Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS North Platte, NE

038 
WWUS53 KLBF 230235
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
835 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEC005-101-230300-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-160723T0300Z/
ARTHUR NE-KEITH NE-
835 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ARTHUR AND NORTH CENTRAL KEITH COUNTIES...

AT 835 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LEMOYNE...OR
14 MILES NORTH OF OGALLALA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEMOYNE AND KINGSLEY DAM. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 96 AND 111.
 HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 131 AND 138.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 10185 4144 10184 4139 10158 4119 10163
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 270DEG 17KT 4135 10170 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CDC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
627 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

This morning's H5 analysis had high pressure centered
over the Oklahoma panhandle. This feature extended west to off the
California coast and east into western Alabama. On the periphery
of this feature, shortwaves were located over northwestern Kansas,
northern Utah, western Nevada and Baja California. North of the
high, ridging extended north into the Dakotas. West of this ridge,
a trough of low pressure was located over western Washington and
extended south into northern California. A 50+ kt jet streak was
south of the shortwave and extended from northern California into
western Montana. At the surface, a stationary front was anchored
over southern and western South Dakota with a surface trough
extending south from this feature, a trough of low pressure
extended from southeastern South Dakota into eastern Nebraska and
central Kansas. Very moist air was present across western and
north central Nebraska this afternoon with dew points in the mid
to upper 70s. The exception was over portions of the sandhills and
the eastern panhandle, where dew points were in the upper 50s to
60s. Readings as of 3 PM CDT ranged from 92 at Broken Bow to 98 at
Imperial.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

A weak surface front combined with an upper level disturbance will
bring isolated to scattered thunderstorms to the area tonight. The
best chance will be generally along and south of an O'Neill to
Thedford to Ogallala line, which is closer to the stalled front
across southwest and south central Nebraska. Overall shear is quite
weak again today within subtropical plume around upper level high
pressure centered to our south, but surface based cape is very
strong. Expecting that a few storms could produce gusty winds and
brief heavy rain, but hail is a minimal threat due to such warm air
aloft and weak shear.

A shortwave disturbance will move across southern Canada and the
northern plains Saturday, which will drive a cold front south across
the area. Ahead of the front expect another hot and humid day, and
have extended the heat warning and advisory ahead of the front from
roughly Ainsworth to Grant and areas to the southeast. There is a
slight chance for thunderstorm development later Saturday afternoon
along the front from the O'Neill area southwest through Broken Bow
and McCook.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

n the mid range, the main forecast challenge is
precipitation chances Saturday night/Sunday. For Saturday night, a
cold front will pass through the far eastern portions of the cwa and
is expected to clear the forecast area by mid evening. Thunderstorms
will be possible INVOF of the front in the east and far southeastern
forecast area through mid evening. This activity will shift quickly
east and south overnight as the front stalls off to the south of the
forecast area. The next threat for precipitation will arrive on
Sunday north of the frontal boundary. Both the NAM and GFS solutions
develop a nice area of lift along the H7 front Sunday. This feature
is anchored across the central forecast area. Have introduced some
low pops across the forecast area-from the sandhills south, for
Sunday. Have kept pops fairly low as qpf's will be light given the
drier layer below 10000 ft agl. Precipitation chances will shift
south into the southern cwa for Sunday night as a shortwave trough
lifts over the stalled out frontal boundary. ATTM the bulk of pcpn
should be INVOF of the front, so have opted for only slight chance
pops in the forecast area Sunday night. On Monday, we will see
mainly dry conds as the surface front is forced further south into
central Kansas. By late afternoon/evening the front will begin to
lift north over eastern Colorado as southerly winds develop on the
back side of exiting high pressure. Isolated thunderstorms will be
possible in some western areas late Monday into Monday night in the
vicinity of theta e axis.

Upper level high pressure will continue to drift west into the swrn
CONUS next week. Westerly flow aloft will become more northwesterly
toward the middle of next week. This will result in a more active
pattern with seasonal highs in the 80s. There will be a threat for
thunderstorms each day particularly in the late afternoon and
evening hours.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

Radar trends and upper level wind fields suggest the thunderstorm
complex across Western Nebraska will move slowly east-northeast
tonight. Storm coverage is very uncertain given than the model
are showing poor skill. The forecast uses an extrapolation of the
ongoing radar coverage.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ Saturday for NEZ058-069-
070.

Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Saturday for NEZ006>010-
026>029-037-038-059-071.

Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening
for NEZ005-024-025-036-094.

Heat Advisory until 6 PM MDT this evening for NEZ004-022-023-035-
056-057.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Buttler
SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...CDC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-232100-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 /300 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 105 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING
ALONG AND EAST OF AN AINSWORTH TO NORTH PLATTE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

IT WILL BE HOT ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN TOP 105 DEGREES IN PLACES ALONG AND
EAST OF AN AINSWORTH TO NORTH PLATTE LINE. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM O'NEILL
TO MCCOOK AND AREAS TO THE EAST.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE REGION MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
LATER FORECASTS WILL REFINE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

TAYLOR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
608 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEZ022-230100-
GARDEN NE-
608 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GARDEN COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM MDT...

AT 608 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES WEST OF CRESCENT LAKE NWR...OR 23 MILES NORTHWEST OF OSHKOSH...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL...NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRESCENT LAKE NWR...TRALNOR LAKE...DEER LAKE...MUMPER AND RICHARDSON
LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4195 10259 4174 10222 4161 10249 4161 10264
      4174 10264 4175 10267 4177 10268 4183 10268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 253DEG 22KT 4170 10258

CDC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
632 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEZ022-230115-
GARDEN NE-
632 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN COUNTY UNTIL
715 PM MDT...

AT 632 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
OSHKOSH...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

1 INCH OF RAINFALL...DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSHKOSH...DOGTOWN FLATS...BLUEWATER BATTLEFIELD STATE HISTORICAL PARK
AND SUGAR LOAF HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 10230 4141 10207 4139 10208 4136 10236
      4149 10250
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 193DEG 15KT 4142 10235

CDC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
711 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEZ057-058-230200-
KEITH NE-PERKINS NE-
711 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN KEITH AND NORTH CENTRAL
PERKINS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM MDT...

AT 710 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BRULE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OGALLALA...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OGALLALA...BRULE...KINGSLEY DAM...LEMOYNE AND LAKE VIEW CAMPGROUND.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 103.
 HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 127 AND 138.
 INTERSTATE 80 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 114 AND 129.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4094 10175 4098 10198 4132 10191 4128 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 193DEG 21KT 4104 10184

CDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
831 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             6 NNE BRULE             41.17N 101.83W
07/22/2016  E1.00 INCH       KEITH              NE   PUBLIC

&&

MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
844 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     TSTM WND GST     11 WNW LEWELLEN         41.37N 102.35W
07/22/2016  E60 MPH          GARDEN             NE   PUBLIC

&&

MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
810 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NEZ057-230300-
KEITH NE-
810 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KEITH COUNTY UNTIL
900 PM MDT...

AT 809 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES WEST OF LEMOYNE...OR 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF OGALLALA...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEMOYNE...LAKE VIEW CAMPGROUND...RUTHON...BELMAR...
EAGLE GULCH CAMPGROUND AND OTTER CREEK CAMPGROUND.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 101 AND 109.
 HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 121 AND 137.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE MCCONAUGHY...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO
15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.
DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 10175 4126 10203 4138 10200 4139 10163
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 276DEG 15KT 4131 10196

CDC