Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Wichita, KS

104 
WWUS53 KICT 250234
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
934 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSC009-053-159-250315-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-160525T0315Z/
BARTON KS-RICE KS-ELLSWORTH KS-
934 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN BARTON...NORTHWESTERN RICE AND ELLSWORTH COUNTIES...

AT 933 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER HOLYROOD...OR
8 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLAFLIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYONS...ELLSWORTH...ELLINWOOD...CLAFLIN...KANOPOLIS...CHASE...
HOLYROOD...BUSHTON...GENESEO...LORRAINE...RAYMOND...ODIN...
FREDERICK...SILICA...CHEYENNE BOTTOMS...KANOPOLIS LAKE...
KANOPOLIS STATE PARK AND ELLSWORTH AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3867 9868 3870 9856 3870 9849 3872 9849
      3884 9794 3846 9792 3818 9847 3826 9847
      3826 9865
TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 202DEG 30KT 3860 9841 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LAWSON

430 
WWUS53 KICT 250244
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
944 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSC009-250253-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-160525T0315Z/
BARTON KS-
944 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN BARTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3884 9794 3846 9792 3818 9847 3872 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 224DEG 38KT 3882 9807 

$$

KSC053-159-250315-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-160525T0315Z/
RICE KS-ELLSWORTH KS-
944 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN RICE AND ELLSWORTH COUNTIES...

AT 943 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST
OF KANOPOLIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYONS...ELLSWORTH...KANOPOLIS...CHASE...HOLYROOD...BUSHTON...
GENESEO...LORRAINE...RAYMOND...FREDERICK...SILICA...KANOPOLIS LAKE...
KANOPOLIS STATE PARK AND ELLSWORTH AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3884 9794 3846 9792 3818 9847 3872 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 224DEG 38KT 3882 9807 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LAWSON

622 
WWUS53 KICT 250313
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1013 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSC053-159-250322-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-160525T0315Z/
RICE KS-ELLSWORTH KS-
1013 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN RICE AND
ELLSWORTH COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3884 9794 3846 9792 3818 9847 3872 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 230DEG 39KT 3882 9807 

$$

ES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
615 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 311 PM CDT Tue May 24 2016

Water vapor imagery still shows the main upper energy back over
the desert southwest with a weak impulse now lifting over western
CO into NW NM. At the surface, there are a number of
outflow/gravity waves south and southwest of our forecast area.
The more robust one stretches from nw of KOKC to near KGCK with a
more subtle one extending from KEND to near KDDC. A storm have
developed on the boundary over north central OK and is now diving
southeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Tue May 24 2016

Confidence is high that surface based storms will develop near the
intersection of the dryline and outflow after 4pm which will be
over SW KS/OK panhandle. This activity will slowly migrate east
this evening and may grow upscale as 850-700mb theta-e advection
ramps up. How far east surface based storms make it and where
additional elevated convection form is very uncertain. It's not
out of the question that the surface based storms die off as they
approach western flank of forecast area as elevated storms develop
near or north of I-70 later. For now, the general theme of higher severe
chances generally west of I-135 looks good for tonight, with low
confidence in how far east the more robust convection makes it.

Weak upper energy will track of the central/northern Rockies for
Wed and will push the better moisture east, generally east of
I-135. The big question for storms Wed afternoon/evening will be
whether there will be enough surface convergence to get storms to
develop as the dryline washes out and becomes much less defined.
While the better surface convergence remains down in OK Wed, will
linger some small pops in case a storm or two can develop Wed
afternoon/early evening. If a storm can develop, it would quickly
become severe with greater than 3,500J/KG of CAPE.

The main vort lobe looks to lift out across the Plains for the
Thu-Fri time period. By 00z Fri this feature will be over southern
CO/northern NM and by 00z Sat will be out over western KS. This
should allow for better areal coverage for storms late Thu
afternoon/evening. At this time thinking that the dryline will
setup just west of our forecast area Thu, generally from Medicine
Lodge to near Hays. Storms that develop in this area would have a
good chance of affecting locations along and west of I-135. With
deep layer shear increasing and high instability remaining, higher
end severe looks possible Thu afternoon/evening with any storms
that develop along the dryline. Storms should become more numerous
Fri for much of the forecast area as the upper wave starts to
directly impact central/eastern KS. While severe storms will be
possible with any storm Fri, upper winds will back ahead of the
upper wave, reducing good directional shear above 850mb. So while
the higher end severe may not be as likely, the number of storms
affecting central and eastern Kansas will be higher Fri.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Tue May 24 2016

By 12z Sat there is good agreement between the GFS and ECMWF that
the upper wave will be lifting over northeast KS, pushing the
better convective chances northeast of the forecast area. However,
we quickly get back into SW flow aloft, albeit weak. This will
allow the better low level moisture to lift back across the
central Plains. What makes it tough through these extended periods
is the lack of a surface focus or distinct upper wave to focus on.
In addition, upper winds will be considerably weaker than the
current sw flow pattern we are in. So, with plenty of instability
it will not take much to get a storm to develop. Have a slight
lean toward the better storm chances being at night with low level
jet processes helping initiate storms. Confidence is high that
temps will be close to or slightly above seasonal normals through
this extended period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 616 PM CDT Tue May 24 2016

A moist southeast surface flow will continue across the area
with MVFR CIGS expected to develop overnight into early
Wednesday morning. Scattered strong to severe convection
over northern Oklahoma and western Kansas may affect some
locations west of the Kansas turnpike late this evening with
potential for scattered strong storms overnight across much
of the area.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    68  87  69  86 /  40  20  10  30
Hutchinson      66  88  67  85 /  40  10  10  30
Newton          67  87  68  85 /  40  20  10  30
ElDorado        67  87  70  85 /  40  20  20  30
Winfield-KWLD   68  87  71  85 /  40  20  10  30
Russell         63  87  59  86 /  60  10  10  40
Great Bend      64  88  60  87 /  60  10  10  30
Salina          64  88  66  88 /  40  20  20  30
McPherson       65  88  67  85 /  40  20  10  30
Coffeyville     68  84  71  85 /  40  30  20  20
Chanute         68  84  71  85 /  40  30  20  20
Iola            67  84  70  85 /  40  30  20  20
Parsons-KPPF    68  84  71  85 /  40  30  20  20

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...KED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
744 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-260045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
744 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS WEST OF A
SALINA TO WICHITA TO WELLINGTON LINE THROUGH 11 PM...AND POSSIBLY
AS FAR EAST AS MARION TO EL DORADO TO ARKANSAS CITY BY MIDNIGHT
TO 1 AM. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL
SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH AND TORNADOES. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING
POSSIBLE.

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER IN
THE NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-135. ANY
STORM THAT CAN DEVELOP WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.

BETTER CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL ARRIVE FOR THURSDAY WITH THE
SEVERE THREAT CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING LOOK TO BE ALONG AND WEST OF
I-
135 WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE AREA WIDE ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTH-
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 135.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
722 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ047-250045-
BARTON KS-
722 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 721 PM CDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
  DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
  NEAR PAWNEE ROCK...OR 6 MILES WEST OF GREAT BEND...MOVING NORTH AT
  40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GREAT BEND...HOISINGTON...PAWNEE ROCK...ALBERT...OLMITZ...ODIN...
  GALATIA...SUSANK...GREAT BEND AIRPORT AND CHEYENNE BOTTOMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 9903 3860 9855 3826 9879 3826 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 201DEG 34KT 3833 9892

MCGUIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
806 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     HAIL             ZENDA                   37.44N 98.28W
05/24/2016  E1.75 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
808 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     HAIL             2 SW ZENDA              37.42N 98.31W
05/24/2016  E1.75 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
902 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HAIL             3 N ZENDA               37.49N 98.29W
05/24/2016  M1.00 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

&&

VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
904 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ033-048-250245-
ELLSWORTH KS-LINCOLN KS-
904 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN ELLSWORTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 902 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SYLVAN GROVE...OR 12 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF WILSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WILSON...LINCOLN...SYLVAN GROVE...BEVERLY...BARNARD...ASH GROVE AND
  WESTFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9794 3884 9794 3872 9847 3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 231DEG 24KT 3898 9836

MCGUIRE