Severe Thunderstorm Warning 561, NWS Goodland, KS

777 
WWUS53 KGLD 130636
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
136 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSC109-130645-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-160913T0700Z/
LOGAN KS-
136 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. TTHEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3845 10139 3862 10130 3870 10113 3848 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 0635Z 234DEG 16KT 3852 10122 

$$

KSC203-130700-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-160913T0700Z/
WICHITA KS-
136 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WICHITA COUNTY...

AT 135 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF
MODOC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEOTI AND MARIENTHAL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3845 10139 3862 10130 3870 10113 3848 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 0635Z 234DEG 16KT 3852 10122 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BULLER

007 
WWUS53 KGLD 130652
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
152 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSC203-130702-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-160913T0700Z/
WICHITA KS-
152 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WICHITA COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 200 AM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL
POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3845 10139 3862 10130 3870 10113 3848 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 246DEG 19KT 3852 10122 

$$

BULLER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1136 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 126 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

Cold front has cleared the forecast area with northerly winds
gradually diminishing and showers/thunderstorms exiting to the
east. Next round of showers will move in from the southwest mainly
after midnight with shortwave trough embedded in the upper flow.
MUCAPE is non-zero so can't totally rule out an isolated
thunderstorm. This activity will persist through most of the day
on Tuesday. Total QPF for the event will generally be between a
tenth and a quarter of an inch. Temperatures on Tuesday will
probably be held in check due to the clouds/showers so will
continue with the cooler side of guidance.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 147 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

The beginning part of the long term period is expected to be wet.
This is due to southwesterly flow into the region caused by a deep
closed low over the western CONUS. Precipitation chances are
anticipated Tuesday night through Thursday night, after that the
models start to differ drastically so certainties plummet.

Tuesday night, southwest flow into the region brings an abundance of
moisture. Due to the cloud cover during the day and little to no
daytime heating to create any instability, showers/rain are only
expected.

Wednesday, the low pressure to the west continues to slowly move
east towards the region. Southwest flow persists bringing continued
precipitation chances.

Thursday brings a change. A cold front will move through the region
during the day. This will be a major uplifting mechanism and with an
abundance of moisture and favorable CAPE and shear values, storms
are possible.

On Friday, the closed low breaks apart but the tough is still
present from the Dakotas all the way down to California. Dry
conditions are expected in the wake of the front and southwest flow
looks to be temporarily cut off during portions of the day.
Therefore, moisture will be lacking.

For Saturday, the weak ridge to the east of the region looks to move
just a little west. This helps set up the upper level flow to bring
southwest flow back to the region. So, slight chances for
precipitation will be possible.

The remainder of the period has major discrepancies between the
models. Therefore there are too many uncertainties to say what will
happen exactly.

Temperatures are expected to be in the 70s for the majority of the
period. Some locations may reach the low 80s on Thursday, Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1133 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

For Kgld...mvfr conditions will continue until 12z when ifr
conditions are expected. In the last 6 hours of the period, lifr
conditions are currently expected.

For Kmck...it will be vfr until 09z when mvfr conditions are
expected. Those mvfr conditions will remain through the rest of
the period.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...CLT
AVIATION...BULLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1034 AM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-131645-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1034 AM MDT MON SEP 12 2016 /1134 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1216 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSZ042-130545-
WICHITA KS-
1216 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1216 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MODOC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYDIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 10139 3842 10113 3826 10113 3826 10138
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 228DEG 25KT 3829 10119

JN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1127 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

KSZ041-130600-
GREELEY KS-
1127 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT MDT...

AT 1126 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER HORACE...OR NEAR TRIBUNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRIBUNE AND HORACE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10178 3849 10195 3865 10174 3849 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 0526Z 222DEG 6KT 3848 10180

JN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1203 AM MDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSZ041-042-130630-
GREELEY KS-WICHITA KS-
1203 AM MDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL GREELEY AND
NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM MDT/130 AM CDT/...

AT 1203 AM MDT/103 AM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEOTI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEOTI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 10135 3852 10165 3869 10156 3870 10120
TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 209DEG 21KT 3855 10150

BULLER