Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Duluth, MN

June 25, 2016Aitkin County, Crow Wing County, Minnesota

NWS Duluth, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2016, 2:09 PM CDT for Aitkin County, Crow Wing County, Minnesota. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2016, 2:09 PM CDT (19:09 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2016, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Duluth, MN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.75 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Aitkin County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 25, 1:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 952 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 180 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
952 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-326 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1116 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

572 
WUUS53 KDLH 251909
SVRDLH
MNC001-035-252000-
/O.NEW.KDLH.SV.W.0064.160625T1909Z-160625T2000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
209 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH MN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN AITKIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN CROW WING COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT 209 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER UPPER SOUTH
  LONG LAKE...OR 10 MILES EAST OF BRAINERD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
  MPH.

  HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
           MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BRAINERD...MILLE LACS LAKE...AITKIN...DEERWOOD...MALMO...GARRISON...UPPER
  SOUTH LONG LAKE...SOUTH LONG LAKE...BAY LAKE...GLEN...WEALTHWOOD...CAMP
  LAKE...KIMBERLY...WOODROW...PINE CENTER...SHEPHARD...ROSSBURG...FARM
  ISLAND LAKE...RIPPLE LAKE AND GLORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

IF ON OR NEAR ANY OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET AWAY FROM THE WATER
AND MOVE INDOORS TO A SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY!

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4658 9344 4619 9332 4618 9343 4624 9343
      4625 9344 4624 9381 4616 9381 4616 9414
      4640 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 246DEG 31KT 4630 9399 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
 MILLER
4 follow-up statements
013 
WWUS53 KDLH 251917
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
217 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNC001-035-252000-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160625T2000Z/
AITKIN MN-CROW WING MN-
217 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN AITKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN CROW WING COUNTIES...

AT 217 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR UPPER SOUTH
LONG LAKE...OR 11 MILES WEST OF MILLE LACS LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRAINERD...MILLE LACS LAKE...AITKIN...DEERWOOD...MALMO...GARRISON...UPPER
SOUTH LONG LAKE...SOUTH LONG LAKE...BAY LAKE...GLEN...WEALTHWOOD...CAMP
LAKE...KIMBERLY...WOODROW...PINE CENTER...SHEPHARD...ROSSBURG...FARM ISLAND
LAKE...RIPPLE LAKE AND GLORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ANY OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET AWAY FROM THE
WATER AND MOVE TO A SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY!

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4658 9344 4619 9332 4618 9343 4624 9343
      4625 9344 4624 9381 4616 9381 4616 9414
      4640 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 255DEG 30KT 4632 9394 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
 MILLER
678 
WWUS53 KDLH 251930
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
230 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNC001-035-252000-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160625T2000Z/
AITKIN MN-CROW WING MN-
230 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN AITKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN CROW WING COUNTIES...

AT 229 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHWEST OF
GARRISON...OR 8 MILES WEST OF MILLE LACS LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILLE LACS LAKE...AITKIN...DEERWOOD...MALMO...GARRISON...UPPER SOUTH LONG
LAKE...SOUTH LONG LAKE...BAY LAKE...GLEN...WEALTHWOOD...CAMP LAKE...
KIMBERLY...WOODROW...PINE CENTER...ROSSBURG...FARM ISLAND LAKE...RIPPLE
LAKE...GLORY...ERSKIN LAKE AND SHEPHARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

IF ON OR NEAR ANY OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...SEEK SAFE SHELTER ON
SHORE IMMEDIATELY!

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4658 9344 4619 9332 4618 9343 4624 9343
      4625 9344 4624 9381 4616 9381 4616 9410
      4642 9412
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 255DEG 25KT 4633 9387 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
 MILLER
100 
WWUS53 KDLH 251939
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
239 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNC001-035-252000-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160625T2000Z/
AITKIN MN-CROW WING MN-
239 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN AITKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN CROW WING COUNTIES...

AT 239 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GARRISON...OR
NEAR MILLE LACS LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILLE LACS LAKE...AITKIN...DEERWOOD...MALMO...GARRISON...UPPER SOUTH LONG
LAKE...BAY LAKE...GLEN...WEALTHWOOD...CAMP LAKE...KIMBERLY...PINE CENTER...
ROSSBURG...FARM ISLAND LAKE...RIPPLE LAKE AND GLORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

IF ON OR NEAR ANY OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...SEEK SAFE SHELTER ON
SHORE IMMEDIATELY!

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4658 9344 4619 9332 4618 9343 4624 9343
      4625 9344 4624 9381 4618 9381 4618 9405
      4643 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 256DEG 32KT 4635 9382 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
 MILLER
595 
WWUS53 KDLH 251948
SVSDLH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
248 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNC001-035-252000-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160625T2000Z/
AITKIN MN-CROW WING MN-
248 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN AITKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN CROW WING COUNTIES...

AT 247 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLE LACS
LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILLE LACS LAKE...AITKIN...DEERWOOD...MALMO...GARRISON...BAY LAKE...GLEN...
WEALTHWOOD...CAMP LAKE...KIMBERLY...PINE CENTER...ROSSBURG...FARM ISLAND
LAKE...RIPPLE LAKE AND GLORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
A BUILDING.  GET OFF AREA LAKES...AND SEEK SAFE SHELTER ON SHORE
IMMEDIATELY!

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4658 9344 4619 9332 4618 9343 4624 9343
      4625 9344 4624 9381 4621 9383 4621 9398
      4644 9402
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 254DEG 29KT 4638 9375 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
 MILLER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 12:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 12:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1247 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016

Very busy morning today with the thunderstorm complex moving
across far northern Minnesota. This was a fairly textbook morning
low level jet/warm-moist advection event, with the elevated activity
riding the area where the LLJ intersected the 925-850 mb
thermal/moisture and CAPE gradient. While the deep updrafts
associated with this MCS have translated well to the east over
central Lk Superior, a low amplitude, but fairly mature meso-high
has developed (likely aided in part by the cold Lk Superior water
temps), and has created a fairly robust northeast surge of surface
winds across the western third of the big lake. Several buoys and
KDYT have been peridoically gusting to above 20-25 knots as a
result. This is still below the threshold for a small craft
advisory, but has vastly increased the risk of RIP currents along
the MN/WI Point beaches this afternoon as 2-3 foot swell continues
to come on shore. We have increased the risk of RIP currents in
the surf zone forecast and also issued a beach hazards statement
as we are right on the cusp between moderate and high risk for RIP
currents.

The other major concern for this afternoon/evening, as has been
well-advertised, is the threat for more severe storms as the
primary upper wave and approaching cold front interact with a very
unstable airmass with sufficient deep layer shear for supercells.
most of the kinematic parameters and dynamic forcing certain
suggest a good probability of at least a few rather high end
storms, with 60-120 meter 12 hour height falls across northern MN
this evening, combined with 40+ knots of deep layer shear and at
least sufficient near surface shear and LCL heights for tornadic
supercells. However, as with the event last Sunday, much of the
evolution and threat levels for the rest of today are conditional
with respect to convective mode. If storms rapidly grow upscale to
a line or MCS, damaging wind gusts and the potential for very
large hail will be the primary threats, but if storm mode can
remain discrete for 2-3 hours, the attendant tornado threat with
the most intense storms/supercells will likely be considerably
higher, in particular in the vicinity of the northward retreating
outflow boundary from the morning MCS that currently lies from
near Duluth to Bigfork as of noon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016

Main concern for short term is severe weather today and this
evening.

Current surface analysis indicates an area of showers and thunderstorms
moving along the international border. This area will continue to
move along the border early this morning. Another area of strong
to severe thunderstorms extends from Warroad to Fosston. This
area of storms should clip the western portion of Koochiching
county in the next hour.

The main focus for the short term is another round of severe
weather this afternoon and this evening across the forecast area.
SPC basically has the entire forecast area in an enhanced area
for severe thunderstorms. The situation today is somewhat similar
to last Sunday's situation. Forecast CAPE values are a little
lower (3K <today> vs. 4K <Sunday>) and the best shear region is
behind the front while it was with the front last Sunday. As
indicated by the day shift...unlike last Sunday...there will not
be as strong as a cap so thunderstorms will develop earlier.
But...like last Sunday...a cold front will move through NE MN this
afternoon and NW WI this evening. Out ahead of of it...dewpoints
will be in the middle 60s to lower 70s. There will be a
possibility of supercells at the beginning of the evening with a
line developing in the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and
damaging winds along with possible tornadoes will be the main
threats with the storms

After the front passes...an area of high pressure will build into
the region late saturday night brining in cooler and drier air for
Sunday. A weak shortwave will move through Northern MN Sunday
afternoon brining a chance for showers.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016

A cut off upper lever low will translate across Ontario through
sunday night. The resulting cyclonic flow, along with much cooler
air, to dive over the western lake superior region Monday. The cold
air aloft will bring tight pressure gradient into the region,
producing gusty northwest winds sunday night through Monday.

Latest guidance suggests temps at 850hPa are on the order of just a
degree or two above zero C with the core of the coldest air that
tracks over the MN arrowhead zones Monday. High Temperatures on
Monday will be well below normal across the region with readings
topping out generally in the 60s. The steep lapse rates and
instability will also result in scattered rain showers during this
time.

Surface high pressure and mid level ridging will build into the
Northland through Mid week, bringing a return to seasonable
temperatures and winds of generally less than 10 kts.

Rain chances return to the forecast late Wednesday through Thursday
as a vort max, with transition to cold air advection, drops out of
canada and tracks over the forecast area. Latest GFS/ECM are in good
agreement that an upper level low deepens over hudson bay through
the end of the week, keeping the western great lakes region in a
cool unstable cyclonic flow as we go into the Holiday weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016

Mainly MVFR ceilings with some patches of VFR at the start of the
forecast. With the approach of the front, expect thunderstorms to
develop and become numerous late this afternoon. Once the
thunderstorms are underway, mainly VFR ceilings will be found, with
IFR visibilities with the stronger storms. Some hail may occur
with the stronger storms. Gusty surface winds will occur ahead of the
front, in the vicinity of the storms, and diminish behind the front.
Conditions will improve to VFR behind the front by 03Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  82  57  78  54 /  80  70  20  10
INL  80  58  69  54 /  80  30  50  10
BRD  85  59  79  56 /  80  20  10   0
HYR  86  59  80  56 /  70  90  10   0
ASX  84  60  80  56 /  70  90  10  10

&&

.DLH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
WI...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM CDT this evening for WIZ001.

MN...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM CDT this evening for MNZ037.

LS...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 11:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1136 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-261015-
KOOCHICHING-NORTH ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTH ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/NORTH SHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/NORTH SHORE-NORTH CASS-SOUTH ITASCA-SOUTH CASS-
CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTH AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTH ST. LOUIS-
PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
1136 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...TORRENTIAL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. A TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF US HIGHWAY 2 IN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO...AND
INTERNET SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. TAKE A MOMENT
NOW TO PLAN WHERE YOU WOULD SEEK SHELTER WHEN STORMS THREATEN.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS...MAINLY NEAR THE TWIN PORTS...INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF
MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN POINTS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SURF
ZONE FORECAST AND BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30
MPH...AND EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHLAND.
THESE WIND SPEEDS COULD RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS...
ESPECIALLY FOR LIGHTWEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-261015-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
1136 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR THROUGH TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40
KNOTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS. IF VENTURING OUT ON THE WATER TODAY...PLAN AHEAD TO LOCATE
THE NEAREST SAFE HARBOR AND ENSURE YOU CAN RECEIVE WATCH AND
WARNING INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WEST WINDS OF 25 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE FORECAST
TO DEVELOP SUNDAY AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. THESE WINDS AND WAVES
WOULD CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT...AND A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED BY LATE TONIGHT.

HUYCK/STEWART

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 9:32 AM CDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
932 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ011-012-019-251445-
CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-NORTH ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
932 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ST. LOUIS...
NORTHERN LAKE AND WEST CENTRAL COOK COUNTIES...

AT 931 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
BOUNDARY WATERS CANOE AREA WILDERNESS TO 10 MILES NORTH OF COTTON...
AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...HALF INCH HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...AND
NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIBBING...ELY...VIRGINIA...EVELETH...MOUNTAIN IRON...HOYT LAKES...GILBERT...
AURORA...BABBITT...BIWABIK...CHERRY...EMBARRASS...WINTON...FAIRBANKS...
WHITEFACE RESERVOIR...FALL LAKE...SNOWBANK LAKE...FOREST CENTER...WHITE
IRON LAKE AND SOUTHERN BOUNDARY WATERS CANOE AREA WILDERNESS.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ONE OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET OFF OF THE
WATER IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE
ROAD.

NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE
STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

LAT...LON 4803 9087 4727 9207 4732 9289 4805 9163
TIME...MOT...LOC 1431Z 261DEG 41KT 4787 9153 4731 9245

 MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 9:52 AM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
952 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ012-019-251515-
CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
952 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL ST. LOUIS
AND CENTRAL LAKE COUNTIES...

AT 952 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
11 MILES NORTHWEST OF ISABELLA TO 7 MILES WEST OF WHITEFACE
RESERVOIR...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...PEA SIZE HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...AND
NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOYT LAKES...AURORA...BABBITT...FAIRBANKS...WOLF LAKE...ISABELLA...BRIMSON...
WHITEFACE RESERVOIR...BIRCH LAKE...DUMBBELL LAKE...WHYTE...FOREST CENTER...
MAKINEN...MARKHAM...PEQUAYWAN LAKE...BUTTERFLY LAKE...SEVEN BEAVER LAKE...
RIDGE...MURPHY LAKE AND ISABELLA LAKE.

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ONE OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET OFF OF THE
WATER IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4782 9099 4708 9202 4730 9264 4789 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 1452Z 285DEG 36KT 4772 9156 4726 9231

 MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 10:15 AM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1015 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ012-019-020-251530-
SOUTHERN LAKE/NORTH SHORE-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN
LAKE-
1015 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL ST. LOUIS
AND CENTRAL LAKE COUNTIES...

AT 1015 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES WEST OF ISABELLA TO NEAR WHYTE TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
WHITEFACE RESERVOIR...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...PEA SIZE HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOYT LAKES...BABBITT...FAIRBANKS...WOLF LAKE...FINLAND...ISABELLA...
BRIMSON...WHITEFACE RESERVOIR...DUMBBELL LAKE...THOMAS LAKE NEAR
BRIMSON...HIGHLAND LAKE...WHYTE...MAKINEN...SAWBILL LANDING...MARKHAM...
COMSTOCK LAKE...PEQUAYWAN LAKE...WALES...AND SKIBO.

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ONE OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET OFF OF THE
WATER IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4773 9111 4741 9128 4708 9197 4716 9247
      4738 9240 4771 9163
TIME...MOT...LOC 1515Z 278DEG 30KT 4763 9151 4746 9163 4721 9225

 MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 10:19 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1019 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ012-021-251530-
NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN COOK/NORTH SHORE-
1019 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL COOK COUNTY...

AT 1018 AM CDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS NEAR GRAND
MARAIS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...HALF INCH HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...AND
NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAND MARAIS...EAGLE MOUNTAIN...HOVLAND...TOM LAKE...CASCADE RIVER STATE
PARK...TAIL LAKE...TWO ISLAND LAKE...JUDGE C. R. MAGNEY STATE PARK...
DEVIL TRACK LAKE...CASCADE LAKE...JUDGE MAGNEY STATE PARK AND CARIBOU
LAKE.

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG SOME OF THE RAPIDLY FLOWING
RIVERS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD AND STAY AWAY FROM RAPIDLY
FLOWING STREAMS AND RIVERS.
.

LAT...LON 4792 8966 4779 8997 4767 9052 4779 9077
      4801 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 1517Z 322DEG 26KT 4781 9040

 MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 1:41 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
141 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ034-251900-
CROW WING-
141 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CROW WING COUNTY...

AT 141 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SOUTH LONG LAKE...OR 7
MILES SOUTH OF BRAINERD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...NICKEL SIZE HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRAINERD...BAXTER...CROSBY...IRONTON...GARRISON...FORT RIPLEY...SAINT
MATHIAS...UPPER SOUTH LONG LAKE...SOUTH LONG LAKE...ST. MATHIAS...CAMP
LAKE...RIVERTON...TROMMALD...WOODROW...CUYUNA COUNTRY STATE PARK...PINE
CENTER...SHEPHARD...LENNOX...CROW WING STATE PARK AND BARROWS.

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR ONE OF THE MANY AREA LAKES...GET OFF OF THE
WATER IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4624 9439 4626 9435 4628 9434 4629 9433
      4634 9433 4654 9402 4627 9381 4625 9381
      4625 9380 4624 9381 4619 9381 4616 9398
      4616 9436 4622 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 242DEG 36KT 4625 9415

 MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 1:58 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
158 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

MNZ010-011-018-019-025-026-033>036-252000-
KOOCHICHING-NORTH ST. LOUIS-NORTH ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-
NORTH CASS-SOUTH ITASCA-SOUTH CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-
SOUTH AITKIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INTERNATIONAL FALLS...ELY...BIGFORK...
HIBBING...WALKER...GRAND RAPIDS...PINE RIVER...BRAINERD...
HILL CITY...AITKIN
158 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND EXPAND IN
COVERAGE THROUGH 4 PM...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT LOCATED FROM NEAR LAKE OF THE WOODS... TO
JUST WEST OF BEMIDJI... TO NEAR ALEXANDRIA AS OF 2 PM.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS FROM INTERNATIONAL
FALLS AND VOYAGEURS NATIONAL PARK...SOUTHWARD TO BIGFORK...GRAND
RAPIDS... WALKER...THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION... LAKE MILLE LACS
AND BIG SANDY LAKE.

ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY REACH SEVERE
LEVELS WITH THREATS OF VERY LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS... AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO
WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.

NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE A PLAN TO KEEP YOURSELF SAFE IF SEVERE
STORMS AFFECT YOUR LOCATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE A SAFE
PLACE IN MIND...AND A PLAN TO COMMUNICATE WITH YOUR FAMILY AND
FRIENDS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Duluth, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 9:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching50 min
Jun 24, 10:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching52 min
Jun 25, 2:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH23 min
Jun 25, 3:09 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching51 min
Jun 25, 3:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching26 min
Jun 25, 3:54 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH36 min
Jun 25, 4:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching38 min
Jun 25, 4:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching52 min
Jun 25, 5:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis45 min
Jun 25, 5:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis22 min
Jun 25, 5:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis35 min
Jun 25, 6:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching27 min
Jun 25, 6:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH25 min
Jun 25, 6:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis38 min
Jun 25, 6:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHItasca, Koochiching47 min
Jun 25, 6:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis39 min
Jun 25, 7:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSaint Louis42 min
Jun 25, 7:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH28 min
Jun 25, 7:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCook, Lake51 min
Jun 25, 8:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHLake, Saint Louis39 min
Jun 25, 8:25 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH50 min
Jun 25, 8:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCook13 min
Jun 25, 8:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCook, Lake, Saint Louis45 min
Jun 25, 8:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCook23 min
Jun 25, 9:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHSaint Louis13 min
Jun 25, 9:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCook, Lake48 min
Jun 25, 9:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHLake13 min
Jun 25, 9:44 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH61 min
Jun 25, 9:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHLake23 min
Jun 25, 10:15 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHLake15 min
Jun 25, 10:19 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCook11 min
Jun 25, 10:41 AM CDTBeach Hazards StatementDLHCarlton, Saint Louis9 hr
Jun 25, 1:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCrow Wing19 min
Jun 25, 2:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching18 min
Jun 25, 2:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH16 min
Jun 25, 2:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching19 min
Jun 25, 2:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLH18 min
Jun 25, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Saint Louis24 min
Jun 25, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing30 min
Jun 25, 3:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCrow Wing11 min
Jun 25, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Itasca, Saint Louis44 min
Jun 25, 3:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching34 min
Jun 25, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing46 min
Jun 25, 3:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching24 min
Jun 25, 3:49 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Saint Louis26 min
Jun 25, 3:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHLake of the Woods9 min
Jun 25, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching45 min
Jun 25, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching29 min
Jun 25, 4:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing6 hr
Jun 25, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine, Saint Louis53 min
Jun 25, 4:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHSaint Louis20 min
Jun 25, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHItasca, Saint Louis43 min
Jun 25, 4:34 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH56 min
Jun 25, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Lake, Saint Louis39 min
Jun 25, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching47 min
Jun 25, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine50 min
Jun 25, 5:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching29 min
Jun 25, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHLake, Saint Louis48 min
Jun 25, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSaint Louis31 min
Jun 25, 5:25 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH65 min
Jun 25, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis50 min
Jun 25, 5:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching28 min
Jun 25, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine46 min
Jun 25, 6:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching29 min
Jun 25, 6:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHLake15 min
Jun 25, 6:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching29 min
Jun 25, 6:20 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH55 min
Jun 25, 6:22 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningDLH53 min
Jun 25, 6:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHKoochiching28 min
Jun 25, 6:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCook20 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.