Severe Thunderstorm Warning 233, NWS Jackson, MS

372 
WWUS54 KJAN 301829
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
129 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSC037-085-301930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN MS-
129 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...

AT 129 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MCCALL CREEK...
OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROOKHAVEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WEST LINCOLN AROUND 145 PM CDT. 
  VAUGHN AROUND 150 PM CDT. 
  LOYD STAR AROUND 200 PM CDT. 
  BROOKHAVEN AROUND 205 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 9085 3160 9089 3161 9074 3169 9061
      3170 9041 3169 9041 3168 9039 3136 9033
      3135 9069
TIME...MOT...LOC 1829Z 232DEG 25KT 3148 9072 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

384 
WWUS54 KJAN 301836
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
136 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSC037-085-301930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN MS-
136 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...

AT 136 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MCCALL CREEK...
OR 14 MILES WEST OF BROOKHAVEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WEST LINCOLN AROUND 145 PM CDT. 
  VAUGHN AROUND 150 PM CDT. 
  LOYD STAR AROUND 200 PM CDT. 
  BROOKHAVEN AROUND 205 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 9080 3161 9074 3169 9061 3170 9041
      3169 9041 3168 9039 3136 9033 3135 9072
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 232DEG 25KT 3151 9067 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

024 
WWUS54 KJAN 301850
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
150 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSC037-301900-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
FRANKLIN MS-
150 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3161 9063 3169 9061 3170 9041 3169 9041
      3168 9039 3136 9033 3135 9063
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 237DEG 26KT 3155 9054 

$$

MSC085-301930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
LINCOLN MS-
150 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 150 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER VAUGHN...OR NEAR
BROOKHAVEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BROOKHAVEN AROUND 205 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3161 9063 3169 9061 3170 9041 3169 9041
      3168 9039 3136 9033 3135 9063
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 237DEG 26KT 3155 9054 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

322 
WWUS54 KJAN 301904
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
204 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSC085-301930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
LINCOLN MS-
204 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 204 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BROOKHAVEN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3169 9053 3170 9041 3169 9041 3168 9039
      3136 9033 3135 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 241DEG 28KT 3158 9041 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

911 
WWUS54 KJAN 301915
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
215 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSC085-301925-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160430T1930Z/
LINCOLN MS-
215 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3169 9053 3170 9041 3169 9041 3168 9039
      3136 9033 3135 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 232DEG 25KT 3163 9034 

$$

CME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1029 AM CDT SAT APRIL 30 2016

.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS...SHOWED AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS...WHICH WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW TO
MIDLEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER WESTERN KS.  IT WAS SENDING SHORTWAVES IN
THE SOUTHERN STREAM INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY IN SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE
ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET WAS NOTED IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WHICH WAS
PROVIDING UPPER DIVERGENCE FROM THE WEST. AREA SNDINGS SHOW SOME
LAPSE RATES IN THE MIDLEVELS...WHICH WERE NOT AS IMPRESSIVE AS
YESTERDAY. THERE WAS ALSO DESCENT LOW LEVEL INFLOW OF AROUND 35-40
KNOTS. AREA RADARS WERE PICKING UP A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH SOME
THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE DELTA
REGION. HRRR AND AREA OBS SHOWS THAT A "WAKE LOW" MAY BE DEVELOPING
BEHIND THE RAIN OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. SITE ELD AND LLQ HAD OF
AROUND 35 KNOTS OF WIND. THE HRRR BRINGS THE WAKE LOW INTO THE
REGION FOR THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE LINE. SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
THAT. THERE HAVE BEEN WIND REPORTS FROM AR. OTHERWISE DESPITE THE
LULL IN THE CONVECTION EXPECT THE AIRMASS INSTABILITY TO DESTABILIZE
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THE LATEST HRRR STILL BRINGS AN ORGANIZED LINE
THROUGH THE REGION FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SO WITH THIS IN MIND WILL
MAKE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST AND WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH. SO WILL KEEP OUR PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISKS FOR
TODAY./17/

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
GLH...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY TO MOVE INTO GWO BEFORE NOON.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REMAINING SITES THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. HEAVY RAIN WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A MILE OR
LESS. LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA ALSO...MVFR TO
LIFR CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY.

IN ADDITION...RAPID ONSET GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP FOR GLH
BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY AFTERNOON...GUSTS TO 40KTS OR HIGHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

&&
./PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...452 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (THIS WEEKEND)...A RATHER WET AND STORMY WEEKEND IS ON
TAP AS A SOMEWHAT COMPLICATED WEATHER SITUATION UNFOLDS. EARLY THIS
MORNING, A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY/PURCHASE REGION SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE ARKLATEX INTO
SE TEXAS. THIS WAS OCCURRING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SHORTWAVE SWINGING INTO THE MIDSOUTH. THE MOST
VIGOROUS CONVECTION ALONG THE LINE IS ONGOING OVER EAST TX AND WEST
LA, AND THIS IS WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER ACROSS OUR
AREA LATER ON TODAY AS IT CONTINUES EASTWARD.

CURRENT TRENDS/CONSENSUS AMONG HIGH RES MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST STORMS
WILL BEGIN TO REACH OUR NE LA PARISHES AROUND MID-MORNING. WITH THIS
TIME FRAME STILL BEING ON THE DOWNSIDE OF THE DIURNAL INSTABILITY
CURVE, THE STORMS ARE GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS ACTIVE AT
THAT POINT. HOWEVER, THROUGH THE DAY AS INSTABILITY INCREASES AHEAD
OF THE LINE, STRENGTHENING/REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS
CONVECTION CONTINUES EASTWARD. HIGH RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO BE GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-20, BUT THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER
STORMS TO SPREAD FARTHER NORTH ESPECIALLY WITH EASTWARD EXTENT AS
THERE IS MORE OPPORTUNITY FOR DAYTIME HEATING. THE LOWEST CONFIDENCE
IN STRONG/SEVERE STORMS IS ACROSS THE DELTA, WHERE RAIN WILL LIKELY
BEGIN EARLY IN THE DAY WITH LESS OPPORTUNITY FOR DESTABILIZATION.
WITH THIS IN MIND, FOR GRAPHICS/HWO THE ELEVATED WILL BE REMOVED IN
THE WEST AND THE LIMITED WILL BE EXPANDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA. IF IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT THE LINE WILL BE MORE ACTIVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA, AN ELEVATED THREAT MAY NEED TO
BE INTRODUCED LATER TODAY. TIMING WILL ALSO BE BUMPED UP, AS THE
LINE MAY BE THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

HEADING INTO TONIGHT, THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WAKE OF THE
STORMS THAT PUSH THROUGH TODAY. SOME REDEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE FRONT, BUT RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS MOST OF THAT WILL REMAIN
NORTHWEST OF THE CWA IN ARKANSAS. THE FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO THE CWA ON SUNDAY, WITH REDEVELOPMENT EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR. IF THERE IS SUFFICIENT
INSOLATION, INSTABILITY MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG/
SEVERE CONVECTION TOMORROW, BUT FORCING AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
MUCH WEAKER, MAKING THIS THREAT MORE UNCERTAIN. WITH THAT IN MIND, NO
THREAT WILL BE INTRODUCED IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.

WITH THE SHIFT IN EXPECTATIONS FROM THE AXIS OF MORE ACTIVE STORMS
AND HEAVY RAIN BEING OVER THE DELTA FARTHER SOUTH TO ACROSS CENTRAL
LA AND SOUTH MS, THAT ALSO SHIFTS EXPECTATIONS FOR THE FLOODING
THREAT. THOUGH MUCH OF THE DELTA MAY MISS OUT ON THE HEAVIEST RAIN,
PRECIP IS JUST BEGINNING TO ARRIVE IN THAT AREA, AND WITH THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE LINE THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THUS, THE
FLOOD WATCH WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THAT AREA, BUT WE WILL LOWER
EXPECTED AMOUNTS. PERHAPS OF GREATER CONCERN IS AREAS FARTHER SOUTH
FROM CENTRAL LA ACROSS SOUTH MS. IN THESE AREAS, THERE WILL ALSO BE
GREATER RAIN CHANCES CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. IF MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUED TO TREND IN THIS DIRECTION, LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO MAKE
AN EASTWARD EXTENSION TO THE WATCH INTO THE PINE BELT. FOR NOW, WE
WILL EXTEND A MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING CONCERNS IN THE HWO
INTO SUNDAY, MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA. /DL/

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND)...THE PERIOD OF ACTIVE
WEATHER WE ARE CURRENTLY IN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY
MONDAY MORNING...ONE WAVE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEPART
WITH ANOTHER ON OUR DOORSTEP TO THE WEST. RAIN AND STORMS WILL
AFFECT THE ARKLAMISS REGION THROUGH TUESDAY AS THIS SHOULD BE THE
FINAL ROUND. THIS ACTIVITY WILL COME AHEAD OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT
ACTUALLY MOVING INTO THE REGION SLOWLY THROUGH TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY
THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH AS WELL BY WEDNESDAY.
HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN GIVEN HOWEVER MUCH
RAIN MAY FALL PRECEDING THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
TRICKY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD AS CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HAMPER MUCH
WARMING AND THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT WILL ALSO MAKE FOR A
VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE ACROSS THE AREA.

ONCE THE FRONT PASSES AND THE UPPER TROUGH ALSO SWINGS THROUGH...
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD. WITH A LARGE UPPER LOW SPINNING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTRY...THIS WILL LEAVE OUR REGION UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
THIS WOULD SUGGEST COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WE SHOULD SEE READINGS
BACK CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. BRIEF SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL MOVE
OVER THE AREA FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. OVERALL...SHOULD BE
SOME NICE WEATHER FOR THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND ONCE WE GET THROUGH SOME OF THE WET WEATHER IN THE SHORTER
TERM. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CIGS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA THIS MORNING, WITH IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AS A LINE OF
SHRA/TSRA PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING/
AFTERNOON HOURS. BRIEF VISBY CATEGORICAL REDUCTIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
+RA, AND 50 KT WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LINE ALONG WITH
SMALL HAIL. LOW CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK IN OVER THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT, WITH MVFR/IFR CATEGORIES POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT TO NW AT SITES IN THE DELTA SUNDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       79  67  82  65 /  94  59  53  49
MERIDIAN      82  66  81  64 /  86  43  68  27
VICKSBURG     79  69  83  66 /  94  49  43  58
HATTIESBURG   82  66  82  66 /  95  55  70  29
NATCHEZ       80  67  81  66 /  95  59  62  54
GREENVILLE    79  66  82  63 /  60  30  23  50
GREENWOOD     78  66  82  63 /  57  40  29  49

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR MSZ018-019-025-034-
     035-040-041.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR MSZ026>029-032-036-037-042>044-047>050-053>055-
     059>063.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR LAZ024>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

17/DL/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-034-011630-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES IN BEHIND THE RAIN.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS
AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

MSZ032-011630-
CHOCTAW-
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. A
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. ALSO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

LAZ008-009-015-016-MSZ025>029-035-036-040>042-011630-
WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
YAZOO-
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS
AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-045-046-051-052-056>058-064>066-072>074-
011630-
CLAY-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. A
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. ALSO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ037-043-044-047>050-053>055-059>063-011630-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
1126 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. A
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. ALSO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
903 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-301430-
ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-
903 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN CHICOT AND SOUTHEASTERN
ASHLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 930 AM CDT...

AT 902 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER WILMOT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTLAND AROUND 915 AM CDT.
  MONTROSE AROUND 920 AM CDT.
  LAKE VILLAGE AND MCMILLAN CORNER AROUND 930 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3346 9141 3336 9115 3301 9139 3302 9172
TIME...MOT...LOC 1402Z 213DEG 45KT 3308 9156

7

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1027 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-034-301630-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
1027 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

... WAKE LOW GUSTY WINDS ONGOING ACROSS THE DELTA...

WAKE LOW IS DEVELOPING IN SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WHERE
PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE WAKE OF THE LIGHT RAIN MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN MONTICELLO AND EL DORADO
ARKANSAS NEAR 40MPH. GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 40 TO 50MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST ARE POSSIBLE. ONCE THE WINDS BEGIN TO
INCREASE...THEY COULD LAST AROUND AN HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE GUSTY WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9076 3310 9068 3301 9143
      3262 9166 3251 9191 3310 9214 3340 9199
      3339 9146 3356 9145 3352 9125 3360 9113
      3370 9122 3368 9103 3373 9115 3378 9099
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1525Z 240DEG 49KT 3327 9155

DC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-034-301730-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
1130 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...WAKE LOW GUSTY WINDS ONGOING ACROSS THE DELTA...

WAKE LOW IS DEVELOPING IN SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WHERE
PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE WAKE OF THE LIGHT RAIN MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS ARE BEING REPORTED IN MONTICELLO AND EL DORADO
ARKANSAS NEAR 40MPH. GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 40 TO 50MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST ARE POSSIBLE. ONCE THE WINDS BEGIN TO
INCREASE...THEY COULD LAST AROUND AN HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE GUSTY WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9076 3310 9068 3301 9143
      3262 9166 3251 9191 3310 9214 3340 9199
      3339 9146 3356 9145 3352 9125 3360 9113
      3370 9122 3368 9103 3373 9115 3378 9099
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1629Z 240DEG 49KT 3370 9066

DC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1228 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-034-301830-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-
1228 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...WAKE LOW GUSTY WINDS ONGOING ACROSS THE DELTA...

WAKE LOW IS DEVELOPING IN SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WHERE
PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE WAKE OF THE LIGHT RAIN MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN MONTICELLO AND EL DORADO
ARKANSAS NEAR 40MPH. CLEVELAND MISSISSIPPI HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40MPH WITH GUSTS JUST OVER 50MPH. GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 40
TO 50MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST ARE POSSIBLE. ONCE THE WINDS
BEGIN TO INCREASE...THEY COULD LAST AROUND AN HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE GUSTY WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3362 9076 3399 9066 3399 9045
      3333 9045 3326 9073 3310 9068 3301 9143
      3262 9166 3251 9190 3310 9214 3340 9199
      3339 9146 3356 9145 3352 9125 3368 9103
      3397 9109 3409 9087 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1725Z 240DEG 49KT 3408 8987

DC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1229 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
04/30/2016  E51 MPH          BOLIVAR            MS   AWOS

            FROM WAKE LOW GRADIENT WINDS

&&

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
104 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

MSZ061-301830-
FRANKLIN MS-
104 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL 130 PM
CDT...

AT 104 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BUDE...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF LIBERTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUDE AND KIRBY AROUND 115 PM CDT.
  NEW HOPE AND MCCALL CREEK AROUND 130 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE MEADVILLE AND ROXIE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

&&

LAT...LON 3136 9073 3136 9114 3160 9103 3159 9065
TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 216DEG 23KT 3140 9093

CME