Severe Thunderstorm Warning 333, NWS Jackson, MS

822 
WWUS54 KJAN 150154
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
854 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

MSC149-150204-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0333.000000T0000Z-160715T0230Z/
WARREN MS-
854 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3240 9061 3242 9060 3246 9058 3248 9051
      3249 9045 3249 9031 3229 9040 3239 9062
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 294DEG 14KT 3242 9049 

$$

MSC049-150230-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0333.000000T0000Z-160715T0230Z/
HINDS MS-
854 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HINDS COUNTY...

AT 854 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BROWNSVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLINTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOLTON AND BROWNSVILLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3240 9061 3242 9060 3246 9058 3248 9051
      3249 9045 3249 9031 3229 9040 3239 9062
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 294DEG 14KT 3242 9049 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LAMB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
518 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

.UPDATE...MCS currently over Central AR is showing no signs of
losing steam and is currently on track to reach the NW corner of the
CWA between 7 and 8 pm. Forecast for tonight has ben overhauled to
significantly increase POPs across the Delta. HWO/graphics have been
revised to add a limited threat generally north of I-20 and an
elevated threat across much of the Delta. Damaging winds will be the
main concern, but there have been a few deeper cores capable
of producing severe hail. Updated products have already been shipped.
/DL/

&&

.DISCUSSION... /Issued at 400 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016/
SHORT TERM... The storms across our northern counties dissipated
as the shortwave helping to develop the activity shifted northeast
of Mississippi. Local radars this afternoon had scattered storms
mainly southeast of a Natchez to Meridian line. This activity will
continue into the early evening hours before dissipating. Microburst
potential with these storms were lower so have pulled mention of
severe storms from our HWO. Additional rain chances are possible
tonight from the northwest. Afternoon water vapor imagery/RAP
analysis had a second shortwave topping the large 594dam ridge over
the southern plains.
This shortwave was helping develop a complex of storms moving east
into western Arkansas. As the mid level ridge continues to weaken
tonight the complex of storms may move more to the southeast and
toward our northwest zones. A few strong storms can not be ruled out
especially over our northwest most zones but the complex is expected
to weaken as it enters our CWA later this evening. Wl still have a
moist airmass over our CWA Friday along with lower heights and a
potential surface boundary left over from the storms tonight. Daytime
heating should lead to scattered to numerous coverage of storms by
afternoon. Cooler afternoon temperatures are expected areawide. The
warmest temperatures will be in our west where the lowest pops will
be carried. A storm or two with strong gusty winds will be possible
Friday as well. /22/

LONG TERM...
Saturday through Wednesday...At the beginning of the period a large
ridge, centered over northern old Mexico, will extend over the
southern CONUS and out into the Atlantic. A weakness in the ridge
will exist over the lower MS valley/TN valley where a weak cold front
will coincidentally be located. With convergence along the frontal
boundary, 6-7 c/km lapse rates, and PWs near 2 inches, believe a good
scattering of convection will result in the heat of the day.

From Sunday through the end of the period, the weak front will have
moved back north of the area as the mid/upper level ridging
continues. The increased warming aloft will have the affect of
hindering convective possibilities for the majority of the area,
with southeast sections having the best, albeit slight, chances if
any system can pass on the periphery of the ridge.

Meanwhile, temperatures will become quite hot, especially over the
ArkLaMiss Delta region where any afternoon convection will be hard
to come by. It is in these areas that maximums will steadily rise
each afternoon through the mid 90s into the upper 90s by
Tuesday/Wednesday with heat indices around 105. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...
Isolated to scattered storms are developing across portions of the
area this afternoon thanks to daytime heating and an outflow boundary
dropping east southeast through the northeast corner of the region. A
few storms could be intense, producing gusty winds and frequent
lighting. Some small hail will be possible with the a storm or two as
well. If convection is observed on station, flight categories could
be briefly reduced to IFR status due to degraded visibilities and
ceiling heights. Convection should begin to wane in coverage and
intensity after sunset this evening.  /19/

&&

.JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

DL/22/26/19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
558 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-035-152300-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-
558 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE ARKLAMISS DELTA
AREA THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL TO QUARTER SIZE
WILL BE POSSIBLE THESE STORMS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ027>033-036>047-152300-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-
558 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A LINE OF STORMS MOVING
INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL TO QUARTER
SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE THESE STORMS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ023>026-MSZ048>066-072>074-152300-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
558 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
813 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

MSZ047-150145-
WARREN MS-
813 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY
THROUGH 845 PM CDT...

AT 812 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER REDWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REDWOOD...YOUNGTON...FLOWERS AND OAK RIDGE.

LAT...LON 3257 9085 3258 9076 3257 9076 3257 9073
      3258 9073 3258 9065 3255 9065 3254 9059
      3253 9058 3253 9055 3250 9056 3250 9058
      3248 9061 3245 9059 3238 9063 3237 9064
      3242 9086
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 277DEG 11KT 3250 9080

LAMB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
817 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

MSZ046-052-150200-
LAUDERDALE MS-KEMPER MS-
817 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LAUDERDALE AND SOUTHERN KEMPER
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 817 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PORTERVILLE TO MERIDIAN STATION TO
MARTIN. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MERIDIAN STATION...COLLINSVILLE AND PORTERVILLE AROUND 820 PM CDT.
  TAMOLA AROUND 830 PM CDT.
  LAUDERDALE AROUND 835 PM CDT.
  MERIDIAN AND NELLIEBURG AROUND 840 PM CDT.
  MARION AND TOOMSUBA AROUND 850 PM CDT.
  KEWANEE AROUND 900 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3239 8841 3238 8843 3234 8892 3266 8891
      3265 8873 3281 8856 3273 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 315DEG 19KT 3265 8850 3256 8863 3254 8881

DC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
820 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DERMOTT                 33.53N 91.44W
07/14/2016                   CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED ALL THROUGH THE CITY.

&&

DCOX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
824 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

MSZ045-150200-
NESHOBA MS-
824 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS NESHOBA
COUNTY...

AT 823 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF NESHOBA COUNTY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...NESHOBA...DOWDVILLE...HERBERT SPRINGS...
HOUSE...DIXON...BETHSAIDA AND TUCKER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3260 8892 3260 8931 3280 8931 3276 8892
      3266 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0123Z 301DEG 19KT 3268 8914

LAMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
827 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BONITA                  32.92N 91.67W
07/14/2016                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWNED ALL THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
            PARISH.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
833 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     MACON                   33.11N 88.56W
07/14/2016  E50 MPH          NOXUBEE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS DOWN ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES.

&&

27