Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Jul 30, 2016, 5:35 PM CDT for Desha County, Drew County, Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 30, 2016, 5:35 PM CDT (22:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 30, 2016, 8:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 523 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -88 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 968 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 25 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
974
WGUS54 KLZK 302235
FFWLZK
ARC041-043-310130-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FF.W.0069.160730T2235Z-160731T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
535 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN DESHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN DREW COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 534 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN OVER TILLAR. THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY. UP TO
THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS.
FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
TILLAR... WINCHESTER...
REED... YUKON...
SELMA...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW! ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.
&&
LAT...LON 3382 9143 3366 9137 3367 9159 3378 9160
3378 9155
$$
65What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 30, 2:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 2:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Update for Aviation National Weather Service Little Rock AR 635 PM CDT JUL 30 2016 .Aviation... Evening convection will affect KLIT, KPBF and KLLQ and will use VCTS and Tempo groups at Taf sites. VFR conditions are forecast overall with MVFR conditions with storms. Have seen heavy rain, gusty winds to around 25 TO 35 knots with storms and a lot of lightning. The storms will continue to drift southeast and gradually weaken through midnight. Overnight, areas of MVFR with isolated showers or thunderstorms may be seen, with some fog and low clouds forming. Winds will be light and variable or less than 10 mph from the south. Sunday will start with patchy MVFR conditions to mainly VFR with ceilings. Then again isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon to evening. (59) && .Prev Discussion.../ Issued 222 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016/ .SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Monday Scattered convection is ongoing/developing across northern and western Arkansas this afternoon. Expect this to fill in somewhat and propagate southward through mostly the western half of the state through the afternoon and early evening hours. Will carry chance PoPs into the eastern parts of the forecast area but it appears western Arkansas will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms today. An upper ridge will begin to build back into the region from the southwest on Sunday. Northwest flow aloft will likely bring one more MCS into the state during the day tomorrow...so will continue with chance PoPs for Sunday across the eastern half of the forecast area. Further west...will hold on to slight chances. The ridge will not be firmly established by tomorrow afternoon just yet so think some isolated storms could pop there. Temperature wise...warm overnight temperatures and highs in the low 90s will be seen. && .LONG TERM...Monday Night Through Saturday There's not much I can say without sounding like a broken record, but here goes. The upper ridge will expand through the week, choking off large-scale moisture, allowing for only isolated/widely scattered diurnal convection. Humidity will remain high, with afternoon heat index values approaching the 100-105 degree range. Fortunately, the ridge's influence will start to diminish in the weekend, bringing a better shot at showers/storms to the area. && .FIRE WEATHER... No significant fire weather issues are expected through the next seven days. Minimum humidity will remain high...generally above the 50th percentile. There will be several chances for isolated to widely scattered afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms, with the highest chances in the next 48 hours, and next weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 73 92 75 95 / 30 40 20 20 Camden AR 75 95 76 96 / 20 30 10 20 Harrison AR 69 89 72 93 / 30 40 20 20 Hot Springs AR 75 94 76 95 / 30 30 10 20 Little Rock AR 75 94 76 96 / 30 30 20 20 Monticello AR 76 94 76 94 / 20 30 20 30 Mount Ida AR 74 93 75 94 / 30 30 10 20 Mountain Home AR 70 90 73 94 / 30 40 20 20 Newport AR 73 91 74 94 / 20 40 20 30 Pine Bluff AR 74 93 75 94 / 20 40 20 30 Russellville AR 74 94 75 96 / 30 40 20 20 Searcy AR 74 93 74 95 / 30 40 20 30 Stuttgart AR 74 93 76 94 / 20 40 20 30 && .LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE. && Short Term...57 / Long Term...64
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 3:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN- BRADLEY-DREW- 315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO AT TIMES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON TO EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE MAIN THREATS OF THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. SOME HAIL WILL BE SEEN...WITH ALSO LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS THAT COULD LEAD TO SPOTTY FLASH FLOODING. AFTER SUNSET...THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL BE IN THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAY THREATS. THEN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS. UNDER THE RIDGE...TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP AND RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES NEXT WEEK WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 105 DEGREES. HEAT INDICES MAY EXCEED 105 DEGREES IN SPOTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT REPORTS ARE REQUESTED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK. 46/59
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 421 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ033-302200- WHITE AR- 421 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM CDT... AT 421 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GRAVEL HILL...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF CABOT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BEEBE... MCRAE... GARNER... ANTIOCH IN WHITE COUNTY... FLOYD... ROMANCE... LAT...LON 3516 9211 3527 9205 3518 9175 3503 9187 TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 295DEG 20KT 3518 9201 65
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:36 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
436 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ054-302200-
HOT SPRING AR-
436 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOT SPRING COUNTY
UNTIL 500 PM CDT...
AT 435 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MALVERN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MALVERN... ROCKPORT...
PERLA... DONALDSON...
FRIENDSHIP... SOCIAL HILL...
CENTRAL... LONO...
MIDWAY IN HOT SPRING COUNTY...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3417 9301 3429 9303 3443 9278 3431 9274
3418 9269
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 248DEG 12KT 3426 9292
65Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:45 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 445 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ052-053-302215- PIKE AR-CLARK AR- 445 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PIKE AND NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT... AT 445 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR AMITY...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF MURFREESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... AMITY... ALPINE... ROSBORO... SHAWMUT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3411 9357 3426 9363 3434 9340 3416 9328 TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 248DEG 12KT 3423 9354 65
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:50 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
450 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ039-044-302215-
PERRY AR-PULASKI AR-
450 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND EAST
CENTRAL PERRY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...
AT 450 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WYE MOUNTAIN...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PERRYVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WYE MOUNTAIN... WYE...
LAT...LON 3488 9250 3483 9265 3485 9265 3486 9273
3494 9276 3497 9269
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 324DEG 16KT 3490 9268
65Special weather statement, Jul 30, 5:00 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ032-044-302230- PULASKI AR-FAULKNER AR- 500 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PULASKI AND SOUTH CENTRAL FAULKNER COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT... AT 500 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MAYFLOWER...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF MAUMELLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTH LITTLE ROCK... SHERWOOD... JACKSONVILLE... LITTLE ROCK AFB... OAK GROVE IN PULASKI COUNTY... MARCHE... OLMSTEAD... GIBSON... GRAVEL RIDGE... CAMP ROBINSON... SYLVAN HILLS... MACON... CATO... SALTILLO... LAT...LON 3500 9240 3505 9229 3491 9209 3481 9234 TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 329DEG 11KT 3496 9232 65
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 5:02 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 502 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ043-044-302230- SALINE AR-PULASKI AR- 502 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL PULASKI AND NORTH CENTRAL SALINE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT... AT 502 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF SALEM IN SALINE COUNTY... OR 12 MILES WEST OF WEST LITTLE ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... AVILLA... CONGO... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3479 9270 3482 9262 3471 9247 3462 9264 TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 331DEG 12KT 3475 9264 65
The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 7:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Clark | 33 min |
| Jul 29, 7:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Polk | 46 min |
| Jul 29, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 40 min |
| Jul 29, 8:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 2:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Scott | 42 min |
| Jul 30, 2:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery | 27 min |
| Jul 30, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike | 26 min |
| Jul 30, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Van Buren | 39 min |
| Jul 30, 3:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Yell | 33 min |
| Jul 30, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring | 52 min |
| Jul 30, 3:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Scott | 39 min |
| Jul 30, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk | 41 min |
| Jul 30, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring | 17 min |
| Jul 30, 4:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | White | 39 min |
| Jul 30, 4:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Polk | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 25 min |
| Jul 30, 4:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Hot Spring | 24 min |
| Jul 30, 4:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pike | 30 min |
| Jul 30, 4:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Perry | 25 min |
| Jul 30, 4:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 47 min |
| Jul 30, 5:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pulaski | 30 min |
| Jul 30, 5:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Saline | 28 min |
| Jul 30, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark | 32 min |
| Jul 30, 5:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 5:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Woodruff | 50 min |
| Jul 30, 6:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Cleveland | 23 min |
| Jul 30, 6:51 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Drew, Lincoln | 39 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.