Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS Wilmington, OH

402 
WWUS51 KILN 140342
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1142 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

OHC071-141-140351-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-160714T0345Z/
ROSS OH-HIGHLAND OH-
1142 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROSS AND
NORTHEASTERN HIGHLAND COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 PM EDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN OHIO.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING
YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3920 8330 3928 8365 3936 8363 3938 8359
      3938 8337 3939 8337 3939 8324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0340Z 271DEG 28KT 3935 8355 

$$

JDR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
751 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A series of upper level disturbances will traverse the region
through Thursday helping to keep the chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast. A cold front will then cross the
area Friday with surface high pressure building into the region
Saturday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 2 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
This afternoon showers and thunderstorms over Indiana/ Illinois
will slowly spread into the area from the west as an upper level
disturbance acts as upper level lift. Forecast soundings from the
NAM and GFS both show some instability (greater elevated
instability on the NAM) while PWATs remain near 2.00". The first
wave looks to arrive later this afternoon into early evening. A
secondary shortwave will move into the area early Thursday morning
which is currently responsible for the ongoing MCS out in
Missouri. SPC currently has us in a slight risk until 8 am
Thursday morning. Currently DCAPE values are around 1000 which
would support wind gusts as the primary threat.

&&

.SHORT TERM /2 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
During the day Thursday the shortwave from the morning will be
exiting the area leaving weak subsidence in its wake. With this
being said timing individual disturbances in the flow remains
difficult. Thursday afternoon instability will linger across the
area with both the NAM and GFS indicating values above 1000 J/kg
so can't completely remove the chance of rain.

Friday a strong shortwave will dive southeast bringing a surface
cold front with it. Global models in general show the higher
instability Friday afternoon across the southeast. Have trended
PoPs this direction.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure and dry
conditions will be in place for Saturday. Saturday is expected to
be the coolest day of the long term with northerly flow. Although
dry conditions will continue for Sunday, southerly flow will
return for Sunday with warmer temperatures.

With northwest flow pattern aloft multiple disturbances are expected
to work into the region next week.  The best chances for this
currently are expected to be Monday into Monday night and then again
on Tuesday.  High temperatures Monday through Wednesday are expected
to be in the 80s to around 90 and low temperatures in the 60s to
around 70.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Multiple lines of thunderstorms affecting especially northern taf
sites through 05-07z with the potential for mvfr vsbys anbd
ceilings but cannot rule out dropping to ifr with the potential
for heavy rain in some thunderstorms, though the heavy cores will
be scattered.

have included vcts prevailing with thunderstorms finally clearing
the area behind the line of storms currently in central indiana as
associated with a more vigorous mid level disturbance. hrrr the
better of the convective allowing models as far as greater
coverage of thunderstorm activity through 04-07z. Left SHRA out
after the main push of storms as they should be fairly isolated in
nature. Next potential for MVFR will be with mid afternoon storms
Thursday.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities possible with Thunderstorms
again on Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines
NEAR TERM...Haines
SHORT TERM...Haines
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...JDR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
419 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ034-035-042-043-051-060-142030-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-
MIAMI-PREBLE-
419 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. A FEW
OF THE STORMS MAY ALSO APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY WILL HAVE AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-044>046-052>056-061>065-070>074-
077>082-088-142030-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-
LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-
MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-
CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
419 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND
WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. A FEW
OF THE STORMS MAY ALSO APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY WILL HAVE AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1035 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

OHZ071-077-078-140300-
HAMILTON OH-WARREN OH-CLERMONT OH-
1035 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON...SOUTHERN
WARREN AND NORTHERN CLERMONT COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM EDT...

AT 1035 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER DEER
PARK...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CINCINNATI...NORWOOD...SHARONVILLE...BLUE ASH...LOVELAND...
SPRINGDALE...READING...MONTGOMERY...MADEIRA...MILFORD...DEER PARK...
MARIEMONT...TERRACE PARK...SILVERTON...GOLF MANOR...AMBERLEY...
LOCKLAND AND LINCOLN HEIGHTS.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 I-71 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 7 AND 21.
 I-75 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 17.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3930 8446 3930 8439 3929 8435 3931 8435
      3934 8402 3910 8401 3911 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 262DEG 37KT 3921 8436

JDR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1036 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

KYZ091>093-095-140300-
CAMPBELL KY-BOONE KY-GRANT KY-KENTON KY-
1036 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CAMPBELL...SOUTHERN BOONE...
NORTH CENTRAL GRANT AND KENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM EDT...

AT 1035 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WALTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COVINGTON...FLORENCE...INDEPENDENCE...ERLANGER...FORT THOMAS...
NEWPORT...EDGEWOOD...ALEXANDRIA...ELSMERE...FORT MITCHELL...
HIGHLAND HEIGHTS...TAYLOR MILL...BELLEVUE...FORT WRIGHT...DAYTON...
SOUTHGATE...WALTON...CRESTVIEW HILLS...CLARYVILLE AND CRITTENDEN.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 I-71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 72 AND 77.
 I-75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 166 AND 177.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3885 8473 3912 8445 3911 8444 3906 8443
      3904 8441 3904 8435 3901 8431 3897 8430
      3890 8424 3880 8449 3879 8453 3878 8453
      3878 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 237DEG 48KT 3885 8464

FRANKS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1038 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

OHZ071-072-140315-
CLINTON OH-WARREN OH-
1038 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CLINTON AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM EDT...

AT 1038 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH
OF WAYNESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILMINGTON...WAYNESVILLE...SABINA...MORROW...CLARKSVILLE...
HARVEYSBURG...CORWIN...PORT WILLIAM...NEW ANTIOCH...CUBA...OGDEN...
LYTLE...NEW BURLINGTON...OREGONIA...REESVILLE...MELVIN AND LUMBERTON.

THIS INCLUDES I-71 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 33 AND 56.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3958 8415 3954 8358 3948 8358 3937 8360
      3935 8364 3934 8415
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 271DEG 34KT 3944 8404

JDR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1059 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

OHZ045-046-054-055-140330-
FRANKLIN OH-UNION OH-MADISON OH-DELAWARE OH-
1059 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHEASTERN
UNION...EASTERN MADISON AND SOUTH CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 1130 PM EDT...

AT 1059 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER LONDON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLUMBUS...DUBLIN...WESTERVILLE...UPPER ARLINGTON...GAHANNA...
HILLIARD...WORTHINGTON...LONDON...JEFFERSON...POWELL...PLAIN CITY...
WEST JEFFERSON...MINERVA PARK...LAKE DARBY...EASTON...CHOCTAW LAKE...
OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY...POLARIS...NEW ALBANY AND GRANDVIEW HEIGHTS.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 I-70 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 71 AND 97.
 I-71 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 110 AND 129.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3979 8344 3992 8354 3997 8352 4029 8296
      4006 8278
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 238DEG 48KT 3992 8342

FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1102 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE COVINGTON         39.14N 84.47W
07/13/2016                   HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE DIAMETER TREE KNOCKED DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

1055 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SSE WILMINGTON        39.42N 83.82W
07/13/2016  M57 MPH          CLINTON            OH   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            MEASURED AT THE WILMINGTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
            OFFICE.

&&

ABUTNER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1104 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

OHZ078-140330-
CLERMONT OH-
1104 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CLERMONT COUNTY UNTIL
1130 PM EDT...

AT 1104 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WITHAMSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AMELIA...WILLIAMSBURG...BATAVIA...WITHAMSVILLE...
EAST FORK STATE PARK...CLERMONT COUNTY AIRPORT AND MOUNT CARMEL.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

TO REPORT HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3903 8432 3909 8431 3907 8402 3902 8402
      3899 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 0304Z 271DEG 37KT 3906 8427

JDR