Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 5, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 17, 2016Walsh County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jun 17, 2016, 12:02 PM CDT for Walsh County, North Dakota. It took effect at Jun 18, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2016, 12:02 PM CDT (17:02 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 18, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 21, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Forest River at Minto (MTON8). The gauge peaked at 6.03 ft at Jun 20, 2016, 5:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate246806/1706/1806/1906/2006/2106/22
Action stage
4.5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
8 ft
Major stage
11 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05085000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

646 
WGUS43 KFGF 171702
FLWFGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
1202 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a 
   flood warning (new) for these river locations in North Dakota...

  New flooding is forecast to occur at...
  *  Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County.
  
.Another round of heavy rain has fallen on the saturated soils of
southern Walsh county. This rainfall will runoff into the river
system and cause the Forest River to rise at Minto to 6 to 7 ft.

  *** A follow-up flood statement with more detailed flooding 
  information will be issued shortly. ***


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

NDC099-171802-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160619T0000Z-160621T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160619T0000Z.160619T0600Z.160620T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a 
 new Flood Warning for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River
* from Saturday evening to late Monday night.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 3.3 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 6.1 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will 
  fall below Flood Stage by Sunday evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

jk
8 follow-up statements
560 
WGUS83 KFGF 171901
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
201 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016


...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County
  * Minto...on the Forest River ...in Walsh County

.The rainfall from this mornings thunderstorms will cause a couple
rivers to rise above flood stage this weekend. Minto and Hallock
areas have minor flooding forecast as rivers rise with runoff from
saturated soils.

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-181901-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.160618T0429Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.160618T0429Z.160621T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
201 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday the stage was 800.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday night and continue to 
  rise to near 805.9 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* The river is forecast to crest at 805.9 on Tuesday early afternoon 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage.Storm 
  sewers start backing up.Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge 
  closed. Lift Pump inspected.	

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          803.0  804.7  805.4  805.8  805.8  805.3  804.2


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-181901-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160619T0000Z-160621T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160619T0000Z.160619T0600Z.160620T0000Z.NO/
201 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from Saturday evening to late Monday night...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  1:15 PM Friday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday evening and continue 
  to rise to near 6.1 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will 
  fall below Flood Stage by Sunday evening.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.1 on early Sunday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor.
  Left bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24

Forest River
  Minto              5.2    6.1    5.8    5.1    4.2    3.5    3.1


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$

jk
611 
WGUS83 KFGF 172058
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
358 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County
  * Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County

.Rivers have begun to respond to morning rainfall runoff and will
continue to rise. Hallock is now projected to reach into the
moderate flood category at near 808 feet. Minto will see a rise to
near 6.3 feet by Saturday Night. 

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-182058-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.160617T2333Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2333Z.160620T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
358 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 PM Friday the stage was 801.2 feet.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 808.0 feet by Monday mid-morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 808.0 on early Monday during this
  7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetery) is closed.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          804.8  807.2  808.0  807.7  807.1  805.9  804.4


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-182058-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160618T2000Z-160621T2100Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160618T2000Z.160619T0600Z.160620T1500Z.NO/
358 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  3:15 PM Friday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 6.3 feet by early Sunday. The 
  river will fall below Flood Stage by late Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.3 on early Sunday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor.
  Left bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24

Forest River
  Minto              5.4    6.3    6.1    5.3    4.3    3.5    3.1


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$

jk
579 
WGUS83 KFGF 180144
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
844 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
North Dakota...

  * Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County

 
.Additional rainfall predicted to fall Saturday night and early Sunday is not 
expected to appreciably raise forecast crests. Rather, this rain may act to slow 
the recession of the rivers. 

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-191344-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160620T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
844 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 802.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 808.0 feet sometime 
  Monday mid-morning then begin falling.
* The river is forecast to crest at 808.0 on Monday mid-morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetery) is closed.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24
  Hallock          806.5  807.6  808.0  807.4  806.6  805.2  803.4
LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-191344-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160618T2100Z-160622T0000Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160618T2100Z.160619T0600Z.160620T1800Z.NO/
844 PM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday evening...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 4.3 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 6.3 feet by early Sunday morning. The 
  river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.3 on early Sunday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. Left
  bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri
(month/day)         06/18  06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24
  Minto              6.2    6.3    5.8    4.8    3.9    3.3    3.0
LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$
WJB
343 
WGUS83 KFGF 181513
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
1013 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
North Dakota...

  * Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County

.Additional rainfall predicted to fall later tonight and early Sunday is not 
expected to appreciably raise forecast crests. Rather, this rain may act to slow 
the recession of the rivers. River levels and forecasts will be monitored for
any significant change and the appropriate products will be issued as needed.

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-191513-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160622T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 804.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 808.0 feet sometime 
  early Wednesday morning then begin falling.
* The river is forecast to crest at 808.0 on early Wednesday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetery) is closed.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat
(month/day)         06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          805.9  807.0  807.7  808.0  807.5  806.8  805.6


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-191513-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160619T1500Z-160622T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160619T1500Z.160620T0000Z.160621T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from Sunday morning to late Tuesday night...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 4.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 6.2 feet by Sunday evening. The river will
  fall below Flood Stage by Monday evening.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.2 on Sunday evening during this
  7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. Left
  bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat
(month/day)         06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25

Forest River
  Minto              5.9    6.2    5.5    4.6    3.8    3.3    3.1


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$
302 
WGUS83 KFGF 190055
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
755 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
North Dakota...

  * Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County

 This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-201255-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160621T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 805.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 808.0 feet sometime 
  early Tuesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetary) is closed.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat
(month/day)         06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25
  Hallock          807.2  807.8  808.0  807.6  807.1  806.1  804.7
LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-201255-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160620T0600Z-160621T1200Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.NO/
755 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from late Sunday night to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Saturday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early 
  Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.0 on early Monday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. Left
  bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat
(month/day)         06/19  06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25
  Minto              5.8    5.7    5.0    4.4    3.9    3.4    3.2
LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$
999 
WGUS83 KFGF 191343
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
843 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016


...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County
  * Minto...on the Forest River ...in Walsh County

. Recent rains have not significantly changed the hydrologic
situation in the Red River of the North's basin...thus the river
flood forecasts for Hallock MN and Minto ND have not changed much
from the previously issued follow-on flood warning statements.

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-201343-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160621T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 806.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 808.0 feet sometime 
  Tuesday mid-morning then begin falling.
* The river is forecast to crest at 808.0 on Tuesday mid-morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetary) is closed.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          807.5  808.0  807.9  807.4  806.5  805.3  803.6


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-201343-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160620T0600Z-160621T1200Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.NO/
843 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from late tonight to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early 
  Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 6.0 on early Monday morning 
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor.
Left bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

Forest River
  Minto              5.8    4.9    4.1    3.5    3.3    3.1    2.9


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$
395 
WGUS83 KFGF 200050
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
750 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016


...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County
  * Minto...on the Forest River ...in Walsh County

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-211250-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160621T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
750 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 806.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.8 feet sometime 
  Tuesday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 
  (north Cemetary) is closed.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26
  Hallock          807.5  807.8  807.5  806.8  805.6  804.2  802.7
LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-211200-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.160620T0600Z-160621T1200Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.160620T0600Z.NO/
750 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* from late tonight to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. Left
  bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&
 
Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26
  Minto              5.5    4.3    3.4    3.1    3.1    3.0    2.9
LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$
977 
WGUS83 KFGF 201455
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
955 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in 
North Dakota...

  * Minto...on the Forest River...in Walsh County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County
 
.  Dry conditions will let rivers in flood receed.

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new  
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in...or near...flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC069-211455-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.160617T2305Z.160620T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 807.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to a stage of 807.1 feet
  by Tuesday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 
  bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable 
  pumps are set up.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon
(month/day)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          807.1  807.1  807.0  806.4  805.1  803.7  802.4


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

NDC099-201525-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160621T1200Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.160620T1030Z.000000T0000Z.160620T1030Z.NO/
955 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for...
* ...Minto...on the Forest River.
* At  9:15 AM Monday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Fell below Flood Stage at  5:30 AM Monday.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to 5.1 feet by Tuesday 
  mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 6.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. Left
  bank flooding. Bankfull Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon
(month/day)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

Forest River
  Minto              5.1    4.5    4.1    3.6    3.2    3.0    2.8


LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 17, 9:53 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 9:53 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
953 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 950 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2016

Continue to adjust pops to account for track of severe squall
line propagating across nw-west central MN. Also increased winds
in high wind warning area as wake low propagates eastward behind
squall line.

UPDATE Issued at 615 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2016

Current radar showing three cells associated with storm what has
moved along the I 94 corridor throughout the night now moving into
western FA, with northernmost cell intensifying. Cells have been
moving along tight Theta e gradient and now shifting northeast
along the gradient. More development now beginning along SFC
trough from Kittson Co southwest into Devils Lake. Will increase
POPs for northeastern ND and far northwest MN. Per discussion with
SPC, cells are moving into shearless environment and further
eastward expansion of watch is not anticipated although there
certainly will be some strong to severe storms along the boundary
through the mid morning, decreasing in intensity as the move to
the northeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2016

Current surface analysis shows a sfc low over central SD with an
inverted trough extended through Devils Lake...roughly aligned
with axis of a theta e ridge. QLCS is moving along the I 94
corridor between Bismarck and Dickinson, progged to be just west
of our FA by 1130Z pending possible acceleration of forward
propagation. While elevated convection, bowing nature of line of
storms indicating wind will be a significant threat as it
approaches SW ND. DCAPEs across southern ND are in the 1300 to
1500 range.  94 mph winds have been reported near Dickinson. Will
bring scattered showers into Valley City around 09Z, keeping POPs
lower north of Highway 2 although experimental HRRR does bring
highest POPs further north than radar trends. Expect to see
eastern ND begin to clear out in the afternoon with line of storms
exiting eastern zones by late afternoon.

For the early morning, there is also a cluster of storms (likely
severe) just north of the international border moving east
northeast and the strongest storms will remain in southern MB,
however will see isolated storms across northeastern ND in the
early morning hours.

SW flow pattern aloft with SFC high pressure over far
northeastern ND should limit precip across the northern FA.
However, a warm front across southeastern SD into southwestern MN
will lift north early Saturday morning with convection forming
across east central SD this evening. NAM dry with this system but
does bring precip across the north after 09Z with a short wave
moving out of eastern MT into the northern valley Sat morning. GFS
this evening shows more pronounced warm frontal boundary
stretching from SFC low over s central SD through Grant Co MN and
into Otter Tail Co, with convection significantly further north
than NAM shows. Northern two thirds of CWA is dry with northeast
SFC flow, however expands north into the Grand Forks and Thief
River Falls areas by 12Z. Deep layer shear in vcnty of sfc
boundary only in the 20 to 30 kt range with best shear well to the
west in central and western ND. Overall GFS better represents SREF
for tonight and will use model blend for overnight period. As
Scattered storms will increase from south to north on Saturday as
the boundary lifts northward.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2016

Saturday night into Sunday evening...A boundary along the
international border will be the focus for more convection as a SFC
low moves quickly across ND Sat night into Sun afternoon. Primary
threat for convection Sat night will be along and north of the
international border. Deep layer shear should be much higher (40
to 50 knots), mainly north of Hwy 2 along the boundary, and a few
strong or severe thunderstorms are possible mainly after midnight.
SPC Day 2 has a slight risk for northern tier of counties along
warm frontal boundary and Day 3 has a slight risk for storms
developing ahead of cold FROPA Sunday afternoon. NAM PWAT values
for the 06Z to 12Z timeframe continue to be in the 1.8 to 1.9 inch
range along the international border. HPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall
is in a slight risk for exceeding FFG late Sat night. Strong warm
advection into the warm sector on Sunday will result in daytime
highs in the 80s, close to 90 across the far south, with Monday
highs falling into the mid 70s behind Sunday's cold FROPA.
Clearing skies Monday night and cooler air will bring overnight
lows in the mid 50s.

Monday-Thursday...Northwest flow pattern will develop as mid/upper
ridging amplifies across the Rockies, leading to relatively dry
weather with seasonable temps.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 622 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2016

Primary aviation concern this morning will be convection along a
surface boundary extending from NW Minnesota to the
southwest through Devils Lake. DVL will see morning convection
dissipating by late morning while GFK and TVF will see cells to
the north and northwest, with some storms over GFK possible by
13Z. FAR and BJI may see storms late in the afternoon but
confidence too low to mention in TAFs at this time. Expect VFR
conds outside of storms.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...High Wind Warning until 11 AM CDT this morning for NDZ016-027.

MN...High Wind Warning until 11 AM CDT this morning for MNZ001-007-
     008-013>015.

&&

UPDATE...Voelker
SHORT TERM...Speicher
LONG TERM...Makowski/Speicher
AVIATION...Speicher
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 5:17 AM CDT, 6 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
517 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-181030-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
517 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS
MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. THE STORMS
WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY EARLY MORNING. THERE IS A
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT,
ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 AND ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
MORE STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT, WITH THE MAIN THREAT FOR
NOCTURNAL SEVERE STORMS BEING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A CONTINUATION OF AN ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE THREAT IS MAINLY ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER SATURDAY NIGHT AND EAST OF THE VALLEY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPEICHER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 17, 10:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1043 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     HAIL             WASKISH                 48.16N 94.51W
06/17/2016  E0.50 INCH       BELTRAMI           MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JAM
Local storm report, Jun 17, 10:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1054 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 AM     HAIL             2 N WRIGHTSTOWN         46.30N 95.19W
06/17/2016  E1.00 INCH       OTTER TAIL         MN   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FALLING.

&&

JAM
Local storm report, Jun 17, 11:07 AM CDT, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1107 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SW LAKOTA             47.98N 98.44W
06/17/2016                   NELSON             ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRAILERS FLIPPED OVER AT NORTHERN VIEW CAMPGROUND ON THE
            NORTH SIDE OF STUMP LAKE

&&

JKAISER
Local storm report, Jun 17, 11:21 AM CDT, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     HAIL             4 S WADENA              46.38N 95.13W
06/17/2016  E1.00 INCH       WADENA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JR
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 11:49 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

MNZ030-031-171730-
EAST OTTER TAIL MN-WEST OTTER TAIL MN-
1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY UNTIL
1230 PM CDT...

AT 1148 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER VERGAS...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF DETROIT LAKES...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BIG MCDONALD LAKE AROUND 1150 AM CDT.
  DENT AROUND 1155 AM CDT.
  PERHAM AROUND 1205 PM CDT.
  NEW YORK MILLS AND BUTLER AROUND 1220 PM CDT.
  HILLVIEW AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 4646 9517 4647 9614 4671 9595 4671 9516
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 269DEG 33KT 4663 9579

TG
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 11:50 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1150 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

MNZ024-028-032-171730-
HUBBARD MN-WADENA MN-EAST BECKER MN-
1150 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WADENA...EASTERN
BECKER AND SOUTHERN HUBBARD COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

AT 1150 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER PINE POINT...OR 24 MILES NORTHEAST OF DETROIT LAKES...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OSAGE AROUND 1200 PM CDT.
  TWO INLETS AROUND 1205 PM CDT.
  PARK RAPIDS AROUND 1215 PM CDT.
  EMMAVILLE AROUND 1220 PM CDT.
  DORSET AROUND 1225 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 4671 9482 4671 9516 4672 9517 4672 9565
      4715 9554 4715 9468
TIME...MOT...LOC 1650Z 280DEG 35KT 4701 9541

TG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 4:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFPembina65 min
Jun 17, 4:12 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFCavalier18 min
Jun 17, 5:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Eddy, Ramsey64 min
Jun 17, 6:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFNelson36 min
Jun 17, 6:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Eddy, Griggs, Nelson43 min
Jun 17, 6:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Nelson, Ramsey, Walsh59 min
Jun 17, 7:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Steele41 min
Jun 17, 7:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson, Steele, Traill, Walsh57 min
Jun 17, 7:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFGrand Forks, Pembina, Walsh7 hr
Jun 17, 8:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Pembina, Walsh60 min
Jun 17, 8:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFGrand Forks74 min
Jun 17, 8:24 AM CDTHigh Wind WarningFGFNelson, Walsh39 min
Jun 17, 9:03 AM CDTHigh Wind WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson, Walsh110 min
Jun 17, 3:34 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFWalsh4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.