Tornado Warning 15, NWS Wilmington, OH

858 
WWUS51 KILN 171713
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
113 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

OHC001-131-145-171730-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160817T1730Z/
SCIOTO OH-PIKE OH-ADAMS OH-
113 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SCIOTO...SOUTH CENTRAL PIKE AND NORTHEASTERN ADAMS
COUNTIES...
    
AT 112 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR PEEBLES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE
         IS LIKELY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RARDEN...OTWAY...LADD AND MOUNT JOY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3890 8337 3899 8337 3901 8314 3886 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 271DEG 24KT 3895 8329 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

495 
WWUS51 KILN 171724
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
124 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

OHC001-171733-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160817T1730Z/
ADAMS OH-
124 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3888 8327 3900 8327 3901 8314 3886 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 273DEG 24KT 3895 8319 

$$

OHC131-145-171730-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160817T1730Z/
SCIOTO OH-PIKE OH-
124 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SCIOTO AND SOUTH CENTRAL PIKE COUNTIES...
    
AT 123 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF LUCASVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE
         IS LIKELY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RARDEN...OTWAY...LADD AND MOUNT JOY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 8327 3900 8327 3901 8314 3886 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 273DEG 24KT 3895 8319 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

BINAU

429 
WWUS51 KILN 171730
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
130 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

OHC131-145-171740-
/O.EXP.KILN.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160817T1730Z/
SCIOTO OH-PIKE OH-
130 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN SCIOTO AND SOUTH CENTRAL PIKE
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN
AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3888 8327 3900 8327 3901 8314 3886 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1728Z 273DEG 24KT 3895 8319 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
943 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
An area of convergent flow in a moist airmass will keep an
increased chance of showers along a now nebulous front oriented along
the I-71 corridor this morning. This area will move southeast
today and a relative lull in activity is expected through early
Saturday. More widespread storms will again occur later Saturday ahead
of a cold front that will cross the region Sunday, finally
providing an actual dry and more comfortable stretch of weather
to the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Widespread pcpn is working its way across primarily southern
portions of our fa this morning. This is associated with a nice
850-700 mb deformation axis that is forecast to shift off to the
east/southeast of us through the afternoon hours. Thus, expect to
see the more widespread pcpn gradually taper off from west to
east as we head through late morning and on into this afternoon.
Will then just hang on to some low chances for pcpn through the
rest of the afternoon as forcing is weak and instability may be
limited. With PWs still up around 2 inches, some locally heavy
rainfall will still be possible today. Will stick with highs generally
in the low 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Drier conditions will filter in tonight as upper level flow shifts
the systems eastward yet does not have enough to scour the airmass
out.

Slightly drier airmass will be found over the region starting
Wednesday night and continuing through the Friday night. PWAT
values will still be 1.5" or so and with any daytime heating,
storms cannot be ruled out entirely for any late day period, with
a possible exception of Thursday where storms should remain out of
the CWA due to a lack of any real forcing mechanism. Friday storm
coverage will still be isolated to scattered in nature in a
continued nebulous pattern.

Overnight lows will bottom out in the upper 60s and highs will
reach the mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
By Thursday morning, the upper-level weather pattern across the
CONUS will be flattening out, and the greatest of the deep moisture
over the southeastern states will be shunted a little further to the
south, and not directly over the Ohio Valley. However, surface
ridging will remain in place, keeping a generally warm and moist
pattern from completely exiting the region. This will lead to a
lower overall chance of precipitation, but very little change in
daily temperatures and dewpoints going into the weekend. Weak
convective precipitation appears possible on Thursday, mainly in the
northern sections of the CWA. Increasing moisture from the south
late in the day on Friday will result in chances of precipitation
again, though mainly in the southern half of the forecast area late
in the day.

A wetter pattern will again set up over the weekend, as a large
upper trough deepens over the central states. There is solid model
agreement in an increased chance of showers and storms on both
Saturday and Sunday, but there remain some timing differences
regarding the eventual passage of a cold front (along with a surface
low moving through the Great Lakes). While the 12Z GFS is still
notably quicker than the 12Z ECMWF, both models have shifted a
little toward a common mean, suggesting that the greatest potential
for precipitation may be early on Sunday.

Surface high pressure is expected to move in behind the cold front,
with drier conditions for Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Moisture continues to lift up the stalled frontal boundary over
the region. Pcpn overnight has been light and generally spotting.
Models lift the convection down by SDF ne this morning, generally
running it along I-71. Pcpn should affect the majority of the tafs
through the morning hours. Since there is lighting in the
convection attm, carried VCTS for KCVG/KLUK and KILN.

CIGS have been all over the place, bouncing from vfr to ifr and
back. Time sections are still trying to show very low cigs this
morning. For locations that are vfr, brought cigs down to mvfr in
the pcpn this morning, but confidence is low on exactly where
they will set up.

There could be some lingering showers this afternoon before the
pcpn gets shunted eastward along with H5 vorticity maxima. The cigs
will gradually rise in the afternoon, with the tafs reaching vfr
conditions between 21-00Z.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Franks
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...Franks
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...Sites

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1212 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>095-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>072-077-181345-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-HARDIN-
MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON-
1212 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ096>100-OHZ073-074-078>082-088-181345-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-ROSS-HOCKING-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1212 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. IN ADDITION...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY DAMAGE OR FLOODING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE MELBOURNE         39.09N 84.34W
08/17/2016  M1.20 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FELL IN 45 MINUTES.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1140 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MARIEMONT               39.14N 84.38W
08/17/2016                   HAMILTON           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER ON WOOSTER PIKE.

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CALIFORNIA              39.07N 84.43W
08/17/2016                   HAMILTON           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OVER 1 FOOT OF WATER OVER SUTTON ROAD.

&&

JDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1152 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N HIGHLAND HEIGHTS    39.07N 84.45W
08/17/2016                   CAMPBELL           KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MUDSLIDE I-275 EAST AT MILE MARKER 76.4.

&&

MYRONP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1155 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1116 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SARDINIA                39.01N 83.81W
08/17/2016                   BROWN              OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FIVE BUILDINGS WITH STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. MULTIPLE TREES AND
            POWER LINES DOWNED. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

MYRONP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1226 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW AMELIA             39.02N 84.23W
08/17/2016                   CLERMONT           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGH WATER ENTERING AT LEAST 1 HOME...WITH 1 MOTORISTS
            REQUIRING RESCUE FROM HIGH WATER. MOST OF THE FLASH
            FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN PIERCE TOWNSHIP.

&&

JDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1250 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOWRYSTOWN              39.04N 83.75W
08/17/2016                   HIGHLAND           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AS MUCH AS 1 FOOT OF WATER ON GATH ROAD NEAR STATE ROUTE
            132 JUST WEST OF MOWRYSTOWN. HIGH WATER ALSO REPORTED ON
            SEAMER ROAD.

1205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 W BELFAST             39.06N 83.62W
08/17/2016                   HIGHLAND           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FAIR RIDGE ROAD IMPASSIBLE DUE TO HIGH WATER AS DEEP AS 1
            FOOT.

&&

JDR