Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Aug 5, 2016, 9:59 PM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 5, 2016, 9:59 PM CDT (02:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 6, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Baxter County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Marion County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 10:15 PM CDT | FLASH FLOOD | Mountain Home, AR | NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED IN TOWN DUE TO FLOODING...WITH PORTIONS OF OAK TREE MOBILE HOME PARK FLOODED. SEVERAL OTHER HOUSES ARE FLOODED IN TOWN AS WELL. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 16 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1836 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1185 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
067
WGUS54 KLZK 060259
FFWLZK
ARC005-049-065-089-060600-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FF.W.0073.160806T0259Z-160806T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
959 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MARION COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN IZARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
WESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
BAXTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 100 AM CDT
* AT 957 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS
FROM MOUNTAIN HOME TO NORFORK PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN SOME
AREAS AROUND MOUNTAIN HOME WITH MORE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MOUNTAIN HOME... BULL SHOALS...
YELLVILLE... GASSVILLE...
CALICO ROCK... FLIPPIN...
LAKEVIEW IN BAXTER COUNTY... NORFORK...
SALESVILLE... VIOLA...
PINEVILLE... BRIARCLIFF...
ARKAWANA... RODNEY...
RUSH... SHIPP...
GORBY... OZARK REGIONAL AIRPORT...
NORFORK DAM... DIAMOND BAY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW! ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
&&
LAT...LON 3609 9201 3609 9213 3612 9214 3610 9218
3611 9219 3609 9220 3610 9274 3649 9268
3650 9246 3649 9199
$$
226What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 5, 8:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 8:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Update National Weather Service Little Rock AR 830 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 .Discussion... Most of the evening convection was winding down, except in the northwest parts of AR. It has intensified initially but still expect storms to slowly weaken over next few hours, as they move east southeast. Did update a bit earlier to fine tune forecast due to convection trends and ending of excessive heat advisory. Will do this again a bit later to fine tune overnight convection trends. Otherwise, a frontal boundary will gradually sag south later tonight and into Saturday, and help develop convection on Saturday. This will also help lower temperatures on Saturday and only a heat advisory is planned at this time. Lows tonight are expected in the 70s in most locations. (59) && .Prev Discussion.../ Issued 620 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016/ .Aviation... Overall VFR flight conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Friday evening convection is winding down, and only a slight chance will be seen the rest of this evening and overnight. Coverage will be quite low and will only include in northwest and southeast parts of AR, including possible KHRO and KLLQ Tafs. Only patchy fog and ceilings overnight but will again not include in Tafs due to very low coverage. Winds will be southeast to southwest 5 to 10 mph, becoming mainly light and variable overnight with a light southeast flow. Similar weather conditions expected for Saturday. (59) && .Prev Discussion.../ Issued 305 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016/ .SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday Night Once again this aftn...WDLY SCTD convection noted ovr the FA. One note of interest fm earlier was a dense shield of higher clouds ovr NERN AR which inhibited storm formation. However...storms did manage to dvlp along the leading edge of the cloud shield where max heating occurred. Mid aftn temps were well into the 90s to arnd 100 degrees... with rain cooled areas in the 80s. The much talked about upr high is fcst to rmn centered to our W thru the weekend. The rdg itself wl contract somewhat...allowing a more NWLY flow aloft to prevail ovr the Mis-South. This wl allow a weak fntl bndry to drop SWD into AR...with somewhat better chcs for organized convection. As far at temps...expect another hot day acrs the Natural State on Sat. However...high temps wl be held down a few degrees due to more clouds and rain chcs as compared to recent days. Aftn heat index values are still expected to exceed 105 degrees over much of CNTRL/SRN AR Sat Aftn...where a Heat Advisory is already posted. A few locations ovr SRN AR may reach a heat index of 110 degrees Sat aftn...but this wl not be a widespread occurance. No additional heat headlines are planned for the rest of the weekend as the aforemtioned fntl bndry lingers ovr AR...along with more clouds and contd rain chcs. && .Long Term...Sunday through Friday An upper level high pressure system will be over the southern U.S. to begin the long term period. This pattern will continue through much of the long term period. Models indicate the high shifting to the east for Tuesday and Wednesday then back to the west Thursday and Friday. Hot and humid conditions will continue through the period and small rain chances will continue in the afternoons. Better rain chances will be on Sunday when several short waves move through northwest flow over Arkansas. Highs will be in the mid 80s to mid 90s Sunday and Monday...then the heat returns for the middle and late part of next week. && Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas- Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-Faulkner- Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson- Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Pope- Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Sharp-White-Woodruff-Yell. Heat Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 PM CDT Saturday FOR Arkansas-Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew- Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson- Johnson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Ouachita-Perry-Pike- Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-White-Woodruff-Yell. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR Baxter-Fulton-Izard- Stone. Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Saturday FOR Cleburne-Polk-Scott-Van Buren. && Short Term...44 / Long Term...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 5, 8:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 800 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-061000- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA- CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW- 800 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE A LOWER THREAT. LATER TONIGHT THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING A RISK IF THE STORMS MOVE SLOWLY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES REACHING TO AROUND 105 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE THREAT OF ANY ORGANIZED OR WIDESPREAD STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW. HOWEVER A STRONGER STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...BUT STORM REPORTS ARE REQUESTED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK. 57/59
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 5, 8:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
800 PM CDT FRI AUG 05 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0755 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW HARRISON 36.26N 93.15W
08/05/2016 M54 MPH BOONE AR ASOS
&&
JHOODSpecial weather statement, Aug 5, 8:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 821 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 ARZ003-004-060145- BOONE AR-MARION AR- 821 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MARION AND NORTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT... AT 821 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WILLIS...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARRISON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DIAMOND CITY... LEAD HILL... WILLIS... CRUMPLER SUBDIVISION... SOUTH LEAD HILL... MONARCH... PEEL... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3635 9266 3638 9308 3650 9306 3649 9269 TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 279DEG 9KT 3643 9299 55
Special weather statement, Aug 5, 8:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
828 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
ARZ003-004-060200-
BOONE AR-MARION AR-
828 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION AND
SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...
AT 827 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLARK HILL TO JUST EAST OF
HARRISON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YELLVILLE... FLIPPIN...
BERGMAN... PYATT...
VALLEY SPRINGS... WININGTON...
RUSH... CLARK HILL...
CRAWFORD... DODD CITY...
OLVEY... LAKEWAY...
BULL SHOALS STATE PARK... SUMMIT...
BELLEFONTE... EVERTON...
ZINC... FAIRVIEW IN MARION COUNTY...
RALPH... BRUNO...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3635 9259 3634 9258 3634 9255 3631 9258
3631 9255 3613 9253 3616 9310 3637 9297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 286DEG 17KT 3635 9287 3621 9306
55Special weather statement, Aug 5, 8:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
843 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
ARZ004-005-060215-
MARION AR-BAXTER AR-
843 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARION AND NORTHWESTERN BAXTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...
AT 843 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF OZARK
ISLE TO NEAR YELLVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BULL SHOALS... YELLVILLE...
FLIPPIN... LAKEVIEW IN BAXTER COUNTY...
PYATT... RUSH...
CLARK HILL... BULL SHOALS STATE PARK...
DODD CITY... OZARK ISLE...
LAKEWAY... PRICE PLACE...
COTTER... SUMMIT...
FAIRVIEW IN MARION COUNTY... RALPH...
BRUNO... MONARCH...
OAKLAND... REA VALLEY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3637 9253 3612 9251 3613 9261 3614 9288
3647 9288 3648 9286 3650 9285 3649 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 276DEG 14KT 3648 9276 3620 9277
55Special weather statement, Aug 5, 9:13 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
913 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
ARZ004>006-015-060300-
IZARD AR-MARION AR-BAXTER AR-FULTON AR-
913 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MARION...NORTHWESTERN
IZARD...SOUTHWESTERN FULTON AND BAXTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...
AT 912 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ARKAWANA TO OZARK
REGIONAL AIRPORT TO NEAR FLIPPIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNTAIN HOME... BULL SHOALS...
GASSVILLE... FLIPPIN...
LAKEVIEW IN BAXTER COUNTY... NORFORK...
SALESVILLE... BRIARCLIFF...
ARKAWANA... RODNEY...
SHIPP... GAMALIEL LANDING...
OZARK REGIONAL AIRPORT... NORFORK DAM...
CULP... DIAMOND BAY...
ADVANCE... HERRON...
COLFAX... LION HILL...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3633 9206 3606 9222 3606 9230 3617 9269
3639 9256 3650 9258 3649 9210
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 278DEG 18KT 3647 9251 3638 9248 3623 9258
55Local storm report, Aug 5, 9:53 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
953 PM CDT FRI AUG 05 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0951 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW MOUNTAIN HOME 36.34N 92.39W
08/05/2016 BAXTER AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
OVER EIGHT INCHES OF WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 5 IN MOUNTAIN
HOME.
&&
55The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 7:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Desha | 29 min |
| Aug 5, 7:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Boone | 35 min |
| Aug 5, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 44 min |
| Aug 5, 8:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Boone | 24 min |
| Aug 5, 8:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Marion | 32 min |
| Aug 5, 8:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Marion | 32 min |
| Aug 5, 9:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Baxter | 47 min |
| Aug 5, 9:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion | 3 hr |
| Aug 5, 11:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 43 min |
| Aug 5, 11:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Johnson | 51 min |
| Aug 5, 11:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope | 25 min |
| Aug 5, 11:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pope | 48 min |
| Aug 6, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Van Buren | 48 min |
| Aug 6, 12:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren | 38 min |
| Aug 6, 1:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren, White | 32 min |
| Aug 6, 12:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Lincoln | 39 min |
| Aug 6, 12:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Cleveland | 37 min |
| Aug 6, 1:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Cleveland | 52 min |
| Aug 6, 1:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 30 min |
| Aug 6, 1:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Desha | 39 min |
| Aug 6, 1:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Desha, Drew | 44 min |
| Aug 6, 2:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 44 min |
| Aug 6, 2:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Bradley | 26 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.