Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Wilmington, OH

404 
WWUS51 KILN 142240
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
640 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

KYC037-117-142249-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-160714T2300Z/
KENTON KY-CAMPBELL KY-
640 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN KENTON AND SOUTHERN
CAMPBELL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3874 8439 3884 8433 3886 8427 3885 8396
      3860 8408 3861 8408 3860 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 290DEG 29KT 3880 8427 

$$

KYC023-191-OHC015-025-142300-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-160714T2300Z/
PENDLETON KY-BRACKEN KY-CLERMONT OH-BROWN OH-
640 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN PENDLETON...WESTERN BRACKEN...SOUTHEASTERN CLERMONT
AND WEST CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES...

AT 639 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BUTLER...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AUGUSTA...FELICITY...BROOKSVILLE...MOSCOW...NEVILLE...CHILO...
UTOPIA...FOSTER AND MOUNT AUBURN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 8439 3884 8433 3886 8427 3885 8396
      3860 8408 3861 8408 3860 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 290DEG 29KT 3880 8427 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AR

848 
WWUS51 KILN 142256
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
656 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

KYC023-191-OHC015-025-142304-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-160714T2300Z/
PENDLETON KY-BRACKEN KY-CLERMONT OH-BROWN OH-
656 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PENDLETON...
WESTERN BRACKEN...SOUTHEASTERN CLERMONT AND WEST CENTRAL BROWN
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING
YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF MASON...BRACKEN...CLERMONT...ADAMS...AND BROWN COUNTIES 
UNTIL 730 PM EDT. 



LAT...LON 3874 8439 3884 8433 3886 8427 3885 8396
      3860 8408 3861 8408 3860 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 290DEG 29KT 3880 8427 

$$

AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
412 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A disturbance traveling along a westerly flow aloft will interact
with an unstable airmass ahead of a cold front, producing
scattered showers and thunderstorms through early tonight. A low
chance for showers and thunderstorms will persist on Friday when
the cold front will be crossing the forecast area. Drier weather
is expected Saturday with high pressure centered over the Great
Lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Surface analysis shows a cold front over Illinois, with the ILN
area under a humid and unstable airmass ahead of the front. CAPE
fields show a more unstable regime along and south of the Ohio
River, with a relatively stable area in the middle of the FA,
and another area of lesser instability pushing in from the west.
Stronger thunderstorms appear to be confined to the far southeast
in the deeper moisture and instability, with showers and a few
thunderstorms developing in shallower convection moving back in
from the west.

Going with pops as high as likely in the far southeast,
diminishing to chance and slight chance farther north in the
weaker instability and shallower moisture. In addition to a slight
risk for severe thunderstorms in the far southeast containing
damaging winds, will be monitoring for training cells as movement
of the system is rather gradual and localized flooding could
develop. Convection will exhibit a diminishing trend after sunset
with loss of daytime heating, especially as low temperatures drop
toward lows in the upper 60s later tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Cold front will be pushing across the area on Friday. Though
instability will be marginal and forcing rather weak, a few
showers and thunderstorms may develop in residual moisture and
CAPE near the front. A low chance for showers and thunderstorms
will linger in southern locations Friday night as the front works
slowly southeast.

Highs are forecast to be in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure will be working into the area for Saturday and into
Saturday night.  This will allow for dry conditions across the
region.  Northerly flow on Saturday will allow for the coolest day
of the long term with high temperatures in the low 80s.  Southerly
flow will develop on Sunday allowing for an increase in
temperatures.  Dry conditions will continue through Sunday night.

Unsettled weather is expected during the Monday to Tuesday time
frame.  A system is expected to drop into the region mainly Monday
afternoon into Monday night.  There is the potential that some of
these storms may be severe with damaging winds the primary threat.
Some residual thunderstorm activity will be possible on Tuesday as
an upper level disturbance moves through.

Models are hinting at a couple of weak disturbances after the
Tuesday time period, however with only weak signals and model
variability decided to leave Wednesday and Thursday dry at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms have developed across
southeast Indiana in the last hour or so. Hi res models are
suggesting this will continue to fill in through the afternoon
hours as we further destabilize. As a result, will allow for a
VCTS into early evening at all of the TAF sites and try to hit
the more favorable time with a tempo -shra/-tsra. Expect primarily
VFR conditions, but some mvfr to locally ifr conditions will be
possible with any storm. As we lose the diurnal heating, pcpn
should taper off through the evening hours with at least some
partial clearing overnight. Depending on how much pcpn actually
falls, we could see some mvfr vsbys develop later tonight into
early Friday morning. Would think the best chance for this would
be at the southern TAF sites so will include a tempo group for
KCVG/KLUK. VFR conditions are then expected through the remainder
of the TAF period as high pressure begins to build down from the
northwest.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible on Monday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Coniglio
NEAR TERM...Coniglio
SHORT TERM...Coniglio
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...JGL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
507 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ063>065-071>074-077>082-088-150915-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-
FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
507 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS
HAVE AN INCREASED PROBABILITY OF CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-070-150915-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER-
507 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND
WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
506 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE DOWNTOWN DAYTON    39.77N 84.18W
07/14/2016                   MONTGOMERY         OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            ENOUGH WATER AT THE UNDERPASS OF KEOWEE STREET AND STATE
            ROUTE 4 TO STRAND A VEHICLE.

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
514 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNW DOWNTOWN DAYTON   39.81N 84.22W
07/14/2016  M2.10 INCH       MONTGOMERY         OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL IN THE PAST 30 MINUTES.

&&

JGIBSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
527 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

INZ074-075-080-KYZ090-091-142200-
OHIO IN-SWITZERLAND IN-DEARBORN IN-BOONE KY-GALLATIN KY-
527 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OHIO...NORTHERN SWITZERLAND...
SOUTHERN DEARBORN...CENTRAL BOONE AND CENTRAL GALLATIN COUNTIES UNTIL
600 PM EDT...

AT 525 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH
OF DILLSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLORENCE...AURORA...RISING SUN...BURLINGTON...OAKBROOK...UNION...
FRENCH...HARTFORD...FAIRVIEW...PATRIOT...BEAR BRANCH...ABERDEEN...
PATE...NORTH LANDING...MOUNT STERLING...QUERCUS GROVE...
CENTER SQUARE...JACKSONVILLE...FARMERS RETREAT AND ALLENSVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES I-71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 73 AND 75.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3893 8513 3897 8513 3910 8473 3884 8463
      3878 8509 3893 8515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 253DEG 23KT 3890 8504

AR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
539 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

KYZ094>096-142215-
PENDLETON KY-OWEN KY-GRANT KY-
539 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN PENDLETON...
SOUTHEASTERN OWEN AND GRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 539 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF OWENTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIAMSTOWN...CRITTENDEN...DRY RIDGE AND CORINTH.

THIS INCLUDES I-75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 144 AND 164.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3848 8485 3877 8462 3860 8435 3856 8440
      3856 8442 3854 8442 3854 8444 3853 8446
      3854 8447 3851 8449 3851 8452 3849 8456
      3844 8462 3838 8470
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 219DEG 20KT 3848 8471

AR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
548 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N DOWNTOWN DAYTON     39.81N 84.19W
07/14/2016                   MONTGOMERY         OH   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PHOTO OF FLASH FLOODING ON KEENAN AVE UNDER I-75.

&&

JGIBSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
615 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

KYZ090>097-OHZ077-078-142300-
CAMPBELL KY-PENDLETON KY-BRACKEN KY-OWEN KY-BOONE KY-GRANT KY-
KENTON KY-GALLATIN KY-HAMILTON OH-CLERMONT OH-
615 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAMPBELL...PENDLETON...
NORTHWESTERN BRACKEN...CENTRAL OWEN...SOUTHERN BOONE...GRANT...
KENTON...EASTERN GALLATIN...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN
CLERMONT COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 615 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM TAYLOR MILL TO NEAR CRITTENDEN TO OWENTON...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COVINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ERLANGER...FORT THOMAS...NEWPORT...
EDGEWOOD...ALEXANDRIA...ELSMERE...FORT MITCHELL...HIGHLAND HEIGHTS...
TAYLOR MILL...FORT WRIGHT...WILLIAMSTOWN...SOUTHGATE...WALTON...
CRESTVIEW HILLS...PARK HILLS...LAKESIDE PARK...AND FALMOUTH.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 I-71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 73 AND 77.
 I-75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 144 AND 175...AND BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 188 AND 189.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3852 8496 3879 8471 3907 8454 3905 8412
      3865 8422 3857 8429 3856 8441 3854 8442
      3853 8445 3854 8447 3851 8449 3849 8456
      3839 8468
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 289DEG 25KT 3899 8451 3877 8464 3856 8484

AR