Beach Hazards Statement 6, NWS Duluth, MN

439 
WHUS43 KDLH 111446
CFWDLH

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
946 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION
MNZ037-WIZ001-120100-
/O.CON.KDLH.BH.S.0006.160711T1500Z-160712T0100Z/
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...DULUTH...SUPERIOR...
AND PARK POINT BEACH
946 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...PARK POINT BEACH

* DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE 
  SUPERIOR SHORELINE DUE TO HIGH WAVE ACTION AND STRONG RIP 
  CURRENTS. 

* HIGH WAVE ACTION ALONE CAN MAKE SWIMMING DIFFICULT ON DAYS 
  SUCH AS THIS. INCOMING WAVES IN RAPID SUCCESSION CAN TIRE A 
  SWIMMER QUICKLY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS IN SANDBARS...
NEAR SHORELINE STRUCTURES SUCH AS PENINSULAS OR BREAKWALLS...AND
NEAR RIVER MOUTHS.

FOR ADDITIONAL SAFETY INFORMATION AND PRECAUTIONS...PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH

&&

$$

194 
WHUS43 KDLH 112032
CFWDLH

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
332 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION
MNZ037-WIZ001-120100-
/O.CON.KDLH.BH.S.0006.000000T0000Z-160712T0100Z/
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...DULUTH...SUPERIOR...
AND PARK POINT BEACH
332 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...PARK POINT BEACH

* DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE 
  SUPERIOR SHORELINE DUE TO HIGH WAVE ACTION AND STRONG RIP 
  CURRENTS. 

* HIGH WAVE ACTION ALONE CAN MAKE SWIMMING DIFFICULT ON DAYS 
  SUCH AS THIS. INCOMING WAVES IN RAPID SUCCESSION CAN TIRE A 
  SWIMMER QUICKLY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS IN SANDBARS...
NEAR SHORELINE STRUCTURES SUCH AS PENINSULAS OR BREAKWALLS...AND
NEAR RIVER MOUTHS.

FOR ADDITIONAL SAFETY INFORMATION AND PRECAUTIONS...PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH

&&

$$

525 
WHUS43 KDLH 112320
CFWDLH

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
620 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION
MNZ037-WIZ001-120030-
/O.CAN.KDLH.BH.S.0006.000000T0000Z-160712T0100Z/
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...DULUTH...SUPERIOR...
AND PARK POINT BEACH
620 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS CANCELLED THE BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT. 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
239 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Mon Jul 11 2016

Large line of storms will be entering our western zones around 3
am. This line of storms has a history of producing damaging winds
greater than 70 mph. The best chance of severe of damaging winds
will be south of U. S. Highway 2 in area of extreme instability and
moisture gradient aided by inflow winds of 45 to 50 knots.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 239 AM CDT Mon Jul 11 2016

A return to seasonable conditions mid to late week, then a warming
trend into the weekend. A few chances for rain showers in the
northwest flow pattern that develops, with a low chance for
thunderstorms over the weekend.

On the synoptic scale the mature low over southern Manitoba Tuesday
night will lift northeast towards Hudson Bay and weaken, partially
due to a mid-level ridge over the lower Great Lakes into New
England. To the west zonal flow will give way to weak ridge
developing over the Rockies late-week, gradually sliding eastward
into the northern Plains over the weekend as a weak shortwave
trough moves in across southern British Columbia. This will result
in a northwest flow pattern aloft through the rest of the work week.
In this northwest flow pattern a few weak clipper-like disturbances
are expected to result in a chance of showers across northern
Minnesota Wednesday, expanding into northwest Wisconsin Thursday. On
Friday an area of high pressure builds across the upper Mississippi
river valley, moving east towards the lower Great Lakes on Saturday.
As that high moves to the east and a weak mid-level ridge builds in
temperatures will warm to above normal, with a chance for showers
and few thunderstorms through the week associated with both a weak
warm front lifting northeast into the region as a series of weak mid-
level shortwave troughs behind the ridge axis.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Jul 11 2016

Confidence has increased for timing on convection, at least within
the first 12 hours of this TAF period. Strong low level warm/moist
advection regime that is driving large MCS moving into the eastern
Dakotas will continue to translate eastward overnight.  This should
allow the MCS to move into the KINL/KBRD/KHIB areas between 09-12z,
and then a few hours later in KDLH and KHYR with MVFR/IFR conditions
for a short time. MCS will likely be weakening as it outruns the
best instability axis, but we have included variable winds from 35-
45 kt with the MCS passage as the well-developed cold pool and meso-
high/wake low potential. Atmosphere will likely take 6-9 hours to
recover thereafter, but strong southerly flow in advance of
approaching wave/surface low/cold front should eventually allow for
sufficient destabilization and redevelopment of more strong/severe
TStorms the last 6-7 hours of this TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  86  66  82  62 /  80  80  10  10
INL  87  64  80  61 /  70  70  30  40
BRD  87  65  84  63 /  90  70  10   0
HYR  87  71  85  63 /  40  70  20  10
ASX  90  70  85  64 /  40  60  20  10

&&

.DLH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
WI...None.
MN...None.
LS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...clc
LONG TERM...JJM
AVIATION...JJM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
410 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-120945-
KOOCHICHING-NORTH ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTH ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/NORTH SHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/NORTH SHORE-NORTH CASS-SOUTH ITASCA-SOUTH CASS-
CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTH AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTH ST. LOUIS-
PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
410 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE
NORTHLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF RIP
CURRENTS...MAINLY IN THE DULUTH ENTRY AFFECTING THE PARK POINT
BEACH IN DULUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN ON
TUESDAY...WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

LSZ121-140>148-120945-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
410 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR TODAY WILL RESULT IN
BUILDING WAVES...MAINLY AT THE HEAD OF THE LAKE. SEE THE LATEST
MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS ON A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN
EFFECT.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BUT
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

JJM

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
354 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 AM     HAIL             BRAINERD                46.36N 94.20W
07/11/2016  E0.88 INCH       CROW WING          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&

JJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
355 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 WNW WOODROW           46.40N 94.13W
07/11/2016  M51 MPH          CROW WING          MN   ASOS

            ASOS STATION BRAINERD AIRPORT /BRD/.

&&

KLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
357 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 AM     HAIL             2 WNW BREEZY POINT      46.62N 94.26W
07/11/2016  E0.75 INCH       CROW WING          MN   PUBLIC

            REPORTED VIA MPING.

&&

JJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
402 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0359 AM     HAIL             1 ESE IRONTON           46.48N 93.98W
07/11/2016  E1.50 INCH       CROW WING          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0358 AM     HAIL             1 S CROSBY              46.48N 93.96W
07/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       CROW WING          MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

KLH