Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1250 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

.AVIATION...04/18z Taf Cycle

Sctd CU wl cont to dvlp this aftn...with WDLY SCTD SHRA/TSRA
expected. Once again...due to limited coverage...left out mention
in the fcst. Convection wl diminish early this evening.
Otherwise...VFR conds wl prevail. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2016)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday Night
If I could cut and paste my discussion from this time yesterday
into today's discussion I would, because there's really not much
change to the overall picture.

However, we did decide to upgrade a large part of the Heat
Advisory to an Excessive Heat Warning through 00Z. It
unfortunately looks like indices could exceed 110 degrees for a
few hours, especially in the Arkansas River and Lower White River
Valleys.

Beyond that, we'll continue to deal with isolated diurnal
convection. And, as we saw yesterday, isolated stronger storms on
100-degree days can quickly become severe.

Is it fall yet?

LONG TERM...Saturday Through Wednesday
Hot and humid conditions will continue through the long term period
as upper level high pressure remains centered over the region. A
boundary will be present in Arkansas during the period...providing a
focus for afternoon convection and resulting in scattered convection
across much of the state. Rain chances will be mostly during the
daytime hours and driven by the heat of the day.

Temperatures will remain warm...likely above normal values...though
perhaps a couple degrees cooler than readings the last couple of
days.

FIRE WEATHER...
No significant fire weather issues are expected through the next
seven days. The biggest concerns will be protection of crews out
in the field due to excessive heat. Observe all precautions
necessary.
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Friday FOR Arkansas-Baxter-Bradley-
Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-
Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Izard-
Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-
Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-Sharp-
Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas-
Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-
Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-
Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Pope-Prairie-
Pulaski-Saline-White-Woodruff-Yell.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
401 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
401 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH THE 105 TO
110 DEGREE RANGE OVER MUCH OF ARKANSAS. IN A FEW PLACES...HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL LIKELY EXCEED 110 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS. COMPLETE ALL
OUTSIDE WORK EARLY OR POSTPONE IT IF POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THE THREAT OF ANY ORGANIZED OR WIDSEPREAD STRONG OR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW. HOWEVER...ANY STRONGER STORM COULD
BECOME SEVERE...WITH WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY...WITH AFTERNOON HEAD INDEX
VALUES EXPECTED TO REACH 105 DEGREES OR MORE IN MANY PLACES ACROSS
THE STATE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
WELL...BUT BETTER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE EXPECTED
DURING THE WEEKEND. WHILE THE OVERALL THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS IS LOW...A FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD
OCCUR. THE MAIN THREAT IN SUCH A CASE WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
234 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ032-044-045-042000-
PULASKI AR-LONOKE AR-FAULKNER AR-
234 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PULASKI...
NORTHWESTERN LONOKE AND SOUTHEASTERN FAULKNER COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM
CDT...

AT 234 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LITTLE ROCK AFB. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...                   CABOT...
LITTLE ROCK AFB...                WARD...
VILONIA...                        AUSTIN IN LONOKE COUNTY...
OTTO...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3489 9208 3497 9227 3511 9216 3509 9211
      3507 9211 3507 9207 3502 9195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 216DEG 1KT 3499 9214

226

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
242 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ016-025-033-034-042015-
WHITE AR-JACKSON AR-INDEPENDENCE AR-WOODRUFF AR-
242 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON...NORTHERN WOODRUFF...
SOUTHEASTERN INDEPENDENCE AND NORTHEASTERN WHITE COUNTIES UNTIL 315
PM CDT...

AT 242 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TUCKERMAN TO 6 MILES WEST OF
TUPELO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWPORT...                        AUGUSTA...
TUCKERMAN...                      DIAZ...
PATTERSON...                      GRUBBS...
JACKSONPORT...                    TUPELO...
ALGOA...                          MCFADDEN...
MCCRORY...                        BRADFORD...
CAMPBELL STATION...               BEEDEVILLE...
AMAGON...                         WELDON...
BALCH...                          BLACKVILLE...
STEGALL...                        FITZHUGH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3510 9128 3543 9151 3582 9124 3571 9104
      3545 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 316DEG 10KT 3568 9117 3538 9134

226

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
257 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ044-045-042030-
PULASKI AR-LONOKE AR-
257 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI AND WEST
CENTRAL LONOKE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 256 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
PROTHO JUNCTION...OR OVER NORTH LITTLE ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LITTLE ROCK...                    NORTH LITTLE ROCK...
SHERWOOD...                       JACKSONVILLE...
DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK...           NORTH LITTLE ROCK AIRPORT...
WRIGHTSVILLE...                   ARGENTA...
SWEET HOME...                     LAKEWOOD...
MCALMONT...                       STATE FAIRGROUNDS...
SCOTT...                          METO...
LEVY...                           SYLVAN HILLS...
GRAVEL RIDGE...                   PROTHO JUNCTION...
CAMP ROBINSON...                  BURNS PARK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 9235 3489 9221 3479 9195 3457 9219
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 308DEG 5KT 3478 9222

226

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
258 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ033-044-045-042030-
WHITE AR-PULASKI AR-LONOKE AR-
258 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PULASKI...
NORTHWESTERN LONOKE AND SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM
CDT...

AT 258 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CABOT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...                   CABOT...
LITTLE ROCK AFB...                BEEBE...
WARD...                           AUSTIN IN LONOKE COUNTY...
PARNELL...                        SYLVANIA...
OLD AUSTIN...                     FURLOW...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3482 9198 3495 9220 3501 9217 3502 9212
      3509 9212 3511 9211 3506 9184
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 294DEG 6KT 3501 9208

226

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
309 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ033-042030-
WHITE AR-
309 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

AT 308 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BEEBE...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF CABOT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEEBE...                          MCRAE...
GARNER...                         ANTIOCH IN WHITE COUNTY...
FLOYD...

LAT...LON 3514 9176 3503 9190 3504 9192 3505 9197
      3507 9201 3507 9206 3521 9198
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 217DEG 7KT 3509 9196

226

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
311 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ARZ042-043-042045-
SALINE AR-GARLAND AR-
311 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL SALINE AND
NORTHEASTERN GARLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 310 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...            LONSDALE...
OWENSVILLE...                     MOUNTAIN VALLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 9298 3471 9277 3450 9283 3451 9290
      3461 9313
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 028DEG 2KT 3465 9293

226