Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 20, NWS Lincoln, IL
NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Aug 30, 2016, 11:36 AM CDT for Peoria County, Tazewell County, Woodford County, Illinois. It took effect at Sep 1, 2016, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 30, 2016, 11:36 AM CDT (16:36 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 1, 2016, 7:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 4, 2016, 1:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Lincoln, IL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Peoria County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Woodford County, IL
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Illinois River at Peoria (PIAI2).
- Action stage
- 17 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 22 ft
- Major stage
- 28 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
476
WGUS43 KILX 301636
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1136 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.
&&
ILC143-179-203-310636-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0020.160901T1200Z-160904T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T1200Z.160902T1200Z.160904T1200Z.NO/
1136 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* From Thursday morning until Sunday afternoon.
* At 1045 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
to rise to near 18.3 feet by Friday morning.The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Illinois River
Peoria 18 16.5 Tue 11 AM 17.3 18.0 18.3
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-310636-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0021.160901T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T0600Z.160904T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1136 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* From late Wednesday night until further notice.
* At 1045 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and
continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Minor flooding begins to agricultural areas
not protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 13.2 Tue 11 AM 13.5 14.1 14.8
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$6 follow-up statements
843
WGUS83 KILX 310135
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
835 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
Illinois River at Havana affecting Cass...Fulton and Mason Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC143-179-203-311535-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.160901T1800Z-160905T0000Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T1800Z.160902T1800Z.160904T1800Z.NO/
835 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* From Thursday afternoon until Sunday evening.
* At 745 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 18.3 feet by Friday afternoon.The river
will fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Illinois River
Peoria 18 16.9 Tue 8 PM 17.2 17.9 18.2
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC017-057-125-311535-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.1.ER.160830T0445Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Havana.
* Until further notice.
* At 745 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.9 feet by
early Saturday morning then begin falling.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Illinois River
Havana 14 14.7 Tue 8 PM 15.0 16.0 16.7
&&
LAT...LON 4053 8988 4047 8980 4034 9002 4012 9017
4018 9023 4039 9010
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-311535-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.160901T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T0000Z.160905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 745 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue
to rise to near 15.8 feet by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 14.4 feet...Seepage problems begin in the Coal Creek
Drainage and Levee District.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 13.4 Tue 8 PM 13.7 14.3 14.8
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$499
WGUS83 KILX 311613
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1113 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River at Havana affecting Cass...Fulton and Mason Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC143-179-203-010613-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.160901T0900Z-160904T0600Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T0900Z.160902T0600Z.160904T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* From late tonight until late Saturday night.
* At 1045 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and
continue to rise to near 18.3 feet by early Friday morning.The
river will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Peoria 18 17.4 Wed 11 AM 18.1 18.3 18.1
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC017-057-125-010613-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.1.ER.160830T0445Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Havana.
* Until further notice.
* At 1045 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by
early Saturday morning then begin falling.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Havana 14 15.0 Wed 11 AM 15.6 16.1 16.4
&&
LAT...LON 4053 8988 4047 8980 4034 9002 4012 9017
4018 9023 4039 9010
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-010613-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.160901T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T0600Z.160904T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 1045 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and
continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.4 feet...Seepage problems begin in the Coal Creek
Drainage and Levee District.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 13.7 Wed 11 AM 14.1 14.7 15.3
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$065
WGUS83 KILX 010157
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
857 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
Illinois River at Havana affecting Cass...Fulton and Mason Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC143-179-203-011557-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.160901T1200Z-160903T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T1200Z.160902T0600Z.160903T1200Z.NO/
857 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* From Thursday morning until Saturday afternoon.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 18.3 feet by early Friday morning.The river will
fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Peoria 18 17.7 Wed 9 PM 18.0 18.3 18.0
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC017-057-125-011557-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.1.ER.160830T0445Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Havana.
* Until further notice.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet by
Saturday morning then begin falling.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Havana 14 15.2 Wed 9 PM 15.4 15.9 16.3
&&
LAT...LON 4053 8988 4047 8980 4034 9002 4012 9017
4018 9023 4039 9010
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-011556-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.160901T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T1200Z.160906T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 15.8 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 14.4 feet...Seepage problems begin in the Coal Creek
Drainage and Levee District.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 13.9 Wed 9 PM 14.0 14.6 15.1
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$530
WGUS83 KILX 011557
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River at Havana affecting Cass...Fulton and Mason Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC143-179-203-020557-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160904T0000Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T1800Z.160902T1200Z.160903T1800Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 1045 AM Thursday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 18.3 feet by tomorrow morning.The river will fall
below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Peoria 18 17.9 Thu 11 AM 18.3 18.1 17.7
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC017-057-125-020557-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.1.ER.160830T0445Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Havana.
* Until further notice.
* At 1045 AM Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet by
Saturday morning then begin falling.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Havana 14 15.5 Thu 11 AM 15.9 16.3 16.3
&&
LAT...LON 4053 8988 4047 8980 4034 9002 4012 9017
4018 9023 4039 9010
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-020557-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T1048Z.160906T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* Until further notice.
* At 945 AM Thursday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.8 feet by
early Tuesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 14.4 feet...Seepage problems begin in the Coal Creek
Drainage and Levee District.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 14.1 Thu 10 AM 14.6 15.1 15.5
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$514
WGUS83 KILX 020136
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
836 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
Illinois River at Beardstown affecting Brown...Cass...Morgan and
Schuyler Counties
Illinois River at Havana affecting Cass...Fulton and Mason Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.
Additional river and weather information is available at
www.weather.gov/ilx.
&&
ILC143-179-203-021536-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160903T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T2055Z.160901T2230Z.160903T1200Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain near flood stage through Saturday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Some flooding begins to bottomland not
protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Peoria 18 18.0 Thu 8 PM 18.0 18.0 17.7
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$
ILC017-057-125-021536-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.1.ER.160830T0445Z.160902T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Havana.
* Until further notice.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.8 feet by
tomorrow afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Minor flooding begins to agricultural areas
not protected by levees.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Havana 14 15.6 Thu 8 PM 15.7 15.7 15.7
&&
LAT...LON 4053 8988 4047 8980 4034 9002 4012 9017
4018 9023 4039 9010
$$
ILC009-017-137-169-021536-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160908T0600Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.160901T1048Z.160904T1200Z.160908T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Illinois River at Beardstown.
* Until Thursday September 08.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by
Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday
evening.
* Impact...At 14.4 feet...Seepage problems begin in the Coal Creek
Drainage and Levee District.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Illinois River
Beardstown 14 14.2 Thu 8 PM 14.4 14.8 15.0
&&
LAT...LON 4018 9023 4012 9017 4008 9037 3999 9046
3999 9058 4015 9043
$$282
WGUS83 KILX 021540
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1040 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in
Illinois...
Illinois River near Peoria affecting Peoria...Tazewell and Woodford
Counties
The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation. River levels are
expected to continue falling.
Since flooding has subsided, this will be the last statement for this
flooding event.
ILC143-179-203-021610-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160903T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.160901T2055Z.160901T2230Z.160901T2240Z.NO/
1040 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Illinois River near Peoria.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 540 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.6 feet by tomorrow
morning.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 6AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon
Illinois River
Peoria 18 17.9 Fri 10 AM 17.6 17.1 16.5
&&
LAT...LON 4093 8952 4093 8941 4062 8957 4047 8980
4053 8988 4068 8965
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 30, 11:31 AM CDT, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 11:31 AM CDT, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1131 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016 .UPDATE... Issued at 1125 AM CDT Tue Aug 30 2016 Wave passing through the area this morning are resulting in quite a bit of rain across Central Illinois. Several areas are reporting issues with local roads with the high precip rates. Rates of an inch or so an hour have been reported. Forecast is doing well, but will be adjusting the pops going into the afternoon shortly. Models have been inconsistent and the extensive cloud cover may limit the precip...but expect at least sct activity. Will be adjusting the wording accordingly. In the SE, where there is still plenty of sunshine, the higher max temps remain. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) ISSUED AT 337 AM CDT Tue Aug 30 2016 Surface high pressure ridge will sit over the northern part of the state through the day and then slowly slide south. As this occurs, a weak surface wave will move east into the area. Storms have already developed in the northwest part of the CWA, but additional storms are expected to develop in the west and northwest and then move east and southeast through the afternoon and into the evening. Likely pops are expected early this afternoon northwest of I-55 to account for where storms are expected to move into first. Storms will probably be scattered across the area this afternoon and into this evening, so will just maintain chances pops over most of the area east of I-55 this afternoon and through tonight. Temps will be warm again today, but should be more clouds this afternoon where the rain is expected to be. Warmest temps will be in the southeast where should be lots of sun through the day. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday) ISSUED AT 337 AM CDT Tue Aug 30 2016 A 593 dm 500 mb subtropical ridge was over the mid MS river valley this morning and has been ridging in from the mid Atlantic states the past few days, providing the tropical summer time heat and humidity. The upper level pattern will begin to shift as a 563 dm 500 mb low near the Manitoba/Ontario and Hudson Bay border deepens to around 560 dm as it tracks southeast into western Quebec by Wed afternoon. This deepens an upper level trof over the Great Lakes and Ohio valley on Wed and Wed night, and drives a cold front sse over central IL on Wed, and exiting southeast IL by sunset Wed and bringing a good chance of showers/thunderstorms on Wed with its passage. MUCAPES run from 1500-2200 J/KG from IL river southeast on Wed afternoon while 0-6 km Bulk Shear fairly weak from 20-25 kts over eastern IL. So SPC does not have a marginal risk on Wed afternoon, but will continue a threat of locally heavy rain as Precipitable water values are 1.60-2.10 inches from IL river southeast through Wed afternoon and into southeast IL early Wed evening until dusk and lingered isolated convection early Wed evening in far southeast IL. One more muggy day on Wed with dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s with highs around 80F from I-74 north and mid 80s south of I-70. Big change in airmass on Wed night and Thu as 1029 mb Canadian high pressure noses southward from Hudson Bay and Ontario into WI with NNE flow bringing in cooler and less humid air. Lows Wed night will be in the upper 50s over central IL, and lower 60s from I-70 south. Mostly sunny skies Thu with highs actually below normal in the upper 70s, with Lawrenceville near 80F. More comfortable dewpoints in the upper 50s/lower 60s. Similar conditions expected Thu night and Friday as surface high pressure slowly builds over the western Great Lakes and upper level ridge shifts eastward toward IL by Friday afternoon. Fair and less humid weather prevailing with sunny skies Friday. Lows Thu night in the mid to upper 50s, highs on Friday in the upper 70s. Dewpoints only 55-60F on Friday. Another pleasant sunny day expected on Saturday over central and southeast IL as surface high pressure drifts into the eastern Great Lakes and upper level ridge expands into the Ohio river valley. Highs near 80F on Saturday with dewpoints in the upper 50s/lower 60s with fairly light ESE winds. Temperatures and dewpoints gradually rise on Sunday and Monday as surface high pressure moves into New England and the mid Atlantic states and get an increasing southerly flow. Sunday still looks dry across the CWA with mostly sunny skies. Highs in the lower 80s Sunday with Lawrenceville near 85F with dewpoints rising into the mid to upper 60s by Sunday afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s on Monday (Labor Day) with more muggy dewpoints in the upper 60s to near 70F. A weather disturbance ejecting northeast across the upper Midwest on Sunday night and Monday, to bring a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms nw of the IL river overnight Sunday night and then a 20-30% of showers/thunderstorms from I-55 northwest on Monday while eastcentral and southeast IL stays dry on Monday. Have 20-40% chance of convection nw of I-70 on Monday night into Tue with highest pops focused over the IL river valley closer to low pressure tracking northeast across central or nw parts of IA and WI. A tropical depression with 35 mph winds drifting westward off the west coast of Cuba is forecast by NHC to become a tropical storm and turn northeast and move into northeast Florida by sunset Thursday, and pass southeast of NC on Friday night into Saturday. This tropical system should keep its rainfall well southeast of IL. But if traveling to Florida or the southeast Atlantic coastal region, monitor later forecasts and statements from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning) Issued at 659 AM CDT Wed Sep 1 2016 Scattered showers and thunderstorms have already developed along a boundary near PIA with additional showers developing along the associated outflow boundary near BMI. Also appears there is a weak boundary from SPI to CMI so expecting scattered convection to develop there too. So all sites will have VCTS with TEMPO group at PIA and BMI this morning. Lots of light fog as well so have this included at all sites as a TEMPO group and am expecting this to improve around 13-14z. HiRes models do not have a good handle on current situation, but am expecting convection to dissipate for later this morning, though briefly. Additional convection should develop early afternoon in the west and then progress to the east through the afternoon. For now will just have VCTS for all sites, but would expect a TEMPO group to be added later today once things get going. Winds will be light out of the east, but will switch to variable for this afternoon and into the evening. && .ILX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && UPDATE...HJS SHORT TERM...Auten LONG TERM...07 AVIATION...Auten
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 30, 11:34 AM CDT, 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 1134 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016 ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-311100- CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND- DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN- MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT- RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION- WOODFORD- 1134 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE AND THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. HJS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 30, 7:33 AM CDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
733 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
08/30/2016 M2.66 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION TOULON /TOUI2/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE DAHINDA 40.94N 90.09W
08/30/2016 M1.38 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION DAHINDA /DHDI2/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNW SHIRLEY 40.46N 89.06W
08/30/2016 M1.34 INCH MCLEAN IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 3 NW SHIRLEY /IL-MCL-39/.
0655 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E LACON 41.02N 89.39W
08/30/2016 M1.17 INCH MARSHALL IL AWOS
AWOS STATION MARSHALL COUNTY AP /C75/.
&&
NWS LINCOLN IL
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Aug 30, 7:56 AM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
756 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0750 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E VICTORIA 41.03N 90.08W
08/30/2016 M5.06 INCH KNOX IL TRAINED SPOTTER
.
0653 AM HEAVY RAIN WATAGA 41.03N 90.28W
08/30/2016 M2.60 INCH KNOX IL PUBLIC
.
&&
NWS LINCOLN IL
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Aug 30, 8:02 AM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
802 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0801 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 WNW PEORIA 40.77N 89.67W
08/30/2016 M1.47 INCH PEORIA IL NWS EMPLOYEE
. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 2
HOURS 30 MINUTES.
&&
BAKERLocal storm report, Aug 30, 8:28 AM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
828 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
08/30/2016 M2.66 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION TOULON /TOUI2/.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN LACON 41.02N 89.42W
08/30/2016 M2.30 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION LACON /LCOI2/.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW PEORIA 40.75N 89.62W
08/30/2016 M1.63 INCH PEORIA IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION 5 NW PEORIA /PRWI2/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE DAHINDA 40.94N 90.09W
08/30/2016 M1.38 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION DAHINDA /DHDI2/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNW SHIRLEY 40.46N 89.06W
08/30/2016 M1.34 INCH MCLEAN IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 3 NW SHIRLEY /IL-MCL-39/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.19W
08/30/2016 M1.28 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ROANOKE /ROAI2/.
0655 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E LACON 41.02N 89.39W
08/30/2016 M1.17 INCH MARSHALL IL AWOS
AWOS STATION MARSHALL COUNTY AP /C75/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE WASHINGTON 40.72N 89.41W
08/30/2016 M1.16 INCH TAZEWELL IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 2 NE WASHINGTON /IL-TZ-23/.
&&
NWS LINCOLN IL
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Aug 30, 8:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
830 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNW SHIRLEY 40.46N 89.06W
08/30/2016 M1.34 INCH MCLEAN IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 3 NW SHIRLEY /IL-MCL-39/.
0750 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E VICTORIA 41.03N 90.08W
08/30/2016 M5.06 INCH KNOX IL TRAINED SPOTTER
.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN LACON 41.02N 89.42W
08/30/2016 M2.30 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION LACON /LCOI2/.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW PEORIA 40.75N 89.62W
08/30/2016 M1.63 INCH PEORIA IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION 5 NW PEORIA /PRWI2/.
0801 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 WNW PEORIA 40.77N 89.67W
08/30/2016 M1.47 INCH PEORIA IL NWS EMPLOYEE
.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE DAHINDA 40.94N 90.09W
08/30/2016 M1.38 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION DAHINDA /DHDI2/.
0653 AM HEAVY RAIN WATAGA 41.03N 90.28W
08/30/2016 M2.60 INCH KNOX IL PUBLIC
.
0513 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNW SHIRLEY 40.46N 89.07W
08/29/2016 M1.33 INCH MCLEAN IL NWS EMPLOYEE
FROM THIS AFTERNOON'S THUNDERSTORMS.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.19W
08/30/2016 M1.28 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION ROANOKE /ROAI2/.
0655 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E LACON 41.02N 89.39W
08/30/2016 M1.17 INCH MARSHALL IL AWOS
AWOS STATION MARSHALL COUNTY AP /C75/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE WASHINGTON 40.72N 89.41W
08/30/2016 M1.16 INCH TAZEWELL IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 2 NE WASHINGTON /IL-TZ-23/.
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
08/30/2016 M2.66 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION TOULON /TOUI2/.
&&
NWS LINCOLN IL
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Aug 30, 9:58 AM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
958 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE MORTON 40.60N 89.46W
08/30/2016 M2.86 INCH TAZEWELL IL COCORAHS
.
0940 AM HEAVY RAIN HENRY 41.11N 89.36W
08/30/2016 M2.37 INCH MARSHALL IL EMERGENCY MNGR
.
0845 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE LAWN RIDGE 41.02N 89.56W
08/30/2016 M1.70 INCH MARSHALL IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 3 NE LAWN RIDGE /IL-MH-3/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNE MINONK 40.91N 89.03W
08/30/2016 M1.22 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MINONK /MINI2/.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE WASHINGTON 40.72N 89.41W
08/30/2016 M1.16 INCH TAZEWELL IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION 2 NE WASHINGTON /IL-TZ-23/.
&&
NWS LINCOLN IL
IRIS SYSTEMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 7:54 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | ILX | Cass, Fulton, Mason | 22 days |
| Aug 30, 9:04 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILX | Tazewell | 3 hr |
| Aug 30, 9:34 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Tazewell | 3 hr |
| Aug 30, 11:36 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | ILX | Brown, Cass, Morgan, Schuyler | 20 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.