Gale Warning 6, NWS Charleston, SC

034 
WHUS72 KCHS 050307
MWWCHS

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1007 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

AMZ374-051115-
/O.CAN.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160205T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KCHS.GL.W.0006.160205T0307Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1007 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...BECOMING NORTH AFTER DAYBREAK. SEAS
  BUILDING 5 TO 9 FEET...HIGHEST EAST.

* IMPACTS...GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS CAN PRODUCE DANGEROUS 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MARINERS SHOULD ALTER
PLANS TO AVOID THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. REMAIN IN PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR.

&&

$$

AMZ350-352-354-051115-
/O.EXT.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.160205T0307Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1007 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ330-051115-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.160205T0900Z-160205T1800Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1007 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

239 
WHUS72 KCHS 050551
MWWCHS

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1251 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

AMZ374-051400-
/O.CON.KCHS.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1251 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

* IMPACTS...GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS CAN PRODUCE DANGEROUS 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MARINERS SHOULD ALTER
PLANS TO AVOID THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. REMAIN IN PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR.

&&

$$

AMZ330-051400-
/O.EXT.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.160205T0600Z-160205T1800Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1251 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ350-352-354-051400-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1251 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

243 
WHUS72 KCHS 050805
MWWCHS

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
305 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

AMZ374-051615-
/O.CON.KCHS.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
305 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FEET.

* IMPACTS...GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS CAN PRODUCE DANGEROUS 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MARINERS SHOULD ALTER
PLANS TO AVOID THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. REMAIN IN PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR.

&&

$$

AMZ350-352-354-051615-
/O.EXT.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160206T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
305 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ330-051615-
/O.EXT.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160205T2100Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
305 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

679 
WHUS72 KCHS 051137
MWWCHS

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
637 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

AMZ374-051800-
/O.CON.KCHS.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160205T1800Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
637 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
  SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.

* IMPACTS...GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS CAN PRODUCE DANGEROUS 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MARINERS SHOULD ALTER
PLANS TO AVOID THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. REMAIN IN PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR.

&&

$$

AMZ350-352-354-051945-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160206T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
637 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ330-051945-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160205T2100Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
637 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

323 
WHUS72 KCHS 051501
MWWCHS

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1001 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

AMZ374-052315-
/O.CAN.KCHS.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160205T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160208T1200Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1001 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ350-352-354-052315-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160206T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1001 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ330-052100-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-160205T2100Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1001 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
128 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG A COLD FRONT OFF THE COAST WILL
SHIFT UP THE COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE REGION FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A DEVELOPING COASTAL TROUGH ON
SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN DEEPEN OFF THE CAROLINA COAST ON
SUNDAY AND MOVE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
ALONG COLD FRONT/WITHIN BAND OF HEAVIEST PRECIP OFF THE GEORGIA
COAST. AFTERNOON UPDATE BEGAN TO TAPER POPS FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF
GEORGIA AND THE ALTAMAHA RIVER REGION WHERE DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN
TO WORK IN THIS AFTERNOON. 100 POPS REMAIN FOR AREAS ALONG THE
COAST WHERE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE REMAINS HIGH AHEAD OF THE
DEVELOPING LOW. INSTANTANEOUS RAIN RATES NEAR 2 IN REMAIN POSSIBLE
FOR COASTAL AREAS NORTH OF SAVANNAH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING...BUT OVERALL HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

TONIGHT...A ROBUST AND HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES TODAY WILL TAKE ON A NEUTRAL OR EVEN
SLIGHTLY NEGATIVELY ORIENTED TILT AS IT REACHES INTO THE FORECAST
REGION LATE. THIS CAUSES THE SURFACE LOW IN THE NEARBY ATLANTIC TO
DEEPEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TREK NE TO A POSITION EAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY
FROM SW TO NE. THE BACK EDGE OF ANY RAINS WILL CLEAR THE SAVANNAH
RIVER BY 06Z...THEN CLEARING THE REMAINDER OF THE CWFA BY 09Z.
ADDITIONAL QPF WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2 TO 2/3 INCH NE TO 1/10 TO 1/4
INCH OR LESS SW.

THE GFS VERTICAL SNAPSHOTS DO SHOW A WORST CASE SCENARIO OF A
LITTLE WET AND NON-ACCUMULATING SNOW FLURRIES OVER THE CHARLESTON
TRI-COUNTY AREA AS WE APPROACH DAYBREAK FRIDAY. BUT MOISTURE
SHOULD HAVE SCOURED OUT ENOUGH BY THAT TIME FOR THAT NOT TO
OCCUR...AND THIS SOLUTION HAS BEEN IGNORED AT THIS TIME.

SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THEY SHIFT TO THE NW IN RESPONSE TO
LOW LEVEL JETTING OVERHEAD...STEADY ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES AND
COLD ADVECTION. PROBABLY JUST SHY OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY ON LAKE MOULTRIE...WITH HIGHEST SPEEDS DURING THE
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS UP TO 20-25 MPH.

THESE BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE TEMPS TO PLUNGE SHARPLY THROUGH
THE NIGHT...WITH LOWS TO BOTTOM OUT CLOSE TO WHERE THEY SHOULD BE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS THE STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE PIVOTS TROUGH THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS EARLY FRIDAY...THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING CLOUDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH MID MORNING...OTHERWISE
SUNSHINE WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY. INTO LATE MORNING...IT SHOULD BE
OCCASIONALLY BREEZY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95 BUT WINDS
SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRES BUILDS
INTO THE SE STATES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S MOST
AREAS. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL FAVOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AND
TEMPS WILL DROP OFF TO FREEZING MANY AREAS INLAND FROM U.S. 17 IN
BOTH SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA. WEAK ISENTROPIC ASCENT
TOWARD DAWN ON SATURDAY MAY PRODUCE SOME STRATOCUMULUS IN SOUTH
GEORGIA.

ON SATURDAY...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF ANOTHER DIGGING UPPER
WAVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION. AT 18Z ON SATURDAY THE ECMWF AND
GFS 500 MB PROGS ALREADY SHOW SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES WHICH
WILL PLAY INTO THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRES AREA OFF THE COAST SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND. THE ECMWF REMAINS SLOWER AND QUICKER TO CUT-OFF WHILE THE
GFS AND NAM BOTH ARE MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH FEATURES BOTH AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT. WE HAVE COLLABORATED A FAIR AMOUNT OF PERSISTENCE
BY INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS COASTAL AND SOUTHERN
ZONES LATER ON SATURDAY AS UPPER DIFLUENCE AND OVERRUNNING MOISTURE
INCREASE. THE PATTERN STRONGLY FAVORS HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID 50S WITH
TEMPS FALLING OFF AFTER MID AFTERNOON AS CLOUDS THICKEN.

THE ENERGETIC MID LEVEL WAVE SHOULD CUT-OFF OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH IMPRESSIVE UPPER DYNAMICS
RESPONSIBLE FOR EXPANDING RAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS TENDS
TO KEEP INLAND SE GEORGIA RATHER DRY WE OPTED TO GRADUATE POPS FROM
30 PERCENT WELL INLAND TO LIKELY ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS SYSTEM IF THE ECMWF
SOLUTION PANS OUT AS COLDER AIR FILLS ON THE BACKSIDE AND HINTS THAT
SOME MIXED RAIN/SNOW OR CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW MAY FRINGE THE W-NW
FLANKS OF THE PCPN SHIELD BY SUNDAY. WITH THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES ON
THE 00Z/04 MODEL RUNS...WE MAINTAINED AN ALL RAIN EVENT AT THIS
POINT. SUNDAY COULD BE WINDY ALONG COASTAL AREAS ON SUNDAY...AGAIN
VERY DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH/TRACK OF THE COASTAL LOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ANY LINGERING RAINS SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EVENING SUNDAY NIGHT AS
THE LOW PULLS AWAY THEN SKIES EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 30S MOST AREAS. ANOTHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH WITH A
POLAR CONTINENTAL AIR MASS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE SE U.S. BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPS SHOULD RUN WELL BELOW CLIMO VALUES
AFTER A NEAR CLIMO DAY ON MONDAY. THE COLD AIR WILL WELL BE USHERED
IN BY GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY POTENTIALLY LOWERING WIND CHILLS TO NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA
AT TIMES. WE MAINTAINED A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG A COLD FRONT OFF THE COAST. PERSISTENT
RAINFALL WILL PLAGUE THE TERMINALS...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL AND IFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES PAST.
KSAV WILL SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS LATE THIS EVENING...THOUGH MVFR
CEILINGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. KCHS WILL SEE
FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE
DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILL IN. GUSTY WINDS WILL FILL IN EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING AS COLD AIR ADVECTION STRENGTHENS.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY. A COASTAL
LOW PRES SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE ON BACK-SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ON THE FRONT OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST THIS AFTERNOON...PASSING NEAR THE LOCAL WATERS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS MUCH LESS WIND THAN YESTERDAY WITH
A MORE RELAXED PRESSURE PATTERN NEAR THE COLD FRONT AND IN ITS
WAKE...BUT SEAS ARE STILL ELEVATED AND WILL STILL OBTAIN 3 TO 5 FT
THIS MORNING.

TONIGHT...A 1016 MB LOW ON THE COLD FRONT WILL DEEPEN SOME 7-10
MB AS IT PASSES TO THE NE. LARGE ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE
RISES...MAYBE AS MUCH AS 1 MB/HOUR WILL ENSUE BEHIND THE DEPARTING
LOW. THAT ALONG WITH A 40 KT OR GREATER LOW LEVEL JET ARRIVING
FROM THE SW BEHIND THE LOW AND COLD ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT SOLID
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BY LATE TONIGHT ACROSS CHARLESTON HARBOR
AND AMZ352-354. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND GEOSTROPHIC WINDS OF 40 KT ARE
INDICATIVE OF POSSIBLE GALES ON THE CHARLESTON COUNTY ATLANTIC
WATERS AND THE OUTER GA WATERS. THIS HAS PROMPTED US TO HOIST A
GALE WATCH BEGINNING AT 4 AM FRIDAY.

ON FRIDAY...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SHARP PRES RISES TRENDING DOWN DURING
THE LATTER MORNING HOURS OVER THE WATERS. GALES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
GRAYS REEF SEAWARD THROUGH AROUND 15Z BEFORE GUSTS TEND TO
SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS SHOULD RELAX DURING THE
AFTERNOON OVER NEAR SHORE WATERS BUT SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO COME
DOWN OVER OFFSHORE GEORGIA WATERS AND EXPECT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL LAST INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEYOND 20 NM WITH ONLY A
SHORT WINDOW FOR SUB- ADVISORY CONDITIONS BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM
COMES INTO PLAY.

AN UNSETTLED WEEKEND FOR THE WATERS AS THE PRES GRADIENT BEGINS TO
PINCH LATER ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY AS A DEEP COASTAL
LOW TAKES SHAPE OFFSHORE OVER THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.
ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED WITH A POTENTIAL FOR GALES
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE LOW PRES AREA OFFSHORE.
AT THIS TIME...WE THINK THE CHARLESTON COUNTY AND 20-60 NM GEORGIA
WATERS WILL SEE THE STRONGEST FLOW FROM THE COASTAL LOW.

CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY MONDAY AS WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE IN THE
WAKE OF THE DEEP LOW...HOWEVER COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE ON
TUESDAY WITH JETTING OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASING ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD DAILY RAINFALL FOR 4 FEBRUARY...
KCHS 1.63/1959...
KCXM 0.76/1959...
KSAV 1.68/1959...

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ330.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ352-
     354.
     GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR AMZ350-
     374.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEB
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>052-050930-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY-
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
TIDAL BERKELEY-
426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING...CONTINUED RAINFALL THROUGH TODAY AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT
ATOP THE SATURATED GROUND WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING
CONCERNS WITH PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND NUISANCE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ350-374-050930-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALES...ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MAY CAUSE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS...AND A GALE WATCH AND WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED AT A LATER
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ330-352-354-050930-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1048 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW WALTERBORO         32.96N  80.73W
02/04/2016                   COLLETON           SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            COLLETON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS RUFFIN
            ROAD NEAR THE RAILROAD TRACKS IS WASHED OUT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600061

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1051 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SSE REIDSVILLE        32.00N  82.09W
02/04/2016                   TATTNALL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            DEWITT TATEM RD IS WASHED OUT BETWEEN LELIA MCCLEOD AND
            LEONARD IDDINGS RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600062

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1052 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W COBBTOWN            32.29N  82.20W
02/04/2016                   TATTNALL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            HENRY MOXLEY RD IS WASHED OUT NEAR HANDY KENNEDY RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600063

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1053 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NE REIDSVILLE         32.13N  82.08W
02/04/2016                   TATTNALL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            ELI KENNEDY ROAD IS WASHED OUT NEAR JOE KENNEDY ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600064

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1054 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W MENDES              32.00N  82.00W
02/04/2016                   TATTNALL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            ANDRON TOOTLE ROAD HAS BEEN WASHED OUT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600065

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1106 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 WNW WALTERBORO        32.93N  80.75W
02/04/2016                   COLLETON           SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY CREEK DRIVE WASHED OUT AT PAINTERS DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600066