Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Advisories in 2016
River Flood Advisory 2, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this river flood advisory at Jan 9, 2016, 10:38 AM EST for Ingham County, Michigan. It was in force for 67 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2016, 10:38 AM EST (15:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 12, 2016, 5:59 AM EST
- In force
- 67 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
County Ingham County, MI
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Sycamore Creek near Holt (HHTM4).
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 9 ft
- Major stage
- 10 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04112850, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
339
WGUS83 KGRR 091538
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1038 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
...The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a flood
advisory for the following rivers in Southwest Lower Michigan...
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
.Last night's rainfall has closely followed forecast totals. Rivers
have generally been responding as expected. A developing winter
storm will bring additional rainfall to the Great Lakes Region
today. Precipitation will quickly transition to snow from west to
east late this evening and overnight tonight. There is plenty of
question as to how much runoff makes it into rivers and streams, due
to rainfall or snowmelt. Much colder air may put a kink in current
thoughts if conditions freeze up quicker than expected. However,
forecasts have generally been conservative to account for this
possibility. Streams and rivers are likely to rise with some
locations reaching bankfull over the next several days. The following
forecast is based on observed and forecast 48 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area remain
alert to possible flooding... or the possibility of the advisory
being upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local
emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this
information on to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-101738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.160109T1538Z-160116T0600Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1038 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Grand River At Ionia.
* until Saturday January 16.
* at 09 AM Saturday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 14.0 feet by Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 13.5 feet...River is bankfull. Minor overflow begins in
low lying areas along the river near and across from the Ionia.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-101738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.160109T1538Z-160111T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1038 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* until Monday morning.
* at 09 AM Saturday the stage was 4.3 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 6.2 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-101738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.160109T1538Z-160113T1800Z/
/EAGM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1038 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Looking Glass River Near Eagle.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* at 09 AM Saturday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 5.3 feet by Monday evening.
* Impact, at 5.0 feet...River is bankfull.
&&
LAT...LON 4283 8489 4279 8474 4281 8455 4287 8455
4286 8474 4290 8489
$$
MIC037-101738-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.160109T1538Z-160116T1200Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1038 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids.
* until Saturday January 16.
* at 09 AM Saturday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.6 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
JAM6 follow-up statements
769
WGUS83 KGRR 100321
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1021 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
...The flood advisory continues for the following rivers in Southwest
Lower Michigan...
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
Precipitation will quickly transition to snow from west to east
overnight. With the quick freeze tonight little water should make it
into the rivers. The following forecast is based on observed and
forecast 48 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message... Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area, remain
alert to possible flooding or the possibility of the advisory being
upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local emergency
services or law enforcement and request they pass this information on
to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio, television or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-110521-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160116T0600Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1021 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Grand River At Ionia
* until Saturday January 16.
* at 09 PM Saturday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 14.2 feet by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 13.5 feet...River is bankfull. Minor overflow begins in
low lying areas along the river near and across from the Ionia.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-110520-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160111T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1021 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt
* until late Sunday night.
* at 09 PM Saturday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 6.1 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-110520-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
/EAGM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1021 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Looking Glass River Near Eagle
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* at 09 PM Saturday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 5.4 feet by Monday evening.
* Impact, at 5.0 feet...River is bankfull.
&&
LAT...LON 4283 8489 4279 8474 4281 8455 4287 8455
4286 8474 4290 8489
$$
MIC037-110520-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160117T0000Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1021 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids
* until Saturday January 16.
* at 09 PM Saturday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.7 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
63815
WGUS83 KGRR 101537
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1037 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
...The flood advisory continues for the following rivers in Southwest
Lower Michigan...
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
.Much of the precipitation that fell overnight was in the form of
rain, before briefly changing to a few hours of snowfall.
Precipitation totals have been relatively close to expectations,
which has largely been accounted for by rainfall. Runoff continues
to make it into rivers resulting in rises. Temperatures will
continue to cool through the 20s and into the teens tonight. This
will halt much of the runoff and slow response times. Additional
snowfall is expected through the week, but should remain
concentrated closer to the lakeshore.The following forecast is based
on observed and forecast 24 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area remain
alert to possible flooding... or the possibility of the advisory
being upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local
emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this
information on to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-111737-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160116T0600Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Grand River At Ionia
* until late Friday night.
* at 09 AM Sunday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 13.8 feet by Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 13.5 feet...River is bankfull. Minor overflow begins in
low lying areas along the river near and across from the Ionia.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-110600-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160111T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt
* until late tonight.
* at 09 AM Sunday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 6.3 feet by this afternoon.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-111736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
/EAGM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Looking Glass River Near Eagle
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* at 09 AM Sunday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 5.1 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact, at 5.0 feet...River is bankfull.
&&
LAT...LON 4283 8489 4279 8474 4281 8455 4287 8455
4286 8474 4290 8489
$$
MIC037-111736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160117T0000Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids
* until Saturday evening.
* at 10 AM Sunday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.3 feet by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
jam303
WGUS83 KGRR 110151
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
851 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following river in
Southwest Lower Michigan...
Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
...The flood advisory continues for the following rivers in Southwest
Lower Michigan...
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
.The current weather is dominated by lake effect snow. This
will produce precipitation amounts of less than an inch through the
week. The following forecast is based on observed and forecast 24
hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message... Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area, remain
alert to possible flooding or the possibility of the advisory being
upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local emergency
services or law enforcement and request they pass this information on
to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio, television or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-120351-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160115T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
851 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Grand River At Ionia
* until Friday afternoon.
* at 07 PM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 14.5 feet by tomorrow
evening.
* Impact, at 15.0 feet...High water affects North Drive on Ionia
Fairgrounds
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-120350-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
851 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt
* until late Monday night.
* at 08 PM Sunday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-110221-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
/EAGM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
851 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
the Looking Glass River Near Eagle.
* at 07 PM Sunday the stage was 4.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall to 4.4 feet by Tuesday
morning.
* Impact, at 5.0 feet...River is bankfull.
&&
LAT...LON 4283 8489 4279 8474 4281 8455 4287 8455
4286 8474 4290 8489
$$
MIC037-120350-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160116T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
851 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids
* until Saturday afternoon.
* at 08 PM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.4 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
63100
WGUS83 KGRR 111556
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1056 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
...The flood advisory continues for the following rivers in Southwest
Lower Michigan...
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
.Westerly winds continue to result in lake effect snow showers for
sections of Southwest Lower Michigan. Precipitation chances will be
present through much of the work week. Colder temperatures provide
confidence that it will remain in the form of snow. Runoff will be
slowed by ground freeze-up, as well. Therefore, while rivers are
projected -or- currently flowing near and above action stage,
they are expected to fall back below action criteria through the
next few days.The following forecast is based on observed and
forecast 24 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area remain
alert to possible flooding... or the possibility of the advisory
being upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local
emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this
information on to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-121756-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160115T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1056 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Grand River At Ionia
* until Friday afternoon.
* at 09 AM Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* Impact, at 13.5 feet...River is bankfull. Minor overflow begins in
low lying areas along the river near and across from the Ionia.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-121756-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0000Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1056 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt
* until Tuesday evening.
* at 10 AM Monday the stage was 6.6 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-121756-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160116T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1056 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids
* until Saturday afternoon.
* at 10 AM Monday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.4 feet by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
jam589
WGUS83 KGRR 120311
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1011 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
...The flood advisory continues for the following rivers in Southwest
Lower Michigan...
Grand River At Ionia affecting Ionia County
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
Maple River At Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
.The current weather is dominated by a low pressure system swinging
through the region. This will produce precipitation amounts of under
a half inch. The extended outlook is for lake effect snow showers
through the week. The following forecast is based on observed
and forecast 48 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message... Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area, remain
alert to possible flooding or the possibility of the advisory being
upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local emergency
services or law enforcement and request they pass this information on
to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio, television or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC067-130511-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160115T0600Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1011 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Grand River At Ionia
* until late Thursday night.
* at 09 PM Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 13.9 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact, at 13.5 feet...River is bankfull. Minor overflow begins in
low lying areas along the river near and across from the Ionia.
&&
LAT...LON 4290 8521 4296 8499 4303 8488 4297 8524
$$
MIC065-130511-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1011 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory is extended for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt
* until late Tuesday night.
* at 09 PM Monday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
MIC037-130511-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160116T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1011 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
The Flood Advisory continues for
the Maple River At Maple Rapids
* until Saturday afternoon.
* at 09 PM Monday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 7.5 feet by Wednesday
morning.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding in
low lying pastures, farmland, and wooded areas adjacent to the
river.
&&
LAT...LON 4298 8493 4308 8468 4310 8457 4317 8456
4314 8471 4302 8495
$$
63001
WGUS83 KGRR 121059
FLSGRR
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
559 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016
...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following river in
Southwest Lower Michigan...
Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
.Current weather is being impacted by accumulating snowfall.
Temperatures are running well below freezing, which will inhibit
runoff for the time being. Additional snowfall is expected through
the next few days. Temperatures may approach/exceed the freezing mark
by week's end with additional rain/wintry precipitation. This could
lead to river flooding by the weekend. Locations next to rivers that
are currently running at high levels should keep up-to-date with the
latest forecasts over the next couple of weeks.
The following forecast is based on observed
and forecast 24 hour precipitation.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message...Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A flood advisory means minor flooding is possible and rivers are
forecast to exceed bankfull. If you are in the advisory area remain
alert to possible flooding... or the possibility of the advisory
being upgraded to a warning. Report observed flooding to local
emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this
information on to the National Weather Service.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
&&
MIC065-121129-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
559 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016
The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* at 05 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall to 5.6 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas along the
creek and at the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and Scott Woods
Park.
&&
LAT...LON 4271 8455 4268 8455 4264 8451 4264 8445
4268 8449 4271 8451
$$
jamWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Jan 9, 7:01 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 7:01 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
701 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
LATEST UPDATE...
AVIATION
.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 254 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION AS RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A RAPID FALL IN TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE A
QUICK FREEZE UP ON AREA ROADS THIS EVENING. AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF
GRAND RAPIDS CAN EXPECT 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW...WHILE AREAS SOUTH
AND EAST OF GRAND RAPIDS WILL SEE 1 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. ALONG WITH
THE SNOW...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 30-35 MPH CAUSING BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. IT SHOULD REMAIN COLD ALL NEXT WEEK WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS ONLY 20 TO 25.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 254 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE NW HALF OF THE CWA FOR
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL BE BORDERED BY AN ADVISORY TO IT/S SE.
POTENT LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ON TRACK TO IMPACT MUCH OF LOWER
MICHIGAN. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH AS THE MODELS HAVE STUCK TO A
VERY SIMILAR SOLUTION FOR THE PAST 24-36 HOURS. THE STORM PATH
REMAINS INTACT...ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS SLIGHT QUICKER...REACHING JUST
WEST OF ERIE PA BY 12 SUNDAY.
THE KEY ELEMENT TO THE FORECAST WILL BE THE TEMP TREND. MODELS
SEEMS TOO WARM AS THE PCPN SETTLES IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. UPSTREAM
OBS BACK THIS UP. IF THIS HOLDS WE WILL SEE A QUICKER CHANGE OVER
TO SNOW...AND THEREFORE HIGHER SNOW TOTALS. I BELIEVE THIS COOLER
TREND WILL HOLD FOR THE NW CWA...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE SE WILL
STRUGGLE TO COOL AS THE SYSTEM BRINGS A SURGE OF WARM GULF AIR
THERE. SO EXPECT WE WILLS SEE A SHARP SNOW TOTALS ALONG A LINE FROM
ROUGHLY ALMA TO SOUTH HAVEN. NW OF THIS LINE THE PCPN TYPE BY EARLY
THIS EVENING SHOULD BE MAINLY SNOW...WHILE AREAS SE OF THE LINE ONLY
CHANGE OVER THROUGH TONIGHT. THEREFORE WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR AREAS NW OF THE LINE...AN ADVISORY TO THE SE.
5TO8INCHESIN THE WARNING...3-5 IN THE ADVISORY. I WILL EXCLUDE
CALHOUN...INGHAM AND JACKSON COUNTIES WHERE ONLY 1-3 INCHES IS
EXPECTED.
THE QUICK FREEZE UP WILL BE A FACTOR IN THIS STORM CAUSING ROADS TO
ICE UP AS THE SNOW BEGINS. THE WINDS WILL BECOME A FACTOR AND IS
REALLY WHAT PUSHES THIS STORM INTO THE WARNING CATEGORY. GUST WILL
FREQUENTLY BE IN THE 30-35 MPH RANGE...AND EVEN A BIT HIGHER ALONG
THE COAST. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY
AS TEMPS GET COLDER AND THE SNOW GET FLUFFIER. THE ABRUPT CHANGE IN
THE AREA/S CONDITIONS WAS ALSO A CONSIDERING FACTOR WITH THE
HEADLINES DECISIONS.
.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
AFTER 5 MONTHS OF UNUSUALLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND VERY LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF PERSISTENT COLD WEATHER... WE ARE IN FOR A MAJOR PATTERN
CHANGE. THIS WILL MEAN PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES MOST OF THIS WEEK AND LIKELY BEYOND THAT. THE DAYS WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW POTENTIAL ARE
TUESDAY THEN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
THANKS TO MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING WITH A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL
HIGH NORTH OF ALASKA AND A RIDGE (FORCED BY THE MJO BEING IN PHASE
8) ALONG THE WEST COAST WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE NORTHERN STREAM
IMPACTING OUR WEATHER MOST OF THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ACTUALLY
BY THURSDAY WE HAVE REX BLOCK OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER BAFFIN'S ISLAND AND ELONGATED CLOSED UPPER LOW
CENTERED OVER EASTERN CANADA. MEANWHILE THE WEST COAST RIDGE
PERSISTENT. SO WHAT WE WILL SEE IS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ROTATING
AROUND THE CANADIAN UPPER LOW THROUGH THIS WEEK THROUGH THIS COMING
WEEKEND. AS EACH COMES THROUGH THE INVERSION HEIGHT RISES AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL RAMP UP. THE FIRST OF THESE COMES THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING THEN THE NEXT ONE IS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
AS THE SHORTWAVE THAT COMES FROM NORTH OF ALASKA (THIS MORNING)
DROPS INTO THE MEAN TROUGH IT HELPS CLOSE OFF AN UPPER LOW OVER
MICHIGAN BY TUESDAY EVENING. THAT RESULTS IN INVERSION HEIGHTS RISE
ABOVE 10000 FT TUESDAY MORNING AND THERE IS STRONG LIFT IN THE DGZ.
THIS WILL START AS SOUTHWEST FLOW EVENT AND TRANSITION INTO A WEST
FLOW EVENT TUESDAY DURING THE DAY. IT WILL BE WINDY IN THE AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH MORE THAN POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SHIFTING SNOW
BANDS THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE SOMEWHAT SPREAD OUT BUT THANKS TO
THE WEST WINDS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY THE BAND WILL STREAM INLAND
BETWEEN I-94 AND I-96. THE CIPS ANALOGS SHOW AT GREATER THAN 80 PCT
CHANCE OF MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW WEST OF US-131 FOR THIS EVENT.
THE NEXT SYSTEM THAT COMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY IS
NOT AS IMPRESSIVE BUT EVEN SO WE ARE STILL IN THE COLD AIR AND GFS
AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING GOOD LIFT AS THIS WAVE PASSES THROUGH. THIS
ONE SEEMS TO IMPACT THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS MORE THAN THE NORTHERN
ONES. EVEN SO... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE.
BEYOND THURSDAY THERE IS MODEL DISAGREEMENT AS TO HOW THE CANADIAN
UPPER LOW WOBBLES AROUND. THE ECMWF ROTATES ANOTHER CLOSED UPPER LOW
THOUGH THE AREA FRIDAY WHILE THE GFS HAS THAT SYSTEM STALLED OVER
NORTH DAKOTAS. WE WILL HAVE TO SEE LATER MODEL RUNS TO RESOLVE THAT
BUT ONE WAY OR THE OTHER IT WILL REMAIN COLDER THAN NORMAL AND
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE EXPECTED NEAR AND WEST OF US-
131 MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 700 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
I SEE TWO MAJOR AVIATION ISSUES TODAY. FIRST IS DENSE FOG. THEN WE
HAVE THE ISSUE OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WITH THE SYSTEM
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THE FOG HAS BEEN IN AND OUT OVERNIGHT (MOSTLY AT GRR)HOWEVER WE
CURRENTLY REMAIN IN THE CIRCULATION OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW.
ONCE THAT SYSTEM LIFTS OUT OF THE AREA... AROUND 15Z OR SO...
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND I DO BELIEVE WE WILL SEE
THE FOG REALLY SET IN AND MOST OF OUR TAF SITES WILL SEE 1/2SM FG
FOR SEVERAL HOURS (SEEN ON THE RAP MODEL VISIBILITY FORECAST RUN
AFTER RUN OVERNIGHT).
BY 21Z OR SO THE DEVELOPING STORM TO OUR SOUTH WILL BE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO PUT US IN THE CIRCULATION OF THAT SYSTEM. THAT WILL
START THE RAIN AND INCREASE THE WIND...ENDING THE FOG. WE SHOULD
SEE ABOUT 12 HOURS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION AS THE
DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE SYSTEM PASSES OVERHEAD. THE HEAVIEST QPF
WILL BE JUST ON A LINE FROM SBN TO MOP. MEANWHILE THE RAIN/SNOW
LINE WILL MOVE EASTWARD...CHANGING THE RAIN TO SNOW AT MKG AND GRR BY
00Z...BUT IT MAY TAKE TILL 10Z FOR THAT RAIN TO SNOW LINE TO REACH
JXN. THIS IS SHOWN BY THE NUMEROUS RUNS OF THE RAP...HRRR...AND
GFS MODELS (ECMWF FOR THAT MATTER TOO). AS THE LOW DEEPENS WINDS
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTH AND WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO
THE 20S BY 09Z OR SO... I WOULD EXPECT CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW
TOO.
BOTTOM LINE...IFR /LIFR FOG THIS AFTERNOON.... THEN IFR RAIN TO
SNOW TONIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 254 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED AS WINDS RAMP UP QUICKLY LATE TONIGHT.
THE WINDS SHOULD SIMMER DOWN A BIT BY LATE SUNDAY EVENING AS THE
STORM PULLS AWAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 134 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016
THERE IS INCREASING CONCERN FOR MINOR RIVER FLOODING HEADING
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RIVER RISES ARE LIKELY WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACH BANKFULL. THE MAIN
QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE AMOUNT OF RUNOFF
DUE TO SNOWMELT AND RESULTING LIQUID PRECIPITATION THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY EVENING.
THE FIRST WAVE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE THROUGH AHEAD OF A STORM
SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER MISSOURI/ILLINOIS. RAINFALL POTENTIAL EXISTS
NOW THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY. THE KEY TO HOW QUICKLY RIVERS
RESPOND LIES IN THE DETAILS OF REALIZED TOTALS...LEADING UP TO THE
THE TRANSITION TO SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT. ONCE COLDER AIR MOVES IN
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...SUB-FREEZING TEMPS MAY BRING A HALT TO
MUCH OF THE RUNOFF AS POTENTIAL RUNOFF FREEZES. PRECIPITATION IS
THEN EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY LOCKED UP IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
THE WEEK AHEAD WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...BUT
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WELL BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THURSDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR
ANY RISES THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO EXCEED BANKFULL.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY
FOR MIZ037>040-043>046-050-051-056-057-064-071.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR MIZ052-058-059-065-066-072.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LMZ844>849.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JK
SHORT TERM...JK
LONG TERM...WDM
AVIATION...WDM
HYDROLOGY...JAM
MARINE...JKHazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 4:35 AM EST, 6 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 435 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-100945- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 435 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW DURING THE EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE WINDY TOO WITH WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 35 MPH CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ALSO AS ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES THIS EVENING TEMPERATURES WILL FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING AND THAT WILL RESULT IN A QUICK FREEZE OF WET ROADS. THE COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW ON TOP OF ICY ROADS WILL LEAD TO VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS SUNDAY MORNING. PLEASE CONSIDER DELAYING ANY PLANNED TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ONCE THE STORM ITSELF ENDS BY MID MORNING SUNDAY... LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AT THIS POINT APPEARS TO BE LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. EVEN SO LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. IT WILL BE WINDY TUESDAY AS EXPECT MORE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COLDER TROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD...WIND CHILLS WILL BE ZERO AT TIMES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LMZ844>849-100945- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 435 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG WILL BE PRESENT INTO MID AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH SNOW. THAT WILL RESULT IN NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL WATER CRAFT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY GALE FORCE WINDS AND SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME MONDAY DURING THE DAY BUT THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO GALE FORCE MONDAY NIGHT AND THAT WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY WITH SNOW SQUALLS CONTINUING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. WDM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 10:22 PM EST | Gale Warning | GRR | 47 hr | |
| Jan 9, 4:01 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Clare, Isabella, Kent, Lake, Mason and 8 more | 27 hr |
| Jan 9, 4:01 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot and 3 more | 27 hr |
| Jan 9, 10:38 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | GRR | Ionia | 7 days |
| Jan 9, 10:38 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | GRR | Clinton | 4 days |
| Jan 9, 10:38 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | GRR | Clinton | 8 days |
Nearby
River Flood Advisories in Michigan, 2016Every river flood advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.