Severe Thunderstorm Warning 391, NWS Jackson, MS

932 
WWUS54 KJAN 282037
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
237 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

MSC125-133-151-282046-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0391.000000T0000Z-161128T2115Z/
WASHINGTON MS-SHARKEY MS-SUNFLOWER MS-
237 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...
NORTHEASTERN SHARKEY AND SOUTHERN SUNFLOWER COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3341 8978 3316 8996 3308 9064 3310 9070
      3310 9068 3312 9069 3333 9051 3333 9045
      3339 9045 3361 9025 3368 8986 3368 8979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 256DEG 55KT 3356 9018 3317 9060 

$$

MSC015-051-053-083-282115-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0391.000000T0000Z-161128T2115Z/
CARROLL MS-HUMPHREYS MS-LEFLORE MS-HOLMES MS-
237 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST
FOR CARROLL...NORTHERN HUMPHREYS...SOUTHERN LEFLORE AND NORTHERN
HOLMES COUNTIES...

AT 236 PM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR GREENWOOD TO 6 MILES WEST OF BELZONI...MOVING
EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  GREENWOOD AROUND 240 PM CST. 
  TEOC AND MALMAISON AROUND 245 PM CST. 
  NORTH CARROLLTON AND SWIFTOWN AROUND 250 PM CST. 
  JEFFERSON AND TCHULA AROUND 255 PM CST. 
  SEVEN PINES AROUND 305 PM CST. 
  BLACK HAWK AROUND 310 PM CST. 
  EMORY AND COILA AROUND 315 PM CST. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CRUGER...CARROLLTON...MORGAN CITY AND SILVER CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3341 8978 3316 8996 3308 9064 3310 9070
      3310 9068 3312 9069 3333 9051 3333 9045
      3339 9045 3361 9025 3368 8986 3368 8979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 256DEG 55KT 3356 9018 3317 9060 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BYB

227 
WWUS54 KJAN 282057
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
257 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

MSC083-282107-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0391.000000T0000Z-161128T2115Z/
LEFLORE MS-
257 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN LEFLORE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3341 8978 3316 8996 3310 9043 3311 9043
      3331 9029 3333 9017 3342 9017 3342 9014
      3346 9013 3346 9010 3360 9010 3364 9007
      3368 8988 3368 8979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 252DEG 57KT 3354 8999 3311 9040 

$$

MSC015-051-053-282115-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0391.000000T0000Z-161128T2115Z/
CARROLL MS-HUMPHREYS MS-HOLMES MS-
257 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST
FOR CARROLL...EAST CENTRAL HUMPHREYS AND NORTHERN HOLMES COUNTIES...

AT 257 PM CST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MALMAISON TO NEAR THORNTON...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTH CARROLLTON...MALMAISON AND TEOC AROUND 300 PM CST. 
  JEFFERSON AND TCHULA AROUND 305 PM CST. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CARROLLTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3341 8978 3316 8996 3310 9043 3311 9043
      3331 9029 3333 9017 3342 9017 3342 9014
      3346 9013 3346 9010 3360 9010 3364 9007
      3368 8988 3368 8979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 252DEG 57KT 3354 8999 3311 9040 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BYB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1217 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2016

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion. Also, the Wind Advisory was
expanded to include the remainder of the area. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Conditions continue to deteriorate across the region ahead of an
approaching storm system. Ceilings range from VFR across the east to
MVFR in the NW portion of the area, and they will continue to fall
into this afternoon as a line of storms moves into the area.
Southerly winds ahead of the storms are quite strong, with several
gusts in the 35 to 40 kt range already observed. These gusts will
continue through the remainder of the afternoon until a broken line
of storms arrives, moving west to east across the area. These storms
could be severe with 50 kt gusts and tornadoes possible. The storms
will move east of the area this evening, with no precipitation
expected overnight. However, fog will likely develop closer to
daybreak Tuesday across South MS, with IFR or LIFR conditions
possible around HBG and possibly MEI. Fog should dissipate by mid-
morning. Later in the day, gusty southerly winds will return, with
gusts to around 20 kt possible. /DL/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The overall forecast remains on track this morning, though a few
tweaks have been made to some of the details. With the tightening
pressure gradient ahead of the approaching potent storm system, winds
have already become quite gusty across much of the CWA and
particularly in the Delta. Wind gusts over 40 mph have already been
observed at GLH and RNV, and those areas began to meet Wind Advisory
criteria as early as around 8am. This will begin to occur over a
larger part of the area through the day. HRRR wind gust guidance
suggests this could impact a slightly larger area than originally
expected, so a few counties in MS were added to the advisory.

Looking ahead to this afternoon, expectations for the severe weather
threat have not changed much. We are still anticipating the
strongly-forced environment farther north in the area to result in a
QLCS moving west to east this afternoon. Farther south, discrete
cells will become more possible as greater instability exists and 0-3
km shear vectors are less parallel to line orientation. CAM guidance
bears this out in its depiction of storm modes in forecast
reflectivity data. We still cannot entirely rule out a strong tornado
or two in our area later today, particularly if instability
overachieves. Current thinking is the best potential for this would
be in the southwestern portion of our area, where it appears the best
balance of shear and instability will exist.

Note to GWX Radar users - The radar has been running rather "hot"
this morning, with reflectivity returns around 10 dbz higher than
surrounding radar sites. Columbus AFB maintenance is currently
working on this issue. Though there is rain within the scope of the
radar, severe weather is unlikely this morning, so there will be some
down time as they attempt to resolve this issue. Certainly, we hope
for it to be back up by this afternoon. /DL/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight...

The main concern for today and tonight remains the potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms ahead of and along an approaching
cold front. Strong wind shear with a vigorous shortwave could
sustain QLCS and/or isolated supercell thunderstorms today - leading
to a risk for damaging wind gusts and brief tornadoes. Locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible with today's showers and
thunderstorms. See below for greater detail on the threats and
threat areas. Additionally, a deepening cyclone over the Upper
Midwest will result in tighten height and surface pressure gradients
ahead of the cold front. This should increase sustained winds into
the 25 to 35 mph range across our area today, especially for areas
generally north and west of the Natchez Trace. A Wind Advisory is in
effect for these areas through 6 PM CST today.

Regarding the severe weather threat for today:  The factor that is
of primary concern is a quickly moving shortwave and 150 kt jet
streak swinging across the region today. The period of strongest
lift looks to be timed favorably to coincide with peak heating this
afternoon. In addition to the strong mid to upper level winds,
gradient winds of 20 to 30 kts at the surface and 850 mb winds of 50
to 70 kts will result in sufficient speed and directional shear to
sustain QLCS and/or supercell thunderstorms. Mid-60s dewpoints will
surge into the area today as well, helping to destabilize the
atmosphere throughout the day.  The biggest limiting factor for
today will be how much instability can be tapped into as the squall
line approaches. Ongoing showery rain ahead of the front could limit
surface based instability for discrete thunderstorms to develop
later today. Therefore the primary threat with today's storms will
be the potential for damaging wind gusts as the squall line pushes
eastward. The strong wind shear will keep some risk for tornadoes
with embedded supercells and bowing line segments through this
evening. The greatest threat area for severe weather will be across
Northeast Louisiana, Southeast Arkansas, and mainly western and
central portions of Mississippi - where the lift, wind shear, and
instability are expected to be maximized during the afternoon and
evening hours. Models disagree slightly on the speed of the squall
line moving through our forecast area, but most guidance indicates
it should be east of the Interstate 55 corridor by around 6 PM this
evening. Even the slowest guidance has the thunderstorms east of the
forecast area by shortly after midnight tonight. /NF/

Tuesday through early next week....

Our next focus for concern will be late on Tuesday into early
Wednesday across the region. Monday's disturbance will move out of
the region by Tuesday morning. In fact, most of the day Tuesday
should be rather dry. However, thanks to continued strong low level
wind fields, moisture will once again rapidly increase during the
day from south to north. By 00Z, PW values around 1.4 inches will be
present along and south of the Highway 82 corridor, increasing to
1.5-1.6 inches by 03-06Z. A boundary will be stalled across our
region and this will help focus showers and storms for our next
round of potential strong to severe storms, as a surface low should
develop in response to increasing wind fields. This low will ride
along this front late Tuesday night into the overnight hours. As
will be the case with Monday's system, there will remain ample wind
energy/wind shear across the area to support damaging winds as the
main concern, but also the potential for tornadoes as helicity
values will be sufficient as well. 6.5C/km mid level lapse rates as
well as vertical totals nearing 26C will support some hail in these
storms. The main timing continues to be during the later evening
hours into the overnight period, with the central and eastern part
of the area seeing the better potential. Rainfall totals will range
from about 0.50 inches to 1 inch in the Delta, and 1.5-2.5 inches
generally along and southeast of the Natchez Trace. Despite the
drought we have been in, if this rain comes quick and heavy, there
could be some brief bouts of flooding. Going HWO/graphics appear to
handle this situation well and only minor adjustments look necessary
in terms of threat areas.

The rain will progress eastward out of the region by 12-15Z as the
actual front moves through. Tuesday will be on the warm side with
highs in the 70s(some upper 70s likely in the south), but cooler
weather will move in for Wednesday and then Thursday and Friday as
highs remain in the 50s and 60s. Overnight lows will fall into the
30s as high pressure filters into the region and good radiational
cooling can take place on a few mornings.

Another round of wet weather looks to take shape at some point
between this weekend and middle of next week. There are timing
issues with this next system, but models depict that another low
will develop in the Gulf/Texas coast and track northeast into our
CWA ahead of a trough developing across the Intermountain West. This
low will allow moisture to increase into our region as well as some
precip. The ECMWF is the fastest with bringing this through over the
weekend, while the GFS and Canadian are much slower and wait until
early next week. /28/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       52  78  55  64 /  83  27  98  37
Meridian      55  79  59  67 /  85  31 100  88
Vicksburg     49  76  51  63 /  51  28  93  17
Hattiesburg   57  79  64  68 /  84  39 100  89
Natchez       51  78  55  63 /  59  36  98  19
Greenville    48  73  48  61 /  27  13  58  11
Greenwood     49  75  49  62 /  65  18  87  17

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ018-019-025>045-
     047>050-053>055-059>062.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for MSZ046-051-052-
     056>058-063>066-072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

DL/NF/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
647 AM CST MON NOV 28 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-291300-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
647 AM CST MON NOV 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD BUT A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

AHEAD OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON, STRONG WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED EARLIER IN THE DAY BEGINNING
DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE3.GIF)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS...QUARTER
SIZED HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP AS WELL AND CAUSE
SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE4.GIF)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>045-047>050-053-059-060-291300-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
647 AM CST MON NOV 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TODAY

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD BUT A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

AHEAD OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON, STRONG WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED EARLIER IN THE DAY BEGINNING
DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE3.GIF)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS...QUARTER
SIZED HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP AS WELL AND CAUSE
SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE4.GIF)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ046-051-052-054-055-061-062-291300-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
647 AM CST MON NOV 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TODAY

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD BUT A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

AHEAD OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON, STRONG WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED EARLIER IN THE DAY BEGINNING
DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE3.GIF)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS...QUARTER
SIZED HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP AS WELL AND CAUSE
SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE4.GIF)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ056>058-063>066-072>074-291300-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
647 AM CST MON NOV 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP, BUT A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE1.GIF)

AHEAD OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, STRONG WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED
EARLIER IN THE DAY BEGINNING DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE3.GIF)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS...QUARTER
SIZED HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP AS WELL AND CAUSE
SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

(WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IMAGES/JAN/GRAPHICAST/IMAGE4.GIF)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

28

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE
LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/SAFE

LATEST WEATHER BRIEFING...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN/WEATHER_BRIEFING

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/ONLINE/
   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1231 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW LAUREL            31.77N 89.17W
11/28/2016  E39 MPH          JONES              MS   AMATEUR RADIO

1225 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NNW LAUREL            31.77N 89.17W
11/28/2016                   JONES              MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTS OF SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN JASPER AND JONES COUNTY.

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1248 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NW BRANDON            32.33N 90.08W
11/28/2016  M49 MPH          RANKIN             MS   ASOS

            MEASURED AT KJAN.

&&

AW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
203 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

MSZ019-025>027-034-035-040-041-282045-
LEFLORE MS-SHARKEY MS-SUNFLOWER MS-CARROLL MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
HUMPHREYS MS-WASHINGTON MS-GRENADA MS-
203 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON... NORTHERN SHARKEY...WESTERN
GRENADA...SUNFLOWER...NORTHWESTERN CARROLL...NORTH CENTRAL
ISSAQUENA...HUMPHREYS AND LEFLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CST...

AT 202 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM WEBB TO NEAR GLEN ALLAN. MOVEMENT WAS
EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PANTHER BURN AROUND 220 PM CST.
  HOLLANDALE AND NITTA YUMA AROUND 225 PM CST.
  DELTA CITY AROUND 230 PM CST.
  MURPHY AROUND 235 PM CST.
  MIDNIGHT AROUND 245 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE DODDSVILLE...
SCHLATER...SILVER CITY...MORGAN CITY...LOUISE AND ARCOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3387 8968 3333 9016 3337 9032 3333 9028
      3314 9033 3308 9037 3311 9043 3298 9046
      3298 9118 3308 9115 3388 9045 3381 9045
      3381 9018 3374 9031 3370 9030 3369 9029
      3372 9014 3381 9014 3382 8993 3390 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 264DEG 40KT 3396 9032 3305 9112

BYB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
203 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

LAZ023>026-MSZ053-282045-
TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA LA-CONCORDIA LA-CLAIBORNE MS-
203 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL CONCORDIA...
NORTHEASTERN CATAHOULA...SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...WESTERN TENSAS
PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL CLAIBORNE
COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CST...

AT 202 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER LEE BAYOU...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF FERRIDAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
55 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WATERPROOF...HELENA AND COOTER POINT AROUND 215 PM CST.
  ST. JOSEPH AROUND 225 PM CST.
  LAKE BRUIN AROUND 230 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SICILY ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3215 9136 3192 9109 3187 9119 3187 9127
      3186 9127 3184 9125 3182 9128 3186 9130
      3185 9134 3178 9137 3165 9161 3180 9173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 236DEG 49KT 3178 9160

JM