Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH
NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at Oct 19, 2016, 10:18 PM EDT for Adams County, Ohio. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 19, 2016, 10:18 PM EDT (02:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 19, 2016, 10:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 27 min
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, OH
County Adams County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 705 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 806 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 2.1
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 19, 8:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 8:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 837 PM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Occasional showers and thunderstorms will be possible tonight as a boundary lifts slowly north across the Ohio Valley. This boundary will push back through the area Thursday into Thursday night, resulting in a continued chance for showers and thunderstorms. A drier but much cooler airmass will settle into the area for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... The frontal boundary remains nearly stationary near the Ohio River. Clusters of thunderstorms have developed along and north of the boundary. Though severe threat is diminishing with loss of daytime heating, strong thunderstorms containing heavy rain will persist tonight as the boundary lifts gradually north through the overnight hours and additional waves ride up along the boundary. This will allow for widespread pcpn to continue through tonight, with convection trending northward according to latest models. Surface based instabilities will drop off overnight, but with the models hanging on to at least some weak elevated instabilities, will go ahead and include at least a chance of some embedded thunderstorms through the night. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... An upper level trough will pivot east across the region Thursday into Friday. This will help push the cold front east through our area Thursday into Thursday night. With additional waves moving up along the front, widespread pcpn will continue through the day on Thursday, before beginning to taper off from west to east Thursday night. Some better instabilities will once again be pulled up into our area ahead of the front, primarily along and southeast of the I-71 corridor. As the better shear sags southeast with the front through the day, we may once again end up with a narrow corridor of overlap between the better instability and increasing shear values. This could result in a marginal severe threat across about the southeast half of our area through Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will likely end up being somewhat non diurnal, especially across our northwest as we start to get into some better low level CAA behind the front. Low level CAA will continue through the day Friday with 850 mb temperatures dropping down to below zero degrees celsius through the afternoon. This will result well below normal temperatures with highs on Friday only in the low to mid 50s expected. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... On Saturday an upper level low will be pulling east of the area with the upper level trough axis also just east of the region. 850 mb temperatures will continue to remain rather cold for this time of year (1 to 2 SD below normal via the NAEFS and GEFS) with both the GFS and ECMWF showing values just below zero. During the day Saturday low level thicknesses and temperatures will slowly start to warm but will remain low enough to keep high temperatures below normal for this time of year. On the back side of the upper level low the CMC/ GFS/ ECMWF are hinting at some possible wrap around weak showers forming Saturday so have kept low chance PoPs in the forecast. Any showers that do form will be weak though and with PWATs around 0.35" coverage should be low. Monday another shortwave will dive south and rotate around the upper level low over Quebec with a weak surface cold front pushing through the area Monday morning. The ECMWF is more progressive with the shortwave and surface cold front while the CMC and GFS is about 6 - 12 hours slower. Either way the better upper level forcing (PVA) all slides east of the area with PWATs remaining around or below 0.75". Due to the mentioned above have kept the area dry Monday into Tuesday. As of now the cold front also looks rather weak across our area. The upper level trough axis remains east of the region keeping the heart of the coldest air east as well. Towards the end of the long term mid-level heights will start to rise across Ohio (576-580 dam). This will equate to rising high temperatures and above normal temperatures Tuesday through Wednesday. && .AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Slow moving boundary will continue to plague aviation concerns. Thunderstorms containing IFR will affect TAF sites tonight. CVG and LUK will see the most impact to start being near the boundary. Northern sites will receive somewhat weaker thunderstorms later tonight as the boundary lifts north of the Ohio River. A potent wave of low pressure will travel up the front late tonight through Thursday. This feature will provide extra moisture convergence and lift to result in widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms. Model soundings indicate ceilings below 1000 ft in the IFR category at northern sites, while southern sites CVG and LUK enjoy slightly higher ceilings in the MVFR range. Gradual improvement may begin at CVG after 00z Friday as the system translates east. Winds will shift from southeast to north, with gusts over 20 knots possible at DAY. OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities likely Thursday night into Friday morning. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS...JGL NEAR TERM...Coniglio/JGL SHORT TERM...JGL LONG TERM...Haines AVIATION...Coniglio
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 19, 7:06 PM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 706 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-201100- WAYNE-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE- MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING- 706 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. INZ058-059-066-OHZ060>065-070>074-080-082-201100- FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH- PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HIGHLAND-PIKE- 706 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND SOME STORMS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-201100- RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON- CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HAMILTON- CLERMONT-BROWN-ADAMS-SCIOTO- 706 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING TONIGHT. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND SOME STORMS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 19, 7:43 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
743 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM TSTM WND DMG BURLINGTON 39.02N 84.72W
10/19/2016 BOONE KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOONE
COUNTY
&&Local storm report, Oct 19, 8:18 PM EDT, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
818 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0720 PM TSTM WND DMG INDEPENDENCE 38.95N 84.55W
10/19/2016 KENTON KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS KENTON COUNTY.
&&Local storm report, Oct 19, 8:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
832 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TSTM WND DMG CROSS PLAINS 38.94N 85.20W
10/19/2016 RIPLEY IN LAW ENFORCEMENT
SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 1050 S. ALSO SOME
MINOR STREET FLOODING IN THE AREA.
&&Local storm report, Oct 19, 8:48 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
848 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0805 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSE NEW RICHMOND 38.89N 84.23W
10/19/2016 CLERMONT OH LAW ENFORCEMENT
ONE TREE DOWN NEAR POINT PLEASANT
&&Local storm report, Oct 19, 9:48 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
948 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM HAIL RISING SUN 38.97N 84.91W
10/19/2016 M2.00 INCH OHIO IN BROADCAST MEDIA
2.25 INCH HAIL
&&Special weather statement, Oct 19, 10:18 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1018 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 OHZ079-081-200245- ADAMS OH-BROWN OH- 1018 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ADAMS AND EAST CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM EDT... AT 1018 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WINCHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE... WINDS TO 40 MPH... VERY HEAVY RAIN... LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PEEBLES...WINCHESTER...SEAMAN...EMERALD...RUSSELLVILLE...CHERRY FORK...MAY HILL...FINCASTLE...LAKE WAYNOKA...STATE ROUTE 32 AT US ROUTE 62...DUNKINSVILLE AND SERPENT MOUND. WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS. TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. LAT...LON 3881 8379 3897 8384 3905 8340 3886 8335 TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 260DEG 34KT 3887 8374 NOVAK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 8:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Brown, Clermont | 2 hr |
| Oct 19, 8:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Brown, Clermont | 35 min |
| Oct 19, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Adams, Brown | 33 min |
| Oct 19, 8:58 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Hamilton | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 9:17 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Brown, Clermont | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 9:21 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Butler, Montgomery, Preble, Warren | 114 min |
| Oct 19, 9:50 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Greene, Montgomery, Warren | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 10:15 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Clark, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Madison | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Highland | 37 min |
| Oct 19, 10:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Adams, Brown | 34 min |
| Oct 19, 10:34 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Adams, Pike | 116 min |
| Oct 19, 10:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Fairfield, Franklin, Pickaway | 101 min |
| Oct 19, 10:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Adams | 36 min |
| Oct 19, 11:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Licking | 46 min |
| Oct 19, 11:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Licking | 43 min |
| Oct 19, 11:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Licking | 24 min |
| Oct 19, 11:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Fairfield, Licking | 118 min |
| Oct 19, 11:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Fairfield | 17 min |
| Oct 20, 12:13 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Perry | 17 min |
| Oct 19, 9:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Boone, Gallatin, Kenton | 3 hr |
| Oct 20, 11:02 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Grant, Owen | 28 min |
| Oct 19, 8:05 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Dearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland | 3 hr |
| Oct 19, 10:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Ripley | 28 min |
| Oct 19, 11:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Dearborn, Ripley | 32 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.