Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

714 
WGUS72 KGSP 162125
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
525 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

SCC021-083-162330-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160716T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SPARTANBURG SC-CHEROKEE SC-
525 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL SPARTANBURG AND CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

AT 518 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.  2.5 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN 
FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH SIDE OF THE CITY OF SPARTANBURG TO EXTREME 
SOUTHWEST CHEROKEE COUNTY. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG...PACOLET MILLS...CEDAR SPRINGS...THICKETTY...DRAYTONVILLE...
COWPENS...PACOLET AND ROEBUCK.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED 
AREA. 

IN ADDITION TO URBAN FLOODING IN SPARTANBURG, SMALL STREAMS ARE EXPECTED 
TO OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS AND FLOOD LOW LYING SPOTS. AFFECTED STREAMS 
INCLUDE LAWSONS FORK CREEK, GOUCHER CREEK, AND TRIBUTARIES OF THE PACOLET 
RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS...AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS...AND OTHER
LOW-LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATERS OR LANDSLIDES
FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...BY POSTING ON
OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR VIA TWITTER USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE
SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED...INCLUDING ROADWAYS...NEARBY CROSS STREETS...STREAM NAMES AND
OTHER LANDMARKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3489 8208 3497 8207 3505 8158 3489 8164
      3490 8165 3490 8167 3491 8168 3491 8171

$$

LANE

733 
WGUS72 KGSP 162214
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
614 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

SCC021-083-162330-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160716T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SPARTANBURG SC-CHEROKEE SC-
614 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL SPARTANBURG AND WEST CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

AT 609 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ONGOING FLOODING IN 
THE CITY OF SPARTANBURG, WITH MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED OR FLOODED FROM 
THE WEST SIDE OF THE CITY TO THE DOWNTOWN AREA. 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN 
HAVE FALLEN FROM THE CITY INTO SOUTHWEST CHEROKEE COUNTY SINCE 430 PM. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG AND CEDAR SPRINGS. 

IN ADDITION TO URBAN FLOODING IN THE CITY, SMALL STREAMS ARE EXPECTED 
TO FLOOD LOW SPOTS, INCLUDING GOUCHERS CREEK IN CHEROKEE COUNTY, AND 
SMALL TRIBUTARIES OF THE PACOLET RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NUMEROUS ROADS...PARKING LOTS AND BRIDGES WILL BE THREATENED BY HEAVY
RAIN AND RAPIDLY RISING STREAMS AND CREEKS. PLEASE PAY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO ROAD SIGNS INDICATING A FLOOD-PRONE AREA. OBEY ALL
BARRICADES...EVEN IF WATER IS NOT CURRENTLY OVER THE ROAD. BARRICADES
ARE IN PLACE FOR YOUR PROTECTION AND INDICATE AREAS WHERE FLOODING
CAN OCCUR RAPIDLY AND WITHOUT WARNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATERS OR LANDSLIDES
FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...BY POSTING ON
OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR VIA TWITTER USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE
SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED...INCLUDING ROADWAYS...NEARBY CROSS STREETS...STREAM NAMES AND
OTHER LANDMARKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 8202 3497 8203 3500 8166 3495 8165
      3494 8172

$$

LANE

478 
WGUS72 KGSP 162328
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
728 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

SCC021-083-162337-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160716T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SPARTANBURG SC-CHEROKEE SC-
728 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL SPARTANBURG AND WEST CENTRAL
CHEROKEE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM EDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. HOWEVER SOME ROADS REMAIN FLOODED AND OR
CLOSED IN THE CITY OF SPARTANBURG. OBEY ALL BARRICADES...EVEN IF
WATER IS NOT CURRENTLY OVER THE ROAD. 

LAT...LON 3490 8202 3497 8203 3500 8166 3495 8165
      3494 8172

$$

LANE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak frontal boundary will remain stalled across the area through
the weekend, enhancing rain and thunderstorm chances. Another weak
front will approach the region on Tuesday, keeping the area in an
active summertime pattern of afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 250 PM...Little change from this morning's thinking with
respect to the eventual cvrg of thunderstorms into the evening
hours. The the biggest threat from storms today remains locally
heavy rainfall, isolated wet microbursts and to a lesser extent
hail, maybe up to the size of pennies. Will go with a more
definite lowering of shower chances as the evening wears on and
heading into the overnight hours with weak shear axis slipping
east of the cwfa, and mid-lvl flow assuming a wnw direction. Blyr
moisture is progged to remain high, so low clouds and locally
dense fog remain probable, especially where is has rained today.
For Sunday, it is shaping up to be a typically warm and humid mid-
July day, maybe max temperatures a degree or two higher than
today's readings. Would expect more in the way of climo diurnal
tstm cvrg with the upper pattern a tad less favorable for storm
development featuring weak upper level anticyclone development.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 250 PM Saturday...Mid level ridging will nose into the area
Sunday night through Monday night. This will lead to a relative
lull in convection with the focus during this period being Monday
afternon and evening mainly in the mountains. The ridge will pull
back west on Tuesday allowing a trof to develop along the east
coast. This pattern shift will lead to more widespread storms
Tuesday afternoon and evening across the area. Temperatures will
remain a few degrees above normal through the period.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 250 PM Saturday...The medium range fcst picks up at 00Z on
Wednesday with very steep upper ridging over the central CONUS and
a positively tilted upper trof axis over New England. The upper
trof is slow to move offshore, but eventually does by the start of
the weekend. The ridge begins to spread farther east on Wednesday
and Thursday, but makes little progress and then begins to flatten
on Friday. By the end of the period, another upper trof attempts
to dig down over Ontario and Quebec, pushing the center of the
ridge farther west. At the sfc, a weak cold front is expected to
lay across the fcst area by the start of the period with drier,
reinforcing high pressure behind it. Over the next couple of days,
model guidance has the high sliding SE and eventually becoming
absorbed into the prevailing Bermuda High. This will put the CWFA
back into a more typical southerly, moist flow regime by the start
of the weekend. The models also bring another cold front to our
doorstep by the very end of the period late Sat. As for the
sensible fcst, most of the period should be drier overall with
less than climo POPs for mid/late July with better chances for
widespread convection on Sat. Temps should start out around
climatology and increase above it for Fri and Sat.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT...With the NC piedmont being the last region to loose their
low clouds today, it lags behind in the diurnal destabilization
process early this afternoon.  However, with favorable moisture
profiles regionwide, and the convection allowing model consensus
translating tstms into the region later this afternoon, feel that
there is a better than even money threat for thunder to affect the
terminal at some point during the 5 hour period after 20z. With
diurnal lessening of cvrg this evening, feel that additional storm
chances are not greater than 30 percent after 03z to include a
prob30 mention.  Unless considerable rain does fall atop the
terminal later today (which typically increases the chances for IFR
during the warm season), similar blyr moisture levels and flow are
progged to develop early Sunday morning, so a period of MVFR
conditions looks to be probable.

Elsewhere...Based on the expected cvrg of tstms this afternoon and
evening a tempo tsra will be carrier at all terminals into about
early evening. Widespread flight restrictions should develop
overnight with localized LIFR conditions, just like this morning.

Outlook...Fairly typical midsummer weather with afternoon showers
and thunderstorms expected each day through at least the middle of
next week. A frontal boundary will sag south into the region by
early tomorrow and stall out, keeping daily coverage enhanced. Each
day, AM fog and low stratus will be possible in the mountain river
valleys and also in locations that receive heavy rainfall in the
preceding PM.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High  99%     High 100%     High  95%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High  86%     High 100%
KAVL       High  92%     High  95%     High  94%     High  93%
KHKY       High  92%     High 100%     High  96%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High  96%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High  86%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...CSH
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...CSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
211 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-171815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
211 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL...AND GUSTY WINDS. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.
ANY HAIL PRODUCED MAY BE UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
418 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

NCZ059-063-162045-
NORTHERN JACKSON NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-
418 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM EDT...

AT 417 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTH OF SYLVA...OR NEAR LAKE GLENVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CASHIERS...LAKE GLENVILLE AND TUCKASEGEE.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LAKE GLENVILLE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 8321 3529 8297 3508 8306 3519 8322
      3524 8322 3524 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 282DEG 13KT 3522 8318

LANE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
420 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     FLOOD            2 SW HICKORY            35.72N 81.36W
07/16/2016                   CATAWBA            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HIGHWAY 70 AT US 321 IN SOUTHWEST HICKORY IS CLOSED DUE
            TO FLOODING.

&&

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
422 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0344 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW NEWTON            35.63N 81.24W
07/16/2016                   CATAWBA            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES AND POWERLINES REPORTED DOWN OFF SIGMON DAIRY RD,
            SW OF NEWTON.

&&

JPT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
423 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

NCZ036-056-068>070-SCZ008-009-162100-
CLEVELAND NC-IREDELL NC-CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-LINCOLN NC-CHEROKEE SC-
YORK SC-
423 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA...GASTON...
SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...SOUTH CENTRAL IREDELL...EASTERN LINCOLN...
NORTHWESTERN YORK AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
EDT...

AT 423 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES EAST OF NEWTON TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
LINCOLNTON TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF GAFFNEY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GASTONIA...LINCOLNTON...KINGS MOUNTAIN...BESSEMER CITY...SOUTH GASTONIA...
DALLAS...STANLEY...RANLO...WESTPORT AND BLACKSBURG.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAKE NORMAN IS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3551 8089 3551 8091 3549 8094 3547 8095
      3545 8094 3543 8096 3531 8105 3506 8141
      3514 8156 3540 8128 3568 8100 3562 8080
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 293DEG 16KT 3563 8101 3538 8123 3516 8156

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
427 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

NCZ062-162100-
MACON NC-
427 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM EDT...

AT 427 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FRANKLIN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIGHLANDS...ELLIJAY AND CULLASAJA.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

LAT...LON 3521 8333 3519 8322 3516 8322 3513 8319
      3511 8318 3509 8315 3507 8317 3506 8317
      3501 8319 3510 8339
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 288DEG 12KT 3513 8329

LANE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
435 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HICKORY                 35.74N 81.33W
07/16/2016                   CATAWBA            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 127 AND 2ND AVENUE.

&&

SWILKINS