Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Baltimore/Washington

July 18, 20164 counties in Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 2016, 4:30 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2016, 4:30 PM EDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2016, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Culpeper County, VA, Greene County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 18, 1:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 200 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
200 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1480 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 2:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 1:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
150 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-191000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-
ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-SOUTHEAST HARFORD-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
150 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HEAT INDICES UP TO 105 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053-
055-501>506-191000-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-
NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY-
NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-
NORTHERN VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE-CENTRAL VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE-
HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-
EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON-
EASTERN PENDLETON-
150 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FOR THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND PORTIONS
OF THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS... CENTRAL FOOTHILLS AND SHENANDOAH
VALLEY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HEAT INDICES UP TO 105 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:03 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:07 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:22 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:24 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:28 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:30 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 1:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick36 min
Jul 18, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick37 min
Jul 18, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Frederick, Loudoun, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester52 min
Jul 18, 2:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFauquier, Madison, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah and 1 more44 min
Jul 18, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, Warren27 min
Jul 18, 3:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Rappahannock38 min
Jul 18, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXLoudoun18 min
Jul 18, 3:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX90 min
Jul 18, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford45 min
Jul 18, 3:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX94 min
Jul 18, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXArlington, Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, City of Fairfax and 3 more45 min
Jul 18, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, King George, Prince William, Stafford40 min
Jul 18, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXArlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church82 min
Jul 18, 4:10 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX2 hr
Jul 18, 4:46 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX89 min
Jul 18, 4:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX2 hr
Jul 18, 5:09 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX36 min
Jul 18, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXOrange, Spotsylvania47 min
Jul 18, 3:37 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXBaltimore, Harford6 hr
Jul 18, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Harford52 min
Jul 18, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXSaint Mary's15 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.