Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Hastings, NE

004 
WWUS53 KGID 261058
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
558 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEC059-169-261130-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160426T1130Z/
FILLMORE NE-THAYER NE-
558 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FILLMORE AND NORTHERN THAYER COUNTIES...

AT 558 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BELVIDERE...OR
40 MILES SOUTH OF YORK...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEBRON...BRUNING...ALEXANDRIA...OHIOWA...CARLETON...BELVIDERE AND STRANG. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 9737 4015 9776 4025 9779 4035 9776
      4044 9764 4042 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 1058Z 250DEG 31KT 4029 9755 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

BILLINGS WRIGHT

385 
WWUS53 KGID 261108
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
608 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEC059-169-261130-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160426T1130Z/
FILLMORE NE-THAYER NE-
608 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FILLMORE AND NORTHEASTERN THAYER COUNTIES...

AT 608 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ALEXANDRIA...OR
39 MILES SOUTH OF YORK...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEBRON...BRUNING...ALEXANDRIA...OHIOWA...BELVIDERE AND STRANG. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4017 9737 4016 9764 4044 9764 4042 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 1108Z 250DEG 31KT 4032 9745 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

BILLINGS WRIGHT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
325 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

SATELLITE AND OBSERVATIONS SHOW SOME STRATUS SPREADING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. RADAR HAS A SINGLE CELL IN NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS AND MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

STILL A LOT OF DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS THIS MORNING CONSIDERING
THAT THE MAIN EVENT IS LESS THAN 24 HOURS OUT. NEARLY ALL OF THE
MODELS HAVE THERE BEING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE DETAILS ARE THE PART THAT
CREATE THE CHALLENGE. THE UPPER LOW IS TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND THE FIRST WAVE OF ENERGY FROM THE LOW IS MOVING INTO THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW IS STILL TO THE
WEST/SOUTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING AND THERE IS A WARM
FRONT THAT EXTENDS TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS.
THE CURRENT CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT IN AN AREA OF
WARM MOIST ADVECTION. THE INCREASE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME FOG AND MAYBE SOME DRIZZLE TO THE AREA. THE
MAIN AREA WOULD BE TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. FOR NOW HAVE SOME
AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND PATCHY FOG.

WITH THE START OF THE CONVECTION ALREADY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THERE IS ALREADY SIGNIFICANT CAPE AND SHEAR AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
MORNING WOULD LIKELY BE SEVERE. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE DECREASING
AROUND SUNRISE AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST.

ONE OF THE MAIN VARIABLES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT IS THE LOCATION OF
THE SURFACE LOW AND WARM FRONT. SOME OF THE MODELS PUSH THE WARM
FRONT TO THE NORTH...WHILE OTHERS KEEP IT FURTHER TO THE SOUTH. HAVE
KEPT WITH THE FURTHER SOUTH THEORY SINCE THERE COULD BE STRATUS
AROUND THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON THAT WOULD SLOW THE
FRONT MOVING TO THE NORTH. MOST OF THE MODELS ALSO KEEP THE SURFACE
LOW NEAR THE KANSAS/NEBRASKA BORDER THROUGH THE DAY.

THE NEXT QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL THERE BE MID
MORNING TO MID AFTERNOON. THE NAM...GFS...ECMWF AND A FEW OF THE
SHORT TERM MODELS HAVE CONVECTION SPREADING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. ON THE OTHER HAND THE HRRR AND SOME OF THE
OTHER SHORT TERM MODELS HAVE A DRY OR NEARLY DRY PERIOD FOR MID DAY.
HAVE KEPT THE POPS DURING THE DAY...BUT HAVE A FEW CONCERNS HOW MUCH
THERE WILL BE.

WHEN WILL CONVECTION GET GOING THIS AFTERNOON? MOST OF THE MODELS
HAVE CONVECTION STARTING SOMETIME AROUND 21 TO 00Z THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER CONCERN IS THAT SOME OF THE MODELS ARE
BRINGING IN A DRY SLOT INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS TO SEE JUST WHERE AND HOW FAR IT MOVES
INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

IT IS NO QUESTION THAT THE MAIN CONCERNS LIE WITHIN THE SHORT-
TERM...BUT THE MID AND EXTENDED ARE STILL ACTIVE AND INTERESTING
IN THEIR OWN RIGHT.

MID-TERM (WEDNESDAY - THURSDAY):
THE MAIN FOCUS IN THIS PERIOD IS THE EXIT OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
THAT BEGINS TO IMPACT US TODAY. ONCE THE UPPER DISTURBANCE ROTATES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO NEBRASKA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IT
BECOMES RELATIVELY STAGNANT AND SLOW MOVING. THIS CAUSED THE
MULTIPLE PV ANOMALIES ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW TO CAUSE
CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGHOUT WEDNESDAY. THINK THE BEST CHANCES WILL
BE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ALONG AND NORTH OF WHERE THE
SURFACE LOW TRACKS. THERE ARE SOME DISCREPANCIES ON HOW THE
QUICKLY THE UPPER LOW EJECTS EASTWARD WITH THE GFS AND EC MORE
PROGRESSIVE WHILE THE NAM ROTATES THE ENERGY BACK NORTHWARD OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. REGARDLESS THINK PRECIPITATION WILL WANE LATE
WEDNESDAY AND THAT THE ARE WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WEDNESDAY OVERNIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY...BUT THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES
AS THE NEXT DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT.
IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE NEXT WAVE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST.

LONG-TERM (FRIDAY - MONDAY):
THIS PERIOD IS LIKELY TO BE WET AT LEAST OFF AND ON. THE UPPER LOW
WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD SLOWLY WHILE THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL. PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL IS
FAIRLY HIGH. WATER COULD BE COME A CONCERN. WATCH THIS PERIOD AS
IT NEARS.

THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST WAS FOCUSED ON THE SHORT AND MID-TERM
WITH ONGOING CONVECTION...THE LONG-TERM FORECAST IS ABBREVIATED
BECAUSE OF THIS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

A COUPLE OF CONCERNS FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD. FIRST THERE WILL BE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. THROUGH MID DAY THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN LOWER
CLOUDS AND THERE COULD BE SOME DRIZZLE AND PERHAPS SOME FOG.
CURRENTLY THERE ARE NOT LOCATIONS THAT HAVE EXTREMELY LOW CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITY BUT EXPECT THAT TO CHANGE TOWARD DAY BREAK. HAVE
MVFR IN THERE NOW...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME IFR AROUND SUNRISE.
THE NEXT CONCERN IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THERE COULD BE
SOME DURING THE MORNING...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...BILLINGS WRIGHT
AVIATION...JCB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
413 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
271200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
413 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.
THERE COULD BE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE
OF GOLF BALLS THIS MORNING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281
AND ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 6.

ANOTHER...GREATER...CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND
DAMAGING WINDS OF 70 MPH. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 4 PM AND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
413 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0312 AM     HAIL             HARDY                   40.01N 97.92W
04/26/2016  E1.00 INCH       NUCKOLLS           NE   PUBLIC

            REPORT VIA FACEBOOK.

&&

JMBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
416 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0357 AM     HAIL             HEBRON                  40.17N 97.59W
04/26/2016  E1.25 INCH       THAYER             NE   PUBLIC

            REPORT VIA FACEBOOK WITH PICTURE. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR.

&&

JMBW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
424 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEZ087-261015-
THAYER NE-
424 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN THAYER COUNTY UNTIL 515
AM CDT...

AT 424 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GILEAD...OR 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEBRON...CHESTER...ALEXANDRIA...HUBBELL...BELVIDERE AND GILEAD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4000 9767 4001 9767 4035 9751 4035 9737
      4000 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0924Z 222DEG 22KT 4007 9742

BILLINGS WRIGHT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
438 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEZ086-087-261030-
THAYER NE-NUCKOLLS NE-
438 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NUCKOLLS AND
SOUTHWESTERN THAYER COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 438 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
BYRON...OR 40 MILES NORTH OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEBRON...DESHLER...CHESTER...HARDY AND BYRON.

LAT...LON 4000 9764 4000 9797 4026 9770 4012 9750
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 222DEG 21KT 4000 9782

BILLINGS WRIGHT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
532 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEZ087-261100-
THAYER NE-
532 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN THAYER COUNTY UNTIL
600 AM CDT...

AT 532 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
RUSKIN...OR 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DESHLER...DAVENPORT...BRUNING...CARLETON AND BELVIDERE.

LAT...LON 4008 9777 4011 9782 4035 9782 4035 9742
TIME...MOT...LOC 1032Z 218DEG 27KT 4020 9781

BILLINGS WRIGHT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
533 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

NEZ087-261100-
THAYER NE-
533 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN THAYER COUNTY UNTIL 600
AM CDT...

AT 533 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GILEAD...OR 50 MILES SOUTH OF YORK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEBRON...ALEXANDRIA...BELVIDERE AND GILEAD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4003 9744 4017 9766 4035 9742 4035 9737
      4008 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 1033Z 229DEG 30KT 4015 9747

BILLINGS WRIGHT