Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Jackson, KY

071 
WGUS73 KJKL 082216
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
616 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYC119-131-082225-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160708T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-
616 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOTT AND NORTHEASTERN
LESLIE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3714 8322 3717 8321 3720 8306 3720 8300
      3719 8298 3717 8298 3719 8295 3714 8284
      3711 8302 3711 8320

$$

KYC133-193-082345-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160708T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERRY KY-LETCHER KY-
616 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL PERRY AND WEST CENTRAL LETCHER COUNTIES...

AT 615 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF
RAIN FELL. FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING OR EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LETCHER...BLACKEY...DAVID...BLUEFIELD...CORNETTSVILLE...
CARBON GLOW...HOT SPOT...GANDER...ULVAH...VIPER...JEREMIAH...
ARMINTA...RED STAR...DAISY...VAN...ELKO...
CARCASSONNE AND INDIAN BOTTOM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3714 8322 3717 8321 3720 8306 3720 8300
      3719 8298 3717 8298 3719 8295 3714 8284
      3711 8302 3711 8320

$$

GREIF

409 
WGUS73 KJKL 082344
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
744 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYC133-193-082354-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160708T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERRY KY-LETCHER KY-
744 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PERRY AND WEST CENTRAL
LETCHER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM EDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3714 8322 3717 8321 3720 8306 3720 8300
      3719 8298 3717 8298 3719 8295 3714 8284
      3711 8302 3711 8320

$$

GREIF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson KY
440 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 404 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

Widespread showers/storms continue to plow through eastern
Kentucky. These are stemming from an earlier day mesoscale
convective complex which has been building south and east into a
destabilized airmass owing to late morning/early afternoon
clearing. Will continue to see storms build into southeast
Kentucky along a southward propagating outflow boundary
encroaching upon temperatures in the upper 80s/lower 90s with
dewpoints of near 70 degrees.

While the damaging wind threat has mostly subsided, a few healthy
updrafts and storm cores continue to thrive in a moisture rich
airmass as deep layer shear has increased enough to somewhat
balance developing cold pools. Upper disturbance over the Great
Lakes will continue to track east this evening, taking the
majority of storms east of the Commonwealth with
isolated/scattered activity lingering into the evening.

Drier air will advect in behind the departing lift associated with
the upper low pulling east of the Great Lakes tonight. Lingering
shower activity should come to an end early Saturday morning,
finally leading to a dry day across eastern Kentucky. A more
comfortable airmass will be in place with dewpoints falling into
the mid 60s, despite temperatures still climbing into the mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 422 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

Still looks like Sunday will be warm and dry to start off the
extended. Rain chances will return late Sunday night into Monday,
but models remain in poor agreement on exactly when the rain will
return, how long it will last, and how much will fall. The GFS
brings a warm front north across the area Monday night and Tuesday,
while the ECMWF brings a slow tracking low pressure system east
across the Tennessee valley Sunday night into Monday. Outside of
increasing rain chances, large uncertainty will remain in the
forecast beyond Monday due to the evolution of these weather
systems. It does appear a more summerlike airmass may reside over
the area through the week, possibly leading to more diurnally
focused shower/storm chances through the week. Temperatures will
continue to feel very summerlike through next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 244 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

Numerous showers and thunderstorms will likely impact all
terminals this afternoon into early this evening. Brief periods
of MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible as these move through.
Isolated strong wind gusts will also occur, but probability in
seeing these at any given site remains low enough to preclude
specific mention for now. Widespread to numerous storms should
wind down this evening with isolated/scattered showers/storms
lingering into the early overnight period. Stratus and fog should
develop later this evening and tonight with reductions to IFR and
possibly LIFR or lower possible by the 06Z to 12Z period. Could
also see some enhanced winds outside of thunderstorms near the
2000 foot level, but will let storms play out before assessing
need for LLWS mention. Drier air and subsequent VFR conditions
should return to all sites after daybreak Saturday.

&&

.JKL Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for KYZ058>060-068-
069-079-080-083>086-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...GUSEMAN
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...GUSEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
257 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>120-092200-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-
LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...
STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
257 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...WITH A
FEW HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60
MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ALONG WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL AND SUBSEQUENT FLASH FLOODING...WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM MONDAY INTO THURSDAY...
MAINLY DURING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF WIND DAMAGE...HEAVY
RAIN...AND FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-087-088-092200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-BELL-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN
257 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...WITH A
FEW HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60
MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ALONG WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING CONCERNS...WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM MONDAY INTO THURSDAY...
MAINLY DURING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF WIND DAMAGE AND
HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING.

GUSEMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
400 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYZ116-117-082030-
LESLIE-CLAY-
400 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LESLIE...CLAY...

AT 400 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BLUEHOLE...OR OVER
MANCHESTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANCHESTER...BEAR BRANCH...ONEIDA...SPURLOCK...BRUTUS...
PARK VALLEY...MARCUM...HOUSE...PANCO...WILD CAT...TANKSLEY...
HORSE CREEK JUNCTION...GOOSE ROCK...HERRON...ENLINE...SIBERT...
JONSEE...PEABODY...HENSLEY AND LITTLETON.

THIS INCLUDES HAL ROGERS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 18 AND 41.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3711 8384 3731 8362 3729 8360 3729 8358
      3715 8344 3704 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 232DEG 27KT 3712 8375

JMW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
409 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYZ086-116-082045-
KNOX-CLAY-
409 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KNOX...CLAY...

AT 409 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER GARRICH...OR NEAR
BARBOURVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREEN ROAD...GIRDLER...SPRULE...BERTHA STATION...ROSSLAND...
CRANES NEST...EMMANUEL...HAVEN...CANNON...EROSE...SCALF...LOWELL...
OGLE...BAILEYS SWITCH...HINKLE...KNOXFORK...FOUNT...GARRICH...
ARKLE AND GRAY.

THIS INCLUDES U.S. HIGHWAY 25 EAST IN KNOX COUNTY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 13 AND 23.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 8404 3698 8397 3698 8396 3700 8394
      3708 8375 3693 8359 3688 8399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 247DEG 25KT 3693 8394

JMW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
413 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     FLASH FLOOD      JACKSON                 37.56N 83.38W
07/08/2016                   BREATHITT          KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ON HWY 15 A FOOT OF WATER COVERING ONE LANE OF HIGHWAY.

&&

TBREWER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
421 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYZ113-115-118-082045-
PERRY-KNOTT-LETCHER-
421 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PERRY...KNOTT...LETCHER...

AT 421 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER VICCO...OR 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HAZARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HINDMAN...LETCHER...BATH...PIPPA PASSES...VICCO...BLACKEY...
CARBON GLOW...GANDER...WINTERS...AMELIA...SMITHSBORO...DREW...
ARMINTA...ROXANA...OMAHA...IVIS...LUCASTOWN...SASSAFRAS...
DIRK AND ANCO.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3707 8311 3717 8317 3741 8290 3716 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 242DEG 17KT 3719 8309

JMW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
424 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S JACKSON             37.54N 83.38W
07/08/2016                   BREATHITT          KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ON HWY 15 A FOOT OF WATER COVERING ONE LANE OF HIGHWAY.

&&

TBREWER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
435 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

KYZ115-117-082100-
PERRY-LESLIE-
435 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PERRY...LESLIE...

AT 435 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER WOOTON...OR OVER
HYDEN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAZARD...HYDEN...DALEY...DIABLOCK...THOUSANDSTICKS...STINNETT...
DRYHILL...HOSEA...WENDOVER...SMILAX...JEFF...VIPER...AVAWAM...
TOULOUSE...CUTSHIN...KALIOPI...DAISY...CINDA...WOOTON AND FREW.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HAL ROGERS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 40 AND 59.
 KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 80 IN PERRY COUNTY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 9 AND 11.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 8351 3723 8348 3732 8318 3707 8307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 264DEG 34KT 3717 8332

JMW