Alert archive / North Carolina / Freeze Warnings in 2016

Freeze Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

March 21, 201624 counties in North Carolina; Habersham County, Rabun County, Georgia; 7 counties in South Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this freeze warning at Mar 21, 2016, 3:42 AM EDT for 24 counties in North Carolina; Habersham County, Rabun County, Georgia; 7 counties in South Carolina. It took effect at Mar 22, 2016, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2016, 3:42 AM EDT (07:42 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 22, 2016, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 22, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
All 33 counties

Habersham County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2016-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2016-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -88 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
823 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
94 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

818 
WWUS72 KGSP 210742
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
342 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
TONIGHT... 

.COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT.
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
TONIGHT...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES MAY SUPPORT A LARGER AREA OF
FREEZING TEMPERATURES OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF THE
PIEDMONT ON TUESDAY MORNING.

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-SCZ001>003-
211545-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...MARS HILL...
MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...
EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...LAKE LURE...SALUDA...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA
342 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF
  EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>070-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ005>007-211545-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHLEHEM...TAYLORSVILLE...
STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...COLUMBUS...EASLEY...CLEMSON...
TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG
342 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF UPSTATE
  SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ071-072-SCZ008>013-019-211545-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-
UNION-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...
CLINTON...UNION
342 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH 
  CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

ARK
5 follow-up statements
887 
WWUS72 KGSP 211428
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1028 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA AGAIN TONIGHT...

.AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
TONIGHT...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES MAY SUPPORT A LARGER AREA OF
FREEZING TEMPERATURES OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF THE
PIEDMONT ON TUESDAY MORNING.

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-SCZ001>003-
211930-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...MARS HILL...
MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...
EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...LAKE LURE...SALUDA...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA
1028 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND THE MOUNTAINS 
  OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>070-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ005>007-211930-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHLEHEM...TAYLORSVILLE...
STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...COLUMBUS...EASLEY...CLEMSON...
TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG
1028 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF UPSTATE 
  SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ071-072-SCZ008>013-019-211930-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-
UNION-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...
CLINTON...UNION
1028 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH 
  CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY
902 
WWUS72 KGSP 211838
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
238 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...

.AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
TONIGHT...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL SUPPORT A LARGER AREA
OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF THE
PIEDMONT ON TUESDAY MORNING. EVEN LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT SEE A
FREEZE ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE SOME FROST.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ005>013-019-
220300-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHLEHEM...TAYLORSVILLE...
STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...COLUMBUS...
EASLEY...CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...
BEREA...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION
238 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH
  CAROLINA...AND MUCH OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 30 TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-SCZ001>003-
220300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...MARS HILL...
MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...
EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...LAKE LURE...SALUDA...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA
238 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AND THE MOUNTAINS 
  OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ004-014-220300-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION-GREATER OCONEE-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...ROYSTON...LAVONIA...
FRANKLIN SPRINGS...CANON...HARTWELL...REED CREEK...ELBERTON...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...SENECA...CHESTER...
GREAT FALLS
238 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PLUS CHESTER AND
  SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND UNION COUNTY
  NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS JUST ABOVE FREEZING...GENERALLY 33 TO 35. A
  FEW SPOTS MAY BRIEFLY DIP TO 32.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE VEGETATION IS POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY
047 
WWUS72 KGSP 220133
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
933 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...

.AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
TONIGHT...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL SUPPORT A LARGER AREA
OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF
THE PIEDMONT ON TUESDAY MORNING. EVEN LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT SEE A
FREEZE ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE SOME FROST.

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>013-019-221300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-
GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...LAKE JUNALUSKA...HICKORY...NEWTON...
ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...
SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...
GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...
CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION
933 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA...AND MUCH OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 TUESDAY
  MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ004-014-221300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.160322T0400Z-160322T1300Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION-GREATER OCONEE-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...ROYSTON...LAVONIA...
FRANKLIN SPRINGS...CANON...HARTWELL...REED CREEK...ELBERTON...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...SENECA...CHESTER...
GREAT FALLS
933 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PLUS CHESTER 
  AND SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND UNION 
  COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS JUST ABOVE FREEZING...GENERALLY 33 TO 35. A
  FEW SPOTS MAY BRIEFLY DIP TO 32.

* WINDS...WEST 5 MPH OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE VEGETATION IS POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$
697 
WWUS72 KGSP 220734
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
334 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING...

.AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES...CALM
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW
FREEZING EARLY THISMORNING. EVEN LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT SEE A
FREEZE ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE SOME FROST.

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>013-019-221300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160322T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-
GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...LAKE JUNALUSKA...HICKORY...NEWTON...
ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...
SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...
GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...
CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION
334 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS...FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF
  NORTH CAROLINA...AND MUCH OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 BY SUNRISE.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ004-014-221300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160322T1300Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION-GREATER OCONEE-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...ROYSTON...LAVONIA...
FRANKLIN SPRINGS...CANON...HARTWELL...REED CREEK...ELBERTON...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...SENECA...CHESTER...
GREAT FALLS
334 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PLUS CHESTER 
  AND SOUTHERN OCONEE COUNTIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND UNION 
  COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS JUST ABOVE FREEZING...GENERALLY 33 TO 35. 
  A FEW SPOTS MAY BRIEFLY DIP TO 32.

* WINDS...WEST 5 MPH OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO SENSITIVE VEGETATION IS POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$
ARK
690 
WWUS72 KGSP 221306
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
906 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...TEMPERATURES WARMING UNDER SUNNY SKIES...

.THE FREEZE WARNING AND FROST ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED.

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>013-019-221415-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160322T1300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-
GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...LAKE JUNALUSKA...HICKORY...NEWTON...
ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...
SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...
GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...
CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION
906 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

OBSERVATION SITES INDICATE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE UPPER
30S OVER MOST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS AND SHADY SPOTS MAY REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR A LITTLE
WHILE LONGER.

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ004-014-221415-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160322T1300Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION-GREATER OCONEE-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...ROYSTON...LAVONIA...
FRANKLIN SPRINGS...CANON...HARTWELL...REED CREEK...ELBERTON...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...SENECA...CHESTER...
GREAT FALLS
906 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

TEMPERATURES ARE NOW WELL ABOVE FREEZING...AND SUNSHINE WILL HELP
SURFACES WARM STEADILY THROUGH THE DAY. SENSITIVE VEGETATION ARE
NOT LIKELY TO BE FURTHER AFFECTED BY FROST.

$$
WIMBERLEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this freeze warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freeze warning went out at Mar 21, 3:29 AM EDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 3:29 AM EDT, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
329 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE WEEK...GENERALLY IN THE THURSDAY TO
FRIDAY TIME FRAME. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY BRING MOISTURE
BACK TO THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM...ONGOING PRODUCTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LEFT AS IS.
TEMPS ARE RUNNING QUITE A BIT WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY FCST...AS
MIXING AND LINGERING CLOUDS ARE LIMITING COOLING ACRS THE PIEDMONT.
STILL...I DON/T SEE MUCH TO GAIN IN CANCELING THE FREEZE WARNING
WITH THIS UPDATE. THE FREEZE NPW AND BLACK ICE WSW IN THE MTNS LOOK
GOOD.

A VIGOROUS 500 MB VORT LOBE WILL EXIT EAST OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY RISING HEIGHTS AS FLOW FLATTENS OUT ALOFT. AT
THE SURFACE...COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE ARKLATEX
REGION WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE GULF STATES TODAY THRU TONIGHT.
TEMPS WILL BE CHILLY UNDER CONTINUED LLVL CAA...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN
THE 40S IN THE MTNS AND MID-UPR 50S ACRS THE PIEDMONT. DEWPTS WILL
LIKELY MIX OUT INTO THE TEENS TO MID 20S...WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOW
RH ACRS THE PIEDMONT. FOR MORE INFO...SEE THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION
BELOW.

TONIGHT...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS SHOULD RESULT IN
ANOTHER ROUND OF OVERNIGHT FREEZING TEMPS ACRS MOST OF THE HIGH
TERRAIN. THE MOS CONSENSUS IS STILL SHOWING AREAS OF 30-32 DEG MINS
ACRS THE PIEDMONT IN THE USUAL COLD SPOTS. THE COOP MOS IS EVEN
COLDER...WITH WIDESPREAD 26-32 DEG TEMPS ACRS THE PIEDMONT.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT QUITE THERE TO UPGRADE THE FREEZE WATCH
TO A WARNING...EXCEPT IN THE MTNS. SO WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT MAKE
FINAL CALL ON THE PIEDMONT FOR WHERE TO SET UP ANY FREEZE/FROST
PRODUCTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM EDT MONDAY...A FLAT AND BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL SETTLE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER SETTING UP ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COASTLINE. THIS WILL
PERMIT SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW TO START TO DEVELOP...WITH MAX
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE 60S MOST AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
MINS WILL CONTINUE TO RECOVER TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY LINGERING
ISOLATED FROST POSSIBILITY CONFINED MAINLY TO THE SHELTERED VALLEYS
IN THE SW NC MOUNTAINS WED MORNING.

HEIGHTS FALLING EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY WILL THEN PRODUCE
DEEPER LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
WED AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY REACH 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO...WITH
ANY RETURN FLOW MOISTURE OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS STAYING WEST OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM EDT MONDAY...MARKED DIFFERENCES APPEAR IN THE MODEL
SOLUTIONS OF THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD
STARTING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY. THE ECMWF HOLDS ONTO A CLOSED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING OVER THE MIDWEST WHILE THE GFS HAS AN OPEN
WAVE TRAVELING MORE QUICKLY EASTWARD. ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS ARE IN
BETWEEN AND A CONSENSUS WILL BE FOLLOWED TO FOCUS THE BEST SHOWER
CHANCES OVER OUR REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. INSTABILITY WILL BE HARD TO
PIN DOWN...BUT IF THE THURSDAY NIGHT TIMING HOLD UP SBCAPE WILL BE
MINIMAL AND SHEAR WITH THE PHASING UPPER SYSTEM WILL BE
UNIMPRESSIVE.

THE FIRST SYSTEM ON THU/FRI WILL PHASE BACK INTO THE NORTHERN STREAM
AND LEAVE BROAD W TO SW FLOW OVER THE AREA FOR THE START OF THE
WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE MODEL DIFFERENCES EARLY IN THE PERIOD LEAVE
THE NEXT ROUND OF UPSTREAM ENERGY QUITE A BIT OUT OF PHASE OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE FASTER GFS SOLUTION HAS THE NEXT FULL LATITUDE WAVE
KNOCKING ON THE DOOR OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY SUNDAY...WHILE
THE SLOWER ECMWF HAS A DEEPER CLOSED SYSTEM BACK OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. AGAIN...A LOW CONFIDENCE CONSENSUS BLEND WILL BE USED...WITH
THE HIGHEST POPS FOR RAIN/SHOWER LATE SUNDAY. IF SOLUTIONS TREND
TOWARD THE FASTER GFS IN THE COMING DAYS...RETURN FLOW MOISTURE FOR
SUNDAY COULD INTERACT WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH TO PRODUCE
HYBRID COLD AIR DAMMING CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...WILL MAINTAIN THE GUIDANCE NON CAD CONDITIONS FOR NOW
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...THE AXIS OF AN UPPER WAVE IS JUST CROSSING THE AREA RIGHT
AROUND 06Z TAF ISSUANCE...WHICH MEANS THE FORCING AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY EXIT EAST OF THE AREA WITHIN THE FIRST 2-3
HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE...AND
GENERALLY SKC OR PERHAPS FEW-SCT HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK.
WINDS ARE A LITTLE TRICKY...AS THE NAM FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW POTENTIAL
GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS THRU MOST OF THE MORNING...WHILE MOS GUIDANCE
HAS THE USUAL AFTN LOW-END GUSTS. GIVEN THE SURGE OF LLVL CAA...WILL
SIDE A LITTLE MORE WITH THE FCST SOUNDINGS...AND SHOW GUSTS DURING
THE MORNING HOURS...LINGERING INTO THE AFTN. AT KAVL...IT IS THE
OPPOSITE...WITH MOS SHOWING GUSTS THRU THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...BUT THE
NAM SHOWING GUSTS DEVELOPING AFTER DAYBREAK. I SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE...AND HAVE GUSTS STARTING AT 08Z THERE.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH
MIDWEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE IN
THE WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            07-13Z        13-19Z        19-01Z        01-06Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY.
GUIDANCE AGREES THAT LOW LEVEL MIXING OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
RESULT IN RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE MID 20S ACRS MUCH OF THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH NW
WINDS IN THE 8-15 MPH RANGE AND GUSTS POTENTIALLY UP TO 25 MPH AT
TIMES THIS MORNING THRU MIDDAY. FORTUNATELY...RECENT MOIST
CONDITIONS HAVE WETTED FUELS. HOWEVER...THE DAY SHIFT WILL
COORDINATE WITH LAND MANAGERS FOR ANY POTENTIAL FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WILL BE CONDUCTED LATER THIS MORNING.

DESPITE IMPROVING SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...AFTERNOON MIXING AND CONTINUED DRY PROFILES WILL PERMIT
RH VALUES TO FALL DOWN WELL INTO THE 20S BOTH DAYS. LOW END
SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...AND DRYING FUELS
COULD YIELD ENHANCED FIRE DANGER AT SOME POINT. CLOSE COORDINATION
ON FUEL MOISTURE WILL BE NEEDED WITH LAND MANAGERS THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR GAZ010-017.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
     GAZ010.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     GAZ010-017.
NC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-502-504-506-508-510.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NCZ035>037-048-
     051>053-056>059-062>065-068>070-502-504-506>510.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
     NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509.
SC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     SCZ005>013-019.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR SCZ001>003-
     005>007.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     SCZ001>003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...ARK
FIRE WEATHER...ARK/HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 21, 1:02 AM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-220515-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ017-NCZ035>037-048-053-056-057-065-068>070-502-504-506>510-
SCZ001>003-005>007-220515-
HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.
   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE FREEZE WARNING FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
..TUESDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-220515-
RABUN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR RABUN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   FREEZE WARNING.
   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE FREEZE WARNING FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
..TUESDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ071-072-SCZ008>013-019-220515-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-
GREENWOOD-
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ004-014-220515-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION-GREATER OCONEE-CHESTER-
102 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UNION
COUNTY IN PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...FROST POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

HG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 20, 10:34 PM EDT, 5 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1034 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1031 PM     SNOW             1 NNE LAKE TOXAWAY      35.15N  82.92W
03/20/2016  E0.2 INCH        TRANSYLVANIA       NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOWFALL NEAR LAKE TOXAWAY VISIBLE ON THE DECK OF A
            RESIDENCE AROUND A QUARTER INCH.

&&

OUTLAW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 2:38 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryGSPUnion18 hr

Nearby

Freeze Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Freeze Warnings in South Carolina, 2016Freeze Warnings in Georgia, 2016Every freeze warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.