Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 11, NWS Detroit, MI
NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Feb 23, 2016, 3:29 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 24, 2016, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 42 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2016, 3:29 PM EST (20:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2016, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 26, 2016, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 42 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Detroit, MI
The text
As transmitted.
017 WHUS73 KDTX 232029 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 329 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...STRONG WINTER STORM WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... .DEVELOPING WINTER STORM OVER EASTERN TEXAS WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN OHIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE ON INTO CANADA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SURFACE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN WITH THIS SYSTEM BRINGING AN INCREASING NORTHEAST FLOW TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY THAT WILL BACK TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. EXPECTING GALES ON LAKE HURON WITH THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462-240830- /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0010.160224T2100Z-160226T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0011.160224T1500Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 329 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361-442-443-463-464-240830- /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0010.160224T2100Z-160226T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0011.160224T2100Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 329 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ MANN
6 follow-up statements
848 WHUS73 KDTX 240855 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 355 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...STRONG WINTER STORM TODAY AND THURSDAY... .STEADY INCREASE IN NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY AS A WINTER STORM TRACKS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. GUSTS TO GALES EXPECTED BY LATE TODAY OVER LAKE HURON. A STRONG NORTHEAST TO NORTH WIND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A LONG DURATION GALE EVENT LASTING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A PERIOD OF HIGH END GALES /45 KNOTS/ APPEARS LIKELY ON THURSDAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS AS THE GRADIENT FINALLY RELAXES ON FRIDAY. LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462-242100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.160224T1500Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 355 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361-442-443-463-464-242100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.160224T2100Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 355 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ MR
616 WHUS73 KDTX 242045 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 345 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...STRONG GALES OVER LAKE HURON TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .GUSTS TO STRONG NORTHEAST GALES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT HELPING TO BUILD SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON AND POSSIBLY THE EXPOSED NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE TIP OF THE THUMB TO 13 FEET WITH MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 20 FEET. AS THE LOW LIFTS TO THE EAST...GALES WILL TRANSITION TO NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY. THE LONGER FETCH WILL ALLOW SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS TO BUILD TO 16 FEET OVER THE SOUTHERN BASIN OF LAKE HURON WITH MAX WAVE HEIGHTS OF 25 FEET OR GREATER. GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON REMAIN IN EFFECT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE WIND WILL BUILD IN ON FRIDAY BEFORE FRESH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462-250900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 345 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361-442-443-463-464-250900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.160224T2100Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 345 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 16 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 23 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ SF
021 WHUS73 KDTX 250857 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 357 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...STRONG GALES OVER LAKE HURON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE LAKE HURON WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL MAINTAIN SOLID GALE FORCE GUSTS THROUGH THIS TIME. THESE WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE LONG LAKE HURON FETCH WILL BUILD WAVE HEIGHTS INTO THE 15 TO 20 FOOT RANGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE BASIN. GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON REMAIN IN EFFECT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE WIND WILL BUILD IN ON FRIDAY BEFORE FRESH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462-252100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 357 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361-442-443-463-464-252100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 357 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 14 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 20 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ DRK
691 WHUS73 KDTX 251436 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 936 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...STRONG NORTHWEST GALES AND HAZARDOUS WAVES CONTINUE TODAY... .ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE LAKE HURON WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL MAINTAIN SOLID GALE FORCE GUSTS THROUGH THIS TIME. THESE WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE LONG LAKE HURON FETCH WILL BUILD WAVE HEIGHTS INTO THE 15 TO 20 FOOT RANGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE BASIN. GALE WARNINGS FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON REMAIN IN EFFECT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE WIND WILL BUILD IN ON FRIDAY BEFORE FRESH SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462-252115- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 936 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361-442-443-463-464-252115- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 936 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ JVC
164 WHUS73 KDTX 252058 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 358 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...STRONG GALES AND HAZARDOUS WAVES CONTINUE... .A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND MOST OF LAKE HURON...ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL OPEN WATERS WHERE 40 KT GUSTS REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE EVENING. THE CORRESPONDING LONG NORTHWEST FETCH WILL ALSO BUILD WAVES CONSIDERABLY WITH 15 TO 20 FOOTERS POSSIBLE CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE LAKE THROUGH TONIGHT. IMPROVED MARINE CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE WITH HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY THAT WILL SLIDE THROUGH AND TO THE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY TRAILING THE HIGH AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT. LHZ422-443-252200- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 358 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WARNING. $$ LHZ361-442-464-260300- /O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 358 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ362-363-421-441-462-260900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 358 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 46 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ463-260900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 358 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 44 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ JVC
543 WHUS73 KDTX 260253 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 953 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...NORTHWEST GALES TO PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... .A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND MOST OF LAKE HURON...ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL OPEN WATERS WHERE 40 KT GUSTS REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE EVENING. THE CORRESPONDING LONG NORTHWEST FETCH WILL ALSO BUILD WAVES CONSIDERABLY WITH 15 TO 20 FOOTERS POSSIBLE CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE LAKE THROUGH TONIGHT. IMPROVED MARINE CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE WITH HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY THAT WILL SLIDE THROUGH AND TO THE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY TRAILING THE HIGH AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT. LHZ361-442-464-260400- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 953 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WARNING. $$ LHZ362-363-421-441-462-260900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 953 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ463-260900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 953 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ DG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 23, 12:29 PM EST, 3 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 12:29 PM EST, 3 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1229 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
.AVIATION...
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TAKING SHAPE OVER TEXAS WILL IMPACT
TERMINAL SITES FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A LOT
OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MVFR-IFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES. THIS LOW CENTER WILL TRACK TO NORTHERN OHIO BY 00Z
THURSDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON POSITION OF LOW FROM ANYWHERE FROM NEAR
TOLEDO TO EAST OF CLEVELAND. THIS WILL IMPACT THE RAIN SNOW LINE
WHICH VARIES ANYWHERE FROM AS FAR NORTH AS A PHN-FNT-LAN LINE TO
EAST OF ALL OF THE TAF SITES. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THE RAIN SNOW
LINE WILL MOST LIKELY SETUP FROM A PHN-YIP LINE THEN MOVE EAST
DURING THE DAY. BUT AGAIN THERE IS STILL A GREAT DEAL OF
UNCERTAINTY. THEREFORE WILL CARRY A RASN MIX AT TAF SITES EXCEPT
FOR FNT AND MBS WHICH SHOULD REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE NO MATTER WHAT.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE AS LOW LEVEL GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD BASICALLY PICK UP TOWARD MORNING FROM THE NORTHEAST AND
REMAIN STEADY FROM THAT DIRECTION WHILE INCREASING TO 15-20KTS.
FOR DTW...VFR THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT BEFORE MVFR CEILINGS
MOVE IN AFTER 04Z AND WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TO IFR AFTER 12Z THURS.
CEILINGS WILL ALSO COME DOWN TO AROUND 1 MILE WHILE NORTHEAST WIND
INCREASES TO 15-20KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE
IS UNCERTAINTY OF PRECIP TYPE AT THIS TIME. IT COULD REMAIN A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW OR EASILY GO ONE WAY OR THE OTHER. SHOULD HAVE A MUCH
BETTER HANDLE OF PRECIP TYPE FOR NEXT ISSUANCE.
//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CEILINGS ABOVE 5000 FT LATE TONIGHT AND BELOW
2KFT WEDNESDAY.
* LOW CONFIDENCE IN PTYPE WEDNESDAY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 343 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
DISCUSSION...
WE WILL SEE SOME SUN TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE NORMAL
MAKING A RUN AT 40 DEGREES. EVEN WITH THE LARGE SFC HIGH NOW OVER
NORTHERN ATLANTIC COAST...LINGERING RIDGE AXIS DRAPED ACROSS THE
REGION WILL JOIN WITH MID LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND BUDDING LOW
AMPLITUDE RIDGING ALOFT DOWNSTREAM OF THE LARGE WINTER STORM TO
RESULT IN A DECENT LATE FEBRUARY DAY.
MOST OF THE FOCUS IN THE FORECAST REMAINS ON THE WINTER STORM THAT
WILL AFFECT SE MI WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN THE STORM TRACK AS MODELS SEEM TO BE
CONVERGING ON A TRACK WHICH TAKES THE STORM FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA
TUESDAY EVENING NORTHEAST TO EASTERN OHIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. ON
ITS OWN...THIS TRACK PUTS SE MI IN A VERY FAVORABLE REGION FOR
INFLATED SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH STRONG FORCING PIVOTING OVER SOUTHERN
MI. EVEN WITH THE CONVERGING MODEL SOLUTIONS...OUR AREA LIES IN THE
TRANSITION ZONE OF PTYPES FROM RAIN TO SNOW...WHICH CONTINUES TO
MAKE IT ONE OF THE BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR THE SYSTEM. EVEN
SMALL SHIFTS IN THE MODEL TRACK AT THIS POINT COULD MOVE THE
RAIN/SNOW ZONE EASILY ACROSS AN ENTIRE COUNTY WHICH OBVIOUSLY LEADS
TO POTENTIAL PROBLEMS WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. SPENT SOME TIME LOOKING
AT DPROG/DT FOR SEVERAL MODELS TO HELP BUILD CONFIDENCE IN THE STORM
TRACK LISTED ABOVE. FOR WHAT ITS WORTH...THE NAM/GFS/EURO HAVE ALL
CONVERGED TO THE STORM REACHING EASTERN OHIO AROUND 00Z THURSDAY.
WITH SMALL SHIFTS OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS...ELECTED TO HEDGE TOWARD
FORECAST CONSISTENCY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN DECENT SHAPE. DID
MAKE SOME SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/QPF/SNOWFALL FOR A FEW REASONS.
FIRST...MODELS SEEM TO BE HOLDING QPF A LITTLE TIGHTER TO THE STORM
SO WOULD MAKE IT INTO THE AREA A LITTLE LATER. SO DELAYED THE ONSET
OF PRECIP BY A FEW HOURS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...TRYING TO KEEP MOST OF
IT STARTING AFTER 12Z AND TRIMMED SOME POPS OFF THE NORTH. LOOKING
AT FORCINGS...VERY STRONG FGEN FORCING AROUND 700MB LIFTS IN
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND STALLS ON A LINE FROM ABOUT BAD AXE TO HOWELL
BEFORE PULLING AWAY TO THE NE. FGEN WILL BE ENHANCED BY A NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE AXIS DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES...RUNNING UP AGAINST THE STORM AS IT LIFTS NE. THIS SEEMS TO
PULSE THE FGEN UP FOR A BIT BEFORE SLIDING OUT. DEFORMATION WILL
ALSO BE NOTABLE AND LOOKS TO LINGER WELL INTO THURSDAY AS THE BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LACKS THE ENERGY TO FORCE IT EAST. SHIFTED
QPF/SNOWFALL A BIT TO TRY TO HIT THIS 18Z WED - 06Z THURS WINDOW A
LITTLE HARDER. WITH QPF TOTALS RANGING FROM 0.5-1.5 INCHES...EXPECT
SOME INFLATED SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS PART OF THE CWA IN THE 8-10
INCH RANGE. HIGHEST TOTALS WILL COME IN ACROSS THE NORTH AS THE
DETROIT AREA SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO BE WARM FOR SEVERAL
HOURS...POSSIBLE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHICH WILL LEAD TO
RAIN AND THUS LOWER SNOW TOTALS. STILL ENOUGH COLD AIR AND MOISTURE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY TO PRODUCE AROUND 3-6 INCHES FROM
DETROIT SOUTHWARD. A TIGHT GRADIENT WILL SET UP AROUND THIS
RAIN/SNOW LINE WHICH FROM THERMAL PROFILES COULD BE ALONG A LINE
FROM PORT HURON TO JACKSON OR THERE ABOUT. FURTHER REFINEMENTS ARE
LIKELY ESPECIALLY REGARDING PTYPE ISSUES AND THE CORRIDOR OF HIGHEST
SNOWFALL. THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SE
MI.
IN ADDITION TO SNOW...WIND MAY BE AN ISSUE AS THE POTENTIALLY SUB
990MB LOW DRAWS NEARER. A GOOD OPEN FETCH OFF LAKE HURON WITH
NORTHEAST FLOW AROUND THE LOW WILL LEAD TO WINDS GUSTING TO 25-35
MPH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IT WILL NOT POSE TOO MUCH OF AN
ISSUE AT FIRST ON WEDNESDAY AT THE SNOW AT THE ONSET WILL BE VERY
WET AND HEAVY...BUT AS COLDER AIR STREAMS IN OVERNIGHT THE SNOW WILL
DRY OUT AND BE MORE EASILY CARRIED BY THE WIND. SO LOOK FOR AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
THE LINGERING DEFORMATION AXIS WILL FINALLY RELEASE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ENDING THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. THERMAL TROUGH WILL SLIDE
THROUGH OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHICH COULD KEEP SOME FLURRIES OR
LIGHT LAKE EFFECT IN THE PICTURE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS
AREA ALREADY BRINGING IN THE NEXT SYSTEM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
THIS LOOKS TO BE MORE OF A PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN LOW
AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL NW FLOW TRACKING THROUGH NORTHERN MI BUT COULD
BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOWFALL.
MARINE...
SLOWLY EXITING HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A WEAKER GRADIENT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL SUSTAIN A LIGHT
WIND CARRYING AN EASTERLY COMPONENT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL THEN
INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS A WINTER STORM TRACKS FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TOWARD THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY. STRONG WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM
LIFTS THE EAST. COLDER AIR FUNNEL IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WILL PROMOTE
A PERIOD OF GALES ACROSS LAKE HURON DURING THIS TIME...POTENTIAL NOW
HIGHLIGHTED BY AN EXTENDED GALE WATCH LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. COLDER AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO
SUPPORT FREEZING SPRAY.
HYDROLOGY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE EASTERN OHIO
VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. A DEEP PLUME OF MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THIS
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A LONGER DURATION OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
IMPACTING SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN AND/OR WET SNOW DURING
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING
OFF. AT THIS TIME...PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
BETWEEN .75" AND 1.25" THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR MIZ076-082-083.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075.
LAKE HURON...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464.
LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&
AVIATION.....DRC
DISCUSSION...DRK
MARINE.......MR
HYDROLOGY....MR
YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 3:52 AM EST, 11 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241000- MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER- ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- 352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW. REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-241000- LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 352 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE HURON WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SEE THE FORECAST FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE). DRK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 9:50 PM EST | Gale Watch | DTX | 18 hr | |
| Feb 23, 3:33 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | DTX | Bay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 9 more | 43 hr |
| Feb 23, 3:33 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | DTX | Lenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne | 43 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.