Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...
Frontal boundary drifting through north GA this afternoon as the
upper short wave circulates over the Carolinas. Convection
continues to develop along the boundary with the air mass very
unstable due to high dew points and hot temperatures...yielding
capes of around 3000. Expect this boundary to continue to drift
into central GA during the night with severe possible for the next
several hours. Models consistent in building in high pressure from
the east late tonight into Saturday with fairly strong easterly
low level flow. This should stabilize the air mass over much of
the area. Will continue to have slight chances for areas south of
Columbus to Macon until Saturday afternoon in case the boundary
stalls in that area. Dry across the entire area Saturday night.

41

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...
Only a few tweaks were made to the long term. No big changes
overall. Previous discussion included below.

20

&&

Previous...Issued 347 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016
LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/... The last of the
precis chances will be exiting or have exited the area to start
the long term as high pressure builds over the area. The forecast
will remain dry into Tuesday as a high pressure pattern dominates
most of this .

A surface trough ahead of an approaching cold front will affect
mainly N GA Tuesday night with the chance for showers and
thunderstorms and the chance for showers and storms will affect
N and central GA Wednesday into Thursday as an upper trough
moves across the area with the front moving into the area.

Temperatures will start out below normal but return to near or
slightly above normal Monday afternoon and beyond.

BDL

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Convection should continue to develop on a southward sinking
boundary this afternoon and evening...affecting most of the taf
sites. Some storms expected to be severe.

Winds should remain on the west side through today and frequent
gusts to around 20kt are likely. Models are progging a wind shift
to the east overnight behind the front, increasing the potential
for a bkn deck of stratus overnight.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  83  62  84 /  20  10   0   5
Atlanta         70  84  65  84 /  20  10   5   5
Blairsville     63  81  57  81 /  10   5   0   5
Cartersville    68  86  63  85 /  20  10   0   5
Columbus        74  86  69  86 /  50  20  10   5
Gainesville     68  82  62  82 /  10  10   0   5
Macon           71  85  65  85 /  40  20  10   5
Rome            68  88  62  86 /  10  10   0   5
Peachtree City  69  85  63  85 /  30  10   5   5
Vidalia         72  85  66  84 /  60  30  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: Baldwin...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...
Butts...Carroll...Chattahoochee...Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...
Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...
Douglas...Emanuel...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Glascock...
Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...
Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...
Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Macon...Madison...Marion...
Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Muscogee...Newton...
North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...Pike...
Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...South Fulton...
Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...
Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Upson...Walton...
Warren...Washington...Webster...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...
Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-181000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE BEST TIME FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA ON SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED...BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
341 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STEWART                 33.43N  83.85W
06/17/2016                   NEWTON             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE NEWTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED NUMEROUS
            TREES BLOWN DOWN AROUND STATE HIGHWAY 36 AT STATE
            HIGHWAY 212.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600358

20

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
353 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW KNOB HILL         33.57N  85.05W
06/17/2016                   CARROLL            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR THE
            CARROLL COUNTY/DOUGLAS COUNTY LINE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600359

KOVACIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE FLOVILLA           33.25N  83.89W
06/17/2016                   BUTTS              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THE BUTTS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED 7 TO 8
            LARGE PINE TREES BLOWN DOWN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION
            OF THE COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600361

20

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FIVE POINTS             33.76N  84.39W
06/17/2016                   FULTON             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER HAS RECEIVED REPORTS OF SEVERAL TREES
            DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN FULTON COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600362

KOVACIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
401 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLAGVIEW MOBILE HOME PA 33.75N  84.72W
06/17/2016                   DOUGLAS            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTS SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN AROUND
            FAIRPLAY IN SOUTHERN DOUGLAS COUNTY...AROUND HWY 166 AND
            PHILLIPS MILL

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600363

KOVACIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
401 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

GAZ061-073-074-084-172030-
WILKINSON GA-WASHINGTON GA-BALDWIN GA-HANCOCK GA-
401 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WILKINSON...SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...BALDWIN AND SOUTHERN HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

AT 400 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPARTA TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GRAY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...UP TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT
           CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
MILLEDGEVILLE...SANDERSVILLE...GORDON...TENNILLE...IVEY...MCINTYRE...
TOOMSBORO...OCONEE...DEEPSTEP...MIDWAY-HARDWICK...COOPERS...SCOTTSBORO...
HARDWICK...HEBRON...BEULAH...ALLENWOOD...LINTON...BROWNS CROSSING AND
PANCRAS.

LAT...LON 3280 8286 3285 8332 3301 8338 3302 8339
      3306 8340 3317 8302 3297 8267
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 311DEG 38KT 3318 8304 3307 8344