Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Wilmington, NC

619 
WWUS52 KILM 092233
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
633 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

SCC043-092245-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160709T2245Z/
GEORGETOWN SC-
633 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEORGETOWN COUNTY...

AT 632 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DEBORDIEU
COLONY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGETOWN COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3333 7919 3334 7918 3336 7918 3336 7916
      3334 7915 3332 7916 3333 7917 3332 7919
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 233DEG 19KT 3337 7915 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

III

947 
WWUS52 KILM 092235
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
635 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

SCC043-092245-
/O.EXP.KILM.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160709T2245Z/
GEORGETOWN SC-
635 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEORGETOWN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3333 7919 3334 7918 3336 7918 3336 7916
      3334 7915 3332 7916 3333 7917 3332 7919
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 234DEG 19KT 3337 7915 

$$

III

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Elevated heat and humidity continues again today. A cold front
will drop south into the Carolinas Sunday bringing slightly lower
temperatures and humidity before returning north Monday. Bermuda
high pressure will build westward through the mid-week, bringing
near to slightly above normal daytime temperatures and afternoon
showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
As of 3 PM Saturday...Guidance was too warm today  much like
yesterday. As such the Heat Advisory is being cancelled with this
forecast issuance. Some slightly deeper moisture is pooled to our
south as evidence by the storms in CHS's area but POPS here seem to
warrant to higher than isolated and only through a little after
dark.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 PM Friday...Sunday will be more seasonable as mid level flow
turns to WSW and moisture increases. The added cloudiness will
temper the heating seen the last few days and a few embedded
shortwaves could touch off isolated to widely scattered storms
mainly along the coast where moisture will be more prevalent ahead
of the front dropping down. This boundary soon reverses course and
drifts back inland a bit keeping POPS in the forecast Sunday night,
albeit fairly low ones. Another slight northward jog of the front by
Monday should focus thunderstorms over E and NE NC especially since
this coincides to where the vort centers seem to want to track.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 3 PM Saturday...Front stalled just north of the area Tue is
lifted north Tue night by westward expansion of the Bermuda High.
Piedmont trough makes a return Wed or Thu and becomes more defined
Fri. Cold front approaches from the northwest Sat but it will likely
end up stalling before reaching the area and more or less takes the
place of the Piedmont trough. Pattern aloft will consist of
elongated/flat ridge over much of the southern CONUS which will keep
temps near to slightly above climo but is not strong enough to
suppress diurnal convection. Precipitable water values near 2 inches
for much of next week combined with diurnal heating and limited
subsidence should lead to afternoon/evening convection each day.
Will carry chance pop each day through the period with the best
chances Tue, associated with the stalled front, and Sat ahead of the
approaching cold front.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 18Z...Other than some passing cirrus do not see much in
the way of clouds on satellite loops or radar this afternoon.
Latest High-Res guidance does not fire off any significant
convection over our area through at least midnight, so going with
VFR conditions for most of the TAF valid period. A weak cold front
may briefly drop over the Cape Fear region Sunday morning before
pushing back north and we will likely see winds go light and
variable around daybreak or so. With light winds and plentiful low
level moisture may see brief MVFR restrictions in visibility then
in the form of HZ/FG.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...Possible brief MVFR/IFR during isolated to
scattered thunderstorms each day. Possible brief MVFR from fog each
morning, particularly over areas where substantial rainfall occurs.
Otherwise expect VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 3 PM Saturday...Southwesterly winds to continue overnight.
They have been pretty tame/overforecasted by models and seas are
holding at about 3 ft all the way out to 41013. Not much change is
expected in either through the period.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 PM Saturday...Cold front dropping into the area
previously though the veer winds especially over northern zones.
Now the boundary appears to stall inland enough to preclude this.
Area waters remain in the prefrontal SW flow on Sunday, and the
boundary begins to retreat further inland as the day wears on. The
front will weaken on Monday and it will help to make the pressure
pattern across the Carolinas malformed. This could translate to a
few knots of wind speed decrease. Any decrease in overall wave
height should be minor.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 3 PM Saturday...Bermuda High will maintain 10 to 15 kt
southwest flow through the period. Front stalled north of the area
will keeps speeds on the higher end of the range Tue. Front lifts
north for Wed with Piedmont trough starting to develop. The trough
becomes more defined on Thu leading to speeds on the higher end of
the range Thu afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft Tue and Wed increase to 2
to 4 ft Thu.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...MBB
LONG TERM...III
AVIATION...REK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-101900-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-101900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM-
254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.