Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 31, 2016Clarke County, Madison County, Oglethorpe County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 31, 2016, 7:20 PM EDT for Clarke County, Madison County, Oglethorpe County, Georgia. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 31, 2016, 7:20 PM EDT (23:20 UTC)
Expired: Jul 31, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
In force: 40 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Clarke County, GA, Madison County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 303 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1101 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 31, 3:26 PM EDT, 3 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 3:26 PM EDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
326 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

An environment over Central GA characterized by precipitable water
values well over 2 inches along with CAPE values over 2500 J/KG
and a localized cold pool aloft and you have all the ingredients
necessary for numerous showers and thunderstorms with isolated
severe activity. Expect this activity to continue to translate
and expand east but activity to continue in west central as well
as outflows develop additional activity in primed environment.

Further north...the environment is not quite as favorable but
still seeing PW's close to 2 inches along with perhaps even better
instability and despite the later start...activity should blossom
nicely through late afternoon. For now...have confined likely pops
to Central GA but will need to monitor closely for possible
expansion of this northward.

Will carry some low end pops right on through the overnight
period. Models continue to hint at a shortwave continuing to move
through the area overnight and given the high deep layer moisture
across the area...will not take much to generate additional
activity...even after the sun sets.

Aforementioned shortwave will act as the focus for Mondays
activity...likely once again to be over Central GA. While drier
air will continue to filter in from the north...not able to get
enough dry air to significantly reduce pops and will continue with
chance for most locations. But for the southern sections where
deep moisture remains...will go likely pops again from Columbus to
Macon and points southward.

Deese

.LONG TERM /Monday Night through Saturday/... Long-range models
continue to show a weak... yet persistent long wave trough
drifting along the Atlantic seaboard by early Tuesday.
Disturbances traversing through this upper trough will deepen a
surface low off the mid-Atlantic coast and help drag a weak
surface front into the state by late Tuesday. At this time... it
appears a developing northwest flow aloft could spread some drier
air into at least parts of north GA and help push the boundary
into mainly central GA by Tuesday afternoon. This suggest a lessor
rain chance across north GA and maybe only a low scattered
coverage across central GA on Tuesday and Wednesday. Weak
disturbances in the west to northwest flow aloft combined with
increasing low level moisture from a developing southerly low
level flow should help increase rain chances across the area by
Thursday and this pattern may continue into the weekend. For
now... will continue to show 30-40 percent pops for the later half
of the work week and into Saturday. The overall pattern shows a
weakly sheared environment with only modest instabilities... all
suggesting any severe threat will be minimal with nothing
widespread or organized severe-wise expected through the long term
at this time. Otherwise... highs in the 90s and lows in the 70s
will persist.

39

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

The axis of best moisture and energy for thunderstorm development
continues to be over southern sections from CSG to MCN. Have
initialized with TEMPO groups for these southern TAF sites but not
for the ATL area sites where I delayed activity until 19Z and
based on current trends...this could perhaps have been delayed
even further. Otherwise...a shortwave moves through tonight into
tomorrow morning. Have not played this up all that much in current
TAF set but will need to watched closely as this could cause some
unexpected activity even during the overnight hours. For
now...have limited the Prob30 to 18Z to 22Z for ATL on Mon.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
Medium on TSRA timing.
High on remaining elements.

Deese

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          73  91  72  93 /  50  50  50  20
Atlanta         74  90  74  91 /  40  40  40  20
Blairsville     67  87  67  87 /  40  30  30  20
Cartersville    72  92  72  92 /  40  30  30  20
Columbus        74  92  74  93 /  40  60  60  30
Gainesville     73  89  73  91 /  40  40  40  20
Macon           74  92  73  94 /  60  60  60  30
Rome            72  93  72  93 /  40  30  30  20
Peachtree City  72  90  71  91 /  40  40  40  20
Vidalia         75  94  75  94 /  60  60  60  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Deese
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...Deese

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 2:22 PM EDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

FLUS42 KFFC DDHHMM
HWOFFC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
222 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-011800-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
222 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...
MAINLY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

16

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
533 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

GAZ020-021-032-312215-
COBB GA-BARTOW GA-CHEROKEE GA-
533 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN COBB...SOUTHEASTERN
BARTOW AND SOUTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 533 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR KENNESAW...OR 8 MILES
NORTH OF MARIETTA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. ALSO...THE HEAVY
           RAIN MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING OR ROAD PONDING
           IN SLOW DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
MARIETTA...KENNESAW...WOODSTOCK...ACWORTH...HOLLY SPRINGS...EMERSON...FAIR
OAKS...WHITE WATER PARK...DUE WEST...KENNESAW STATE UNIVERSITY...JIM R
MILLER PARK...SWEAT MOUNTAIN...LEBANON...BRIDGEMILL...SANDY PLAINS...
HOBGOOD PARK...KELLOGG CREEK...LITTLE RIVER LANDING...GEORGE WASHINGTON
CARVER ST PK AND OAK GROVE.

LAT...LON 3423 8457 3405 8441 3386 8459 3406 8474
      3408 8474 3408 8476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 311DEG 8KT 3407 8460

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
539 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

GAZ098-111>113-312230-
WHEELER GA-MONTGOMERY GA-TOOMBS GA-TREUTLEN GA-
539 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHEELER...MONTGOMERY...
NORTHWESTERN TOOMBS AND SOUTHERN TREUTLEN COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...

AT 539 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ALAMO. THIS STORM WAS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. ALSO...THE HEAVY
           RAIN MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING OR ROAD PONDING
           IN SLOW DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
SOPERTON...ALAMO...MOUNT VERNON...VIDALIA...GLENWOOD...UVALDA...AILEY...
SCOTLAND...HIGGSTON...ALSTON...TARRYTOWN...CHARLOTTEVILLE...BARNHILL...
LOTHAIR...JORDAN...ZAIDEE...KIBBEE...LANDSBURG AND MCNATT FALLS.

LAT...LON 3197 8249 3203 8279 3205 8281 3206 8284
      3225 8279 3227 8277 3227 8276 3228 8276
      3231 8272 3233 8274 3233 8275 3234 8274
      3240 8241 3197 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 253DEG 4KT 3210 8271

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

GAZ046>048-312230-
NEWTON GA-ROCKDALE GA-WALTON GA-
550 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN NEWTON...
NORTHEASTERN ROCKDALE AND WALTON COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 550 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER WALNUT GROVE...OR 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF CONYERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. ALSO...THE HEAVY
           RAIN MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING OR ROAD PONDING
           IN SLOW DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
CONYERS...MONROE...COVINGTON...LOGANVILLE...SOCIAL CIRCLE...OXFORD...
PORTERDALE...WALNUT GROVE...BETWEEN...JERSEY...GEORGIA INTERNATIONAL
HORSE PARK...LAKEVIEW ESTATES...GUM CREEK...ALMON...MILSTEAD...BOLD
SPRINGS...BIG HAYNES CREEK PARK...PANNELL...HERNDONVILLE AND YOUTH.

LAT...LON 3373 8360 3355 8395 3370 8407 3392 8382
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 236DEG 9KT 3374 8389

Local storm report, Jul 31, 6:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 31, 6:25 PM EDT, 55 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 7:20 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
720 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

GAZ027-036-038-039-010000-
MADISON GA-OGLETHORPE GA-CLARKE GA-WILKES GA-
720 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MADISON...OGLETHORPE...
CLARKE AND NORTHWESTERN WILKES COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 719 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER CRAWFORD...OR NEAR
LEXINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. ALSO...THE HEAVY
           RAIN MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING OR ROAD PONDING
           IN SLOW DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
DANIELSVILLE...LEXINGTON...ATHENS...COMER...WINTERVILLE...CRAWFORD...
COLBERT...ARNOLDSVILLE...CARLTON...RAYLE...HULL...ATHENS-CLARKE COUNTY...
WHITEHALL...STEPHENS...SMITHONIA...JACKSONS CROSSROADS...BEECHWOOD HILLS...
WATSON MILL BRIDGE STATE PARK...STATE BOTANICAL GARDEN OF GA AND
NORMAN.

LAT...LON 3369 8301 3371 8305 3371 8306 3384 8328
      3385 8328 3385 8330 3393 8344 3425 8310
      3422 8308 3417 8310 3415 8306 3410 8304
      3405 8299 3403 8293 3401 8294 3401 8291
      3398 8286 3399 8284 3397 8278 3397 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 208DEG 11KT 3387 8317

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 31, 1:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taylor	31 min
Jul 31, 1:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Macon, Taylor	36 min
Jul 31, 1:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Schley	33 min
Jul 31, 1:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Crawford, Peach	30 min
Jul 31, 1:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Sumter	25 min
Jul 31, 2:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Macon, Peach	38 min
Jul 31, 2:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Crawford	40 min
Jul 31, 2:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	39 min
Jul 31, 2:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bibb, Jones, Twiggs	52 min
Jul 31, 3:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Meriwether, Pike	45 min
Jul 31, 3:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Marion, Muscogee	43 min
Jul 31, 3:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Twiggs	40 min
Jul 31, 3:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp, Dooly, Pulaski, Wilcox	41 min
Jul 31, 3:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Harris, Talbot	42 min
Jul 31, 3:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pulaski, Wilcox	51 min
Jul 31, 4:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Washington	48 min
Jul 31, 4:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Meriwether, Pike	30 min
Jul 31, 4:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Douglas	39 min
Jul 31, 4:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Stewart	50 min
Jul 31, 4:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Johnson	46 min
Jul 31, 5:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Wheeler	28 min
Jul 31, 5:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton	44 min
Jul 31, 5:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Haralson	53 min
Jul 31, 5:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cobb	42 min
Jul 31, 5:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Wheeler	51 min
Jul 31, 5:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Rockdale, Walton	40 min
Jul 31, 7:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Banks, Jackson	39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.