Severe Thunderstorm Warning 560, NWS Goodland, KS

546 
WWUS53 KGLD 130600
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
100 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSC203-130615-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-160913T0615Z/
WICHITA KS-
100 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WICHITA COUNTY...

AT 1259 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LEOTI...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARIENTHAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3861 10125 3863 10113 3842 10113 3834 10118
      3842 10135
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 200DEG 23KT 3844 10126 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BULLER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1136 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 126 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

Cold front has cleared the forecast area with northerly winds
gradually diminishing and showers/thunderstorms exiting to the
east. Next round of showers will move in from the southwest mainly
after midnight with shortwave trough embedded in the upper flow.
MUCAPE is non-zero so can't totally rule out an isolated
thunderstorm. This activity will persist through most of the day
on Tuesday. Total QPF for the event will generally be between a
tenth and a quarter of an inch. Temperatures on Tuesday will
probably be held in check due to the clouds/showers so will
continue with the cooler side of guidance.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 147 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

The beginning part of the long term period is expected to be wet.
This is due to southwesterly flow into the region caused by a deep
closed low over the western CONUS. Precipitation chances are
anticipated Tuesday night through Thursday night, after that the
models start to differ drastically so certainties plummet.

Tuesday night, southwest flow into the region brings an abundance of
moisture. Due to the cloud cover during the day and little to no
daytime heating to create any instability, showers/rain are only
expected.

Wednesday, the low pressure to the west continues to slowly move
east towards the region. Southwest flow persists bringing continued
precipitation chances.

Thursday brings a change. A cold front will move through the region
during the day. This will be a major uplifting mechanism and with an
abundance of moisture and favorable CAPE and shear values, storms
are possible.

On Friday, the closed low breaks apart but the tough is still
present from the Dakotas all the way down to California. Dry
conditions are expected in the wake of the front and southwest flow
looks to be temporarily cut off during portions of the day.
Therefore, moisture will be lacking.

For Saturday, the weak ridge to the east of the region looks to move
just a little west. This helps set up the upper level flow to bring
southwest flow back to the region. So, slight chances for
precipitation will be possible.

The remainder of the period has major discrepancies between the
models. Therefore there are too many uncertainties to say what will
happen exactly.

Temperatures are expected to be in the 70s for the majority of the
period. Some locations may reach the low 80s on Thursday, Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1133 PM MDT Mon Sep 12 2016

For Kgld...mvfr conditions will continue until 12z when ifr
conditions are expected. In the last 6 hours of the period, lifr
conditions are currently expected.

For Kmck...it will be vfr until 09z when mvfr conditions are
expected. Those mvfr conditions will remain through the rest of
the period.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...CLT
AVIATION...BULLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1034 AM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-131645-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1034 AM MDT MON SEP 12 2016 /1134 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1216 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

KSZ042-130545-
WICHITA KS-
1216 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1216 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MODOC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LYDIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 10139 3842 10113 3826 10113 3826 10138
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 228DEG 25KT 3829 10119

JN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1127 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

KSZ041-130600-
GREELEY KS-
1127 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT MDT...

AT 1126 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER HORACE...OR NEAR TRIBUNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRIBUNE AND HORACE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10178 3849 10195 3865 10174 3849 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 0526Z 222DEG 6KT 3848 10180

JN