Freeze Warning 5, NWS Lincoln, IL

Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Coles County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Knox County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Woodford County, IL

986 
WWUS73 KILX 111925
NPWILX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
225 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES RETURN TO CENTRAL ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT...

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-120500-
/O.CON.KILX.FZ.W.0005.160412T0500Z-160412T1400Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...TOULON...PEORIA...LACON...
EUREKA...CANTON...PEKIN...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...RUSHVILLE...
HAVANA...LINCOLN...CLINTON...MONTICELLO...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...BEARDSTOWN...PETERSBURG...WINCHESTER...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...SULLIVAN...TUSCOLA...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...PARIS...SHELBYVILLE
225 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES LATER TONIGHT AND
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MIDDLE 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORMALLY
  COLDER LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER.

* IMPACTS...UNPROTECTED TENDER AND NEW VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED
  IF NOT PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION. COVER SENSITIVE PLANTS OR BRING INDOORS FOR
PROTECTION. 

&&

$$

07/BARKER

868 
WWUS73 KILX 120208
NPWILX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
908 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES RETURN TO CENTRAL ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT...

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-121000-
/O.CON.KILX.FZ.W.0005.160412T0500Z-160412T1400Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...TOULON...PEORIA...LACON...
EUREKA...CANTON...PEKIN...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...RUSHVILLE...
HAVANA...LINCOLN...CLINTON...MONTICELLO...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...BEARDSTOWN...PETERSBURG...WINCHESTER...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...SULLIVAN...TUSCOLA...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...PARIS...SHELBYVILLE
908 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES LATER TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MIDDLE 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORMALLY 
  COLDER LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER. 

* IMPACTS...UNPROTECTED TENDER AND NEW VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED 
  IF NOT PROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION. COVER SENSITIVE PLANTS OR BRING INDOORS FOR
PROTECTION.

&&

$$

162 
WWUS73 KILX 120827
NPWILX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
327 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING...

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-121400-
/O.CON.KILX.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160412T1400Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...TOULON...PEORIA...LACON...
EUREKA...CANTON...PEKIN...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...RUSHVILLE...
HAVANA...LINCOLN...CLINTON...MONTICELLO...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...BEARDSTOWN...PETERSBURG...WINCHESTER...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...SULLIVAN...TUSCOLA...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...PARIS...SHELBYVILLE
327 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 20S
  AND LOWER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION. COVER SENSITIVE PLANTS OR BRING INDOORS FOR
PROTECTION.

&&

$$

BARNES

558 
WWUS73 KILX 121316
NPWILX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
816 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-121430-
/O.CAN.KILX.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160412T1400Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...TOULON...PEORIA...LACON...
EUREKA...CANTON...PEKIN...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...RUSHVILLE...
HAVANA...LINCOLN...CLINTON...MONTICELLO...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...BEARDSTOWN...PETERSBURG...WINCHESTER...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...SULLIVAN...TUSCOLA...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...PARIS...SHELBYVILLE
816 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WELL ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AS OF 8 AM. 

$$
GEELHART

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
705 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today)
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2016

08z/3am surface analysis shows cold front along a Danville to
Taylorville line...with widespread showers and a few thunderstorms
occurring ahead of it across the SE KILX CWA.  The precipitation has
come to an end behind the boundary: however, areas of fog have
developed in the very moist low-level airmass.  The fog is
thickest/most widespread immediately to the north of the front where
winds are very light...then visibilities improve further north and
west where winds have increased and drier air is beginning to
trickle in from the northwest.  Based on expected position of the
boundary and the latest HRRR forecast, have included fog in the
early morning forecast along/south of a Danville to Taylorville
line.  Front will only make slow progress southward and with a wave
of low pressure tracking along it, showers will persist for much of
the day across the E/SE CWA. Models disagree on how far north the
precip will spread, with the GFS being the most aggressive with
the developing wave and thus the furthest north with the rain.
Meanwhile, higher-res models such as the NAM, Rapid Refresh, and
HRRR all maintain a weaker surface low and keep the precip further
south.  Given lack of a strong wave currently and only modest
upper support, think the weaker solution is the way to go.  As a
result, have confined PoPs to locations along/south of I-72...with
the heaviest rains remaining along/south of I-70.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2016

Once the surface wave tracks into the Ohio River Valley later today,
the front will get pulled southward and any lingering showers will
come to an end across the far SE CWA early this evening.  As another
strong Canadian high pressure builds in from the northwest, skies
will clear and temperatures will drop tonight.  Clear skies and
diminishing winds will allow good radiational cooling to develop,
which will cause lows to drop into the upper 20s and lower 30s.
As a result, a Freeze Warning will likely be needed...especially
for areas along and north of the I-70 corridor.

The high will be overhead on Tuesday, ensuring sunny but cool
conditions with highs in the lower to middle 50s.  Another
potentially frosty night will be in store Tuesday night as the ridge
axis remains overhead and lows dip back into the lower 30s.  After
that, a steady warming trend will be in store through the remainder
of the extended.  The persistent upper troughing over eastern
Canada/Great Lakes will be replaced by a ridge axis as blocking
develops across the CONUS by the end of the week.  The only possible
fly-in-the-ointment will be a weak upper wave projected to track
under the ridge axis across the mid-Mississippi River Valley into
the Tennessee River Valley Thursday into Friday.  So far, the models
are keeping this feature south of Illinois, but it will have to be
monitored over the next few runs to see if the track changes. For
now, am expecting warm and dry conditions right through next
weekend.  High temperatures will climb each and every day, reaching
the lower 70s by Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2016

The cold front has progressed south of all the terminal sites
already this morning. CMI and DEC were the last to see the passage
in just the last few hours. CMI is the only site to still see LIFR
conditions with a ovc002 ceiling and 3/4sm BR fog. DEC has MVFR
vis at TAF start time. Upstream trends indicate CMI and DEC should
see VFR conditions develop by 15z at the latest. A band of rain
showers will persist south of I-72 today, but no rain is expected
at the terminal sites.

Winds behind the cold front will become NW and increase to 13g23kt
through the day. Northwest winds will diminish quickly tonight
under advancing high pressure, remaining 3-6kt overnight.

&&

.ILX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM...Barnes
AVIATION...Shimon

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
426 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-121100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-FULTON-KNOX-
LOGAN-MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-
PIATT-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
426 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL LINGER FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY THIS MORNING
AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. AREAS BETWEEN I-72 AND I-70 WILL
HAVE BETTER CHANCES OF SEEING THE FOG BEFORE SUNRISE.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT,
CREATING A HAZARD FOR SENSITIVE EARLY SEASON GROWTH ON PLANTS AND
TREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT,
WITH SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES MORE LIKELY EAST OF BLOOMINGTON TO
PARIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-121100-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
426 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE PEA SIZE
HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS.

TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH FREEZING TONIGHT, WITH FROST POSSIBLE.

THE WABASH RIVER WILL BE IN FLOOD OR GET TO FLOOD THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN. PARTS OF THE
LITTLE WABASH AND EMBARRAS RIVER WILL CLIMB ABOVE MINOR FLOOD
TODAY AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT WITH FROST
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHIMON