Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 4, NWS Charleston, SC
NWS Charleston, SC issued this river flood warning at Feb 4, 2016, 11:13 AM EST for Burke County, Emanuel County, Jenkins County, Georgia. It took effect at Feb 5, 2016, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 4, 2016, 11:13 AM EST (16:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2016, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 8, 2016, 7:00 AM EST
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Charleston, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Burke County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Jenkins County, GA
The radar
The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Ogeechee River at Midville (MDVG1). The gauge peaked at 6.25 ft at Feb 5, 2016, 2:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 5 ft
- Minor stage
- 6 ft
- Moderate stage
- 10 ft
- Major stage
- 13 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02201230, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
957
WGUS42 KCHS 041613
FLWCHS
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1113 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016
SCC029-035-051613-
/O.NEW.KCHS.FL.W.0003.160205T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0600Z.160207T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by Sunday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, most homes on Happiness Lane are accessible only by
boat. Flooding also occurs along roadways south of Highway 17
Alternate including Camp Buddy Road.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
GAC033-107-165-051613-
/O.NEW.KCHS.FL.W.0004.160205T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T1500Z.160207T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* from Friday morning until further notice.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 6.6 feet by Sunday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC109-051613-
/O.NEW.KCHS.FL.W.0005.160205T0840Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.1.ER.160205T0840Z.160206T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 12.7 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, several homes along Parker Springs Road in Canoochee
Properties become flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$7 follow-up statements
535
WGUS82 KCHS 042253
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
553 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
GAC033-107-165-052253-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.160205T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160206T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
553 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 5 PM Thursday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 6.4 feet by early Saturday afternoon. Additional rises
are possible thereafter.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$631
WGUS82 KCHS 050234
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
SCC029-035-060234-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.160205T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0600Z.160208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 12.3 feet by Sunday evening. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, most homes on Happiness Lane are accessible only by
boat. Flooding also occurs along roadways south of Highway 17
Alternate including Camp Buddy Road.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
SCC005-GAC251-060234-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-060234-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 17.0 feet by Friday morning
then begin a slow fall.
* At 14.5 feet the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along
Tom Goethe Road are flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
SCC015-043-089-060234-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-060234-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.160205T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0600Z.160206T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 6.4 feet by Friday evening.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-060234-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0006.160206T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160206T0000Z.160208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
rise to near 12.4 feet by Sunday evening. Additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, water encroaches on some homes along Dashers Landing
Road and Yarbrough Landing Road. Davis Landing Road also becomes
impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$
GAC267-279-060234-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160204T1526Z.160206T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 15.5 feet by early Saturday
morning then begin a slow fall.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy
Bluff community.
&&
LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
3192 8217 3204 8221
$$
GAC109-060234-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0005.160205T1300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.1.ER.160205T1300Z.160206T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 12.4 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 13.5 feet, the main access road into Canoochee Properties,
Hillside Road, becomes flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$454
WGUS82 KCHS 051521
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
SCC029-035-061521-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0450Z.160208T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by
Monday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.5 feet, lower portions of Hideaway Lane flood. Water also
covers the driveways in the Harts Bluff community.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
SCC005-GAC251-061520-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-061520-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 14.5 feet, the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along Tom
Goethe Road begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
SCC015-043-089-061520-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by
Monday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-061520-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0415Z.160206T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 6.4 feet by early Saturday
morning then begin a slow fall.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-061520-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0006.160206T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160206T0000Z.160208T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to
rise to near 12.3 feet by Monday morning. Additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, water encroaches on some homes along Dashers Landing
Road and Yarbrough Landing Road. Davis Landing Road also becomes
impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$571
WGUS82 KCHS 060242
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
SCC029-035-070242-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0450Z.160209T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by
Monday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13.0 feet, some homes near the end of Happiness Lane are flooded.
Most homes and cabins along the river between Canadys and Norman
Landing are accessible only by boat.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
GAC267-279-070242-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.2.ER.160204T1526Z.160206T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.0 feet, flooding of several riverside unimproved roads and
some agricultural land occurs.
&&
LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
3192 8217 3204 8221
$$
SCC005-GAC251-070242-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-070241-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.5 feet, the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along Tom
Goethe Road begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
GAC109-070241-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.2.ER.160205T0858Z.160206T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 13.9 feet by early Saturday
morning then begin a slow fall.
* At 13.5 feet, the main access road into Canoochee Properties,
Hillside Road, becomes flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$
SCC015-043-089-070241-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by
Monday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-070241-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160207T0600Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0415Z.160205T2130Z.160206T1800Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river is expected to drop below flood stage early
Saturday afternoon.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-070241-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160205T2315Z.160209T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.4 feet by
Monday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 11.0 feet, portions of Yarbrough Landing Road become impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$609
WGUS82 KCHS 061523
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
SCC029-035-071523-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0450Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by
Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13.0 feet, some homes near the end of Happiness Lane are flooded.
Most homes and cabins along the river between Canadys and Norman
Landing are accessible only by boat.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
GAC267-279-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.2.ER.160204T1526Z.160206T1430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 17.5 feet, water enters the ground level of homes in the Joy
Bluff community. The access road becomes covered with water.
&&
LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
3192 8217 3204 8221
$$
SCC005-GAC251-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or rise slightly
through early Monday morning then begin a slow fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.5 feet, the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along Tom
Goethe Road begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
SCC015-043-089-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by
Monday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-071200-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160207T1200Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0415Z.160205T2130Z.160207T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river is expected to drop below flood stage this
evening.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160205T2315Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.8 feet by
Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, water encroaches on some homes along Dashers Landing
Road and Yarbrough Landing Road. Davis Landing Road also becomes
impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$
GAC109-071522-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.2.ER.160205T0858Z.160206T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 13.5 feet, the main access road into Canoochee Properties,
Hillside Road, becomes flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$908
WGUS82 KCHS 070152
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
SCC029-035-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0450Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by
Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13.0 feet, some homes near the end of Happiness Lane are flooded.
Most homes and cabins along the river between Canadys and Norman
Landing are accessible only by boat.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
GAC267-279-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.2.ER.160204T1526Z.160206T1430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.0 feet, flooding of several riverside unimproved roads and
some agricultural land occurs.
&&
LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
3192 8217 3204 8221
$$
SCC005-GAC251-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.5 feet, the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along Tom
Goethe Road begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
SCC015-043-089-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 14.3 feet by Monday evening
then begin a slow fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-080000-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160208T0000Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0415Z.160205T2130Z.160207T1200Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160205T2315Z.160210T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by
Tuesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 14.0 feet, several homes and camps near the river are surrounded
by water.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$
GAC109-080152-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.2.ER.160205T0858Z.160206T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 13.5 feet, the main access road into Canoochee Properties,
Hillside Road, becomes flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$701
WGUS82 KCHS 071535
FLSCHS
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
SCC029-035-081535-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GIVS1.2.ER.160205T0450Z.160210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Edisto River Near Givhans Ferry.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by early
Wednesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13.0 feet, some homes near the end of Happiness Lane are flooded.
Most homes and cabins along the river between Canadys and Norman
Landing are accessible only by boat.
&&
LAT...LON 3304 8065 3311 8062 3308 8036 3286 8036
3286 8045 3302 8044
$$
GAC267-279-081535-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.2.ER.160204T1526Z.160206T1430Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.0 feet, flooding of several riverside unimproved roads and
some agricultural land occurs.
&&
LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
3192 8217 3204 8221
$$
SCC005-GAC251-081535-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BFYG1.1.ER.151228T1148Z.160106T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River At Burtons Ferry.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 15.0 feet, flooding of some adjacent agricultural lands occurs.
Most boat ramps along the river are unusable.
&&
LAT...LON 3303 8156 3307 8150 3292 8143 3276 8137
3273 8145 3289 8151
$$
SCC049-053-GAC103-251-081535-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLYG1.2.ER.151111T0100Z.160109T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Savannah River Near Clyo.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 14.5 feet, the bottom floor of several riverfront homes along Tom
Goethe Road begins to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3273 8145 3276 8137 3264 8136 3249 8117
3246 8125 3261 8144
$$
SCC015-043-089-081535-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 14.4 feet by Monday evening
then begin a slow fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
3320 7951 3329 7976
$$
GAC033-107-165-081200-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160208T1200Z/
/MDVG1.1.ER.160205T0415Z.160205T2130Z.160208T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Midville.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 6.0 feet, the access road into the River Bluff in Midville begins
to flood. The lower portion of Johnson Road near Herndon also
becomes covered.
&&
LAT...LON 3279 8231 3286 8227 3284 8211 3281 8193
3275 8198 3276 8212
$$
GAC029-031-051-103-081534-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDEG1.1.ER.160205T2315Z.160210T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Ogeechee River Near Eden.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.4 feet by
Wednesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 14.0 feet, several homes and camps near the river are surrounded
by water.
&&
LAT...LON 3246 8160 3252 8152 3227 8140 3208 8133
3206 8143 3223 8150
$$
GAC109-081534-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNOG1.2.ER.160205T0858Z.160206T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Canoochee River Near Claxton.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 13.5 feet, the main access road into Canoochee Properties,
Hillside Road, becomes flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8195 3222 8189 3222 8182 3215 8183
3215 8189 3215 8196
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 4, 10:19 AM EST, 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 10:19 AM EST, 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1019 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL CROSS THE WATERS
THIS MORNING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
AND LIFT NE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION
FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A DEVELOPING COASTAL TROUGH ON SATURDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL THEN DEEPEN OFF THE CAROLINA COAST ON SUNDAY AND
MOVE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
FEW CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THE MORNING UPDATE. COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY RESIDES ALONG A LINE FROM MONKS CORNER TO NEAR EDISTO
BEACH...AND THEN JUST OFFSHORE SOUTH ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE PRECIP BAND IS MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE ALTAMAHA RIVER REGION CURRENTLY. THIS
FEATURE WILL BRING HIGHER RAIN RATES...IN THE RANGE OF 1-2
IN/HR...TO PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH THE REST
OF THE MORNING HOURS. A FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST COASTAL GEORGIA NORTHEAST TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER REGION
OF SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH LATE MORNING.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE DEEP CONVEYOR BELT OF RICH MOISTURE
WITH ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWATS THAT ARE SOME 3 MORE OR STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WILL REMAIN ANCHORED IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CWFA TODAY. DYNAMIC FORCING TO RESULT FROM THE PROXIMITY TO THE
ANA-TYPE COLD FRONT AND THE FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE
UPPER JET WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD RAINS.
OVERALL THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
WILL OCCUR AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS AND PASSES OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...LIFTING NE ALONG THE FRONT
AND STAYING OUT NEAR THE GULF STREAM THROUGH DAYS END. WHILE THERE
WILL BE A FEW GAPS IN THE STEADY RAINFALL...RAIN PROBABILITIES ARE
AT 100 PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. WE CAN/T RULE OUT A LITTLE
ELEVATED THUNDER THIS MORNING...BUT PROBABILITIES ARE NOT
SUFFICIENT TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST.
COOL ADVECTION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND DEVELOPING SURFACE
WAVE...PLUS THE WIDESPREAD RAINS WILL ACTUALLY CAUSE TEMPS TO FALL
OR AT BEST HOLD STEADY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. MAX TEMPS HAVE
ALREADY OCCURRED FOR THE CALENDAR DAY...BUT FOR THE VAST MAJORITY
OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY TEMPS WILL BE ONLY IN THE 50S OR AT
LEAST 15-20F COOLER THAN YESTERDAY.
TONIGHT...A ROBUST AND HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES TODAY WILL TAKE ON A NEUTRAL OR EVEN
SLIGHTLY NEGATIVELY ORIENTED TILT AS IT REACHES INTO THE FORECAST
REGION LATE. THIS CAUSES THE SURFACE LOW IN THE NEARBY ATLANTIC TO
DEEPEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TREK NE TO A POSITION EAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. AS THIS TRANSITION OCCURS THERE IS A
RAPID DRYING OF THE VERTICAL COLUMN AS THE SYNOPTIC FLOW VEERS TO
A DRIER WEST/NW DIRECTION AND PWATS DROP CONSIDERABLY
OVERNIGHT...DOWN TO 1/4 INCH OR LESS LATE. RAIN CHANCES WILL
DECREASE RAPIDLY FROM SW TO NE. THE BACK EDGE OF ANY RAINS WILL
CLEAR THE SAVANNAH RIVER BY 06Z...THEN CLEARING THE REMAINDER OF
THE CWFA BY 09Z. ADDITIONAL QPF WILL BE LESS THAN 1/2 TO 2/3 INCH
NE TO 1/10 TO 1/4 INCH OR LESS SW.
THE GFS VERTICAL SNAPSHOTS DO SHOW A WORST CASE SCENARIO OF A
LITTLE WET AND NON-ACCUMULATING SNOW FLURRIES OVER THE CHARLESTON
TRI-COUNTY AREA AS WE APPROACH DAYBREAK FRIDAY. BUT MOISTURE
SHOULD HAVE SCOURED OUT ENOUGH BY THAT TIME FOR THAT NOT TO
OCCUR...AND THIS SOLUTION HAS BEEN IGNORED AT THIS TIME.
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THEY SHIFT TO THE NW IN RESPONSE TO
LOW LEVEL JETTING OVERHEAD...STEADY ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES AND
COLD ADVECTION. PROBABLY JUST SHY OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY ON LAKE MOULTRIE...WITH HIGHEST SPEEDS DURING THE
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS UP TO 20-25 MPH.
THESE BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE TEMPS TO PLUNGE SHARPLY THROUGH
THE NIGHT...WITH LOWS TO BOTTOM OUT CLOSE TO WHERE THEY SHOULD BE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS THE STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES PIVOTS TROUGH THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS EARLY FRIDAY...THERE MAY BE A FEW LINGERING CLOUDS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH MID MORNING...OTHERWISE SUNSHINE
WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY. INTO LATE MORNING...IT SHOULD BE OCCASIONALLY
BREEZY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95 BUT WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO THE SE STATES.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S MOST AREAS. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL
FAVOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPS WILL DROP OFF TO FREEZING
MANY AREAS INLAND FROM U.S. 17 IN BOTH SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA. WEAK ISENTROPIC ASCENT TOWARD DAWN ON SATURDAY MAY PRODUCE
SOME STRATOCUMULUS IN SOUTH GEORGIA.
ON SATURDAY...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF ANOTHER DIGGING UPPER
WAVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION. AT 18Z ON SATURDAY THE ECMWF AND
GFS 500 MB PROGS ALREADY SHOW SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES WHICH
WILL PLAY INTO THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRES AREA OFF THE COAST SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND. THE ECMWF REMAINS SLOWER AND QUICKER TO CUT-OFF WHILE THE
GFS AND NAM BOTH ARE MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH FEATURES BOTH AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT. WE HAVE COLLABORATED A FAIR AMOUNT OF PERSISTENCE
BY INTRODUCING SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS COASTAL AND SOUTHERN
ZONES LATER ON SATURDAY AS UPPER DIFLUENCE AND OVERRUNNING MOISTURE
INCREASE. THE PATTERN STRONGLY FAVORS HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID 50S WITH
TEMPS FALLING OFF AFTER MID AFTERNOON AS CLOUDS THICKEN.
THE ENERGETIC MID LEVEL WAVE SHOULD CUT-OFF OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH IMPRESSIVE UPPER DYNAMICS
RESPONSIBLE FOR EXPANDING RAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE GFS TENDS
TO KEEP INLAND SE GEORGIA RATHER DRY WE OPTED TO GRADUATE POPS FROM
30 PERCENT WELL INLAND TO LIKELY ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS SYSTEM IF THE ECMWF
SOLUTION PANS OUT AS COLDER AIR FILLS ON THE BACKSIDE AND HINTS THAT
SOME MIXED RAIN/SNOW OR CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW MAY FRINGE THE W-NW
FLANKS OF THE PCPN SHIELD BY SUNDAY. WITH THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES ON
THE 00Z/04 MODEL RUNS...WE MAINTAINED AN ALL RAIN EVENT AT THIS
POINT. SUNDAY COULD BE WINDY ALONG COASTAL AREAS ON SUNDAY...AGAIN
VERY DEPENDENT ON THE STRENGTH/TRACK OF THE COASTAL LOW.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ANY LINGERING RAINS SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE EVENING SUNDAY NIGHT AS
THE LOW PULLS AWAY THEN SKIES EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 30S MOST AREAS. ANOTHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH WITH A
POLAR CONTINENTAL AIR MASS EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE SE U.S. BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPS SHOULD RUN WELL BELOW CLIMO VALUES
AFTER A NEAR CLIMO DAY ON MONDAY. THE COLD AIR WILL WELL BE USHERED
IN BY GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY POTENTIALLY LOWERING WIND CHILLS TO NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA
AT TIMES. WE MAINTAINED A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE INDICATES GAPS OF VFR WEATHER
THIS MORNING...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS IN THE MVFR/IFR RANGE WILL BE
THE RULE AT KCHS AND KSAV TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. THIS IS THE
RESULT OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND LOW STRATUS DECKS BEHIND A
COLD FRONT THAT MOVES INTO THE NEARBY ATLANTIC AND STALLS. A WAVE
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE NE ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...EVENTUALLY CAUSING THE FRONT TO SWING FURTHER OFFSHORE.
THIS CAUSES A RAPID DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND ALSO A DRAMATIC
RISE IN NW WINDS THAT REACH 15-25 KT BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY. A COASTAL
LOW PRES SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE ON BACK-SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
TODAY...THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE MARINE
DISTRICT DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING...SLIDING TO NEAR OR
JUST EAST OF THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. IT/S PROGRESS IS BOGGED
DOWN EVEN MORE DUE TO A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT FORMS ON THE
FRONT OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST THIS AFTERNOON...PASSING INTO OR
NEAR THE LOCAL WATERS LATE IN THE DAY. THERE IS MUCH LESS WIND
THAN YESTERDAY WITH A MORE RELAXED PRESSURE PATTERN NEAR THE COLD
FRONT AND IN ITS WAKE...BUT SEAS ARE STILL ELEVATED AND WILL STILL
OBTAIN 3 TO 5 FT THIS MORNING. UNTIL THE FLOW VEERS FURTHER TO AN
OFFSHORE DIRECTION...THERE WILL STILL BE POCKETS OF SEA FOG THIS
MORNING. BUT DUE TO WIDESPREAD RAINS THE RISK FOR DENSE SEA FOG IS
LOW.
TONIGHT...A 1016 MB LOW ON THE COLD FRONT WILL DEEPEN SOME 7-10
MB AS IT PASSES TO THE NE. LARGE ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE
RISES...MAYBE AS MUCH AS 1 MB/HOUR WILL ENSUE BEHIND THE DEPARTING
LOW. THAT ALONG WITH A 40 KT OR GREATER LOW LEVEL JET ARRIVING
FROM THE SW BEHIND THE LOW AND COLD ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT SOLID
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BY LATE TONIGHT ACROSS CHARLESTON HARBOR
AND AMZ352-354. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND GEOSTROPHIC WINDS OF 40 KT ARE
INDICATIVE OF POSSIBLE GALES ON THE CHARLESTON COUNTY ATLANTIC
WATERS AND THE OUTER GA WATERS. THIS HAS PROMPTED US TO HOIST A
GALE WATCH BEGINNING AT 4 AM FRIDAY.
ON FRIDAY...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS
WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SHARP PRES RISES TRENDING DOWN DURING
THE LATTER MORNING HOURS OVER THE WATERS. GALES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
GRAYS REEF SEAWARD THROUGH AROUND 15Z BEFORE GUSTS TEND TO
SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS SHOULD RELAX DURING THE
AFTERNOON OVER NEAR SHORE WATERS BUT SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO COME
DOWN OVER OFFSHORE GEORGIA WATERS AND EXPECT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL LAST INTO FRIDAY NIGHT BEYOND 20 NM WITH ONLY A
SHORT WINDOW FOR SUB- ADVISORY CONDITIONS BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM
COMES INTO PLAY.
AN UNSETTLED WEEKEND FOR THE WATERS AS THE PRES GRADIENT BEGINS TO
PINCH LATER ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY AS A DEEP COASTAL
LOW TAKES SHAPE OFFSHORE OVER THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.
ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED WITH A POTENTIAL FOR GALES
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE LOW PRES AREA OFFSHORE.
AT THIS TIME...WE THINK THE CHARLESTON COUNTY AND 20-60 NM GEORGIA
WATERS WILL SEE THE STRONGEST FLOW FROM THE COASTAL LOW.
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY MONDAY AS WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE IN THE
WAKE OF THE DEEP LOW...HOWEVER COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE ON
TUESDAY WITH JETTING OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASING ACROSS THE WATERS.
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORD DAILY RAINFALL FOR 4 FEBRUARY...
KCHS 1.63/1959...
KCXM 0.76/1959...
KSAV 1.68/1959...
&&
.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ330.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ352-
354.
GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR AMZ350-
374.
&&
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEB
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 4:26 AM EST, 6 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016 GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>052-050930- JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS- INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG- INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH- ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY- INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER- TIDAL BERKELEY- 426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FLOODING...CONTINUED RAINFALL THROUGH TODAY AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT ATOP THE SATURATED GROUND WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING CONCERNS WITH PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND NUISANCE FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. AMZ350-374-050930- WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. GALES...ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MAY CAUSE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS...AND A GALE WATCH AND WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED AT A LATER TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. AMZ330-352-354-050930- CHARLESTON HARBOR- WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 426 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 4, 10:48 AM EST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1048 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW WALTERBORO 32.96N 80.73W
02/04/2016 COLLETON SC EMERGENCY MNGR
COLLETON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS RUFFIN
ROAD NEAR THE RAILROAD TRACKS IS WASHED OUT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600061Local storm report, Feb 4, 10:51 AM EST, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1051 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 SSE REIDSVILLE 32.00N 82.09W
02/04/2016 TATTNALL GA 911 CALL CENTER
DEWITT TATEM RD IS WASHED OUT BETWEEN LELIA MCCLEOD AND
LEONARD IDDINGS RD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600062
JMCLocal storm report, Feb 4, 10:52 AM EST, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1052 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W COBBTOWN 32.29N 82.20W
02/04/2016 TATTNALL GA 911 CALL CENTER
HENRY MOXLEY RD IS WASHED OUT NEAR HANDY KENNEDY RD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600063
JMCLocal storm report, Feb 4, 10:53 AM EST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1053 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE REIDSVILLE 32.13N 82.08W
02/04/2016 TATTNALL GA 911 CALL CENTER
ELI KENNEDY ROAD IS WASHED OUT NEAR JOE KENNEDY ROAD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600064
JMCLocal storm report, Feb 4, 10:54 AM EST, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1054 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 W MENDES 32.00N 82.00W
02/04/2016 TATTNALL GA 911 CALL CENTER
ANDRON TOOTLE ROAD HAS BEEN WASHED OUT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600065
JMCLocal storm report, Feb 4, 11:06 AM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1106 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 WNW WALTERBORO 32.93N 80.75W
02/04/2016 COLLETON SC EMERGENCY MNGR
PENNY CREEK DRIVE WASHED OUT AT PAINTERS DRIVE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600066The office that day
Everything else NWS Charleston, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 7:17 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CHS | Bryan, Bulloch, Effingham | 36 min |
| Feb 3, 9:39 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CHS | Tattnall, Toombs | 10 days |
| Feb 4, 9:18 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | CHS | Bryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 4 more | 117 min |
| Feb 4, 11:13 AM EST | River Flood Warning | CHS | Evans | 5 days |
| Feb 4, 11:16 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | CHS | Bryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 4 more | 119 min |
| Feb 4, 3:07 PM EST | River Flood Warning | CHS | Bryan, Bulloch, Chatham, Effingham | 13 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.