Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1048 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

.UPDATE...

No major changes to current forecast. Showers already popping up
along I-20 across central Georgia.

&&

.Discussion...
A few showers are beginning to develop generally along and south of
I-20. This is likely in response to weak upr lvl trough axis sliding
southeast across the region, and a very weak low lvl convg zone/sfc
trough that stretches from central Georgia. Short-range models seem
to have a pretty good handle on convective initiation area so
confidence has increased in where showers/storms will develop over
the next several hours. 14-15z temps are already in the lower to mid
80s with dewpoints in the upr 60s to lwr 70s. PWAT value from FFC
12z sounding was 1.79" so heavy rain definitely a threat today. Low
lvl shear is not that impressive -- about 15-20kts -- but still
sufficient enough for a few organized stronger storms during peak
heating.

Overall current forecast in good shape. Will just make minor
adjustments to POPs/Wx (try to pinpoint better chance for
showers/storms) througout the afternoon/evening.

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DJN.83
LONG TERM....Kovacik
AVIATION...DJN.83

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1130 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-171530-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1130 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WEAKLY DISTURBED MID-LEVELS AND SEVERAL SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL
ALLOW FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...WHILE FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITHIN THE STRONGER
DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AREA-WIDE. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THE POTENTIAL
SHOULD BE MORE CONFINED TO CENTRAL GEORGIA. WHILE ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1146 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

GAZ048-057-161615-
HENRY GA-NEWTON GA-
1146 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HENRY AND WESTERN NEWTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1146 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MCDONOUGH...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
           TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
MCDONOUGH...STOCKBRIDGE...FLIPPEN...KELLEYTOWN AND OAK HILL.

LAT...LON 3354 8422 3355 8407 3354 8406 3354 8405
      3353 8405 3353 8404 3356 8402 3356 8398
      3346 8393 3343 8418
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 242DEG 10KT 3349 8405

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1220 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

GAZ048-057-161645-
HENRY GA-NEWTON GA-
1220 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HENRY AND WESTERN NEWTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 1245 PM EDT...

AT 1220 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER MCDONOUGH...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
           TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
MCDONOUGH...LOCUST GROVE...BLACKSVILLE AND OLA.

LAT...LON 3354 8406 3354 8405 3353 8405 3353 8404
      3354 8403 3346 8393 3334 8414 3343 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 1620Z 217DEG 4KT 3346 8411

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1234 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

GAZ002-003-161700-
CATOOSA GA-WALKER GA-
1234 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CATOOSA AND WALKER
COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

AT 1233 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR CHICKAMAUGA...OR 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
           LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
           ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
           TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LAFAYETTE...ROCK SPRING...NOBLE...LINWOOD AND COOPER HEIGHTS.

LAT...LON 3483 8516 3468 8523 3474 8544 3475 8546
      3476 8545 3477 8545 3488 8540
TIME...MOT...LOC 1633Z 277DEG 12KT 3482 8538