Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Gray, ME

642 
WWUS51 KGYX 171928
SVSGYX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
328 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

MEC001-005-011-023-171945-
/O.CON.KGYX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160317T1945Z/
SAGADAHOC ME-KENNEBEC ME-ANDROSCOGGIN ME-CUMBERLAND ME-
328 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN SAGADAHOC...SOUTHWESTERN KENNEBEC...SOUTHEASTERN
ANDROSCOGGIN AND NORTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 327 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HAIL IN EXCESS OF HALF DOLLARS.  DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH WERE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR LITCHFIELD... OR 8 MILES NORTH OF TOPSHAM...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEWISTON...TOPSHAM...LITCHFIELD...LISBON...GREENE...DURHAM...BOWDOIN...
BOWDOINHAM...SABATTUS...RICHMOND AND WALES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4403 7031 4416 7025 4413 6983 4394 6993
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 281DEG 18KT 4405 7002 

$$

HANES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
144 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE THIS EVENING WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. A COASTAL STORM MAY IMPACT THE REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY AS IT MOVES UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW ON TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 130 PM...A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT CONTINUES TO APPROACH ME AND NH. SFC HEATING
OUT AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH COUPLED WITH VERY STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES HAS ALLOWED FOR WEAK INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT. ONE OR TWO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHERE INSTABILITY IS MAXIMIZED. THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL.

THE ACTIVITY WILL WANE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING...AND ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT BEING PRETTY
SPARSE IN MOST PLACES. HOWEVER...ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...SNOW
SHOWERS MAY BE THE NORM OVERNIGHT AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. LOCALLY 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING NEAR THE CANADIAN
BORDER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.
DOWNSLOPING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW ANY RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS TO BE
WIDELY SCT AT BEST OUTSIDE OF THE FAVORABLE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE
MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...COLDER AND FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

...ALL EYES ON POTENTIAL STORM SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL:  HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  SOME POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY MIXED
PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY /PARTICULARLY OVER
NORTHERN AREAS/. DEVELOPING PATTERN SUGGESTS AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

PATTERN SUMMARY:  A REVIEW OF EARLY AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
REVEALS THE TRANSITION OF A STRONG PACIFIC JET INTO A MUCH MORE
AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE
BUILDING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA.  THE DETAILS OF THIS
BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WILL BE ALL IMPORTANT TO
WHAT HAPPENS DOWNSTREAM AS AT LEAST SOME ENERGY ACROSS ALASKA AND
THE CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO WILL BE TAPPED AND DRAWN SOUTH INTO AN
AMPLIFYING EASTERN NORTH AMERICA TROUGH...WHICH WILL ATTEMPT TO
CAPTURE A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE AND PROMOTE INTENSE CYCLOGENEIS
ALONG THE EAST COAST.  BEYOND THIS...THE PATTERN ACROSS THE EASTERN
PACIFIC AND WESTERN NORTH AMERICA FLATTENS ONCE AGAIN FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING PACIFIC AIR TO FLOOD EAST...AND
BACK ACROSS THE CONUS. THE DIFFERENCE THIS TIME WILL BE
SUBSTANTIAL AVAILABLE COLD AIR JUST NORTH OF THE US/CANADIAN
BORDER...WHICH...WHEN COMBINED WITH TROUGHING DEVELOPING OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES COULD SPELL AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER
BY THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK...REACHING BEYOND THE END OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.

THE DETAILS...

THE BIG STORY FOR SATURDAY WILL BE THE CHILL AS T8S FALL TO AROUND 2
SIGMA BELOW NORMAL /-12 TO -18C/.  THE DAY SHOULD FEATURE PLENTY OF
SUN WITH A DRY AIRMASS AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.  EVEN
IF WE CAN FULLY MIX TO H8...THESE TEMPERATURES ALOFT ONLY SUPPORT
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S FOR HIGHS AMD WILL CONTINUE TO TRIM FORECAST
HIGHS BASED ON THESE EXPECTATIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVERHEAD SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN PULLS INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES FOR SUNDAY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE EAST COAST.  TEMPS ALOFT WILL WARM A
GOOD DEAL FROM THE DAY PREVIOUS. WITH THE INCREASING CLOUD
COVER /AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SNOW TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TOWARDS EVENING/...T9S ARE ACTUALLY A BIT COOLER IN THE
AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAINS THAN TO THE NORTH /MINUS SINGLE
DIGITS THROUGHOUT/. THIS SHOULD FAVOR HIGHS IN THE 30S PRETTY MUCH
EVERYWHERE.

SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY: A LOOK AT THE ENVELOPE OF DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS CERTAINLY PAINTS A WESTWARD JOG IN THE TRACK OF
LOW PRESSURE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE EC ENSEMBLE HAS AN IMPRESSIVELY
SMALL ENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS GIVEN HOW MUCH THE MEAN HAS SHIFTED IN
THE PAST 24 HOURS.  IT/S TRACK IS JUST INSIDE THE BENCHMARK WITH
NUMEROUS SOLUTIONS IN THE 980-990MB RANGE AS IT DOES SO....WITH
RECENT OPERATIONAL RUNS STRONGER AND TUCKED A LITTLE FURTHER WEST
THAN THIS.

NEW 12Z GFS FALLS MORE LINE WITH IT/S PREVIOUS 00Z ENSEMBLE
MEAN...WITH A GOOD JOG WEST FROM IT/S 06Z SOLUTION...NOW FEATURING A
TRACK PRETTY MUCH DIRECTLY OVER THE BENCHMARK.  HOWEVER...IN
COMPARISON TO THE ECWMF...THESE SOLUTIONS ARE A GOOD BIT WEAKER WITH
CAPTURED SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE NOT DEVELOPING A NEGATIVE TILT
UNTIL IT/S PRETTY MUCH DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.

12Z GGEM ALSO SHIFTS WEST WITH A MUCH DEEPER SOLUTION SIMILAR TO THE
ECMWF.  IT/S RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY HAS BEEN POOR AND FOR THIS
AFTERNOON/S PACKAGE...WILL FOLLOW CLOSE TO THE EC-ENS MEAN...WHICH
FOLLOWS CLOSE THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS.

SUNY STONYBROOK ENSEMBLE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS PAINTS THE PRIMARY
FEATURE IMPACTING THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THIS LOW AS BEING THE
BUILDING WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGE.  UNTIL WE SEE THE FULL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS RIDGE /LATE FRIDAY-EARLY SATURDAY/ EXPECT
CONTINUED CHANGES IN THE LOW TRACK...WITH PTYPE ISSUES CERTAINLY NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION ALONG THE COAST.  CONFIDENCE IS CERTAINLY GREAT
ENOUGH TO INCREASE POPS THROUGH THE LIKELIES OVER SOUTHERN ZONES FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...AND WILL KEEP ALL PRECIPITATION MENTIONED AS
SNOW FOR THIS PACKAGE.  WIND COULD CERTAINLY BECOME AN ISSUE GIVEN
THE STRONGER SOLUTIONS...BUT GIVEN THE TIME RANGE...A CONSENSUS
STILL LOOKS LIKE THE BEST PATH TO TAKE.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY:  COLD AIR BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE WILL NOT
HANG AROUND FOR LONG AS THE UPSTREAM PATTERN FLATTENS RAPIDLY.
TUESDAY WILL FEATURE WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH T8S BELOW -
10C...WITH SOME UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING IN THE MOUNTAINS
UNDER RESIDUAL CYCLONIC FLOW.  HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL DEPEND GREATLY
ON HOW MUCH SNOW IS REALIZED SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...WITH THE CURRENT
CONSENSUS OF UPPER 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO UPPER 30S OVER SOUTHEAST
NEW HAMPSHIRE POTENTIALLY TOO WARM IF THERE IS SNOWPACK. A NARROW
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS CRESTS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION PATTERN DEVELOPS ALONG ADVANCING
WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR RENEWED PRECIPITATION BEGINS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY
NIGHT...BUT MORE LIKELY WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THE SETUP...THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR A MIX OF PRECIPITATION TYPES EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH
STRONG WARM ADVECTION FAVORING ALL RAIN BY AFTERNOON.  THIS DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE A BIG PRECIPITATION PRODUCER...BUT COULD SPELL SOME
TRAVEL IMPACTS IF THE TIMING IS RIGHT.  HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO MID
40S NORTH TO SOUTH LOOK GOOD AT THIS RANGE.

A STRENGTHENING BAROCLINIC ZONE LOOKS TO TAKE UP SHOP FROM THE
SOTUHERN PLAINS...NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND NEAR
THE US/CANADIAN BORDER IN THE NORTHEAST.  THERE IS ACTUALLY QUITE
STRONG DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE SUPPORT FOR A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TO MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION IN THE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT-THURSDAY TIMEFRAME.  AT THIS RANGE...THE CONSENSUS WOULD FAVOR
THE FRONTAL BOUNDAY TO RESIDE JUST NORTH OF OUR AREA...PROMISING ANY
PRECIPITATION THAT WOULD FALL TO BE OF THE LIQUID VARIETY.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE MILD...BUT WILL TEMPER EXPECTED HIGHS AT
THIS RANGE GIVEN PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL AS WELL AS INCREASING
UNCERTAINTY IN EXACTLY WHERE THE BOUNDARY SETS UP.  WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON THIS BOUNDARY AS WE MOVE BEYOND THE END OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD AS IT PORTENDS HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL GIVEN AMPLE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND A STRENGTHENING JET ALOFT NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN 18Z
AND 02Z. THESE COULD PRODUCE GUSTY SFC WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS - LOWER CONDITIONS IN SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THERE.

LONG TERM...VFR SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL
OF A 18-24 HOUR PERIOD OF VLIFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBYS SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY WITH HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL AS A STORM SYSTEM
PASSES OFFSHORE.  THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY IN THE STORM TRACK THAT
COULD EITHER 1-CAUSE THE HEAVIEST SNOW TO BE OFFSHORE WITH LOWER
AVIATION IMPACTS OR 2-CAUSE A CHANGE TO RAIN FOR COASTAL SITES
IMPACTING VISIBILITY AND CIGS. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS BACKING
NORTHWEST DURING THIS PERIOD ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS
WELL. A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY WITH SHSN
POTENTIAL LINGERING AT BML.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE OCEAN
WATERS FOR MARGINAL SCA WIND GUSTS AND SEAS THROUGH FRI MORNING.
AFTER A BRIEF BREAK FRI AFTERNOON...SCA CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
REDEVELOP ON ALL WATERS FRI NIGHT.

LONG TERM...QUIET SATURDAY-SUNDAY.  IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
LIKELY THAT STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVES CLOSE TO...OR PERHAPS INSIDE
THE BENCHMARK SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY WITH GALES A GOOD
POSSIBILITY...AND STORMS POSSIBLE.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GIVEN THE SHIFTING MODEL CONSENSUS TO A
STRONGER LOW NEARER THE COAST...HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON COASTAL
IMPACTS.  FORTUNATELY...ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE GENERALLY LOW /9.2
SUNDAY EVENING AND 9.7 MONDAY MORNING/...SO IMPACTS WOULD MORE
LIKELY BE OF THE SPLASH-OVER VARIETY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

EKSTER/ARNOTT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
149 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>015-181800-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
149 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT AT LEAST
SOME PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AS WELL AS
STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST. THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TRACK OF THIS STORM...WHICH WILL
INFLUENCE PRECIPITATION TYPE AND POTENTIAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THIS
STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>154-181800-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
149 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE MONDAY. THERE IS SOME LOW POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS AS WELL...PARTICULARLY IN THE OUTER WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ARNOTT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
146 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

MEZ007-008-013-171830-
NORTHERN OXFORD ME-NORTHERN FRANKLIN ME-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN ME-
146 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHERN OXFORD COUNTY IN MAINE
  NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN MAINE
  SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN MAINE

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 145 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTH OF ANDOVER...MOVING TO THE
  EAST AT 35 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. EXPECT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PHILLIPS...
  WELD...
  BYRON...
  SOUTH ARM...
  AND ROXBURY.

LAT...LON 4470 7091 4490 7085 4488 7020 4459 7032
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 278DEG 30KT 4478 7069

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
202 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

NHZ002>009-011-015-171900-
SOUTHERN CARROLL NH-MERRIMACK NH-SOUTHERN COOS NH-
NORTHERN CARROLL NH-SOUTHERN GRAFTON NH-NORTHERN GRAFTON NH-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-SULLIVAN NH-
BELKNAP NH-
202 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  MERRIMACK COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SOUTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SOUTHERN GRAFTON COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  NORTHERN GRAFTON COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  CHESHIRE COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SULLIVAN COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  BELKNAP COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WOODSVILLE TO
  NEAR WEST WINDSOR TO READSBORO...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 50 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THESE STORMS. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS
  IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LACONIA...
  CLAREMONT...
  LEBANON...
  FRANKLIN...
  AND LITTLETON.

LAT...LON 4295 7253 4300 7244 4352 7240 4408 7203
      4428 7207 4432 7203 4430 7110 4271 7185
      4273 7246 4287 7256
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 256DEG 61KT 4418 7212 4345 7245 4276 7297

MLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
213 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             OTISFIELD               44.15N  70.56W
03/17/2016  M0.75 INCH       OXFORD             ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GYX1601589

MLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
239 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

MEZ014-021-022-171930-
SOUTHERN SOMERSET ME-INTERIOR WALDO ME-KENNEBEC ME-
239 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN MAINE
  INTERIOR WALDO COUNTY IN MAINE
  KENNEBEC COUNTY IN MAINE

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 239 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SKOWHEGAN...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THIS STORM. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SKOWHEGAN...
  PITTSFIELD...
  CORNVILLE...
  PALMYRA...
  AND DETROIT.

LAT...LON 4460 6921 4473 6975 4491 6970 4488 6930
      4473 6927 4472 6925 4473 6920 4467 6919
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 282DEG 19KT 4481 6963

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
243 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

NHZ002>013-015-171930-
MERRIMACK NH-SOUTHERN CARROLL NH-NORTHERN CARROLL NH-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON NH-NORTHERN GRAFTON NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-SOUTHERN COOS NH-
INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM NH-CHESHIRE NH-STRAFFORD NH-SULLIVAN NH-
BELKNAP NH-
243 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  MERRIMACK COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SOUTHERN GRAFTON COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  NORTHERN GRAFTON COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SOUTHERN COOS COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  CHESHIRE COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  STRAFFORD COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  SULLIVAN COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
  BELKNAP COUNTY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 243 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BETHLEHEM TO
  NEAR HEBRON TO NEAR NEWPORT TO NEAR WINCHESTER...MOVING TO THE
  SOUTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED
  WITH THESE STORMS. A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
  POSSIBLE AS WELL.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MANCHESTER...
  NASHUA...
  LACONIA...
  CONCORD...
  AND DERRY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 4273 7246 4334 7221 4372 7177 4430 7165
      4415 7103 4330 7103 4270 7136
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 302DEG 52KT 4422 7165 4372 7176 4334 7220 4278
7243

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
245 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

MEZ012-020-021-171930-
ANDROSCOGGIN ME-KENNEBEC ME-SOUTHERN OXFORD ME-
245 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY IN MAINE
  KENNEBEC COUNTY IN MAINE
  SOUTHERN OXFORD COUNTY IN MAINE

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TURNER...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 25 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
  THIS STORM. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TURNER...
  WINTHROP...
  WALES...
  GREENE...
  AND MONMOUTH.

LAT...LON 4424 7038 4441 7032 4436 6994 4420 6994
      4413 7011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1843Z 285DEG 22KT 4431 7025