Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Watches in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 11, 20167 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow watch at Jan 11, 2016, 3:32 AM EST for 7 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2016, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2016, 3:32 AM EST (08:32 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2016, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 11, 2016, 3:19 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
567 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

202 
WWUS41 KBUF 110832
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ006-008-111645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 
  LATE TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 
  EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH 6 AM...12 TO 23 INCHES 
  TODAY...3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT...5 TO 9 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...
  AND 5 TO 9 INCHES WEDNESDAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...DURING THE DAY MONDAY SNOWFALL RATES MAY 
  LOCALLY PUSH 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
  MPH EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 15 AND 25 THROUGH 6 AM. HIGHS 20 TO 25 
  TODAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 TONIGHT. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TUESDAY. 
  LOWS 10 TO 20 TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS 15 TO 20 WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF 
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG 
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS 
  AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4431 7562 4411 7627 4343 7637 
        4342 7550 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T0900Z-160112T0300Z
COORD...4419 7537 4436 7588 4412 7634 4390 7612 
TIME 160112T0300Z-160112T0900Z

$$

NYZ019-020-085-111645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160112T1800Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT 
  FROM EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH 6 AM...4 TO 7 INCHES 
  TODAY...1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY...7 TO 
  13 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
  EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 15 AND 20 THROUGH 6 AM. HIGHS AROUND 20 
  TODAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 TONIGHT. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TUESDAY. 
  LOWS 10 TO 15 TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS 15 TO 20 WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR 
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-111645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST 
  AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH 6 AM...11 TO 21 INCHES 
  TODAY...AND 4 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT.

* SNOWFALL RATES...DURING THE DAY MONDAY SNOWFALL RATES MAY 
  LOCALLY PUSH 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
  EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF 
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG 
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS 
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4431 7562 4411 7627 4343 7637 
        4342 7550 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T0900Z-160112T0300Z
COORD...4419 7537 4436 7588 4412 7634 4390 7612 
TIME 160112T0300Z-160112T0900Z

$$

NYZ012-111645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES THROUGH 6 AM...4 TO 7 INCHES 
  TODAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
  EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR 
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ021-111645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1800Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY...MAINLY NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM AND 1 TO 3 INCHES 
  TODAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
  EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ010-011-111645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.160111T1700Z-160112T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND WESTERN GENESEE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON AND 1 TO 3 
  INCHES TONIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IN 
  THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
  EARLY...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE DAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-111645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
332 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 17 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 20 TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 
  LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
796 
WWUS41 KBUF 111518
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ021-111630-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1800Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ006-008-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN OSWEGO AND PRIMARILY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
  LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 
  LATE TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 
  EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET TODAY...5 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT...5
  TO 9 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...AND 5 TO 9 INCHES WEDNESDAY.

* SNOWFALL RATES...DURING THE DAY MONDAY SNOWFALL RATES MAY 
  LOCALLY PUSH 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS 20 TO 25 TODAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 TONIGHT. 
  HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TUESDAY. LOWS 10 TO 20 TUESDAY NIGHT. 
  HIGHS 15 TO 20 WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF 
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG 
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS 
  AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4406 7516 4391 7643 4361 7620 4352 7644 
        4350 7536 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T1500Z-160112T0000Z
COORD...4417 7531 4439 7581 4401 7631 4361 7620 
        4387 7517 
TIME 160112T0000Z-160112T0900Z

$$

NYZ019-020-085-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160112T1800Z-160113T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...FAR NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES AND SOUTHERN
  ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT 
  FROM EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 11 INCHES TODAY...2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...
   3 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY...7 TO 13 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...AND 4 
  TO 8 INCHES WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS AROUND 20 TODAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 TONIGHT. 
  HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TUESDAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 TUESDAY NIGHT. 
  HIGHS 15 TO 20 WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR 
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

&&

$$

NYZ007-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS
  THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 FEET TODAY AND 5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT.

* SNOWFALL RATES...DURING THE DAY MONDAY SNOWFALL RATES MAY 
  LOCALLY PUSH 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF 
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG 
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS 
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4406 7516 4391 7643 4361 7620 4352 7644 
        4350 7536 4360 7513 
TIME 160111T1500Z-160112T0000Z
COORD...4417 7531 4439 7581 4401 7631 4361 7620 
        4387 7517 
TIME 160112T0000Z-160112T0900Z

$$

NYZ012-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES TODAY AND AN INCH OR LESS
  TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR 
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ013-112330-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.160111T1700Z-160112T0000Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT COUNTIES.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS AROUND 20 THIS AFTERNOON. AROUND 20 
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ010-011-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.160111T1700Z-160112T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND WESTERN GENESEE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON AND 1 TO 2 INCHES
  TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-112330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1018 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 17 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS AROUND 20 TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE 
  LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$
154 
WWUS41 KBUF 112019
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ019-020-120430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160112T1800Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1800Z-160114T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THAT WAS
IN EFFECT TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES TUESDAY...4 TO 7 INCHES TUESDAY
  NIGHT...4 TO 8 INCHES WEDNESDAY...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES WEDNESDAY
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 17 INCHES IN THE
  MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ013-112130-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

NYZ085-120430-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160112T1800Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1800Z-160114T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 6 TO 9 INCHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO AROUND 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT
  BANDS IN THE FIRST EVENT. IN THE SECOND EVENT...4 TO 7 INCHES
  TUESDAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS IN
  THE SECOND EVENT OF 15 TO 20 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR 
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ008-120430-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T2100Z-160114T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...LEWIS COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS 
  IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT WITH STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 3 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS
  FOR THE FIRST EVENT. 1 TO 3 INCHES TUESDAY...4 TO 7 INCHES
  TUESDAY NIGHT...UP TO 2 INCHES WEDNESDAY...5 TO 9 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS IN
  THE SECOND EVENT OF 1 TO 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4402 7516 4402 7573 4389 7625 4354 7622 
        4354 7534 4362 7512 
TIME 160111T1800Z-160112T0000Z
COORD...4419 7552 4428 7598 4412 7634 4359 7622 
        4357 7586 4385 7520 
TIME 160112T0000Z-160112T0900Z
COORD...4408 7515 4427 7587 4352 7623 4360 7513 
TIME 160112T2100Z-160113T0600Z
COORD...4386 7573 4383 7629 4366 7614 4344 7654 
        4327 7595 4348 7581 4348 7540 
TIME 160113T2100Z-160114T0900Z
COORD...4398 7556 4400 7583 4387 7625 4369 7620 
        4362 7573 4377 7545 
TIME 160114T0900Z-160114T1800Z

$$

NYZ006-120430-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T2300Z-160114T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. THROUGH TONIGHT SNOW WILL BE LIMITED
  TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
  THURSDAY SNOW WILL IMPACT MOST OF THE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS 
  IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN
  PORTION OF THE COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STORM
  TOTALS IN THE FIRST EVENT OF 2 TO 3 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS. 7
  TO 14 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...6 TO 12 INCHES WEDNESDAY...5 TO 10
  INCHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY. STORM
  TOTALS IN THE SECOND EVENT OF UP TO 2 FEET IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4402 7516 4402 7573 4389 7625 4354 7622 
        4354 7534 4362 7512 
TIME 160111T1800Z-160112T0000Z
COORD...4419 7552 4428 7598 4412 7634 4359 7622 
        4357 7586 4385 7520 
TIME 160112T0000Z-160112T0900Z
COORD...4408 7515 4427 7587 4352 7623 4360 7513 
TIME 160112T2100Z-160113T0600Z
COORD...4348 7581 4354 7638 4330 7690 4329 7738 
        4304 7686 4302 7650 4324 7645 4316 7588 
TIME 160113T0600Z-160113T2100Z
COORD...4386 7573 4383 7629 4366 7614 4344 7654 
        4327 7595 4348 7581 4348 7540 
TIME 160113T2100Z-160114T0900Z
COORD...4398 7556 4400 7583 4387 7625 4369 7620 
        4362 7573 4377 7545 
TIME 160114T0900Z-160114T1800Z

$$

NYZ012-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1800Z-160114T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0000Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO 12 TO 18 INCHES IN PERSISTENT
  BANDS IN THE FIRST EVENT. 3 TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES
  TUESDAY NIGHT...UP TO 2 INCHES WEDNESDAY...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 14 INCHES IN PERSISTENT
  BANDS FOR THE SECOND EVENT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T2100Z-160114T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160112T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY. GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS 
  THE TUG HILL REGION.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS 
  IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT IN PERSISTENT BANDS BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO NEAR 3 FEET
  ACROSS THE TUG HILL. 1 TO 3 INCHES TUESDAY...3 TO 6 INCHES
  TUESDAY NIGHT...AN INCH OR LESS WEDNESDAY...5 TO 9 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE
  STORM TOTALS OF 12 TO 19 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF 
  NOT IMPASSABLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...ALONG 
  WITH VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR ZERO IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS 
  AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4402 7516 4402 7573 4389 7625 4354 7622 
        4354 7534 4362 7512 
TIME 160111T1800Z-160112T0000Z
COORD...4419 7552 4428 7598 4412 7634 4359 7622 
        4357 7586 4385 7520 
TIME 160112T0000Z-160112T0900Z
COORD...4408 7515 4427 7587 4352 7623 4360 7513 
TIME 160112T2100Z-160113T0600Z
COORD...4386 7573 4383 7629 4366 7614 4344 7654 
        4327 7595 4348 7581 4348 7540 
TIME 160113T2100Z-160114T0900Z
COORD...4398 7556 4400 7583 4387 7625 4369 7620 
        4362 7573 4377 7545 
TIME 160114T0900Z-160114T1800Z

$$

NYZ010-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1500Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160112T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM
  TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE
  TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS. 4 TO 7 INCHES
  TUESDAY...AND UP TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY EVENING PRODUCING TOTALS OF
  6 TO 9 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS IN THE SECOND EVENT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-120430-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0002.160113T0000Z-160113T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160113T0100Z-160114T0000Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 13 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT...6 TO 12 INCHES
  WEDNESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 2 FEET IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4348 7581 4354 7638 4330 7690 4329 7738 
        4304 7686 4302 7650 4324 7645 4316 7588 
TIME 160113T0600Z-160113T2100Z

$$

NYZ001-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1500Z-160113T0300Z/
NIAGARA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY AND AROUND AN INCH TUESDAY
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ011-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0004.160112T1500Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160112T0600Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...GENESEE COUNTY.

* TIMING...THE FIRST LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
  THROUGH 1AM TUESDAY. THE SECOND LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN
  EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON AND 2 TO 3 INCHES
  TONIGHT BRINGING TOTALS TO 3 TO 5 INCHES MAINLY OVER THE
  SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY FOR THE FIRST EVENT.
  3 TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY EVENING
  PRODUCING TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES FOR THE SECOND EVENT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND 
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ002-120430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0004.160112T1500Z-160113T0300Z/
ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEDINA
319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ORLEANS COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES TUESDAY AND AN INCH OR TWO TUESDAY
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING
  SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
  GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/ZAFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow watch went out at Jan 11, 12:05 AM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 12:05 AM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1205 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE LAKES OVERNIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. A PASSING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL THEN BRING
WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
THEN REDEVELOPING EAST OF THE LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TRACKING FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS LOW PUSHED A
STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING... WITH MUCH COLDER
AIR FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.
CONSEQUENTLY... OUR REGION WILL FEEL A NUMBER OF STRONG IMPACTS THAT
ARE OUTLINED BELOW.

1. STRONG WINDS... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING... THUS HAVE DROPPED WIND ADVISORIES/WARNINGS FOR ALL OF THE
NORTHERN FINGER LAKES AND WESTERN NY. WILL ALLOW HIGH WIND WARNING
TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS IN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...
AS WINDS COULD CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 55 MPH... BUT THAT AREA WILL
FOLLOW SUIT WITH WEAKENING WINDS SHORTLY.

2. LAKE EFFECT...THE INCOMING COLDER AIRMASS HAS ALREADY SPARKED OFF
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF BOTH LAKES THIS
EVENING...WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED IN THE
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE...WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN THIS SAME GENERAL AREA AND PICKING UP SOME IN INTENSITY
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AS LAKE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE TO 10-
11 KFT...AND THE AIRMASS COOLS/MOISTURE DEEPENS BELOW THIS LEVEL. IN
ADDITION... A POTENTIAL UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE
FLOW SLOWLY BECOMING MORE WSW (LONGER FETCH) DURING THE DAY MONDAY
SHOULD HELP GIVE A BOOST TO THE LAKE ERIE SNOWFALL RATES. GIVEN THE
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE SETUP...WARNING-WORTHY SNOW AMOUNTS OF AROUND
OR A LITTLE OVER A FOOT STILL APPEAR TO BE A GOOD BET WITHIN THE
MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS IN THIS AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY... WITH
ADVISORY-TYPE ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES LIKELY MAKING IT AS FAR
EAST AS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF ALLEGANY COUNTY...WHERE A NEW LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN HOISTED. COMPLICATING ALL THIS WILL BE
THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WINDS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

AS WE GET INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN
TO BACK MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AS SURFACE-BASED RIDGING AND DRIER
AIR NOSES NORTHWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...AND AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM
DIVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. IN CONJUNCTION WITH INVERSION
HEIGHTS AND LAKE EQLS BEGINNING TO DROP OFF A BIT...THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN THE LAKE SNOWS LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND WEAKENING SOME...BEFORE
DRIFTING FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER MONDAY EVENING
/AS DISCUSSED BELOW/. THE ABOVE SAID...AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF GENESEE COUNTY COULD SEE AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OUT OF THIS BETWEEN MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING...SO HAVE HOISTED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
LATE THIS EVENING ON AN INITIALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...BEFORE
INTENSIFYING AND SHIFTING A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE TUG HILL
REGION OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS MORE WESTERLY...AND THE
AIRMASS GROWS COLDER...LAKE EQLS RISE...AND MOISTURE DEEPENS.
THEREAFTER...THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD LARGELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE TUG
HILL REGION RIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... WITH JUST SOME SUBTLE WOBBLES IN
BAND POSITION FROM TIME TO TIME.

WITH LAKE EQLS INCREASING TO AROUND 13 KFT IN THE PRESENCE OF AN
INCREASINGLY WELL-ALIGNED FLOW ACROSS THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE AND
AN EXPECTED UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO THE UPPER LAKES DEVELOPING...
CONDITIONS APPEAR PRIMED FOR A SOLID PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO...WITH AN IMPRESSIVE OMEGA-DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH
CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE ON BUFKIT SUPPORTING THIS THINKING AS WELL AS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSNOW AT TIMES. WITH THE EXTREMELY
FAVORABLE LAKE PARAMETERS AND AN ROBUST UPSTREAM LAKE CONNECTION
EXPECTED... SNOWFALL RATES MAY LOCALLY PUSH 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR AT
TIMES DURING THE DAY MONDAY AS THE CONDITIONS BECOME OPTIMAL AND
UPSTREAM CONNECTS ARE WELL ESTABLISHED. TO GIVE FURTHER SUPPORT FOR
SUCH IMPRESSIVE SNOWFALL RATES... SEVERAL HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
INCLUDING THE NAMRR/NCAR ENSEMBLES/ AND 1.3KM NAM SHOW RATES PUSHING
OVER 2 INCHES AN HOUR DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AT THIS POINT TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO THREE FEET APPEAR LIKELY WITHIN THE MOST
PERSISTENT SNOWS ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...FOR WHICH LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS WILL OBVIOUSLY
REMAIN IN PLACE. AS WITH THE LAKE ERIE ACTIVITY...THE HEAVY SNOWFALL
WILL BE FURTHER EXACERBATED BY THE STRONG WINDS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...IT WILL TURN MUCH COLDER WITH READINGS
PLUNGING INTO THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S TONIGHT...THEN ONLY
RECOVERING SOME 3 TO 5 DEGREES DURING MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER INCLUDING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SEPARATED BY A CLIPPER AND ARCTIC FRONT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE FIRST EVENT WITH THE SECOND EVENT LIKELY NEEDING ANOTHER
ROUND OF WINTER HEADLINES IN THE COMING DAYS.

LAKE EFFECT ROUND ONE...

ON MONDAY EVENING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS OFF BOTH LAKES WILL BE IN
THE PROCESS OF LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN METRO
AREAS IN RESPONSE TO BACKING WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING CLIPPER
SYSTEM. THIS WILL IMPACT ANY AFTER SCHOOL/WORK ACTIVITIES ACROSS
THESE METRO AREAS AND SURROUNDING SUBURBS WITH BANDS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW CAUSING SLICK AND SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW
VISIBILITIES. WINDS BACK COMPLETELY TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AFTER
MIDNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME DISRUPTION IN THE
BANDS DUE TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND RISING 850MB TEMPS
WHILE THEY LIKELY SHIFT INTO CANADIAN TERRITORY FOR A FEW HOURS
OVERNIGHT. SEE LAKE EFFECT WARNING AND ADVISORY STATEMENTS FOR MORE
DETAILS.

ALBERTA CLIPPER AND ARCTIC FRONT....

THE CLIPPER AND ITS ASSOCIATED ARCTIC FRONT WILL QUICKLY PASS ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TUESDAY AND EXIT TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT BRINGING A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL FOR ALL. WHILE OVERALL
SNOWFALL FROM THIS WILL BE LIGHT /OUTSIDE OF THE SOUTHWARD RETURNING
EMBEDDED LAKE EFFECT BANDS/ THERE ARE CONCERNS FOR A BURST OR SQUALL
OF SNOW ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT WITH OF PERIOD OF
LOW VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW BEHIND THE FRONT AS A 40 KNOT LOW
LEVEL JET BRINGS WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KNOTS.

LAKE EFFECT ROUND TWO...

A SECOND AND POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT AND LONGER LASTING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS THEN EXPECTED MIDWEEK BEHIND THIS CLIPPER AS
ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES IN ITS WAKE RAMPING UP LAKE SNOWS AGAIN. THE
STRONGEST PERIOD OF SNOW WOULD LIKELY BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH LAKE SNOWS THEN CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
SLOWLY TAPERING OFF INTO THURSDAY.

TUESDAY EVENING...LAKE-INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL INCREASE
TOWARD 15KFT AS 850MB TEMPS PLUMMET TO AROUND -18C WHICH IS NEARLY
2SD BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. STEERING LEVEL FLOW WILL
VEER TO AROUND 280-290 DEGREES WHICH WILL SETTLE THE BANDS SOUTHEAST
OF THE LAKES OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. BUFKIT TIME-
HEIGHT PROFILES SHOW A STRONG CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE WHERE THE PRIME
DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION INTERSECTS PLENTIFUL LIFT WITHIN THE
CLOUD LAYER WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE TO HIGH SNOWFALL RATES
WITHIN THE BANDS FOR 24 HOURS OR MORE.

ONE CHANGE IN THE MODELS FROM YESTERDAY IS THAT STEERING WINDS MAY
SHIFT AROUND A BIT IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LOW AND SHORTWAVE THAT MAY
PASS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES MIDWEEK. WHILE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL
LIKELY STILL BE MEASURED IN FEET MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES FOR
THIS SECOND EVENT...THE SHIFTING BANDS WOULD ALLOW FOR MORE AREAS TO
SEE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL THEN IF THE BANDS BECAME LOCKED IN PLACE.
BASED ON THE 12Z MODELS THE BEST TIMING FOR A SHIFT IN THE SNOW
BAND BACK TO THE NORTH MIGHT BE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THIS
MAKES FOR A BIT MORE OF A DIFFICULT FORECAST AS MINOR FLUCTUATIONS
IN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTROL WHERE THE LAKE BANDS MOVE DURING
THE EVENT. WILL WAIT ANOTHER MODEL RUN OR TWO BEFORE DETERMINING
WHICH AREAS WILL NEED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

TEMPERATUREWISE...MID WINTER TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING INTO THE 20S
TO LOW 30S EACH DAY AND DIPPING INTO THE TEENS EACH NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT EVENT NUMBER TWO LOOKS TO WIND DOWN THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGING...RISING HEIGHTS AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION COMBINE TO LOWER LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS BELOW
5KFT AND RAISE THE SNOW GROWTH LEVEL ABOVE 10KFT THURSDAY NIGHT.
THERE MAY EVEN BE A THREAT FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE ON THE TAIL
END FOR FRIDAY.

LOOKING OUT INTO NEXT WEEKEND...GFS AND ECMWF MODELS SHOW ANOTHER
500MB TROUGH DIGGING DOWN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH ONE OR MORE
LOWS/WAVES PASSING SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WOULD FAVOR
A CHANCE OF SOME WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW ASSOCIATED SO THIS HAS
BEEN INCLUDED IN THE LATEST FORECAST PACKAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL MID JANUARY LEVELS.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN AS
WINDS...THOUGH STILL GUSTY...BEGIN TO DIMINISH FURTHER AS A STRONG
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXITS THROUGH QUEBEC CANADA. FINE STREAMERS OF
SNOW FROM UPSTREAM LAKES CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH ONE SUCH
STREAMER NEAR KIAG. ADDITIONAL STREAMERS ARE OFF BOTH LAKE ERIE
(NEAR KJHW) AND ONTARIO (NEAR KART)

EXPECT IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS IN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...IMPACTING
KJHW OVERNIGHT...AND AT TIMES KART OVERNIGHT. THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
THESE BANDS OF SNOW WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD SOME. ON MONDAY THIS BAND
OF SNOW WILL LIFT NORTHWARD REACHING KBUF/KIAG BETWEEN 21 AND 03Z.
OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW... CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE
TO VFR OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...WITH IFR PREVAILING WITHIN ANY SNOW.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW/IFR EAST OF THE
LAKES...WITH MVFR/VFR AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
INTO MONDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THE REGION THIS EVENING... AND IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY.

LOOKING A BIT FURTHER AHEAD...ANOTHER PERIOD OF NEAR GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A CLIPPER
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR NYZ007-
     008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ021.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ012-019-020-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR NYZ010-011.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ043>045-
         063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LOZ042-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CHURCH/JJR
NEAR TERM...CHURCH/JJR
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...CHURCH/THOMAS
MARINE...CHURCH/JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 12:02 AM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ001-002-120515-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE ENHANCED SNOW MAY DEVELOP
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. INCREASING WIND SPEEDS LATER TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCED
VISIBILITIES AND VERY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-011-120515-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE ENHANCED SNOW MAY DEVELOP
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. INCREASING WIND SPEEDS LATER TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCED
VISIBILITIES AND VERY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-120515-
ALLEGANY-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-120515-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND
LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY. INCREASING WIND
SPEEDS LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CREATE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND VERY POOR TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-013-014-120515-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-120515-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH BLOWING
SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.
SOME OF THIS MAY IMPACT AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AT TIMES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-120515-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. MORE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
INCREASING WIND SPEEDS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CREATE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND VERY POOR TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-120515-
OSWEGO-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. MORE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
INCREASING WIND SPEEDS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CREATE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND VERY POOR TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.

WHILE THE INITIAL SNOW ON MONDAY SHOULD NOT BE DOWNPLAYED...THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HIGH
IMPACT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING IN NARROW REGIONS OVER RELATIVELY SHORT PERIODS OF
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-120515-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-120515-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-120515-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-120515-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
1202 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 10, 9:48 PM EST, 5 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
948 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WILLIAMSON              43.22N  77.18W
01/10/2016                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

0545 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SAVANNAH                43.07N  76.76W
01/10/2016                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG VICTORY                 43.20N  76.65W
01/10/2016                   CAYUGA             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG EAST BLOOMFIELD         42.90N  77.43W
01/10/2016                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG IRA                     43.22N  76.56W
01/10/2016                   CAYUGA             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PHELPS                  42.96N  77.06W
01/10/2016                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN

0610 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SE GRANBY CENTER      43.30N  76.43W
01/10/2016                   OSWEGO             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0610 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MINETTO                 43.40N  76.48W
01/10/2016                   OSWEGO             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0650 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CAPE VINCENT            44.13N  76.33W
01/10/2016                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON HOUSE

0700 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WATERTOWN               43.97N  75.91W
01/10/2016                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING

0710 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MARTINSBURG             43.74N  75.47W
01/10/2016                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0710 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BEAVER FALLS            43.88N  75.43W
01/10/2016                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0710 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LOWVILLE                43.79N  75.49W
01/10/2016                   LEWIS              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0724 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST OSWEGO                  43.46N  76.51W
01/10/2016  M68 MPH          OSWEGO             NY   NWLON

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600098
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600099
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600100
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600101
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600102
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600103
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600104
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600105
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600106
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600107
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600108
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600109
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600110
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600111

SJW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 6:34 AM ESTGale WatchBUF9 hr
Jan 11, 8:48 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWyoming87 min
Jan 11, 8:53 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston82 min
Jan 11, 8:57 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis93 min
Jan 11, 10:25 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWyoming80 min
Jan 11, 10:28 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis92 min
Jan 11, 12:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis117 min
Jan 11, 12:06 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Wyoming114 min
Jan 11, 2:24 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFWyoming81 min
Jan 11, 2:33 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis87 min
Jan 11, 3:19 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis and 4 more3 days
Jan 11, 3:19 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFGenesee, Orleans29 hr
Jan 11, 3:44 PM ESTGale WarningBUF42 hr
Jan 11, 3:58 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis3 hr
Jan 11, 4:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie44 min
Jan 11, 4:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee82 min
Jan 11, 6:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie112 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Watches in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.