Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Detroit, MI

February 23, 201615 counties in Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 23, 2016, 3:33 PM EST for 15 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 24, 2016, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 26 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2016, 3:33 PM EST (20:33 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 24, 2016, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 25, 2016, 11:00 AM EST
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

Counties Bay County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Huron County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Midland County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 24, 9:05 AM ESTSNOW 1Berkley, MI2 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 9:15 AM ESTSNOW 2Ann Arbor, MI2 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 9:30 AM ESTSNOW 1.3Farmington, MI2 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 9:50 AM ESTSNOW 2.5S Ann Arbor, MI3 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 1.6Lake Orion, MI2 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 10:30 AM ESTSNOW 11 W Clarkston, MI2.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 10:30 AM ESTSNOW 3.1Ann Arbor, MI3.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 10:35 AM ESTSNOW 1.1White Lake, MI2.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 10:57 AM ESTSNOW 2Hell, MI3 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 11:20 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.05Marysville, MILIGHT GLAZE DEVELOPING ON ELEVATED OBJECTS
Feb 24, 11:30 AM ESTSNOW 3.5Ann Arbor, MI4.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 11:37 AM ESTSNOW 2Farmington Hills, MI3.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 11:45 AM ESTSNOW 2Clarkston, MI3.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 12:05 PM ESTSNOW 2.32 Nne Wixom, MI5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 12:20 PM ESTSNOW 1.53 S Ypsilanti, MI5.5 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 1:35 PM ESTSNOW 24 Ese Swartz Creek, MI4.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....MUNDY TWP 2MI S OF FLINT BISHOP AIRPORT.
Feb 24, 2:04 PM ESTSNOW 3Farmington, MI6 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 2:20 PM ESTSNOW 1Eastpointe, MI7 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...NEAR CITY CENTER. SLEET AND SNOW...MOSTLY SLEET. CURRENTLY RAIN/SNOW MIXED FALLING.
Feb 24, 2:26 PM ESTSNOW 4Ann Arbor, MI7.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...U OF M ANN ARBOR
Feb 24, 2:36 PM ESTSNOW 3.2Goodrich, MI4.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...ESTIMATES CURRENT SNOWFALL ABOUT AN INCH AN HOUR.
Feb 24, 2:45 PM ESTSNOW 4.53 E Milford, MI7.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Feb 24, 2:45 PM ESTSNOW 6Lake Orion, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...HEAVY SNOW CURRENTLY BEING OBSERVERED.
Feb 24, 3:16 PM ESTSNOW 1.8Royal Oak, MI6 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...SLEET AND SNOW MIX...MOSTLY SLEET. 11.5 MILE AND WOODWARD AVE.
Feb 24, 3:16 PM ESTSNOW 5.84 E White Lake, MI7 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....3.5 INCHES FELL BETWEEN 2 PM AND 3 PM.
Feb 24, 3:16 PM ESTSNOW 5.84 E White Lake, MI7 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....3.5 INCHES FELL BETWEEN 2 PM AND 3 PM.
Feb 24, 3:31 PM ESTSNOW 4.53 E Milford, MI7.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Feb 24, 3:37 PM ESTSNOW 72 S Lakeville, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....HEAVY SNOW LAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
Feb 24, 3:43 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Corunna, MI5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL
Feb 24, 3:44 PM ESTSNOW 3Freeland, MI6 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...SNOW IS BLOWING AND DRIFTING....WINDS ESTIMATED 30-40 MPH....VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO IN BLOWING SNOW.
Feb 24, 3:54 PM ESTSNOW 5Holly, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...VIA INTERNET
Feb 24, 3:57 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Warren, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....VAN DYKE AND 12 MILE RD.
Feb 24, 3:59 PM ESTSNOW 5Brighton, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Feb 24, 4:00 PM ESTSNOW 22 Ssw Midland, MI6 HR SNOWFALL REPORT.
Feb 24, 4:02 PM ESTSNOW 41 Se Flint, MI7 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL
Feb 24, 4:10 PM ESTSNOW 37 W Flint, MI7 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....1.8 INCHES SINCE 1 PM.
Feb 24, 4:18 PM ESTSNOW 6.54 N Burton, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....1.7 INCHES FELL IN THE LAST HOUR BETWEEN 3-4PM.
Feb 24, 4:52 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Linden, MI7 HOUR TOTAL.
Feb 24, 4:55 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Linden, MI9 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL
Feb 24, 5:00 PM ESTSNOW 72 W Lapeer, MI7.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...SNB0930 THIS MORNING. DRIFTING IS MAKING MEASUREMENTS DIFFICULT. SNOW DEPTH BETWEEN 6 AND 8 INCHES.
Feb 24, 5:13 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Bridgeport, MI6 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 5:17 PM ESTSNOW 7.52 Nw Saginaw, MI6 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 5:24 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Shelby Township, MI
Feb 24, 5:24 PM ESTSNOW 9Leonard, MI9 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 5:25 PM ESTSNOW 2Pigeon, MI2 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL HURON CO. OBSERVER ESTIMATING AN INCH AN HOUR SINCE 330 PM. STRONG GUSTY WINDS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
Feb 24, 5:35 PM ESTSNOW 4Oil City, MI6.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....SNOW BEGAN FALLING AT 11AM.
Feb 24, 5:38 PM ESTSNOW 2Saginaw, MIOFFICIAL MBS REPORT TAKEN IN FREELAND
Feb 24, 5:49 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Howell, MI10 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 5:49 PM ESTSNOW 6Waterford, MI9 HOUR TOTAL. NEAR SCOTT AND ELIZABETH LAKE.
Feb 24, 6:14 PM ESTSNOW 5.8Ann Arbor, MI11 HOUR TOTAL AT U OF M.
Feb 24, 6:14 PM ESTSNOW 7.5Grand Blanc, MI8 HOUR TOTAL
Feb 24, 6:17 PM ESTSNOW 6.55 N Davison, MI10 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....HALF WAY BETWEEN DAVISON AND OTISVILLE.
Feb 24, 6:42 PM ESTSNOW 74 E White Lake, MI11HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...WET HEAVY SNOW COMPACTING ON SNOW MEASURING BOARD AND SNOW FIELD.
Feb 24, 7:02 PM ESTSNOW 7Clarkston, MI11 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL....BETWEEN WHIPPLE LAKE RD AND ESTON RD CLARKSTON, MI
Feb 24, 7:05 PM ESTSNOW 9Attica, MI10 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...VIA FACEBOOK.
Feb 24, 7:10 PM ESTSNOW 62 Sse Midland, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Feb 24, 7:10 PM ESTSNOW 7.9Howell, MI11 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL...DOWNTOWN HOWELL. 4.5 INCHES OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS.
Feb 24, 7:26 PM ESTSNOW 10.6Marlette, MI9.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Feb 24, 7:36 PM ESTSNOW 3Shelby Township, MI2.5 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL
Feb 24, 7:37 PM ESTSNOW 9.5Goodrich, MI8 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL
Feb 24, 7:45 PM ESTSNOW 8.2Linden, MI12 HR SNOWFALL TOTAL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-02-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-02-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -68 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1351 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

877 
WWUS43 KDTX 232033
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
333 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

MIZ083-232145-
/O.CAN.KDTX.WS.A.0002.160225T0000Z-160225T2100Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MONROE
333 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8. 

&&

$$

MIZ047>049-053>055-242115-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0002.160224T1700Z-160225T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1600Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
333 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW
   WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
   LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
   THURSDAY MORNING.

 * STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON
   WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
   THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-242115-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0002.160224T1700Z-160225T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1400Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR
333 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW
   MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH RAIN THROUGH NOON.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF
   THE M-59 CORRIDOR. TO THE SOUTH...SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS OF 6
   TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE
   IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$

MIZ076-082-242115-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0002.160225T0000Z-160225T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.160224T1200Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...ADRIAN
333 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY
TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED DURING
   THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN
   OR TAPER OFF AS TEMPERATURES WARM.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES
   WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.


IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
   TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
   VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
800 
WWUS43 KDTX 240916
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
416 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ047>049-053>055-242115-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1600Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
416 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL
   BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE THIS EVENING.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY 
   THURSDAY MORNING. 

 * STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON 
   WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. 

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR 
   THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-242115-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1400Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR
416 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN MID-MORNING. THE SNOW MAY BRIEFLY
   MIX WITH RAIN THROUGH NOON.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH 
   OF THE M-59 CORRIDOR. TO THE SOUTH...SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS 
   OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE 
   IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ076-082-242115-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.160224T1200Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...ADRIAN
416 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED TODAY.
   SNOW THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN OR
   TAPER OFF AS TEMPERATURES WARM THIS AFTERNOON.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT
   INTO EARLY THURSDAY.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

DRK
280 
WWUS43 KDTX 241231
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
731 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ047>049-053>055-242045-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1600Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
731 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL 
   BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE THIS 
   EVENING. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY 
   THURSDAY MORNING. 

 * STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON 
   WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. 

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR 
   THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-242045-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1400Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR
731 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN MID-MORNING. THE SNOW MAY 
   BRIEFLY MIX WITH RAIN THROUGH NOON. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH 
   OF THE M-59 CORRIDOR. TO THE SOUTH...SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS 
   OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE 
   IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ083-242045-
/O.EXA.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MONROE
731 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED TODAY. SNOW
   THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN OR TAPER
   OFF AS TEMPERATURES WARM THIS AFTERNOON.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES 
   TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ076-082-242045-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...ADRIAN
731 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED 
   TODAY. SNOW THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE TO 
   RAIN OR TAPER OFF AS TEMPERATURES WARM THIS AFTERNOON. 

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES 
   TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MANN
077 
WWUS43 KDTX 241428
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
928 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ082-242230-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ADRIAN
928 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE 
   IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... ARE
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$

MIZ047>049-053>055-242230-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.160224T1600Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
928 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL 
   BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE THIS 
   EVENING. 

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
   THURSDAY MORNING.

 * STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON 
   WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. 

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR 
   THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-242230-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR
928 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF
   THE M-59 CORRIDOR. TO THE SOUTH...SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS OF 7
   TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE 
   IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ076-083-242230-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...MONROE
928 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED TODAY. SNOW THIS
   MORNING IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH SLEET OR RAIN ON OCCASION.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES 
   TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MANN
690 
WWUS43 KDTX 242034
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
334 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ047>049-053>055-250900-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
334 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT.

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
   THURSDAY MORNING.

 * STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF SAGINAW BAY
   AND LAKE HURON WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR THE
   SAGINAW BAY AND LAKE HURON SHORELINES.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-075-082-250900-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
WASHTENAW-LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR...ADRIAN
334 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH
   OF THE M-59 CORRIDOR. TO THE SOUTH...SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS OF
   5 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

 * VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE WILL OCCUR IN THE
   HEAVIEST SNOW.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ076-083-250900-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...MONROE
334 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A MIXED BAG OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET CONTINUING THROUGH THIS
   EVENING. LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OUTSIDE OF AN INCH OR
   TWO POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES
   TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME MORE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS BY
   THURSDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

SF
522 
WWUS43 KDTX 250143
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
843 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ075-082-250945-
/O.CAN.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WASHTENAW-LENAWEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANN ARBOR...ADRIAN
843 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * AFTER A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING...THE WARNING
   HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO AN ADVISORY. 

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE
   TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY MORNING. AN
   ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGH THURSDAY
   MORNING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$

MIZ047>049-053>055-250945-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
843 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * PERIODS OF SNOW TONIGHT.

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
   RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES...BRINGING STORM TOTAL SNOW
   ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES.

 * STRONG NORTH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON WILL
   CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS HURON COUNTY.

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR THE LAKE
   HURON SHORELINE IN HURON COUNTY.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL BE
   HEAVY AND WET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-250945-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN
843 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * OFF AND ON LIGHT SNOW DURING THE NIGHT...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD
   LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY MORNING.

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
   RANGING FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...BRINGING STORM TOTAL SNOW
   ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES.


IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ076-083-250945-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WAYNE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DETROIT...MONROE
843 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THURSDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * A MIXED BAG OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
   EVENING.

 * A SECOND ROUND OF SNOW IS FORECAST TO BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES 
   LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME MORE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS BY 
   THURSDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

SC
918 
WWUS43 KDTX 250911
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
411 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ047>049-053>055-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
411 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW WILL EXPAND BACK ACROSS THE AREA AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
   LATE MORNING HOURS.

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING RANGING
   FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES.

 * STRONG NORTH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH OFF OF LAKE HURON WILL 
   CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY 
   ACROSS HURON COUNTY. 

 * BRIEF BOUTS OF BLIZZARD-LIKE CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR THE 
   LAKE HURON SHORELINE IN HURON COUNTY. 

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN
411 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW WILL EXPAND BACK ACROSS THE AREA AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
   LATE MORNING HOURS.

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING RANGING FROM
   1 TO 3 INCHES.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BE HAZARDOUS.

 * SNOW REMOVAL WILL BE MORE CHALLENGING AS SNOW CHARACTER WILL 
   BE HEAVY AND WET THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ075-076-082-083-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE
411 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW WILL EXPAND BACK ACROSS THE AREA AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
   LATE MORNING HOURS.

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING RANGING FROM
   1 TO 2 INCHES.

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS THROUGH 
   THURSDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

* A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL   
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND   
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

DRK
106 
WWUS43 KDTX 251343
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
843 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM AFFECTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

MIZ047>049-053>055-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY
843 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES

 * BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITY. BLIZZARD-LIKE
   CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SHORELINE IN HURON COUNTY
   WHERE WIND GUSTS WILL EXCEED 45 MPH.

IMPACTS...

 * BLOWING SNOW WILL QUICKLY COVER ROADS IN OPEN AREAS

 * VISIBILITY AS LOW AS 1/4 MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
   BLOWING SNOW

 * TRAVEL REMAINS HAZARDOUS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN
843 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES

IMPACTS...

 * TRAVEL REMAINS HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREAS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

MIZ075-076-082-083-251600-
/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE
843 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING

 * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES

IMPACTS...

 * UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK

 * TRAVEL REMAINS HAZARDOUS IN AREAS THAT RECIEVED SEVERAL INCHES
   OF SNOW YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL 
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND 
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. 

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT 
   HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 

&&

$$

JVC
552 
WWUS43 KDTX 251604
WSWDTX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1104 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

MIZ049-260000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WW.Y.0005.160225T1604Z-160226T0000Z/
HURON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE
1104 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * STRONG WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
   WITHIN ABOUT 5 MILES OF THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE.

 * SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW IS EXPECTED

 * IN ADDITION...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE UP TO 1
   INCH THROUGH 1 PM

IMPACTS...

 * STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.

 * DOWNED TREE LIMBS ARE POSSIBLE.

 * BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS TO ONE QUARTER OF
   A MILE AND WILL QUICKLY COVER ROADS

 * TRAVEL WILL BE PARTICULARLY HAZARDOUS NEAR THE LAKE HURON
   SHORELINE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE 
   EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. 

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL
   CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
   LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.
   VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8

&&

$$

MIZ047-048-053>055-251715-
/O.EXP.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...SAGINAW...CARO...
SANDUSKY
1104 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * UP TO 1 ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. 

 * PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL BE COMMON IN RURAL AREAS

IMPACTS...

 * SOME EXPOSED ROADS MAY BECOME COVERED BY BLOWING SNOW


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8. 

&&

$$

MIZ060>063-068>070-251715-
/O.EXP.KDTX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...PORT HURON...
HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN
1104 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * UP TO 1 ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. 

 * PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL BE COMMON IN RURAL AREAS

IMPACTS...

 * SOME EXPOSED ROADS MAY BECOME COVERED BY BLOWING SNOW

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8. 

&&

$$

MIZ075-076-082-083-251715-
/O.EXP.KDTX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160225T1600Z/
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE
1104 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * UP TO 1 ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING. 

 * PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL BE COMMON IN RURAL AREAS

IMPACTS...

 * SOME EXPOSED ROADS MAY BECOME COVERED BY BLOWING SNOW


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8. 

&&

$$

JVC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 23, 12:29 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 12:29 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1229 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

.AVIATION...

SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TAKING SHAPE OVER TEXAS WILL IMPACT
TERMINAL SITES FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A LOT
OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MVFR-IFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES. THIS LOW CENTER WILL TRACK TO NORTHERN OHIO BY 00Z
THURSDAY.  MODELS DIFFER ON POSITION OF LOW FROM ANYWHERE FROM NEAR
TOLEDO TO EAST OF CLEVELAND.  THIS WILL IMPACT THE RAIN SNOW LINE
WHICH VARIES ANYWHERE FROM AS FAR NORTH AS A PHN-FNT-LAN LINE TO
EAST OF ALL OF THE TAF SITES.  THE CURRENT THINKING IS THE RAIN SNOW
LINE WILL MOST LIKELY SETUP FROM A PHN-YIP LINE THEN MOVE EAST
DURING THE DAY.  BUT AGAIN THERE IS STILL A GREAT DEAL OF
UNCERTAINTY.  THEREFORE WILL CARRY A RASN MIX AT TAF SITES EXCEPT
FOR FNT AND MBS WHICH SHOULD REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE NO MATTER WHAT.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE AS LOW LEVEL GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD BASICALLY PICK UP TOWARD MORNING FROM THE NORTHEAST AND
REMAIN STEADY FROM THAT DIRECTION WHILE INCREASING TO 15-20KTS.

FOR DTW...VFR THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT BEFORE MVFR CEILINGS
MOVE IN AFTER 04Z AND WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TO IFR AFTER 12Z THURS.
CEILINGS WILL ALSO COME DOWN TO AROUND 1 MILE WHILE NORTHEAST WIND
INCREASES TO 15-20KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  THERE
IS UNCERTAINTY OF PRECIP TYPE AT THIS TIME. IT COULD REMAIN A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW OR EASILY GO ONE WAY OR THE OTHER. SHOULD HAVE A MUCH
BETTER HANDLE OF PRECIP TYPE FOR NEXT ISSUANCE.

//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS ABOVE 5000 FT LATE TONIGHT AND BELOW
  2KFT WEDNESDAY.

* LOW CONFIDENCE IN PTYPE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 343 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

DISCUSSION...

WE WILL SEE SOME SUN TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE NORMAL
MAKING A RUN AT 40 DEGREES. EVEN WITH THE LARGE SFC HIGH NOW OVER
NORTHERN ATLANTIC COAST...LINGERING RIDGE AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE
REGION WILL JOIN WITH MID LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND BUDDING LOW
AMPLITUDE RIDGING ALOFT DOWNSTREAM OF THE LARGE WINTER STORM TO
RESULT IN A DECENT LATE FEBRUARY DAY.

MOST OF THE FOCUS IN THE FORECAST REMAINS ON THE WINTER STORM THAT
WILL AFFECT SE MI WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN THE STORM TRACK AS MODELS SEEM TO BE
CONVERGING ON A TRACK WHICH TAKES THE STORM FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA
TUESDAY EVENING NORTHEAST TO EASTERN OHIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. ON
ITS OWN...THIS TRACK PUTS SE MI IN A VERY FAVORABLE REGION FOR
INFLATED SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH STRONG FORCING PIVOTING OVER SOUTHERN
MI. EVEN WITH THE CONVERGING MODEL SOLUTIONS...OUR AREA LIES IN THE
TRANSITION ZONE OF PTYPES FROM RAIN TO SNOW...WHICH CONTINUES TO
MAKE IT ONE OF THE BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR THE SYSTEM. EVEN
SMALL SHIFTS IN THE MODEL TRACK AT THIS POINT COULD MOVE THE
RAIN/SNOW ZONE EASILY ACROSS AN ENTIRE COUNTY WHICH OBVIOUSLY LEADS
TO POTENTIAL PROBLEMS WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. SPENT SOME TIME LOOKING
AT DPROG/DT FOR SEVERAL MODELS TO HELP BUILD CONFIDENCE IN THE STORM
TRACK LISTED ABOVE. FOR WHAT ITS WORTH...THE NAM/GFS/EURO HAVE ALL
CONVERGED TO THE STORM REACHING EASTERN OHIO AROUND 00Z THURSDAY.
WITH SMALL SHIFTS OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS...ELECTED TO HEDGE TOWARD
FORECAST CONSISTENCY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN DECENT SHAPE. DID
MAKE SOME SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/QPF/SNOWFALL FOR A FEW REASONS.
FIRST...MODELS SEEM TO BE HOLDING QPF A LITTLE TIGHTER TO THE STORM
SO WOULD MAKE IT INTO THE AREA A LITTLE LATER. SO DELAYED THE ONSET
OF PRECIP BY A FEW HOURS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...TRYING TO KEEP MOST OF
IT STARTING AFTER 12Z AND TRIMMED SOME POPS OFF THE NORTH. LOOKING
AT FORCINGS...VERY STRONG FGEN FORCING AROUND 700MB LIFTS IN
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND STALLS ON A LINE FROM ABOUT BAD AXE TO HOWELL
BEFORE PULLING AWAY TO THE NE. FGEN WILL BE ENHANCED BY A NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE AXIS DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES...RUNNING UP AGAINST THE STORM AS IT LIFTS NE. THIS SEEMS TO
PULSE THE FGEN UP FOR A BIT BEFORE SLIDING OUT. DEFORMATION WILL
ALSO BE NOTABLE AND LOOKS TO LINGER WELL INTO THURSDAY AS THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LACKS THE ENERGY TO FORCE IT EAST. SHIFTED
QPF/SNOWFALL A BIT TO TRY TO HIT THIS 18Z WED - 06Z THURS WINDOW A
LITTLE HARDER. WITH QPF TOTALS RANGING FROM 0.5-1.5 INCHES...EXPECT
SOME INFLATED SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS PART OF THE CWA IN THE 8-10
INCH RANGE. HIGHEST TOTALS WILL COME IN ACROSS THE NORTH AS THE
DETROIT AREA SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO BE WARM FOR SEVERAL
HOURS...POSSIBLE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHICH WILL LEAD TO
RAIN AND THUS LOWER SNOW TOTALS. STILL ENOUGH COLD AIR AND MOISTURE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY TO PRODUCE AROUND 3-6 INCHES FROM
DETROIT SOUTHWARD. A TIGHT GRADIENT WILL SET UP AROUND THIS
RAIN/SNOW LINE WHICH FROM THERMAL PROFILES COULD BE ALONG A LINE
FROM PORT HURON TO JACKSON OR THERE ABOUT. FURTHER REFINEMENTS ARE
LIKELY ESPECIALLY REGARDING PTYPE ISSUES AND THE CORRIDOR OF HIGHEST
SNOWFALL. THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SE
MI.

IN ADDITION TO SNOW...WIND MAY BE AN ISSUE AS THE POTENTIALLY SUB
990MB LOW DRAWS NEARER. A GOOD OPEN FETCH OFF LAKE HURON WITH
NORTHEAST FLOW AROUND THE LOW WILL LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO 25-35
MPH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IT WILL NOT POSE TOO MUCH OF AN
ISSUE AT FIRST ON WEDNESDAY AT THE SNOW AT THE ONSET WILL BE VERY
WET AND HEAVY...BUT AS COLDER AIR STREAMS IN OVERNIGHT THE SNOW WILL
DRY OUT AND BE MORE EASILY CARRIED BY THE WIND. SO LOOK FOR AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

THE LINGERING DEFORMATION AXIS WILL FINALLY RELEASE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ENDING THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. THERMAL TROUGH WILL SLIDE
THROUGH OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHICH COULD KEEP SOME FLURRIES OR
LIGHT LAKE EFFECT IN THE PICTURE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS
AREA ALREADY BRINGING IN THE NEXT SYSTEM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
THIS LOOKS TO BE MORE OF A PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN LOW
AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL NW FLOW TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MI BUT COULD
BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOWFALL.

MARINE...

SLOWLY EXITING HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A WEAKER GRADIENT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT.  THIS WILL SUSTAIN A LIGHT
WIND CARRYING AN EASTERLY COMPONENT.  NORTHEAST WINDS WILL THEN
INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS A WINTER STORM TRACKS FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOWARD THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY.  STRONG WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
LIFTS THE EAST. COLDER AIR FUNNEL IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL PROMOTE
A PERIOD OF GALES ACROSS LAKE HURON DURING THIS TIME...POTENTIAL NOW
HIGHLIGHTED BY AN EXTENDED GALE WATCH LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT.  COLDER AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO
SUPPORT FREEZING SPRAY.

HYDROLOGY...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE EASTERN OHIO
VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THIS
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A LONGER DURATION OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
IMPACTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN AND/OR WET SNOW DURING
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING
OFF.  AT THIS TIME...PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
BETWEEN .75" AND 1.25" THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ076-082-083.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075.

LAKE HURON...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
     LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....DRC
DISCUSSION...DRK
MARINE.......MR
HYDROLOGY....MR

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 3:52 AM EST, 11 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241000-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW.
REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-241000-
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE HURON WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. SEE THE FORECAST FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

DRK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 22, 9:50 PM ESTGale WatchDTX18 hr
Feb 23, 3:29 PM ESTGale WarningDTX61 hr
Feb 23, 3:33 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryDTXLenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne43 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.