Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Advisories in 2016

Areal Flood Advisory 21, NWS Fort Worth, TX

March 9, 2016Rains County, Van Zandt County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this areal flood advisory at Mar 9, 2016, 5:33 AM CST for Rains County, Van Zandt County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 9, 2016, 5:33 AM CST (11:33 UTC)
Expired: Mar 9, 2016, 11:30 AM CST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Rains County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 803 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.1
Supercell composite: -0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Mar 9, 3:45 AM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:45 AM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 4:25 AM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-101200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
425 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY MORNING
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM PALESTINE TO HEARNE. OTHERWISE RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING
BEFORE SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL OCCUR
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A PARIS TO CORSICANA TO CAMERON LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY MOVES TOWARD AND ACROSS
THE AREA.

ON THURSDAY EVENING AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST. NEAR THE WARM FRONT...ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM ROTATION AND
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS
LOW ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT WILL MAKE IT INTO NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS. OTHERWISE SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG AND PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
GAINESVILLE TO MCKINNEY TO ATHENS ON SUNDAY. SMALL HAIL MAY BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG
AND NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE A DRY LINE MAY SET UP. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO ASSESS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 9, 3:08 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
308 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ174-175-091000-
ROBERTSON TX-MILAM TX-
308 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROBERTSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN MILAM COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CST...

AT 308 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES EAST OF ROCKDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEARNE AND MILANO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
MINOR FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 9694 3079 9702 3100 9653 3078 9644
      3075 9646 3071 9654 3070 9657 3071 9657
      3071 9659 3073 9660 3073 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0908Z 242DEG 37KT 3068 9686

JLDUNN

Local storm report, Mar 9, 3:31 AM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
331 AM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MEXIA                   31.68N  96.50W
03/09/2016                   LIMESTONE          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PRIMARILY RURAL MINOR STREET FLOODING IN MEXIA, COOLIDGE
            AND GROESBECK. PLUMMERS CREEK HAS OVERRUN ITS BANK. MANY
            TRIBUTARIES OF THE NAVASOTA FLOODING.

Local storm report, Mar 9, 3:59 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
359 AM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 W GROESBECK           31.53N  96.60W
03/09/2016                   LIMESTONE          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMS REPORTS FAST MOVING WATER OVER 164W & LCR 339,
            BLOCKADES REQUESTED

Local storm report, Mar 9, 4:02 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
402 AM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0357 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E MEXIA               31.68N  96.48W
03/09/2016                   LIMESTONE          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT WATER OVER HWY 84 JUST WEST OF THE FREESTONE
            COUNTY LINE, FAST MOVING, UNKNOWN DEPTH

Local storm report, Mar 9, 4:20 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
420 AM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SSE GOODLOW           32.04N  96.19W
03/09/2016                   NAVARRO            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER THE ROAD ON HIGHWAY 287 AT FM309

Special weather statement, Mar 9, 4:43 AM CST, 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
443 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ148-162-091130-
ANDERSON TX-LEON TX-
443 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ANDERSON AND LEON
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CST...

AT 442 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
TEAGUE TO NEAR BUFFALO TO NEAR CENTERVILLE TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MADISONVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PALESTINE...BUFFALO...ELKHART...CENTERVILLE...JEWETT...OAKWOOD AND LEONA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 152 AND 180.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3150 9574 3147 9572 3146 9575 3146 9571
      3132 9566 3127 9573 3116 9573 3114 9578
      3109 9576 3109 9598 3106 9606 3120 9605
      3136 9611 3142 9622 3162 9579 3169 9578
      3170 9588 3182 9575 3168 9552 3157 9548
TIME...MOT...LOC 1042Z 237DEG 32KT 3145 9615 3139 9606 3123 9600 3112
9600

BAIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 8, 9:03 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Hamilton	42 min
Mar 8, 9:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Lampasas, Mills	67 min
Mar 8, 10:05 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Lampasas	115 min
Mar 8, 10:15 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Hamilton	45 min
Mar 8, 10:34 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Hamilton	116 min
Mar 8, 10:51 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Hamilton	114 min
Mar 8, 11:11 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Hood, Somervell	49 min
Mar 8, 11:48 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Bosque	42 min
Mar 8, 11:56 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Robertson	49 min
Mar 9, 12:34 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Freestone, Limestone, Navarro	3 hr
Mar 9, 12:43 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Freestone, Leon	47 min
Mar 9, 12:59 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Falls	3 hr
Mar 9, 1:13 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Anderson, Henderson	3 hr
Mar 9, 1:58 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Falls, Limestone	17 hr
Mar 9, 2:05 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	McLennan	3 hr
Mar 9, 2:10 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	50 min
Mar 9, 2:15 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Bell	3 hr
Mar 9, 2:26 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Rains, Van Zandt	3 hr
Mar 9, 2:56 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Freestone, Navarro	6 hr
Mar 9, 3:08 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Milam	52 min
Mar 9, 3:27 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Milam, Robertson	3 hr
Mar 9, 3:32 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Milam, Robertson	43 min
Mar 9, 4:18 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Anderson, Henderson	3 hr
Mar 9, 4:37 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Anderson, Henderson	3 hr
Mar 9, 4:43 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Leon	47 min
Mar 9, 5:38 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson	3 hr
Mar 9, 7:29 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Anderson	3 hr
Mar 9, 9:00 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Freestone, Navarro	6 hr
Mar 9, 10:33 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Anderson, Freestone, Henderson	4 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Texas, 2016 Every areal flood advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.