Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 514, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 3, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT for Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 3, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 3, 2016, 8:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 45 min
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.25 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Red Willow County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1410 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -172 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1088 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 161 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 3.8
The text
As transmitted.
648
WUUS53 KGLD 040045
SVRGLD
NEC145-040130-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0514.160904T0045Z-160904T0130Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
745 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 745 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
MCCOOK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MCCOOK...INDIANOLA...BARTLEY AND DANBURY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 4019 10019 4007 10019 4000 10068 4000 10069
4015 10074 4033 10026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 249DEG 19KT 4009 10062
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
HUSTED2 follow-up statements
837
WWUS53 KGLD 040108
SVSGLD
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
808 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016
NEC145-040130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0514.000000T0000Z-160904T0130Z/
RED WILLOW NE-
808 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY...
AT 808 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF DANBURY...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCCOOK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDIANOLA AND BARTLEY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 4019 10019 4007 10019 4002 10062 4014 10065
4033 10026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 252DEG 14KT 4012 10051
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
HUSTED462
WWUS53 KGLD 040129
SVSGLD
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
829 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016
NEC145-040139-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0514.000000T0000Z-160904T0130Z/
RED WILLOW NE-
829 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL...
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA.
LAT...LON 4019 10019 4007 10019 4002 10062 4014 10065
4033 10026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 249DEG 19KT 4012 10051
$$
HUSTEDWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 3, 7:00 PM CDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 3, 7:00 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
600 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016
.UPDATE...
Issued at 600 PM MDT Sat Sep 3 2016
Updated forecast to adjust for increased coverage of Flash Flood
Watch to include all counties currently in Severe Thunderstorm
Watch. Storms in E/NE zones are dropping torrential rainfall
prompting issuance.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sat Sep 3 2016
Through tonight...Thunderstorms have already developed in eastern
Colorado where there is plenty of sun and little to no cap. These
storms have developed near a surface boundary and in advance of a
strong shortwave trough and upper jet. This development should
continue with increasing coverage through the afternoon into the
evening hours.
Convective allowing guidance has caught on this rather well so
considering the trends and decent agreement increased or maintained
high pops into the evening. Many locations in my southern and
western forecast area received 2 to 6 inches of rainfall last
night with reports of flash and areal flooding being received.
Pwats are 1 to near 1.5 inches, similar to last night. So issued a
Flash Flood Watch, through late tonight, for those counties with a
lot of the model output producing heavy rainfall in the same area,
especially in the southern half of my area. Collaboration with Wpc
increased my confidence as well. So for my entire area I have
moderate to heavy rainfall.
In addition, with moisture, shear, and instability parameters about
the same or better than yesterday, also have inserted severe
wording in the forecast and emphasized this in the hwo. Parameters
in place through this evening that will make large hail and a few
tornadoes possible.
For Sunday...do not have a good feel for this day, and have not
had as much time to look at it. Looks like we will be moist and
unstable again with another shortwave moving in. Looks like slight
chance to low chance pops will suffice for now, but this will have
to be looked at again. Models warmed up tomorrow but will need to
see how tonight goes with areal coverage of rainfall and if there
will be any mesoscale affects from the overnight convection.
.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 148 PM MDT Sat Sep 3 2016
Deep upper low will be situated over the northern Rockies Sunday
night and into Monday with a high pressure ridge in place over the
middle Mississippi Valley. Multiple weak troughs will traverse the
CWA as we will be situated within the gradient between these two
features. A theta-e boundary will set up in the central portions of
the CWA and will move back and forth as these troughs traverse the
region. We will see PoPs diminish along the boundary on Sunday night
as instability is lost. Another slgt chc of thunderstorms is in the
forecast for Monday mainly during the afternoon with the boundary
providing a focus for development. Upper level support is a bit weak
thus coverage will be isolated.
The upper low will push eastward on Tuesday and Wednesday and
develop a surface low and associated trough/cold front in the
northern Plains as we head into Thursday. This front will remain
mainly north of the CWA Tuesday with the better thunderstorm chances
remaining north of I-70. The front will slide east on Wednesday with
dry weather expected through Friday.
Above normal high temperatures in the lower 90s prevail on Monday
with near normal temperatures in the 80s on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Thursday through Saturday, we will see high temperatures near to
slightly below average with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Overnight lows will fall into the middle 50s in eastern Colorado to
the lower 70s in the eastern portions of the CWA through tuesday
with with lower 50s to lower 60s Wednesday through Friday.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 520 PM MDT Sat Sep 3 2016
For KGLD...Mainly VFR for sky conditions. IFR visibility to 1
1/2sm in rainfall with potential thunderstorms from 01z-03z. Winds
SSW 15-25kts...with some VRB30g55kt in TRW from 01z-03z.
For KMCK...Mainly VFR/MVFR sky mix w/ ceilings dropping down to
bkn025-030 at times. IFR visibility to 1 1/2sm in moderate to
heavy rainfall in TRW from 00z-02z. Winds SSE 15-25kts...with
some VRB30g55kt in TRW from 00z- 02z.
&&
.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ001>004-013>016-
027>029.
CO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ090>092.
NE...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NEZ079>081.
&&
UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...BULLER
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...JNHazardous weather outlook, Sep 3, 6:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 536 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-042345- YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS- DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE- GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW- 536 PM MDT SAT SEP 3 2016 /636 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO... EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA. THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES...DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND A FEW TORNADOES. IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCUR AT LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS LAST NIGHT...FLASH FLOODING WILL OCCUR RAPIDLY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAIN REGION ALMOST EVERY PERIOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A FEW THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 3, 7:28 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
628 PM MDT SAT SEP 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0625 PM HAIL 9 SE BENKELMAN 39.96N 101.41W
09/03/2016 E1.00 INCH CHEYENNE KS PUBLIC
REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
HILLSpecial weather statement, Sep 3, 7:29 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 729 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016 NEZ081-040100- RED WILLOW NE- 729 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM CDT... AT 729 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCCOOK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MCCOOK AND INDIANOLA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4008 10032 4001 10076 4017 10076 4030 10039 TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 243DEG 9KT 4015 10050 HUSTED
Local storm report, Sep 3, 7:36 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
636 PM MDT SAT SEP 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 NE MORLAND 39.39N 100.02W
09/03/2016 GRAHAM KS STORM CHASER
A FEW BRIEF FUNNELS REPORTED. REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL
MEDIA.
&&
HILLLocal storm report, Sep 3, 7:39 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
639 PM MDT SAT SEP 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0550 PM HAIL MCCOOK 40.20N 100.62W
09/03/2016 E1.25 INCH RED WILLOW NE PUBLIC
HAIL LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
HILLSpecial weather statement, Sep 3, 7:39 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 739 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016 KSZ003-004-040115- DECATUR KS-NORTON KS- 739 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTON COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT... AT 739 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF LENORA TO 4 MILES EAST OF DRESDEN. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LENORA...JENNINGS...CLAYTON...DRESDEN AND NEW ALMELO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. LAT...LON 3957 10000 3957 10046 3978 10034 3981 9980 TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 223DEG 23KT 3970 9999 3960 10035 HUSTED
Local storm report, Sep 3, 7:44 PM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
644 PM MDT SAT SEP 03 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0643 PM HAIL 1 N PENOKEE 39.36N 99.97W
09/03/2016 M0.50 INCH GRAHAM KS TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL WITH 50 MPH WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.
&&
JNThe office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Dundy, Hitchcock | 49 min |
| Sep 3, 7:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Red Willow | 31 min |
| Sep 3, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Dundy, Hitchcock | 49 min |
| Sep 3, 8:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Dundy, Hitchcock | 8 hr |
| Sep 3, 8:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Red Willow | 31 min |
| Sep 3, 8:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Red Willow | 20 min |
| Sep 3, 8:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Red Willow | 7 hr |
| Sep 3, 8:59 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Red Willow | 31 min |
| Sep 3, 9:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Hitchcock, Red Willow | 6 hr |
| Sep 4, 5:49 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | GLD | Dundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow | 17 hr |
| Sep 4, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Dundy | 51 min |
| Sep 4, 6:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Red Willow | 21 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.