Special Weather Statement, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
254 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)...
The upper level low pressure system responsible for rounds of
heavy rain the past several days continues to push southeastward
and away from South-Central Texas. However, it is expected to
linger across the Corpus Christi area for the rest of this
afternoon/early evening and produce scattered to numerous showers
and isolated thunderstorms. Some of these showers/storms could
quickly produce 1 to 2 inches of rainfall and up to 3 inches near
the coastal plains. Storms are not anticipated to be severe but
heavy rain producers at times. Showers and storms are expected to
taper off this evening with the loss of daytime heating as well as
the upper low pushes slightly to the southeast and into the
northwest Gulf waters. We will not be out of rain scope for the
next few days...especially across the southern coastal plains
counties. For the rest of the area, isolated showers or storms can
not be ruled out completely, however, heavy episodes of rain are
not in the forecast through the extended period. A Flash Flood
Watch remains in effect through 7 PM this evening and expected to
end at that time with no further extension.

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)...
The upper low is forecast to push to the south and southwest along
the Texas coast for the next several days. This scenario will
promote scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
southern Texas coast from the coastal plains to the Deep South. A
warming trends is on the way next week with temperatures reaching
the lower 90s by Wednesday. No significant weather event is
expected through Saturday of next week. This will allow saturated
grounds to dry and rivers to go back to normal levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              67  86  65  87  66 /  30  10   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  67  85  64  87  65 /  30  10   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     67  86  65  87  66 /  30  10  -    0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            65  84  62  85  63 /  20  -    0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           67  90  63  90  66 /  20   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        66  84  63  86  64 /  30  -    0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             67  87  62  87  65 /  20  -   -    0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        67  84  64  86  66 /  30  10  -    0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   69  86  67  86  68 /  40  20  10  20  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       67  85  65  87  67 /  30  10  -    0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           69  86  67  87  68 /  30  10  10  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for the following
counties: Atascosa...Bandera...Bastrop...Bexar...Blanco...Burnet...
Caldwell...Comal...De Witt...Fayette...Frio...Gillespie...
Gonzales...Guadalupe...Hays...Karnes...Kendall...Kerr...Lavaca...
Lee...Llano...Medina...Travis...Williamson...Wilson.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Hampshire
Synoptic/Grids...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
339 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-050900-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
339 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FOR
EASTERN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...OR ALONG AND EAST OF A
MOUNTAIN HOME TO HONDO TO DILLEY LINE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MOSTLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
POCKETS OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE AMOUNTS IN COMBINATION WITH
SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN RAPID FLASH FLOODING. ALSO...RAPID
RISES ON ALREADY ELEVATED RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT...A FEW STORMS
COULD BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO
50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND HIGHWAY 57 ON SUNDAY. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
432 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

TXZ173-191>193-208-209-223-042215-
WILLIAMSON TX-FAYETTE TX-BASTROP TX-GONZALES TX-CALDWELL TX-
TRAVIS TX-HAYS TX-
432 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE...BASTROP...
CALDWELL...EASTERN TRAVIS...SOUTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON...EASTERN
GONZALES AND EAST CENTRAL HAYS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 431 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM WINDEMERE TO NEAR WAELDER. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH
AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AUSTIN...ROUND ROCK...PFLUGERVILLE...LOCKHART...GONZALES...BASTROP...
LULING...SMITHVILLE...FLATONIA...WINDEMERE...TANGLEWOOD FOREST...AUSTIN
BERGSTROM INT AP...HUTTO...BUDA...MANOR...WEST LAKE HILLS...ROLLINGWOOD...
WAELDER...UHLAND AND MUSTANG RIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO SATURATED SOILS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3065 9762 2980 9702 2963 9713 2962 9715
      2958 9721 2952 9720 2930 9735 2924 9744
      2963 9765 2965 9763 2967 9767 3011 9790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 009DEG 36KT 3045 9766 2966 9724

MO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
523 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

TXZ191-192-206>208-042300-
GUADALUPE TX-COMAL TX-CALDWELL TX-TRAVIS TX-HAYS TX-
523 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CALDWELL...NORTHEASTERN
COMAL...SOUTHWESTERN TRAVIS...EASTERN GUADALUPE AND HAYS COUNTIES
UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 522 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM BEAR CREEK TO LOCKHART. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHWEST
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAN MARCOS...LOCKHART...LULING...WIMBERLEY...DRIPPING SPRINGS...KYLE...
BUDA...CANYON LAKE...WOODCREEK...MARTINDALE...UHLAND...NIEDERWALD...BEAR
CREEK...STAPLES...GERONIMO...DRIFTWOOD...KINGSBURY...ZORN...FENTRESS AND
SHADY HOLLOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO VERY SATURATED SOILS. DO NOT
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 9803 2980 9751 2943 9780 3001 9822
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 027DEG 27KT 3021 9794 2988 9769

MO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
606 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

TXZ191-207-221>224-042345-
WILSON TX-GUADALUPE TX-DE WITT TX-KARNES TX-GONZALES TX-HAYS TX-
606 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN KARNES...SOUTHWESTERN
DEWITT...SOUTHWESTERN GONZALES...GUADALUPE...NORTHEASTERN WILSON AND
SOUTH CENTRAL HAYS COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 606 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR GERONIMO TO NEAR SMILEY. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW BRAUNFELS...SAN MARCOS...SEGUIN...STOCKDALE...KOSCIUSKO...NIXON...LA
VERNIA...RUNGE...SMILEY...NEW BERLIN...NORDHEIM...ZUEHL...GILLETT...
GERONIMO...MCQUEENEY...KINGSBURY...PANDORA...ZORN...SUTHERLAND SPRINGS AND
WRIGHTSBORO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO SATURATED SOILS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2936 9820 2946 9812 2948 9812 2948 9817
      2969 9808 2975 9800 2984 9803 2990 9800
      2931 9749 2874 9768
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 008DEG 28KT 2968 9791 2929 9758

MO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

TXZ186>190-204>207-050015-
BANDERA TX-GUADALUPE TX-COMAL TX-GILLESPIE TX-BEXAR TX-BLANCO TX-
KENDALL TX-MEDINA TX-KERR TX-
623 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BEXAR...COMAL...SOUTHEASTERN
GILLESPIE...SOUTHWESTERN BLANCO...SOUTHEASTERN KERR...KENDALL...WEST
CENTRAL GUADALUPE...NORTHEASTERN BANDERA AND EASTERN MEDINA COUNTIES
UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 623 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF SISTERDALE TO NORTHCLIFF.
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHWEST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...UNIVERSAL CITY...BOERNE...COMFORT...BLANCO...
SCHERTZ...CIBOLO...LIVE OAK...LEON VALLEY...KIRBY...HELOTES...ALAMO
HEIGHTS...FAIR OAKS RANCH...SELMA...WINDCREST...CANYON LAKE...TERRELL
HILLS...BULVERDE AND GARDEN RIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OVER SATURATED SOILS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3032 9859 2969 9809 2911 9841 2912 9843
      2981 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 026DEG 33KT 3007 9868 2964 9821

MO