Alert archive / Mississippi / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

July 11, 2016Clay County, Oktibbeha County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this special weather statement at Jul 11, 2016, 2:00 PM CDT for Clay County, Oktibbeha County, Mississippi. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 11, 2016, 2:00 PM CDT (19:00 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2016, 2:45 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS

Counties Clay County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 562 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 793 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 11, 11:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 11:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1136 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

.Discussion...Made some really small adjustments to the forecast for
today. Models were not in good agreement on rain chances and
coverage. Tried to use a blend. Leaning heavily on the hi-res,
tweaked the coverage. There was some isolated activity associated
with a weak disturbance moving across the northern portions of the
cwa...increased pops a category in the northwest zones. The HRR has
convection blowing up in the west/southwest in the afternoon and
propagating into the east through the early evening. Clouds probably
limited convection this morning, but clouds were breaking up and
temperatures were climbing quickly. Morning sounding shows some
elevated instability, so limited severe still seems good. With clouds
and fog holding in the east, lowered the highs a degree or two, but
kept values around 90. Updated zones were already out.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR conditions over KMEI will slowly rise to VFR by
16Z. Otherwise, VFR ceilings will prevail through the afternoon and
evening. Scattered to numerous TSRA will develop by afternoon and
pose a risk of brief lowering of ceiling and visibility to IFR/MVFR
at the impacted TAF sites. These conditions should last until 12/02Z
with MVFR ceilings and visibilities in stratus and fog developing
after 12/06Z./26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       93  73  94  73 /  26  20  17   9
Meridian      90  72  94  72 /  28  26  24  12
Vicksburg     93  76  94  74 /  24  11  13   7
Hattiesburg   93  74  94  74 /  27  20  31  13
Natchez       92  74  93  74 /  26  12  16  10
Greenville    93  74  94  74 /  27  13  12   4
Greenwood     91  74  92  74 /  28  14  16   6

&&

.JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

JAN/JAN/

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 1:01 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
101 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
121815-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
101 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 11, 10:18 AM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1018 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNW PROGRESS          31.60N 89.96W
07/10/2016                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3 HOMES WITH ROOF DAMAGE, 1 MOBILE HOME DAMAGED, AND
            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG LUCAS-WARNER ROAD.

&&

TW

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 12:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1201 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

MSZ025>027-111730-
LEFLORE MS-CARROLL MS-GRENADA MS-
1201 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN GRENADA...NORTHWESTERN
CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN LEFLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

AT 1201 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR GREENWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TEOC AND AVALON AROUND 1220 PM CDT.
  MALMAISON AROUND 1225 PM CDT.
  LEFLORE AND JEFFERSON AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3355 8979 3346 9020 3373 9032 3370 9030
      3369 9028 3374 9023 3377 9023 3379 9017
      3376 9019 3376 9022 3372 9022 3372 9014
      3380 9014 3382 8993 3389 8993 3390 8990
      3390 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 250DEG 18KT 3358 9018

GRG

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 2:00 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
200 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

MSZ029>031-033-038-039-111945-
OKTIBBEHA MS-NOXUBEE MS-WINSTON MS-WEBSTER MS-LOWNDES MS-CLAY MS-
200 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
WEBSTER...OKTIBBEHA...WESTERN NOXUBEE...SOUTHWESTERN
LOWNDES...NORTHEASTERN WINSTON AND CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 159 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF PYLAND TO NEAR LONGVIEW
TO MILLCREEK. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MILLCREEK AND BETHEDEN AROUND 205 PM CDT.
  LONGVIEW AROUND 210 PM CDT.
  STARKVILLE AND CRAIG SPRINGS AROUND 215 PM CDT.
  MASHULAVILLE AROUND 230 PM CDT.
  OKTOC AND SESSUMS AROUND 235 PM CDT.
  GRIFFITH AROUND 240 PM CDT.
  WEST POINT...CRAWFORD AND PALA ALTO AROUND 245 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE ARTESIA AND MANTEE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 8862 3309 8903 3344 8904 3374 8915
      3374 8904 3375 8903 3376 8893 3381 8893
      3379 8874 3374 8872 3368 8872 3368 8869
      3334 8854
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 290DEG 21KT 3376 8910 3342 8897 3314 8896

GRG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 10, 7:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Rankin	32 min
Jul 11, 12:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Grenada	29 min
Jul 11, 2:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clay, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha	41 min
Jul 11, 3:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lowndes, Noxubee	23 min
Jul 11, 3:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lowndes	13 min
Jul 11, 4:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jefferson	38 min
Jul 11, 6:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Hinds	52 min
Jul 11, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds, Warren	47 min
Jul 11, 6:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lincoln	60 min
Jul 11, 6:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis	42 min
Jul 11, 6:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Forrest	43 min
Jul 11, 6:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Covington, Jones	48 min
Jul 11, 6:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	West Carroll	43 min
Jul 11, 6:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Chicot	44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Mississippi, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.