Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

January 22, 2016Washington County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jan 22, 2016, 9:48 AM EST for Washington County, Georgia. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 22, 2016, 9:48 AM EST (14:48 UTC)
Expired: Jan 22, 2016, 10:15 AM EST
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Washington County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 436 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 887 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 933 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 22, 6:46 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 6:46 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
646 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE ONGOING STORM SYSTEM. ALL MODELS ARE
PRETTY SIMILAR IN TIMING OF THE DEEP COLD AIR ENTERING THE CWA AND
THE SYSTEM EXITING.

WINTER WEATHER...
FOR THE MOST PART THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. THE BIGGEST
CHANGE IS THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR PRESENTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST
MOUNTAINS. TEMPS CONTINUE TO DROP TO NEAR 30 DEGREES AT THE
TALLULAH AND BRASSTOWN RAWS WITH HEAVY SNOW BEING REPORTED BY GSP
IN THE CLAYTON AREA. THIS WOULD INDICATE TEMPS ALOFT ARE COLDER
THAN MODELS HAD PROGGED. WILL THEREFORE INCREASE THE SNOW AMOUNTS
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. LOOKING AT
NORTHWEST GA...LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN RIDGE IS HOVERING JUST ABOVE
FREEZING AND THERE COULD BE SOME ZR MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN ON THE
RIDGE AND WILL NEED TO ADD SOME LIGHT ICING...BUT THIS SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO THE TREES AND GRASSY AREAS. THE SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND ALL AREAS SHOULD SEE
THE TRANSITION OF R/ZR/S TO A MIX OF R/S THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENTUALLY ALL SNOW IN THE WARNING/ADVISORY AREAS. ALL THIS TO SAY
NO CHANGES IN THE TIMING AND AREA OF THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY/WINTER STORM WARNINGS. THE SYSTEM WILL LIFT OUT BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE REMAINS THE THREAT OF TSTORMS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL GA. HIGH SHEAR ALOFT COULD PRODUCE A FEW STRONG STORMS.
THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE LACK OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER
SEEING AS THUNDER IS ALREADY HAPPENING JUST TO THE WEST OF
COLUMBUS...THERE APPARENTLY IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND WILL
CONTINUE WITH THUNDER ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA FOR MAINLY THIS
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

FLOOD WATCH...
ADDITIONAL RAIN OF UP TO 1 INCH IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA.
WITH THE RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN THIS COULD STILL PUT A FEW
RIVERS INTO FLOOD. WILL THEREFORE MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FLOOD
WATCH.

WIND ADVISORY...
A FEW RAWS SITES HAVE ALREADY BEEN GUSTING TO OVER 35 MPH. THIS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD SEE A DIMINISHING OF
THE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE LOW GETS CLOSER AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WIND
ADVISORY.

17

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SOME DIFFERENCES ON SPEED WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE CWA BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE GFS IS SLOWER WITH THE SYSTEM KEEPING THE TROUGH TO OUR WEST
UNTIL THURSDAY WHILE THE ECMWF SPEEDS UP THE TROUGH...BRINGING
DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY. HAVE GONE WITH A
COMPROMISE OF THE MODELS.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
RAIN...WINDS...SOME RAIN/SNOW MIXED...TURNING TO ALL SNOW JUST
BEFORE ENDING FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD. FIRST OFF THE RAIN IS
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH WINDS OUT OF THE SE IN THE 12-18KT
RANGE WITH SOME GUST TO 30KT. WINDS WILL STAY IN THIS RANGE
THROUGH 00Z AS THEY TURN TO THE SW THEN W THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT THIS RAIN TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY THEN
START TO MIX WITH SOME SNOW LATER THIS EVENING....THEN TURNING TO
ALL SNOW. WILL SEE ABOUT A HALF TO 1 INCH ACCUMULATION THROUGH
SAT MORNING. VSBYS WILL STAY MAINLY IN THE MVFR RANGE THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOME BRIEF PERIODS IF IFR VSBYS IN AND AROUND THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          37  30  40  25 / 100  90  30  10
ATLANTA         41  30  39  27 / 100  70  30   5
BLAIRSVILLE     34  27  34  19 / 100 100  60  10
CARTERSVILLE    41  30  37  24 / 100 100  30  10
COLUMBUS        54  34  43  28 / 100  20  10   5
GAINESVILLE     35  29  38  25 / 100 100  40  10
MACON           52  35  44  27 / 100  20  20   5
ROME            42  30  38  24 / 100 100  30  10
PEACHTREE CITY  45  31  39  25 / 100  50  20   5
VIDALIA         64  38  46  31 / 100  20  20   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTOOGA...
CHEROKEE...CLARKE...COBB...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...
FANNIN...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...
HARALSON...JACKSON...LUMPKIN...MADISON...MURRAY...NORTH FULTON...
OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...PICKENS...POLK...SOUTH FULTON...
TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WALTON...WHITE...WHITFIELD...WILKES.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BANKS...DAWSON...FANNIN...GILMER...HALL...LUMPKIN...
MURRAY...PICKENS...TOWNS...UNION...WHITE.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: CATOOSA...CHATTOOGA...DADE...DAWSON...FANNIN...GILMER...
LUMPKIN...MURRAY...PICKENS...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WHITE...
WHITFIELD.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CATOOSA...DADE...GORDON...
WALKER...WHITFIELD.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BARROW...BARTOW...CARROLL...
CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...CLAYTON...COBB...DEKALB...
DOUGLAS...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GWINNETT...HARALSON...JACKSON...
MADISON...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...OGLETHORPE...PAULDING...POLK...
ROCKDALE...SOUTH FULTON...WALTON.

&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...01

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 7:58 AM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 22, 4:24 AM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
424 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

GAZ053>056-066>069-078>080-089>092-102-103-221015-
MUSCOGEE GA-MARION GA-UPSON GA-TAYLOR GA-CLAYTON GA-PIKE GA-
FAYETTE GA-MERIWETHER GA-WEBSTER GA-HARRIS GA-TALBOT GA-STEWART GA-
TROUP GA-SPALDING GA-SCHLEY GA-COWETA GA-CHATTAHOOCHEE GA-
424 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MUSCOGEE...MARION...WESTERN
UPSON...WESTERN TAYLOR...SOUTHWESTERN CLAYTON...PIKE...FAYETTE...
MERIWETHER...NORTHERN WEBSTER...HARRIS...TALBOT...STEWART...
SOUTHEASTERN TROUP...WESTERN SPALDING...WESTERN SCHLEY...EASTERN
COWETA AND CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 AM EST...

AT 424 AM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR EAST NEWNAN TO WOODLAND TO NEAR LUMPKIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...EXPECT MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
NEWNAN...LAGRANGE...GRIFFIN...FAYETTEVILLE...THOMASTON...LUMPKIN...
BUENA VISTA...ELLAVILLE...ZEBULON...HAMILTON...TALBOTTON...
GREENVILLE...CUSSETA...PEACHTREE CITY...UNION CITY...TYRONE...
MANCHESTER...SENOIA...HOGANSVILLE AND GRANTVILLE.

LAT...LON 3193 8490 3222 8498 3222 8493 3226 8489
      3227 8490 3232 8500 3243 8496 3259 8507
      3287 8515 3353 8456 3357 8446 3310 8425
      3225 8428 3192 8484
TIME...MOT...LOC 0924Z 221DEG 20KT 3334 8472 3280 8457 3200 8483

Special weather statement, Jan 22, 5:20 AM EST, 4 hours 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
520 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

GAZ033-034-044>046-048-052>059-066>071-078>082-089>094-102>104-
221100-
DEKALB GA-MARION GA-GWINNETT GA-PIKE GA-PEACH GA-LAMAR GA-HEARD GA-
HENRY GA-HARRIS GA-TROUP GA-BUTTS GA-CHATTAHOOCHEE GA-MUSCOGEE GA-
UPSON GA-NORTH FULTON GA-MACON GA-SOUTH FULTON GA-TAYLOR GA-
NEWTON GA-CLAYTON GA-JASPER GA-ROCKDALE GA-FAYETTE GA-MONROE GA-
MERIWETHER GA-WEBSTER GA-TALBOT GA-SUMTER GA-STEWART GA-SPALDING GA-
SCHLEY GA-CRAWFORD GA-COWETA GA-BIBB GA-
520 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DEKALB...MARION...GWINNETT...
PIKE...PEACH...LAMAR...SOUTHEASTERN HEARD...HENRY...HARRIS...TROUP...
BUTTS...CHATTAHOOCHEE...MUSCOGEE...UPSON...NORTH FULTON...MACON...
SOUTH FULTON...TAYLOR...SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON...CLAYTON...SOUTHWESTERN
JASPER...ROCKDALE...FAYETTE...MONROE...MERIWETHER...WEBSTER...
TALBOT...SUMTER...STEWART...SPALDING...SCHLEY...CRAWFORD...COWETA AND
NORTHWESTERN BIBB COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM EST...

AT 519 AM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR MORROW TO NEAR BUTLER TO NEAR SMITHVILLE...AND MOVING NORTH AT
35 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...EXPECT MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ATLANTA...NEWNAN...LAGRANGE...LAWRENCEVILLE...GRIFFIN...MCDONOUGH...
DECATUR...AMERICUS...FAYETTEVILLE...CONYERS...FORT VALLEY...
THOMASTON...BARNESVILLE...JACKSON...JONESBORO...FORSYTH...LUMPKIN...
BUENA VISTA...BUTLER AND ELLAVILLE.

LAT...LON 3197 8444 3192 8446 3192 8474 3198 8504
      3213 8506 3226 8489 3233 8501 3243 8496
      3280 8516 3313 8520 3413 8404 3380 8396
      3379 8398 3314 8379 3313 8382 3307 8377
      3234 8389 3191 8426 3192 8434 3187 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1019Z 200DEG 31KT 3359 8428 3250 8423 3195 8430

Special weather statement, Jan 22, 9:48 AM EST, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
948 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

GAZ061-073-074-084-221515-
WILKINSON GA-WASHINGTON GA-BALDWIN GA-HANCOCK GA-
948 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WILKINSON...
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN BALDWIN AND SOUTHEASTERN
HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM EST...

AT 948 AM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES NORTH OF
TOOMSBORO...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF IRWINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
60 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW
           LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS
           SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF
           CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
SPARTA...MCINTYRE...DEEPSTEP...BEULAH...LINTON AND HEBRON.

LAT...LON 3282 8312 3289 8324 3329 8296 3318 8274
      3317 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 1448Z 216DEG 50KT 3295 8310

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 22, 2:15 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Harris, Heard, Muscogee, Troup	45 min
Jan 22, 3:12 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris, Troup	33 min
Jan 22, 3:46 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion, Muscogee, Stewart	29 min
Jan 22, 4:24 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Fayette, Harris, Marion, Meriwether, Muscogee and 5 more	51 min
Jan 22, 5:20 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts, Chattahoochee, Clayton, Coweta, Crawford, DeKalb and 21 more	40 min
Jan 22, 5:21 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth, Fulton	52 hr
Jan 22, 7:12 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth	15 hr
Jan 22, 7:22 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb	24 hr
Jan 22, 7:48 AM EST	High Wind Warning	FFC	Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Dawson, Fannin, Gilmer and 9 more	5 hr
Jan 22, 7:48 AM EST	Wind Advisory	FFC	Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Cherokee and 31 more	7 hr
Jan 22, 8:10 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett, Walton	12 hr
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Rockdale	24 hr
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Newton, Rockdale	33 hr
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Bibb, Houston, Jones, Monroe, Twiggs	5 days
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Barrow, Jackson	28 hr
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Clarke, Greene, Oconee	69 hr
Jan 22, 10:56 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Johnson, Washington, Wilkinson	6 days
Jan 22, 11:52 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Coweta, Douglas, Harris, Heard, Meriwether and 1 more	53 min
Jan 22, 12:41 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Talbot, Upson	64 min
Jan 22, 1:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Spalding	47 min
Jan 22, 1:34 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lamar, Monroe	26 min
Jan 22, 1:54 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Monroe	36 min
Jan 22, 2:10 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jasper	35 min
Jan 22, 2:29 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jones	46 min
Jan 22, 2:52 PM EST	Wind Advisory	FFC	Baldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley and 90 more	28 hr
Jan 22, 3:08 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Putnam	37 min
Jan 22, 3:12 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Jones	33 min
Jan 22, 3:23 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Washington	37 min
Jan 22, 3:44 PM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	16 hr
Jan 22, 3:52 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Washington	38 min
Jan 22, 4:03 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	42 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.