, this
afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms are anticipated
across the area, with some strong (possibly severe) thunderstorms
possible, particularly across the Lower Trans Pecos and Permian
Basin along a diffuse dryline. Clearing across the western half of
the forecast area has allowed temperatures to warm into the 70s,
and a cumulus field has developed with an isolated thunderstorm in
central Pecos county. The extent of coverage of convection this
afternoon and evening hinges on the amount of further
destabilization that can occur, given clearing has been slow
across the eastern half of the forecast area. While low level
shear is fairly weak, deep layer shear is around 40-50kts, and
given lapse rates of around 7C/km, stronger storms will be capable
of producing hail and gusty wind. Storms that develop this
afternoon will move east tonight, with another cloudy night
expected with lows a bit above normal in the mid 40s to mid 60s.

As the trough axis finally begins to move east of the region on
Wednesday, temperatures will warm up to near and slightly above
normal, with a few showers and thunderstorms possible across the
far eastern CWA where moisture will be greater. Wednesday night,
a shortwave rounding the back side of the departing low is progged
to generate showers and thunderstorms across the Texas
Panhandle, with the trough and associated convective outflow
resulting in precipitation chances late Wednesday night/early
Thursday morning across the central and eastern Permian Basin.
Focus for convection Thursday afternoon then looks to shift to the
Stockton Plateau/Lower Trans Pecos along and ahead of a front,
which will also serve to keep temperatures a bit below normal
across the northern half of the forecast area.

Temperatures will slowly rebound back to normal on Friday as
ridging develops over the region. Friday night into Saturday, a
shortwave embedded in the southwesterly flow aloft will yield a
return of precipitation chances, mainly along and south of the
Pecos River. Sunday onward, the forecast looks to be warm and
dry, as above normal temperatures return and the dryline shifts
east, confining precipitation chances to Central Texas and points
east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     56  80  59  73 /  40  10  20  30
Carlsbad                       51  85  52  79 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                         63  87  65  86 /  40  20  10  20
Fort Stockton                  57  86  58  80 /  30  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 51  80  51  74 /  10   0   0  10
Hobbs                          49  80  50  75 /  20  10  10  10
Marfa                          41  81  42  78 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           57  83  59  77 /  40  10  10  20
Odessa                         57  83  59  77 /  40  10  10  20
Wink                           56  88  57  81 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 2:17 PM CDT, 6 hours 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
217 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-201930-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
217 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016 /117 PM MDT TUE APR 19 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF A TATUM...TO PECOS...TO LAJITAS LINE.  SOME
STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

44

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:52 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
752 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     HAIL             W SANDERSON             30.14N 102.40W
04/19/2016  E1.00 INCH       TERRELL            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            JUST WEST OF SANDERSON ON HWY 90.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:57 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
757 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     HAIL             SANDERSON               30.14N 102.40W
04/19/2016  E1.00 INCH       TERRELL            TX   STORM CHASER

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 8:06 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
806 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ046-200130-
DAWSON TX-
806 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DAWSON COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 806 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
SPARENBERG...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAMESA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARENBERG...TENMILE AND MIDWAY IN DAWSON COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3253 10181 3253 10189 3257 10195 3264 10193
      3275 10175 3257 10170
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 240DEG 49KT 3261 10179

12

Local storm report, Apr 19, 8:40 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
840 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             2 S ACKERLY             32.50N 101.72W
04/19/2016  E1.00 INCH       MARTIN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 8:40 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
840 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ046-047-051-052-200215-
HOWARD TX-BORDEN TX-MARTIN TX-DAWSON TX-
840 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BORDEN...
NORTHWESTERN HOWARD...NORTHEASTERN MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN DAWSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 840 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
VEALMOOR...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF BIG SPRING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VEALMOOR...KNOTT...LUTHER AND ACKERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 10137 3231 10162 3252 10174 3254 10172
      3261 10162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 240DEG 48KT 3249 10162

12

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 8:48 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
848 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ047-048-200215-
BORDEN TX-SCURRY TX-
848 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BORDEN AND
NORTHWESTERN SCURRY COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 847 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
FLUVANNA...OR 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF GAIL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DERMOTT AND FLUVANNA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3280 10130 3296 10129 3296 10097 3279 10090
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 302DEG 25KT 3294 10118

12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 19, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos, Terrell	53 min
Apr 19, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	66 min
Apr 19, 8:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	24 min
Apr 19, 8:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	35 min
Apr 19, 8:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	27 min
Apr 19, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	56 min
Apr 19, 9:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	31 min
Apr 19, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Scurry	34 min
Apr 19, 9:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	50 min
Apr 19, 10:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	37 min
Apr 19, 10:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	52 min
Apr 19, 10:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	42 min
Apr 19, 11:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	40 min
Apr 19, 11:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	44 min
Apr 19, 11:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	42 min
Apr 20, 12:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	41 min
Apr 20, 12:23 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	52 min
Apr 20, 12:35 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Howard	115 min
Apr 20, 12:36 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	39 min
Apr 20, 12:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	39 min
Apr 20, 1:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	24 min
Apr 20, 1:15 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	60 min
Apr 20, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	58 min
Apr 20, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos, Terrell	60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.