Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Kansas City, MO

357 
WWUS53 KEAX 271913
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
213 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

KSC005-271930-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160427T1930Z/
ATCHISON KS-
213 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN ATCHISON COUNTY...

AT 213 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DENISON...OR 7
MILES EAST OF HOLTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATCHISON...HORTON...EFFINGHAM...LANCASTER...MUSCOTAH...FARMINGTON...HURON
AND ARRINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 9557 3966 9551 3965 9535 3954 9521
      3942 9542 3942 9557
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 215DEG 26KT 3943 9559 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LAFLIN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1237 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 427 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

Overnight convection has weakened in the predawn hours after the
airmass has stabilized substantially. Moderate to heavy rain will
continue through the early morning as the line of storms makes
steady progress to the east. Water vapor imagery shows the upper low
positioned across southwest Kansas as of Wednesday morning. This
will continue to spin to the northeast and center over southeast
Nebraska by the mid afternoon. Storms generated overnight will begin
to lift into northeast Missouri through the mid to late morning and
the majority of this activity should clear the area by the early
afternoon. Cloud cover should then begin to clear enough to
destabilize by the mid afternoon ahead of the attendant cold front
of the surface low stacked underneath the upper low across southeast
Nebraska. Areas most favorable for convection early on include
northern Missouri and areas west of the I-35 corridor. If modest
instability does develop as expected, bulk shear values of plus 40
kts will once again support strong to severe storms through the
afternoon. While the environment will not be as conducive for
widespread severe weather as Tuesday, large hail and damaging winds
are possible. The other concern is the potential for flash flooding
with the significant rainfall totals from Tuesday. Areas south of
the Kansas City metro should be influenced by a dry slot working its
way to the northeast ahead of the cold front. By the late afternoon,
the cold front will sweep across western Missouri with convection
along the frontal boundary possible for areas north of the Kansas
City metro. This activity will continue through much of the evening
hours before finally lifting into north Missouri after midnight.
Rain- cooled air and existing cloud clover should keep afternoon
highs on Wednesday in the upper 60s for areas north of I-70 with
temperatures approaching the mid 70s for points south.

Will see a break in the activity beginning Thursday with mid level
ridging expected to develop ahead of another deepening trough over
the southwestern CONUS. A cooler air mass will advect into the
region behind the cold front Wednesday, with slightly cooler than
normal temperatures persisting through the late week and into the
weekend, particularly for northern Missouri. The aforementioned
southwestern low will then swing northeast into the Central Plains
by Friday, bringing about the next chance for thunderstorms by
Friday afternoon/evening. Saturday looks to be the most active as a
surface warm front lifts into the region. At this time, cannot rule
out the potential for severe weather, though the more likely area
remains to the south. The active pattern will then continue into
next week with numerous features entering the area. Flood impacts
will need to be closely monitored as these events unfold.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

A combination of VFR and MVFR conditions are prevailing across the
west Missouri terminals early this afternoon. The cloud cover is
expected to fill in bringing MVFR CIGs to all sites by 21Z along with
the threat for showers for a few hours. The KSTJ terminal, a bit
farther north, will also carry a TEMPO group for some thunderstorms
that could develop. Otherwise, once the vicinity storms move out MVFR
clouds will dominate of the reminder of the night into Thursday
morning with winds veering to the west late this afternoon and into
tonight.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

Discussion...Welsh
Aviation...Cutter

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
509 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-281015-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
509 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MOST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SEVERAL PERIODS OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO